Storm Warning 74, NWS Anchorage, AK

996 
FZAK52 PAFC 172241
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-181145-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1022 mb low 60 nm W of Dutch Harbor will continue S into the 
N Pacific through Thu afternoon. Otherwise, high pressure will 
remain through out the region. 

$$

PKZ750-181145-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Extreme freezing spray at a rate of 
4 cm per hour or greater may rapidly accumulate on vessels near bays
and passes.
.WED...NW wind 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray. Extreme freezing spray at a rate of 4 cm per hour or greater 
may rapidly accumulate on vessels near bays and passes.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ751-181145-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ752-181145-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ753-181145-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ754-181145-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ755-181145-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ756-181145-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.

$$

PKZ757-181145-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.

$$

PKZ758-181145-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing
spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing
spray.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ759-181145-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing
spray.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing
spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing
spray.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ770-181145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ772-181145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ771-181145-
Unalaska Bay-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ773-181145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ774-181145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ775-181145-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ776-181145-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ777-181145-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ778-181145-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ780-181145-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ781-181145-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ782-181145-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ783-181145-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ784-181145-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ785-181145-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ786-181145-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ787-181145-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ766-181145-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ760-181145-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ761-181145-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 15 kt.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ762-181145-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ763-181145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ764-181145-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ765-181145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt.
.THU...N wind 30 kt.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ767-181145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
241 PM AKDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
434 PM AKDT Mon Mar 16 2026

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
(Days 1 through 3: This afternoon through Thursday evening)...

A broad upper-level trough stretches from the Arctic southward
across Southcentral Alaska, into the Gulf and North Pacific. The
southern end of this trough is anchored by a broad upper-level low
spinning in the Gulf. This feature will remain in the Gulf
through the majority of the short-term. At the surface, a tight
compact low spins near Middleton Island. Currently, most snow
remains confined to the Gulf. However, bands of snow are clipping
Chenega Bay and southern Prince William Sound. A surface trough is
also lifting northwest across the eastern Gulf towards the north
Gulf Coast. Depending on the proximity of this trough to the
coast, Cordova could see additional light snow this evening.

The other big story given this current pattern are the gusty
winds, especially through the favored terrain, gaps, bays, and
passes. Winds have picked up in earnest around the Palmer area and
north with gusts already exceeding 60 mph today. These conditions
are expected to continue through this evening and overnight.
Therefore, the Wind Advisory has been upgraded to a High Wind
Warning for Palmer and areas north. Wasilla and ares west are
still expected to see lighter winds than compared to locations
east such as Palmer. Gusty northerly winds have increased along
the northwestern Kenai Peninsula including Kenai and Nikiski.
Winds have already been around 55 mph along the coast near Nikiski
with around the 50 mph mark near Kenai. Thus, a Wind Advisory has
been issued through 6 AM AKDT Tuesday morning to bring awareness
to the uptick in winds. Elsewhere, the Wind Advisory remain out
until 10 AM AKDT Tuesday morning for for Seward. Winds remain
gusty through Thompson Pass with gusts ranging between 45 to 60
mph at times. Overall, expect gusty winds to continue through the
favored gaps and terrain since cold air will continue to be in
place along with the upper-level low and various surface lows
that will continue taking up residence in the Gulf. However, winds
Wednesday and Thursday will not be quite as strong as today into
Tuesday morning.

Precipitation-wise, most precipitation should remain confined to
the Gulf with snow clipping the northern Gulf Coast from to time
through the short-term. There is more uncertainty for Thursday's
precipitation forecast as it will be very dependent on how a
compact low tracks and interacts with a southward digging trough
originating from Northern Alaska. There are some solutions that
want to bring light snow to inland locations of Southcentral,
including Anchorage, the Western Kenai Peninsula, and the Mat-Su
Valleys. For now, nudged up PoPs to slight chance until more
details can be ironed out on how the pattern will evolve.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3/Today through Wednesday)...

Little change to the forecast and weather pattern. Large ridge
persists over the Central to Western Bering and is showing no
signs of budging. Southwest Alaska remains clear, cold, and dry
through the first half of the week, while elevated northerly winds
will promote intermittent blowing snow and reduced visibilities
along the Kuskokwim Delta coast. Continued troughing in the Gulf
of Alaska will similarly allow winds elsewhere across the Alaska
Peninsula and the eastern Bering to remain gusty, leading to areas
of heavy freezing spray in coastal waters along the ice edge and
the Pacific-side of the Alaska Peninsula.

Through the remainder of the week, reinforcing shots of cold air
advection across Southwest Alaska will trend temperatures colder
once again with overnight and morning wind chill values falling
into the -20s to -30s. Across the Bering Sea, weak shortwaves
rounding the ridge will promote brief periods of snow showers for
the Pribilof Islands and portions of the Aleutian Chain and parts
of the west coast.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Friday through Monday)...

After stubborn high pressure across the western Bering
Sea/Aleutians becomes briefly interrupted Friday from a north to
south moving front, high pressure will continue for the central
Bering Sea/Aleutians through Monday. This would open the door to
North Pacific moisture (rain/snow) from a series of fronts making
it across the western Aleutians. Meanwhile, the central Aleutians,
eastern Bering Sea, and the Pribilof Islands could see snow
showers accompanied with the front Friday. Behind the north-south
frontal passage Friday, periods of snow showers will become less
likely this weekend, but will remain possible under northerly flow
for the eastern Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula. Any snow showers
for Southwest Mainland will remain confined to the mountain ranges
and at times along the coast, depending on how far east the snow
showers will nudge off the Bering.

Out east towards Southcentral, low pressure will remain in the
Gulf of Alaska through the long-term period. This will help to
maintain enhanced gap winds through the favored terrain and
passes. Expect the majority of snow to remain along the coast and
coastal mountain ranges. Most inland locations remain dry, but
portions of the Copper River Basin could see light snow showers
that make it across the Chugach mountains beginning Thursday and
continuing through Friday.

With the exception of the far western Bering Sea, the persistent
cold and dry airmass will continue across Alaska through the rest
of this week. Models are hinting at relatively warmer air (but
still cool air) dipping south into the Bering Sea starting Sunday
into next week. Otherwise, the general pattern is expected to
continue for the foreseeable future.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions are expected to persist into Tuesday.
Elevated northerly sustained winds of 18-20 kts gusting up to
around 35 kts will continue through late Monday night before
diminishing into the 15 to 20 kt range mid to late morning on
Tuesday.

&&