Flash Flood Warning 87, NWS Albuquerque, NM

730 
WGUS75 KABQ 022258
FFSABQ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
458 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

NMC003-030115-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.W.0087.000000T0000Z-260803T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Catron NM-
458 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SACATON AND HUMMINGBIRD BURN SCARS
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
CATRON COUNTY...

At 458 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms exited the
Sacaton and Hummingbird burn scars. Up to 1.3 inches of rain fell.
Flash flooding is likely ongoing.

Excessive rainfall over the burn scar will impact Willow Creek and
Gilita Creek. This includes Willow Creek Road including the Ben Lilly
and Willow Creek Campgrounds and any other residences in this area.
Bursum Road near the Willow Creek Campground may also be impacted.
Middle Fork Trail number 157 and Iron Creek Trail number 172 will be
especially dangerous. The debris flow can consist of rock, mud,
vegetation and other loose materials.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Sacaton and Hummingbird
         burn scars.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around the
         Sacaton and Hummingbird burn scars.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mainly rural areas of South Central Catron County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks, streams and ditches in
the Sacaton and Hummingbird burn scars. Severe debris flows can also
be anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away
in places. If you encounter flood waters, climb to safety.

&&

LAT...LON 3339 10864 3341 10859 3342 10856 3342 10849
      3341 10847 3338 10846 3338 10852 3337 10857
      3336 10857 3333 10855 3332 10857 3332 10860
      3326 10865 3325 10869 3328 10870 3332 10868
      3337 10865 3338 10864

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

44

049 
WGUS75 KABQ 030010
FFSABQ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
610 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

NMC003-030115-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.W.0087.000000T0000Z-260803T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Catron NM-
610 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SACATON AND HUMMINGBIRD BURN SCARS
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
CATRON COUNTY...

At 610 PM MDT, local law enforcement reported people stranded due to
flash flooding in the Willow Creek subdivision.  More thunderstorms
are approaching the Sacaton and Hummingbird burn scars and may cross
between 630 and 730 PM with up to a half inch of additional rainfall.
Up to 1.3 inches of rain have already fallen. Flash flooding
continues and may get worse if additional rain falls.

Excessive rainfall over the burn scar will impact Willow Creek and
Gilita Creek. This includes Willow Creek Road including the Ben Lilly
and Willow Creek Campgrounds and any other residences in this area.
Bursum Road near the Willow Creek Campground may also be impacted.
Middle Fork Trail number 157 and Iron Creek Trail number 172 will be
especially dangerous. The debris flow can consist of rock, mud,
vegetation and other loose materials.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Sacaton and Hummingbird
         burn scars.

SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around the
         Sacaton and Hummingbird burn scars.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mainly rural areas of South Central Catron County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks, streams and ditches in
the Sacaton and Hummingbird burn scars. Severe debris flows can also
be anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away
in places. If you encounter flood waters, climb to safety.

&&

LAT...LON 3339 10864 3341 10859 3342 10856 3342 10849
      3341 10847 3338 10846 3338 10852 3337 10857
      3336 10857 3333 10855 3332 10857 3332 10860
      3326 10865 3325 10869 3328 10870 3332 10868
      3337 10865 3338 10864

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

44

825 
WGUS75 KABQ 030112
FFSABQ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
712 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

NMC003-030122-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FF.W.0087.000000T0000Z-260803T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Catron NM-
712 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SACATON AND HUMMINGBIRD BURN SCARS
WILL EXPIRE AT 715 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL CATRON
COUNTY...

Flash flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please
continue to heed any remaining road closures.

A storm will pass southward just east of the scars between 715 and
815 PM MDT.  Additional flash flooding will be possible if the storm
veers over the scars.

&&

LAT...LON 3339 10864 3341 10859 3342 10856 3342 10849
      3341 10847 3338 10846 3338 10852 3337 10857
      3336 10857 3333 10855 3332 10857 3332 10860
      3326 10865 3325 10869 3328 10870 3332 10868
      3337 10865 3338 10864

$$

44

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1243 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1242 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

- Moderate to major heat risk will impact many lower elevations of
  New Mexico through at least Tuesday. Record heat likely on
  Monday in much of western and central New Mexico.

- Isolated showers and storms today and Monday will become
  scattered Tuesday through the end of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 1242 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

Yesterday's convection aided by a northerly jet streak has pushed
moisture southward into Mexico and dry air is working its way in
behind it. This will result in sparse convective activity today,
especially for early August. Showers and a few storms will favor the
southwest mountains, with lesser coverage over the northern
mountains. This will make it a hot, sunny day in most areas, with
high temperatures approaching daily records.

The center of the monsoon high will shift eastward on Monday,
centering itself over western NM. It will also bring some dry air
with it so shower and storm coverage will only be isolated once
again. 500 mb heights are forecast to be around 595 dam at the most,
but the drier air (dewpoints in the 30s and 40s) will allow
temperatures to warm quite a bit during the afternoon hours. High
temperatures are currently forecast to break daily records in
Albuquerque, Santa Fe, Los Alamos, and Farmington among others on
Monday. Remarkably, August record highs will be challenged in
Farmington and Albuquerque as well. Much of western and northern NM
will have Major HeatRisk and so Heat Advisories were issued for much
of these areas. Despite high temps in the low 100s, Heat Advisories
were not issued for eastern NM, where the criteria is a tad higher.
The dry air will allow for a large diurnal temperature fluctuation,
so most areas should be able to cool off nicely Monday night, with
lows generally in the 60s and low 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 1242 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

The monsoon high remains in place over western NM on Tuesday where
temps will once again threaten records. It will be a tad cooler
across the northeast thanks to the passage of a weak backdoor front.
Moist, upslope flow in the wake of the front will increase the
coverage of convection along the central mountain chain and
eventually central NM during the evening hours. The monsoon high
will slowly shift off to the northwest mid to late week, allowing
for modest moisture increases across central and southern New
Mexico. Storm coverage will trend up slightly, with scattered
coverage each afternoon and evening, favoring the high terrain of
western and northern NM. PWATs at KABQ will hold steady right around
the seasonal average (~0.9"), with slightly less moisture across the
northwest where storm coverage will be less. From Wednesday onward,
temperatures will drop below record levels, but it will still remain
hot with temperatures generally 5 to 10 degrees above average.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1112 AM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

VFR conditions will continue to prevail through the TAF period.
Isolated convection over the high terrain of western and northern
New Mexico may produce a few gusty outflow boundaries, but overall
coverage and intensity of convection will be low. Storms will move
off the high terrain from north to south at around 10 knots.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1242 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

Critical fire weather conditions are not expected through next
weekend. Near record to record heat is expected the next couple of
days as the monsoon high shifts into western New Mexico. This will
also bring unusually dry air into the western half of the state,
with afternoon humidities generally between 10 and 15 percent.
Temperatures drop slightly and humidities increase slightly from
Tuesday onward, but it will still be hotter and drier than normal
for the middle of monsoon season.

Isolated storms today and Monday become scattered Tuesday onward.
The southwest high terrain will have the best chances for rain most
days, with much spottier wetting rainfall in the lower elevations of
central and western NM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  65 101  64 101 /   0   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  56  96  56  97 /  10   5   0   0
Cuba............................  61  95  61  94 /  10   0   0   5
Gallup..........................  60  97  60  96 /   0   0   5   5
El Morro........................  58  92  58  92 /   5   5  10  20
Grants..........................  61  96  61  95 /   5   5   5  20
Quemado.........................  62  93  61  92 /   5   5  20  20
Magdalena.......................  66  93  65  93 /   5  10  10  20
Datil...........................  59  90  60  90 /  20  20  20  40
Reserve.........................  60  97  60  96 /  10  30  20  50
Glenwood........................  63 100  64  99 /  30  40  20  70
Chama...........................  55  90  55  90 /  10  10   0  10
Los Alamos......................  66  92  66  91 /  10  20   0  30
Pecos...........................  59  95  60  90 /  10  10   5  40
Cerro/Questa....................  57  92  56  89 /  10  10   5  40
Red River.......................  50  83  50  81 /  10   5   5  70
Angel Fire......................  43  87  42  82 /  10  10  10  70
Taos............................  60  95  60  93 /  10  10   5  30
Mora............................  56  93  56  86 /  10  20  10  60
Espanola........................  67 100  67  98 /  10  10   0  20
Santa Fe........................  62  95  62  92 /  10  10   0  30
Santa Fe Airport................  63  97  63  95 /  10  10   0  20
Albuquerque Foothills...........  69 101  69  98 /  10   0   0  20
Albuquerque Heights.............  72 101  72  99 /  10   0   5  10
Albuquerque Valley..............  70 104  70 101 /   5   0   5   5
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  70 103  71 100 /   5   0   0   5
Belen...........................  69 103  69 101 /   0   0   5   0
Bernalillo......................  69 104  69 101 /  10   0   0  10
Bosque Farms....................  67 103  67 100 /   0   0   5   5
Corrales........................  69 104  70 101 /  10   0   0  10
Los Lunas.......................  66 103  66 100 /   0   0   5   0
Placitas........................  68 100  69  97 /  10   5   0  20
Rio Rancho......................  70 103  71 100 /  10   0   0  10
Socorro.........................  73 104  73 103 /   0   0   5   5
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  64  96  65  91 /  10   5   0  30
Tijeras.........................  65  97  65  94 /  10   0   0  30
Edgewood........................  63  98  63  94 /  10   5   5  30
Moriarty/Estancia...............  57  99  58  95 /  10   5  10  20
Clines Corners..................  62  95  63  89 /  20  10  10  10
Mountainair.....................  64  97  64  94 /   5  10  10  20
Gran Quivira....................  63  94  63  93 /   5   5  20  20
Carrizozo.......................  69  94  70  96 /   0  10   0  20
Ruidoso.........................  62  87  63  88 /   0  20   0  30
Capulin.........................  60  93  59  82 /  10  30  20  40
Raton...........................  56  97  57  88 /  10  30  20  50
Springer........................  57  99  58  90 /  10  20  20  50
Las Vegas.......................  58  95  58  88 /  10  20  10  30
Clayton.........................  66 100  67  90 /   0  10  20   5
Roy.............................  64  98  65  89 /  10  20  20  10
Conchas.........................  70 103  71  98 /  10   5  20   5
Santa Rosa......................  68 102  68  96 /  10  10  20   0
Tucumcari.......................  69 104  71 100 /   5   0  10   0
Clovis..........................  67 100  69 100 /   0   0   0   0
Portales........................  68 101  70 101 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Sumner.....................  70 102  72 100 /   5   0  10   0
Roswell.........................  71 104  72 103 /   0   0   0   0
Picacho.........................  67  98  68  97 /   0  20   5   0
Elk.............................  63  93  63  94 /   0  20   0  10

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for NMZ201-205.

Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM MDT Monday for NMZ201-205-207-
211-212-217>221.

&&

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...16

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1034 AM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 SSE Fort Sumner State 34.36N 104.18W
07/31/2026                   De Baca            NM   Cocorahs

            Significant wind that blew tree limbs down.
            Electricity out for several hours due to
            severe thunderstorm winds.

&&

MAA