Gale Warning 129, NWS Anchorage, AK

062 
FZAK62 PAFC 062322
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
222 PM AKST Fri Feb 6 2026

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-071430-
222 PM AKST Fri Feb 6 2026
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 994 mb low 55N 171W and a 991 mb low at 55N 172E move to the
central Bering and dissipate by Sat afternoon. A North Pacific 
front enters the Western Aleutians this evening and moves to the 
Central Bering and Central ALeutians by Sun morning. A 970 mb 
North Pacific low moves to 47N 180E by Sun morning. 

$$

PKZ411-071430-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
222 PM AKST Fri Feb 6 2026

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 to 30 kt becoming SE 25 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt diminishing to 10 to 20 kt
after midnight. Seas 9 to 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 26 ft.

$$

PKZ412-071430-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
222 PM AKST Fri Feb 6 2026

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 18 to 28 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 13 to 28 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 16 to 31 ft.

$$

PKZ413-071430-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
222 PM AKST Fri Feb 6 2026

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 19 to 28 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 19 to 32 ft.

$$

PKZ414-071430-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
222 PM AKST Fri Feb 6 2026

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 to 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 to 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 to 7
ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 to 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 to 11
ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 to 12 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 to 19 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 to 14 ft.

$$

548 
FZAK62 PAFC 071225
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
325 AM AKST Sat Feb 7 2026

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-080200-
325 AM AKST Sat Feb 7 2026
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A Western Bering front moves to the Central Bering and Central 
Aleutians by Sun morning. A 971 mb North Pacific low moves to 48N
180 by Sun morning, and to 58N 180 at 974 mb by Mon morning.

$$

PKZ411-080200-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
325 AM AKST Sat Feb 7 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 to 35 kt becoming SE 30 to 45 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt diminishing to 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...SE wind 10 to 20 kt becoming N 25 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 16 to 24 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 14 to 28 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 16 to 28 ft.

$$

PKZ412-080200-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
325 AM AKST Sat Feb 7 2026

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...SE wind 20 to 35 kt becoming E 40 to 55 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 to 13 ft building to 11 to 19 ft in the afternoon.
Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 16 to 29 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 15 to 26 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 15 to 25 ft.

$$

PKZ413-080200-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
325 AM AKST Sat Feb 7 2026

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9
ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft building to 15 to 25
ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 20 to 29 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 15 to 30 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 18 to 31 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 19 to 24 ft.

$$

PKZ414-080200-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
325 AM AKST Sat Feb 7 2026

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 to 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 to 25 kt becoming E 25 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 3 to 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 to
11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8
to 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 to 14 ft.

$$

825 
FZAK62 PAFC 080036
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
336 PM AKST Sat Feb 7 2026

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-081400-
336 PM AKST Sat Feb 7 2026
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A Western Bering front moves to the Central Bering and Central 
Aleutians by Sun morning. A 975 mb North Pacific low moves to 48N
180 by Sun morning, and to 58N 180 at 975 mb by Mon morning. A 945
mb North Pacific low moves to 51N 178E Mon afternoon as its front
sweeps across the Central Aleutians. 

$$

PKZ411-081400-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
336 PM AKST Sat Feb 7 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt diminishing to 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...SE wind 10 to 20 kt becoming N 25 to 40 kt in the
afternoon.
Seas 11 to 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 16 to 28 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 16 to 28 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 16 to 22 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.

$$

PKZ412-081400-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
336 PM AKST Sat Feb 7 2026

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...SE wind 20 to 35 kt becoming E 40 to 55 kt in the
afternoon.
Seas 10 to 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 16 to 29 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 25 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 15 to 26 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 26 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 15 to 25 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.

$$

PKZ413-081400-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
336 PM AKST Sat Feb 7 2026

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft building to 16 to 24
ft
in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 19 to 28 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 17 to 31 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 18 to 31 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 19 to 24 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft.

$$

PKZ414-081400-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
336 PM AKST Sat Feb 7 2026

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 to 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 to 25 kt becoming E 25 to 40 kt in the
afternoon.
Seas in ice free waters 3 to 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt becoming S 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas in ice free waters 6 to 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 to 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 to
12 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 to 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8
to
13 ft.

$$

354 
FZAK62 PAFC 081303
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
403 AM AKST Sun Feb 8 2026

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-090215-
403 AM AKST Sun Feb 8 2026
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 975 mb North Pacific low at 47N 180 moves to 58N 180 at 972 mb 
by Mon morning. A 948 mb North Pacific low moves to 51N 178E Mon 
afternoon, then to 55N 179W at 944 mb by Tue morning.

$$

PKZ411-090215-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
403 AM AKST Sun Feb 8 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 10 to 25 kt becoming NE 25 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 11 to 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...S wind 20 to 35 kt becoming E 30 to 45 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 14 to 22 ft. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 14 to 26 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 27 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.

$$

PKZ412-090215-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
403 AM AKST Sun Feb 8 2026

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 to 35 kt becoming E 35 to 50 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 to 13 ft building to 11 to 19 ft in the
afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 to 55 kt becoming SW late. Seas 15 to 27 ft. 
Rain and snow.
.MON...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 16 to 24 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 17 to 28 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.

$$

PKZ413-090215-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
403 AM AKST Sun Feb 8 2026

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft building to 16 to
24 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 to 55 kt diminishing to 30 to 45 kt after
midnight. Seas 19 to 26 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...S wind 15 to 30 kt becoming E 35 to 50 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 14 to 21 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 17 to 29 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 19 to 33 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft.

$$

PKZ414-090215-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
403 AM AKST Sun Feb 8 2026

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 10 to 25 kt increasing to 25 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 3 to 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt becoming S 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas in ice free waters 6 to 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind up to 20 kt becoming SE 15 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 6 to 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 to
11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters
12 to 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 to 12 ft.

$$

809 
FZAK62 PAFC 090011
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
311 PM AKST Sun Feb 8 2026

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-091330-
311 PM AKST Sun Feb 8 2026
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 962 mb low at 53N 176W moves to 58N 178W at 968 mb by Mon
morning and continues into the W Bering. Its front spreads across
the E Bering moves onshore by Tue afternoon. A 952 mb low arrives
at 50N 177E by Mon afternoon and moves to 56N 177W at 944 mb by 
Tue afternoon. Its front moves into the E Bering through Tue 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ411-091330-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
311 PM AKST Sun Feb 8 2026

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...S wind 20 to 35 kt becoming E 30 to 45 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 14 to 22 ft. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. Snow showers
and rain showers.
.TUE...N wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 18 to 25 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 18 to 24 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 21 to 33 ft.

$$

PKZ412-091330-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
311 PM AKST Sun Feb 8 2026

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 15 to 26 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 16 to 24 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 19 to 27 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 25 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.

$$

PKZ413-091330-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
311 PM AKST Sun Feb 8 2026

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 to 55 kt diminishing to 30 to 45 kt
after midnight. Seas 19 to 26 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...S wind 15 to 30 kt becoming E 35 to 50 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 14 to 21 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 17 to 28 ft. Rain
showers and snow showers.
.TUE...SW wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 18 to 33 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 21 to 28 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 19 to 29 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 to 23 ft.

$$

PKZ414-091330-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
311 PM AKST Sun Feb 8 2026

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt becoming S 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas in ice free waters 6 to 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 10 to 20 kt becoming SE 15 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 7 to 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 to
12 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 to 19 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 to
18 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 to 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 to 11 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
604 PM AKST Thu Feb 5 2026

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Today
through Saturday night)...

A dissipating front and trough axis is producing widespread rain
showers along the coast for Cordova, Prince William Sound
locations, and as far south as Kodiak Island. 500 mb analysis
reveals a remnant upper low lifting northward over Southwest
Alaska. The upper flow is southerly in the wake of this feature
with several shortwaves rippling through the mean flow and moving
north as they do so, so generally expect clouds and a few very
light "spillover" showers to hang around in lee of the Chugach
through the rest of today. There is some degree of a Turnagain Arm
wind this afternoon, though the general down inlet flow should
shelter the Anchorage Bowl - however, isolated gusts up to 25 mph
could just clip the area, especially on the southwest side of
Anchorage.

Friday should be relatively quieter across the area with more sun
as a transient upper level ridge works its way across the region.
Clearer skies for the overnight hours also means the surface can
more efficiently radiate out, so expect overnight lows to be
colder than the past couple of nights and largely below freezing.
By the end of Friday, a new surface low enters the Gulf and
retrogrades westward as its attendant front pushes northward
across the central Gulf. Models are in pretty solid agreement with
the progression of the low and front, and have the front nearing
the Gulf coast and Kodiak Island Saturday morning. This front will
suffer the same fate as the last and will shear apart as it
stalls along the coast. That said, warmer air will again move off
the Gulf leading to low elevation rain and mountain snow, though
snow levels look like they will be lower than they currently are -
roughly in the 1000 to 1500 foot range above sea level. The lack
of strong cross barrier flow across the coastal mountains means
some light precipitation will likely spread inland Saturday
through Saturday night. At this point in time, confidence for
which areas will see precipitation is low. In addition, there is
quite a bit of uncertainty in how much warm air makes it over the
coastal mountains and whether precipitation will fall as snow or a
mix of rain (or freezing rain) and snow. Stay tuned.

-AM/SEB

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS
(Days 1 through 3:)...

*** Winter Weather Advisory for Pribilof Islands through 7AM
 Friday ***

A mix of freezing rain and snow continues to be reported from St.
George and St. Paul today as a Bering Sea low moves just west of
the Pribilof Islands. Northerly and northeasterly wind gusts
between 30 and 40 mph overnight into this afternoon have reduced
visibility to as low as 1 1/2 mile causing periods of reduced
visibility. These conditions will persist through this evening.
Slowly overnight, the precipitation will lighten and winds will
decrease through tomorrow morning. High temperatures will remain
nearly stationary around 32 degrees through Saturday with lows in
the upper 20s/lower 30s.

Multiple shortwaves have brought wind gusts between 20 and 30 mph
and scattered snow and rain showers to the Alaska Peninsula and
Bristol Bay coastline through the evening. These conditions will
subside overnight with drier conditions expected tomorrow and
Saturday. Precipitation working its way northward in the form of
light snow and freezing rain is possible overnight and into early
tomorrow morning in the Kuskokwim Delta. Northerly flow continues
to impact Unalaska, Adak and Atka with gusty northerly winds and
snow showers through tomorrow leading to periods of reduced
visibility

By the start of the weekend, a strong Kamchatka low will begin
to impact the region. Expect gale to storm force winds as its
front marches across the western and central Aleutians on
Saturday. A vigorous trough rotating around the aforementioned
parent low will rapidly deepen as it barrels across the Aleutian
Chain and into the Bering Sea on Sunday. This is followed by yet
another very strong low looking to cross the Aleutians on Monday.
Confidence increases for a windy and wet weekend and week ahead
for the Aleutians, Bering Sea, and Southwest Alaska.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7 - Monday through
Thursday)...

Starting in the Gulf of Alaska, a once complex low pressure system
looks to weaken and open into a trough centered over the Southern
Gulf. The core of energy looks to be exiting to the east by Monday
morning, leaving Southcentral Alaska in a unsettled pattern
through Tuesday morning. By Tuesday morning, a front moving over
the Western Alaska Range with some of the model guidance
suggesting a low to form near Kodiak Island then tracking
northeast into mainland Southcentral. Agreement seems fair at this
point for a low to develop. The expected track into Southcentral
may shift, with the general expectation currently being the low
moving over Kenai Tuesday night. A subsequent front moving over
the Alaska Peninsula Tuesday, may develop another low pressure
system near Kodiak again by late Tuesday/early Wednesday.
Progression of this system is still uncertain, with some solutions
intensifying the low in the northern Gulf through Thursday night.

Looking out west, several low pressure systems associated with the
aforementioned frontal boundaries will enter the Bering Sea early
next week. By Monday morning, the first low pressure system
appears to be located over the Central Bering, with the exact
position being just west of the Pribilof Islands or east. By
Monday afternoon, the low may shift northward with some solutions
bringing a slightly weakened feature into Southwest Alaska. At
the same time, a new stronger low pressure system will have
crossed the Aleutians near Adak. This has potential to produce
another round of moderate to heavy rain for the Aleutians and
Alaska Peninsula in addition to further potential for strong wind
gusts in excess of 75 mph. By Tuesday morning, model agreement
begins to degrade significantly, with several schools of thought.
Some solutions exit the low to the northern Bering by Wednesday
morning, while some solutions take the core of the low center
directly over Nunivak Island, which would promote potentially
highly impactful weather for the Kuskokwim Delta and the Greater
Southwest coast beginning as early as Tuesday morning.

Weak agreement for yet another low pressure system entering the
Southwest Bering by Thursday morning.

CL/LM

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Light and variable winds less than 10 knots will mostly
persist. However, a weak Turnagain Arm wind from the southeast may
clip the airport this evening before returning to light and
variable overnight into Friday morning. The bulk of southeast
winds will remain over the Arm.

VFR conditions are expected to persist through the TAF period.
Ceilings may drop to the 5000 foot level as southeasterly flow
aloft weakens somewhat and becomes more southerly the rest of this
afternoon and into the evening hours. A shower or two spilling
over the mountains this afternoon into this evening is possible
with the weakening and more southerly flow aloft. However, the
terminal should largely remain dry through the TAF period.

&&