Storm Warning 56, NWS Anchorage, AK

Issued

Feb 19, 2026, 3:15 PM AKST (00:15 UTC)

Expired

Feb 20, 2026, 3:45 AM AKST

In force

13 hr

Issued by

NWS Anchorage, AK

096 
FZAK51 PAFC 200015
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-201245-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1004 mb low 100 nm SE of Cordova moves into the North Pacific Sat 
morning. 

$$

PKZ710-201245-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 55 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 65 kt out of the Copper River Delta after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 55 kt. Gusts to 70 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 50 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ711-201245-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ712-201245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ715-201245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt becoming N 50 kt overnight. 
Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 50 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ716-201245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt overnight. 
Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ714-201245-
Resurrection Bay-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt overnight. 
Gusts to 40 kt increasing to 55 kt overnight. Seas 10 ft. 
Heavy freezing spray developing overnight.
.FRI...N wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ724-201245-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 40 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ725-201245-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft
after midnight. Freezing spray.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ726-201245-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ720-201245-
Port of Valdez-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt overnight. Gusts 
to 35 kt increasing to 55 kt overnight. Seas 3 ft building to 
6 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Gusts to 55 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ721-201245-
Valdez Narrows-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. 
Seas building to 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 50 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ722-201245-
Valdez Arm-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ723-201245-
Passage Canal-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt. 
Seas building to 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. 
Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ730-201245-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt increasing to 60 kt overnight. 
Seas 19 ft. Extreme freezing spray at a rate of 4 cm per 
hour or greater may rapidly accumulate on vessels.
.FRI...NW wind 55 kt. Seas 14 ft. Extreme freezing spray at a 
rate of 4 cm per hour or greater may rapidly accumulate on vessels.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ731-201245-
Barren Islands East-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 55 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ733-201245-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 55 kt. Seas 21 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ732-201245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt overnight. 
Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt except N 45 kt N of Dangerous Cape. 
Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ734-201245-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt overnight. 
Seas 19 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ736-201245-
Chiniak Bay-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 50 kt overnight. Gusts to 
40 kt increasing to 65 overnight. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after 
midnight. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt early. Seas 7 ft. Freezing 
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ737-201245-
Marmot Bay-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt developing by 
late this evening. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ738-201245-
Shelikof Strait-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt overnight. 
Gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes increasing to 70 kt 
overnight. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 65 kt out of bays and passes diminishing to 55 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ742-201245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ740-201245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 25 kt.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ741-201245-
Kachemak Bay-
315 PM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt late. Gusts to 40 kt 
in the evening. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. 
In the outer bay, seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. 
Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft 
in the outer bay. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Feb 19, 4:26 AM AKST, 10 hours 49 minutes earlier.

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
426 AM AKST Thu Feb 19 2026

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

An approaching Arctic trough across western Alaska is sinking
towards Southcentral this morning. Light freezing drizzle
overnight has switched over to very light snow for the Anchorage
area for this morning. This very light precipitation could linger
through the rest of this morning as the trough passes into
Southcentral with weak upslope flow along the mountains. Snow for
the Copper River Basin area will linger through the rest of this
afternoon as the trough deepens in the northern Gulf tonight.

As precipitation ends, all attention will shift to a cold and
windy pattern. The large scale pattern will continue to amplify
through Friday, with a ridge in the Bering Sea and a trough over
mainland AK and the Gulf. Colder Arctic air plunges south across
Southcentral Friday (-20 to -25 degrees Celsius at 850mb). A
surface low will form over the northeast Gulf and help tighten up
pressure gradients. As the atmospheric flow becomes oriented N-S
tonight, additional vorticity maxima embedded in the flow will
drop southward across Southcentral into the Gulf, helping to
strengthen winds at the surface. Even colder air will advect into
interior Southcentral (as cold as -25 to -30 degrees Celsius at
850mb) Friday night into Saturday.

While most of the region will experience gusty northerly winds
the next couple days, the strongest winds by far will be found
along the coast and much of the Gulf coastal waters as winds
accelerate offshore and through bays and passes. Beginning with
the first surge of Arctic air from the northwest - Kodiak Island,
the western Gulf, and Seward/Whittier areas will be favored for
the strongest winds. This will gradually shift to Valdez/Thompson
Pass and the Copper River Delta Friday. Multiple wind products
have been issued to highlight the strong winds expected, with some
potential to reach the high wind threshold (75 mph) in Kodiak
City and Thompson Pass. There is some uncertainty in exactly how
strong winds will get. Kodiak will be right along the western edge
of the digging trough, so any shift will affect the winds.
Meanwhile, for Valdez and Thompson Pass by the time the upper flow
becomes really favorable for high winds, the bulk of the cold air
advection has passed and the surface low in the Gulf is quickly
exiting. Still, the thermal and pressure gradients between Valdez
and the Copper Valley look impressive and passage of any vorticity
maximum or short-wave trough could be just enough to produce high
winds. Stay tuned as we continue to fine-tune the wind forecast.

Meanwhile, temperatures and wind chills will steadily fall over
the next couple days. By Saturday morning, expect widespread
temperatures below zero inland and in the single digits along the
coast. Though winds will be diminishing most places by Saturday,
wherever wind lingers wind chills will be well below zero. As is
typical, the Copper River Basin can expect some of the coldest
temperatures, with wind chills of -40 to -50 degrees possible by
this weekend.

-SEB/Rux

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA / BERING SEA / ALEUTIANS
(Days 1 through 3: Today through Saturday)...

An upper level ridge is steadily building across much of the
Bering Sea this morning, allowing relatively calm and dry
conditions to prevail this morning for much of the region. Farther
east, a digging shortwave trough is making rapid headway southeast
over the Lower Kuskokwim Valley and Kuskokwim Mountains. A weak
surface cold front is moving in behind the stronger front that
moved through yesterday, ushering a few more snow showers across
portions of Southwest as it passes through. Arctic air is
beginning to advect into the Kuskokwim Delta behind the front,
where temperatures have now fallen into the single digits and
teens. Farther south, gusty gap winds along and south of the AKPen
have begun to develop as northerly flow increases between the
amplifying Bering ridge and the digging trough heading towards the
Gulf.

There is little change in the forecast for the near term
expectations heading into the upcoming weekend. A frontal system
stemming from an occluded low drifting towards Kamchatka will
begin to affect the western Bering and Aleutian Chain later today,
sending a corridor of easterly winds up to Storm force as it moves
past this afternoon. The initial warm front will weaken as it
lifts north and rides over the top of the strong ridge building
over the eastern Bering Sea, now looking less likely to bring any
rain to the central Aleutians or Pribilofs as it comes through
between tonight and Friday. A trailing feed of tropical moisture
streaming in around the western side of the ridge will mainly
affect the western Aleutians, with periods of steady, moderate
rain likely for Shemya through Saturday.

While much of the Bering becomes anomalously warm over the next
couple days, much of Southwest will meanwhile be dealing with much
colder than average temperatures through the start of the weekend.
Strong northerly flow will intensify through Friday between the
ridge to the west and a deep trough carving its way south into the
Gulf and Northeast Pacific. This will allow Arctic air to continue
to advect southwards into the region, pushing overnight lows into
the -10s to 0s for the next few nights. Intense gap flow will
develop through mountain passes and out of bays along the south
side of the AKPen thanks to the impressive low level and upper
level northerly jet expected to develop near Bristol bay and
Kodiak Island through Friday. Storm force sustained winds with
Hurricane force gusts are likely out of bays and passes east of
Chignik late tonight through Friday, most notably out of Wide
Bay. Northerly gap winds will begin to weaken by Saturday as
northerly flow relaxes.

-AS

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7 - Sunday through
Wednesday)...

An upper level trough moves south into the Gulf of Alaska Sunday,
transitioning the pattern toward a more amplified regime. Ridging
builds over the Bering while troughing persists over the Gulf,
allowing a colder airmass to spread across Southwest and into
Southcentral Alaska.

Conditions trend drier Sunday into the early start of the week as
the ridge strengthens inland. Northerly flow develops through
Southcentral, bringing clearing skies and radiational cooling
overnight. Expect colder nighttime temperatures, with interior
valleys falling into single digits, while coastal areas remain
mainly in the teens. Daytime highs generally range from the teens
to lower 20s.

Winds will favor northerly to northeasterly directions through
gaps and higher terrain. Gusty outflow winds are possible in wind
prone locations, expecially Sunday night into Monday, while
lighter winds could prevail across interior portions of the
Anchorage Bowl.

By late Monday into Tuesday, the ridge shifts east as a new low
moves into the Bering Sea. Increasing cloud cover spreads eastward
with temperatures moderating slightly. Precipitation chances begin
returning to western Alaska first, with a low confidence chance of
snow reaching portions of Southcentral by Wednesday.

The pattern becomes more unsettled midweek as the next system
approaches from the west. Confidence in the exact timing and
snowfall amounts remains low.

LM

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...MVFR conditions persist through the morning with a
potential for periods of IFR conditions during light snowfall.
VFR conditions will prevail when precipitation chances diminish in
the late morning. Gusty northerly winds arrive in the afternoon
once an upper trough dips into the region, lasting through Friday
afternoon.

&&

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2026Every storm warning in 2026

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.