Beach Hazards Statement 5, NWS Gaylord, MI

590 
WHUS43 KAPX 301450
CFWAPX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1050 AM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

MIZ025-031-302300-
/O.CON.KAPX.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-260701T0000Z/
Benzie-Manistee-
1050 AM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous swimming conditions due to 3-5 ft waves and 
  rip currents.

* WHERE...Benzie and Manistee Counties.

* WHEN...For Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents can pull swimmers into deeper water
  and high waves can sweep people off piers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
248 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Extended period of hot and humid conditions, hottest likely
  Tuesday through Thursday.

- Periodic shower and thunderstorm chances throughout the week,
  severe storms possible with heavy rain, large hail and damaging
  wind.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 241 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

The heat is on. A 596 dam upper high builds over the southeast
CONUS early this week with anomalously warm and moist air
extending northward into the Great Lakes. At the same time,
height falls with an upper trough deepening across the
intermountain west. The upper high will slowly drift eastward
throughout the week, with a number of shortwaves riding the
periphery of the ridge resulting in shower/storm chances. The
convection will certainly "muddy" the temperature forecasts from
day to day over northern Michigan, with cloud cover and
shower/storm threats largely controlling max temperatures.
Despite the uncertainty on temperatures, it will be hot and very
humid as deeper moisture surges into the Great Lakes with
dewpoints over 70F. I will transition the Extreme Heat Watch to
a Heat Advisory for all of northern Michigan for Tuesday, with
greater than triple digit heat indices likely in many areas.
Even in areas that may not quite reach criteria, it will be
quite hot and heat stress will be an issue. Check on those most
sensitive to heat including the elderly, young children,
outside workers and pets. Will handle the heat headlines day by
day given the uncertainty in convective evolution.

Several convective threats throughout the week with developing
southwest flow across a very moist/unstable airmass across the Great
Lakes.  Any minor perturbation could act as the trigger given the
high instability, with leftover convective outflows/boundaries
acting as focusing mechanisms for storms.  On Tuesday, storms may
fire over portions of northern Wisconsin and western upper Michigan
within an extremely unstable corridor, then shift east for the
afternoon or evening. Moderate shear and potentially extreme
instability could produce a damaging wind and large hail threat,
with bowing segments possible into parts of northern Michigan.
Additional shortwaves over a gradually flattening ridge toward
the end of the week may bring additional shower/storm chances.

The upper level pattern becomes less amplified heading into the
holiday weekend but still quite warm and remaining active with
shower/storm chances.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 130 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

Showers with embedded thunderstorms are seen on radar slowly
tracking west to east across the region. Mainly VFR conditions
expected to persist, with drops in categories possible as
stronger storms continue, mainly across PLN. Winds will decrease
tonight with BR/FG/low stratus becoming likely in the morning
hours (dropping conditions to IFR to even LIFR at times), but
should burn off as we head into the afternoon, returning to VFR.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for MIZ016>018-
     020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for
     LHZ345>348.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Tuesday for LMZ323-341-342-
     344>346.

&&

DISCUSSION...JK
AVIATION...NSC

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
227 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1253 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 SSW Gaylord           45.02N 84.68W
06/29/2026  M41 MPH          Otsego             MI   ASOS

            ASOS station KGLR Gaylord - Otsego County
            Airport.

&&

JZ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
237 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     Hail             Topinabee               45.48N 84.60W
06/29/2026  M0.25 Inch       Cheboygan          MI   Amateur Radio

&&

JZ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
240 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0236 PM     Rain             Topinabee               45.48N 84.60W
06/29/2026  M3.62 Inch       Cheboygan          MI   Amateur Radio

            6 hour total.

&&

JZ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
248 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0156 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 NW Pellston           45.57N 84.80W
06/29/2026  M51 MPH          Emmet              MI   ASOS

            Pellston Airport.

&&

JZ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
249 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0247 PM     Rain             1 NW Pellston           45.57N 84.79W
06/29/2026  M1.74 Inch       Emmet              MI   ASOS

            Pellston Airport. 50 minute rain total.

&&

JZ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
301 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     Rain             1 NW Pellston           45.57N 84.80W
06/29/2026  M4.65 Inch       Emmet              MI   ASOS

            Pellston Airport. 2 hour rain total.

&&

JZ