Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 46, NWS Amarillo, TX

May 14, 2026Armstrong County, Carson County, Gray County, Texas

NWS Amarillo, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 14, 2026, 4:43 PM CDT for Armstrong County, Carson County, Gray County, Texas. It was in force for 62 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 14, 2026, 4:43 PM CDT (21:43 UTC)
Expired: May 14, 2026, 5:45 PM CDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Amarillo, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Gray County, TX

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 14, 3:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 343 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 162 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -733 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1299 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 247 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 616 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 14, 3:56 PM CDT, 47 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Issued at 1256 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026
Elevated to critical fire weather conditions expected to persist through the weekend. With high end critical, due to higher wind, days expected Sunday and Monday.
Severe storms may be possible Sunday and Monday in the eastern Panhandles depending on the location of a dryline.

Area forecast discussion, May 14, 3:56 PM CDT, 47 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
356 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

...New UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

- Elevated to critical fire weather conditions expected to persist
  through the weekend. With high end critical, due to higher wind,
  days expected Sunday and Monday.

- Severe storms may be possible Sunday and Monday in the eastern
  Panhandles depending on the location of a dryline.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 354 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

Widely scattered thunderstorms have formed across the central and
western TX Panhandle and the OK Panhandle this afternoon. With
very dry conditions in the low levels across the area, not much
rainfall is expected from these storms. The dry low levels will
promote the potential for very strong wind gusts, some of which
may be destructive wind gusts up to 80 mph. Due to this concern, a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for the entire Texas and
Oklahoma Panhandles through 10 PM this evening. Minor forecast
adjustments have been made to account for the watch issuance and
the latest radar trends.

Muscha

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

Dry air at the surface is expected once again this afternoon. A
surface boundary with some slight convergence is progged to run
SSW to NNE dividing parts of the eastern combined Panhandles from
the west. East of the boundary slightly higher Tds will keep
minimum RH values in the 20 to 30 percent range while the west
sees RH values in the 12 to 20 percent range. Despite the higher
RH values in the east this is the area likely to see critical fire
weather conditions this afternoon as winds are expected to be
higher in the 15 to 25 mph range. This afternoon a mid level
shortwave will move into the area colliding with increased H7
theta-e advection. This will help kick off some scattered
afternoon/evening thunderstorms. With a dry surface layer, DCAPE
values are progged to be in the 1500-1800 J/Kg range adding to
concerns for severe wind gusts that could potentially exceed 80
mph. With the lack of moisture and such high bases to these storms
expected, little precipitation is expected and should limit
overall hail growth as well. Current CAMs runs suggest storms
starting in the west and moving east through the late afternoon
into early evening. Potentially with a second or third round. With
low precipitation storms, dry lightning is a concern for fire
starts today.

Thunderstorm activity should conclude by 10 PM tonight with maybe
a lingering isolated virga shower somewhere in the area. Surface
winds in the eastern Panhandles may hang on to breezy south to
southeasterly winds in the 15 to 20 mph range while the west sees
winds fall to near 10 mph. A surface low is expected to develop
over the northwest Panhandles into SE CO and NE NM. This low is
expected to keep winds near 15 to maybe 20 mph for parts of the
eastern Panhandles out of the south for Friday afternoon. The
northwestern Panhandles are expected to see more northerly winds
NW of the low. Although chances are really low, would not
completely rule out some isolated pop up showers/storms in the
east tomorrow as well. PoPs may only be around 10 with such low
probabilities of measuring 0.01".

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

Dry and hot conditions continue through Saturday, with maybe some
elevated fire weather conditions continuing in the southwestern TX
Panhandle. An upper level system will approach the Panhandles
Sunday bringing with it stronger winds increasing the likelihood
of widespread critical fire weather conditions. This system may
bring even stronger winds Monday. Probability of gusts exceeding
50 mph increase into the 20 to 60 percent range on Monday for the
northwestern half of the combined Panhandles. Also, for Sunday and
Monday, severe storms will be a possibility in the far eastern
combined Panhandles depending on where a dryline sets up.

This aforementioned system will also bring some cooler air for Tue
and beyond. Afternoon temperatures in the 90s to even lower 100s
in some areas, will lower into the 80s for Tue and Wed. PoPs
remain low through the long term mainly relying on the afternoon
heat to dry convection. However, there are some hints that that
may change going into Wed night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

Mostly VFR conditions expected to prevail through the period.
However, some low precipitation thunderstorms may impact the
terminals between 21Z and 02Z Friday. Confidence is low at this
time especially for KDHT and KGUY. Therefore, have not mentions in
the TAFs at this time, and may need amendments. Please not, due to
the nature of dry surface boundaries, these storms will have a
potential to produce severe and erratic winds at times. The
potential for small hail will exist too, with the probability of
large hail staying fairly low.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

Elevated to low end critical fire weather conditions will continue
into the weekend. Sunday and Monday will be the big days to watch
as winds are expected to ramp up. RFTIs may reach as high as 7
especially in the west. A 10 to maybe 20 percent chances exist in
the northwest Panhandles to surpass 50 mph gusts on Sunday.
Monday those probabilities pick up to 40 to 60 percent with a
probability around 20 percent for Amarillo on Monday.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ003>005-009-
     010-014-015-019-020.

OK...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ002-003.

&&

SHORT TERM...03
LONG TERM....03
AVIATION...03

Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 1:38 PM CDT, 3 hours 5 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
138 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-150645-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
138 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible across the Panhandles this afternoon
through this evening. Some of the storms may be severe, with
damaging wind gusts being the primary hazard in addition to
lightning.

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected across
the area this afternoon through this evening. A Red Flag Warning
has been issued for the eastern Panhandles due to the anticipated
critical fire weather threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon into evening, Friday
through Sunday. Thunderstorm activity will primarily favor the
eastern combined Panhandles.

Critical fire weather conditions will be possible on Sunday and
Monday across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 14, 3:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
342 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

TXZ011-142115-
Oldham TX-
342 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL OLDHAM COUNTY
THROUGH 415 PM CDT...

At 342 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Adrian, or 16 miles west of Vega, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Vega and Adrian.

This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 16 and 38.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3519 10275 3528 10279 3546 10249 3522 10239
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 249DEG 27KT 3525 10272

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

SH

Local storm report, May 14, 3:47 PM CDT, 56 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
347 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0336 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     6 WSW Adrian            35.25N 102.76W
05/14/2026  M59 MPH          Oldham             TX   Mesonet

            59 MPH wind gust measured at 6 WSW Adrian
            West Texas Mesonet site.

&&

RLF

Local storm report, May 14, 4:24 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
424 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0417 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     11 WNW Bootleg          34.89N 102.99W
05/14/2026  M60 MPH          Deaf Smith         TX   Mesonet

            60 MPH wind gust observed at WT Mesonet site
            11 miles WNW of Bootleg, TX.

&&

RLF

Local storm report, May 14, 4:42 PM CDT, 1 minute before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
442 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0428 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     11 WNW Bootleg          34.89N 102.99W
05/14/2026  M64 MPH          Deaf Smith         TX   Mesonet

            60 MPH wind gust observed at WT Mesonet site
            11 miles WNW of Bootleg, TX at 4:17 PM.
            Maximum wind gust of 64 MPH recorded at 4:28
            PM. The last wind gust occurred at 4:30 PM.

&&

RLF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Amarillo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 13, 7:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Armstrong	27 min
May 13, 7:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Armstrong	36 min
May 13, 8:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Donley	33 min
May 13, 8:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Gray	33 min
May 13, 9:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Hutchinson, Roberts	29 min
May 13, 9:34 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Roberts	26 min
May 14, 3:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Oldham	33 min
May 14, 3:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Oldham	35 min
May 14, 3:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Deaf Smith, Randall	68 min
May 14, 3:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Hartley	33 min
May 14, 4:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Oldham, Potter	43 min
May 14, 4:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Carson, Hutchinson, Potter	57 min
May 14, 4:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	AMA	Deaf Smith	53 min
May 14, 4:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Hartley	67 min
May 14, 4:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Armstrong, Randall	65 min
May 14, 4:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	AMA	Dallam	58 min
May 14, 5:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Deaf Smith, Randall	57 min
May 14, 5:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	AMA	Armstrong, Carson, Donley, Gray, Hutchinson, Roberts	61 min
May 14, 5:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Dallam, Hartley, Moore, Sherman	68 min
May 14, 5:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	AMA	Armstrong, Collingsworth, Donley	58 min
May 14, 5:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	AMA	Armstrong, Randall	45 min
May 14, 5:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Dallam	69 min
May 14, 5:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	AMA	Collingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hemphill, Roberts, Wheeler	66 min
May 14, 6:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	AMA	Collingsworth, Donley	53 min
May 14, 6:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Lipscomb, Ochiltree	63 min
May 14, 4:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	AMA	Cimarron	57 min
May 14, 4:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	AMA	Texas	67 min
May 14, 4:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Beaver	61 min
May 14, 5:18 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Cimarron	42 min
May 14, 6:07 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Texas	53 min
May 14, 6:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Beaver	64 min
May 14, 6:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Texas	25 min
May 14, 6:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	AMA	Texas	63 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2026 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.