Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Amarillo, TX

131 
WGUS74 KAMA 280956
FFSAMA

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
456 AM CDT Thu May 28 2026

TXC295-281006-
/O.CAN.KAMA.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260528T1015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lipscomb TX-
456 AM CDT Thu May 28 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR NORTHEASTERN LIPSCOMB 
COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 10033 3650 10032 3650 10031 3650 10029
      3650 10028 3645 10028 3645 10017 3641 10009
      3630 10004 3634 10033 3650 10041

$$

TLH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1216 AM CDT Thu May 28 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Wed May 27 2026

- Low chance for an isolated thunderstorm or two this afternoon.

- Low to medium chance for thunderstorms Friday with a low chance
  for these storms to become strong to severe.

- Warmer and drier weather over the weekend.

- Chances for rain showers and thunderstorms return for next work
  week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Wed May 27 2026

A weather system continues to impact the panhandles tonight even
as it moves to the northeast. This is causing mainly light rain
showers with the occasional thunderstorms in the northeastern
panhandles. These will come to an end later this morning as the
weather system continues to push to the northeast. This will allow
for a dirty ridge to build across the panhandles for much of today
bringing more stable conditions. There will still be some
lingering moisture and instability that will allow for a low
chance for afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms. This ridge
will not last as it will be pushed out of the region by the
arrival of the next weather system for Friday. The path that this
weather system is taking will make it negative in orientation.
This normally brings an increase in the amount of shear and
instability it can produce. However the center of this weather
system will be far to the west of the panhandles which will
counter this effect. This makes it questionable just how much
instability and shear will be present across the panhandles for
Friday. Right now these are looking to be fairly modest for such a
weather system at 1000-2000 J/Kg of CAPE and 20 to 40 kt of
shear. This would still allow for afternoon rain showers and
thunderstorms but with more limited coverage. Still such values
will allow for a low chance for stronger to even severe
thunderstorms. If the system moves more favorable towards the
southern plains then it could lead to better dynamics and thus
more and stronger storms. Conversely if it continues in a less
favorable trajectory then the panhandles could see even less and
weaker convection. This forecast is still likely to change as the
finer details of this weather system become more certain.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Wed May 27 2026

This weekend will most likely see the weather system push off to
the east leading to a more southwesterly to westerly flow across
the southern plains. This flow has the potential to transition to
a broad ridge over the course of the weekend. Such a flow will
bring mostly drier air to the panhandles leading to more dry
weather. Still if some moisture manages to linger across the
panhandles this weekend it can still lead to afternoon rain
showers and thunderstorms. Such an occurrence will be far more
miss than hit though so dont bank on any rain this weekend.

Towards next work week moisture has an increasing chance to work
its way back across the southern plains. This would lead to the
return of daily chances for rain showers and thunderstorms each
afternoon of each day. There are some hints that a weather system
can form late next week which opens up an opportunity for more
organized thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Wed May 27 2026

A weather system continues to impact the panhandles this morning
causing rain showers and thunderstorms mainly in the northeastern
panhandles. These are impacting KGUY on and off and will persist
til the mid morning hours when they come to an end. This morning
is seeing low clouds across the panhandles impacting all terminals
with MVFR to IFR conditions. These low clouds will lift and
scatter late this morning for all terminals leading to VFR
conditions. There is a low chance for afternoon rain showers and
thunderstorms today with none expected to impact any terminal.
Winds will be fairly weak at all terminals for the next 24 hours.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...98
LONG TERM....98
AVIATION...98

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1217 AM CDT Thu May 28 2026

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-281730-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
1217 AM CDT Thu May 28 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Low chance for flooding in the northeastern panhandles this
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Tuesday.

Low chance for severe thunderstorms in the panhandles Friday
afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.