Gale Warning 293, NWS Anchorage, AK

068 
FZAK52 PAFC 101214
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-110100-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1004 mb low moves over Saint Lawrence Island Sat afternoon 
before tracking southeastward into the YK Delta Sun morning. Its 
front sweeps from west to east across the Gulf through Sat.

$$

PKZ750-110100-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ751-110100-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ752-110100-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ753-110100-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ754-110100-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ755-110100-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ756-110100-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas
in ice free waters 2 ft becoming 2 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.

$$

PKZ757-110100-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ758-110100-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ759-110100-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt.
.MON...N wind 15 kt.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ770-110100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ772-110100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ771-110100-
Unalaska Bay-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ773-110100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ774-110100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ775-110100-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ776-110100-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ777-110100-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ778-110100-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ780-110100-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ781-110100-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ782-110100-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ783-110100-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ784-110100-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ785-110100-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ786-110100-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ787-110100-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ766-110100-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.

$$

PKZ760-110100-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon.
Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt after
midnight.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt.
.MON...W wind 20 kt.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ761-110100-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 1 foot. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters
2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 2 ft becoming 1 foot in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ762-110100-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas in ice
free
waters 1 foot in the morning becoming 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas in ice free
waters 2 ft becoming 1 foot in the afternoon. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.

$$

PKZ763-110100-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 1 foot.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot. Snow.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.

$$

PKZ764-110100-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Snow.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ765-110100-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt.
.MON...N wind 15 kt.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ767-110100-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
414 AM AKDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SW 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SW 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 30 kt.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
520 AM AKDT Thu Apr 9 2026

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Today through Saturday)...

With our latest low departing but two more troughs on the way,
expect alternating days of nice vs. unsettled weather as these
features move through. For today, generally improving conditions
as showers taper off and pockets of clearer sky develop. Some
areas of lower clouds and fog may linger through the morning. By
evening, a tightening surface pressure gradient along the coast
will induce gusty offshore winds along the Gulf coast for
locations like Seward, Whittier, and Valdez. One aspect of the
forecast that's a bit more challenging is the potential for fog
and low stratus tonight into early tomorrow morning along Cook
Inlet and in valley locations. While higher surface pressure and
weak winds support fog formation, there's a question of whether
high clouds streaming in ahead of the first trough will disrupt
radiational cooling and fog formation.

Forecast confidence is much higher regarding precipitation chances
tomorrow, as the first of our two troughs moves in from the west.
Compared to yesterday, models have been trending stronger with
this front. As such, precipitation chances have increased from
Mat-Su down through Anchorage and the Kenai Peninsula. With
precipitation set to fall from late morning through the afternoon,
much of the precipitation will likely come in the form of rain.
Even if any snow falls, surface temperatures will be too warm to
support much accumulation at the lower elevations. The front
weakens as it treks eastward, with little to no precipitation
forecast by the time it reaches Copper River Valley or Prince
William Sound.

Drier, but mostly cloudy, conditions return for Saturday, though
the next trough will begin moving in later that afternoon. Kodiak
Island and Western Susitna will be the first locations to see
precipitation as the front moves through Saturday afternoon and
evening. As the upper trough progresses, it develops a surface
low in the northern Gulf that will bring more widespread
precipitation to Mainland Southcentral from Saturday evening into
early Sunday morning.

-KC

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3)...

Currently, a ridge is moving through the Southwest Mainland,
allowing patchy fog and low stratus to affect the region. Behind
the ridge out west is a front moving through the Bering. This is
bringing a line of small craft winds and a mix of rain and snow to
the Aleutians and Pribilof Islands. The front will push inland by
this afternoon, bringing snowfall and/or a mix of snow and rain,
depending on temperatures, to the Southwest Mainland. Though wind
speeds will be elevated along the Kuskokwim Coast, significant
blowing snow is not expected due to temperatures being just below
freezing. Behind this front is yet another front from a Kamchatka
low moving into the Western Aleutians. Gale force winds and
precipitation mostly in the form of rain impacts the Western
Aleutians by Thursday night/early Friday. This front will quickly
weaken as it traverses through the Bering, with winds speeds
dropping below small craft and precipitation becoming light by the
time the front reaches the East Bering early Saturday. The front
gets a second wind as it moves over the mainland due to a strong
upper trough catching up with it and enhancing precipitation. This
precipitation will likely be a mix of rain and snow.

-JAR

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Sunday through Wednesday)...

The long term begins on Sunday with a continuation of the
amplified upper-level weather pattern consisting of a trough
digging across the eastern half of the Bering and a ridge
downstream extending the northeastern Pacific northward across the
Al-Can border.

By Sunday, there is already some notable differences between the
various deterministic model runs, although all do show a digging
upper-level trough with its axis extended south over the Alaska
Peninsula. The biggest difference is in the placement of two
shortwave troughs embedded within the flow near the base of the
longwave trough. The GFS has a more pronounced wave lifting north
across western Alaska with the ridge downstream slightly stronger
and more stationary. This lends to a second shortwave digging
farther south across the AKPen and developing a much stronger
surface low closer to Kodiak than the ECMWF and Canadian solutions
which have a weaker wave and weaker, faster moving low in the
Gulf.

By Monday, this upper-level wave is moving east toward the Alaska
Panhandle. Again, guidance diverges on the exact track of the
associated surface low, with the GFS solution keeping a stronger
low centered over the central Gulf and the ECMWF and Canadian
solutions showing a weaker low somewhere along northern Gulf coast
between Cordova and Yakutat. Nonetheless, the result will be an
increase in gap winds for the AKPen, Kodiak Island, and the BArren
Islands in the wake of the low as colder air advects southeast
from the eastern Bering.

By late Monday, expect a repeat of the weather pattern, with a
transient upper-level ridge upstream moving over the state for
late Monday into Tuesday as another area of low pressure develops
near Kamchatka with its front moving quickly across the Bering
Sea Tuesday and into Southwest Alaska for Wednesday as the
amplified pattern becomes a bit more zonal.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC... VFR conditions will prevail with ceilings remain above
3000 ft AGL. Winds will shift from northerly this morning to west-
northwest by the afternoon.

&&