Storm Warning 50, NWS Anchorage, AK

198 
FZAK52 PAFC 161244
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-170145-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 978 mb low 400 nm WSW of Saint Matthew Island moves to 230 nm W
of Saint Matthew Island at 974 mb by Mon afternoon. Its front 
tracks the entirety of the Aleutian Chain, reaching the Kuskokwim 
Coast by Mon afternoon. A new trough and front move into the 
western Bering Tue morning with the front dissipating over the 
Central Aleutians Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ750-170145-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ751-170145-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ752-170145-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ753-170145-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ754-170145-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ755-170145-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 16 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ756-170145-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ757-170145-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ758-170145-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ759-170145-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ770-170145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ772-170145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ771-170145-
Unalaska Bay-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ773-170145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ774-170145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ775-170145-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ776-170145-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ777-170145-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ778-170145-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
20 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ780-170145-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ781-170145-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ782-170145-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ783-170145-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ784-170145-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ785-170145-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ786-170145-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft. Rain with snow.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ787-170145-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Snow with rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ766-170145-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ760-170145-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Snow.
Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
in ice free waters 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Snow and 
rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas in ice free
waters 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.

$$

PKZ761-170145-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Rain and snow.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt.
.WED...W wind 20 kt.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt.

$$

PKZ762-170145-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Snow.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt.
.WED...W wind 20 kt.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ763-170145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Snow.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt.
.WED...W wind 20 kt.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ764-170145-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 7 ft. Snow.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.

$$

PKZ765-170145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 45 kt. Snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ767-170145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
344 AM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt. Seas in ice free waters 18 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 35 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, SW wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight.
Seas in ice free waters 21 ft. Snow.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 15 ft. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.

$$

850 
FZAK52 PAFC 170026
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-171345-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 975 mb low 246 nm W of Saint Matthew Island moves to 503 nm NW of 
Saint Matthew Island at 988 mb Tue afternoon. Its front tracks the 
entirety of the Aleutian Chain, reaching the Kuskokwim Coast Mon 
afternoon. A new trough and front move into the western Bering Tue 
morning with the front dissipating over the Central Aleutians Tue 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ750-171345-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ751-171345-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ752-171345-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ753-171345-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ754-171345-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ755-171345-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 16 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ756-171345-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ757-171345-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ758-171345-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ759-171345-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ770-171345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ772-171345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ771-171345-
Unalaska Bay-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ773-171345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ774-171345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ775-171345-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 11 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ776-171345-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ777-171345-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 11 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ778-171345-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ780-171345-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ781-171345-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ782-171345-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ783-171345-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 13 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ784-171345-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ785-171345-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ786-171345-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ787-171345-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ766-171345-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ760-171345-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
in ice free waters 5 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas in ice
free waters 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.

$$

PKZ761-171345-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Rain and snow.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ762-171345-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Snow.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Snow.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ763-171345-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Snow.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Snow and
rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ764-171345-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 7 ft. Snow.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Rain with
snow.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.

$$

PKZ765-171345-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt.
.THU...W wind 25 kt.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ767-171345-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
326 PM AKST Mon Feb 16 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 35 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, SW wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight.
Seas in ice free waters 21 ft. Snow.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 16 ft. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft. Freezing
spray.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
420 PM AKST Sun Feb 15 2026

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
(Days 1 through 3: This afternoon through Wednesday evening)...

A high amplitude ridge continues to build in the eastern Bering
Sea the rest of today and moves over Southwest Alaska late tonight
into Monday morning. At the same time, an upper-level shortwave,
currently over Northern Alaska, will drop south across
Southcentral Alaska late tonight into Monday. This southward
digging shortwave will bring an increase to gap winds through the
favored terrain and passes across Southcentral for Monday. Also
accompanying this shortwave will be some cold air advection. As
such, a Wind Advisory has been issued for Valdez from 3AM AKST
Monday through 6PM AKST Monday for strong wind gusts between 40 to
55 mph expected. Thompson Pass could also see some strong wind
gusts as well between 55 to 65 mph. Gap winds will slowly diminish
Monday evening as the ridge over Southwest moves over
Southcentral.

Quiet weather is anticipated for most of Tuesday and Wednesday as
two ridge axes move overhead then shift eastward. Behind the
first ridge axis, a weak front moves to the Southwestern Gulf late
Monday night to early Tuesday morning before shearing apart and
weakening further late Tuesday morning. Most precipitation with
this system looks to remain confined to Kodiak Island with maybe
some light snow spreading to the southern Kenai Peninsula Tuesday
morning. Precipitation is not expected to make it any farther
north than that. Kodiak City may get a light accumulation of snow
from this system as some guidance is advertising that they
maintain a north to north-northwest wind as opposed to a warmer
northeast wind off the water. This will be something to watch.
Accumulations across Kodiak should not be anymore than an inch or
two though. This system moves out late Tuesday morning as the
second ridge axis moves overhead with an inversion developing. The
forecast challenge for Tuesday evening into Wednesday will be low
stratus and potential fog development across the area. As this
ridge axis shifts through the day Wednesday, Southcentral re-
enters southwest flow. Another weak system may bring Southcentral
snow by Wednesday afternoon and evening; but confidence on the
evolution of this system is still very low.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA / BERING SEA / ALEUTIANS
(Days 1 through 3: Tonight through Wednesday)...

A strong storm is beginning to move north out of the North
Pacific into the forecast area, with a deep moisture plume pushing
north into the Aleutian Chain, evidenced by a large cloud shield
overtaking the Aleutians as of 3PM AKST. Meanwhile, generally
clear skies and calm conditions continue across the Southwest
Mainland. This aforementioned storm is moving north into the
Bering Sea, bringing strong winds and moderate to heavy rainfall
to the Aleutian Chain and Pribs. The associated system's front
will arrive to the Southwest Coastline tonight, bringing strong
winds and moderate to heavy snowfall. A Blizzard Warning has been
issued for the Kuskokwim Delta Coast and areas north of Bethel, as
well as the Western Capes, and will take effect at 3AM Monday
morning, continuing through midnight AKST Monday. To the south
across the Northern Bristol Bay Coast, primarily along the Togiak
Bay Coastline (not including the area near Dillingham), conditions
will be generally less severe, though still impactful, so a
Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for the same timeframe.

As the front approaches the Southwest Coastline, winds will shift
out of the east-northeast across the Interior, effectively
strengthening the eastward advancing frontal boundary, until
upper level support splits and diverges to the north and south,
leading to a rapidly weakening system as it moves inland late
Monday / early Tuesday for calmer and clearer conditions for a
short period of time.

Behind the front is another lesser, plume of moisture, associated
with weak dynamics and upper level support. This narrow moisture
plume will stretch from the Western Aleutians, through the
Pribilof Islands, to the Kuskokwim Delta by Tuesday afternoon.
Another round of snowfall is expected along with elevated wind
speeds for the Southwest Coast; rain is expected along the
Aleutians and mixed precipitation across the Pribilofs. It is
possible that blowing snow could impact the Kuskokwim Delta again
with this event; details forthcoming in next forecast packages.

AB/JAR

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7 - Thursday through
Sunday)...

A trough digging across western Alaska on Thursday will drop
southward into the Gulf on Friday. The trough's passage will lead
to a highly amplified pattern across the region with a strong
ridge of high pressure building over the Bering and a deepening
trough over the Gulf of Alaska. An arctic airmass will accompany
the trough's passage, spilling into all of Southwest and much of
Southcentral Alaska. Scattered snow showers will be possible on
Thursday across Southwest Alaska and to a lesser extent across the
Copper River Basin. As such, below normal temperatures will be on
tap for both Southwest and Southcentral with the arrival of the
arctic airmass from the interior. A period of dry weather is
forecast from Friday into the the weekend, with clear skies and
strong radiational cooling likely to aid in dropping overnight
temperatures. In addition to the cooler weather, gusty gap winds
across the AKPEN and more likely the Gulf coast are forecast,
especially on Friday and Saturday. The denser and cooler air will
filter through the gaps and passes toward low pressure in the
Gulf. There is even some potential for high winds, though at
timing and intensity are far too uncertain to glean this far away
in the forecast.

BL

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Occasional gusts up to 20 knots possible through this
evening. Winds are expected to become light for the overnight
period, but as winds shift northerly later Monday morning, an
occasional gust will be possible again through Monday afternoon.
VFR conditions are expected.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
347 PM AKST Sun Feb 15 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     Snow             Anchorage (Potter Valle 61.06N 149.76W
02/15/2026  M0.7 Inch        Anchorage          AK   Trained Spotter

            24 hour totals: 0.7 inches of wet snow and
            0.10 inches of liquid.

&&