Flash Flood Warning 22, NWS Topeka, KS

544 
WGUS73 KTOP 171004
FFSTOP

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
504 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

KSC087-171300-
/O.CON.KTOP.FF.W.0022.000000T0000Z-250717T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson KS-
504 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING 
FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY...

At 504 AM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 
1.5 and 4.5 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts 
of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is 
ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Valley Falls, Oskaloosa, McLouth, Meriden, Ozawkie, Winchester and 
  Perry Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3914 9559 3942 9559 3942 9518 3914 9518

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED

$$

Flanagan

522 
WGUS73 KTOP 171202
FFSTOP

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
702 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

KSC087-171212-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FF.W.0022.000000T0000Z-250717T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson KS-
702 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A 
FLOOD WARNING...

&&

LAT...LON 3914 9559 3942 9559 3942 9518 3914 9518

$$

Jones

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
338 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and thunderstorms diminishing today but may return
  tonight and Friday night.

- An extended period of high heat is on track from this weekend
  into early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 338 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

Convection continues to percolate north of the surface front located
across southern Kansas early this morning. Interesting wind
signature developed near KTWX with 60 mph estimated winds but
overall expecting more of a heavy rainfall/isolated flooding threat
to continue into the post-dawn hours. Latest RAP forecast shows the
850 mb winds veering through 12Z which should bring a slow end to
convection into the late morning. Heavy rainfall has occurred in some
locations with rates near 2"/hour but most places have not seen this
rate for very long. Some isolated flooding remains the main concern
where any training of the higher rates takes place. Cloudy
conditions on north to northeast winds behind the front should keep
today's highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s. Showers and thunderstorms
may return overnight into Friday morning as isentropic lift develops
over the front but instability looks much weaker. Could see isolated
heavier rain again given high atmosphere moisture content still in
place but a training scenario seems less likely. WAA on south winds
should be enough push highs back to the upper 80s to mid 90s Friday
despite early precip potential and some mid cloud lingering.
Upglide looks less impressive Friday night but at least isolated
showers and storm are possible especially north.

WAA continues into Saturday with 850 mb temperatures reaching
around 25 C. Little change is expected in these values into the
middle of next week. A weak front may approach northern Kansas
Saturday night into early Sunday supporting small precipitation
chances. With southerly winds keeping dewpoints mainly in the
upper 60 to lower 70s, highs should commonly reach the mid 90s
to around 100 with heat indices a few to several degrees higher
for a several day period of concerning heat.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

Showers and thunderstorms becoming more widespread over the past
half hour so feel confident enough to go with prevailing SHRA
with some TSRA. More intense storms could easily bring
visibilities to IFR with some gusts possible, though these are
looking more isolated. Limiting ceilings should also spread
south though may be interrupted by the convection. Have enough
certainty to mention some IFR cigs as the rain ends. Will
likely only get to MVFR ceiling heights today with some
potential for lower cigs and visbys after 04Z.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Poage
AVIATION...Poage

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
208 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-171915-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
208 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a marginal risk for severe storms this evening and
overnight. Damaging wind would be the main threat in the strongest
storms. Additionally, very heavy rainfall may lead to localized
flooding.

Heat indicies around 105 degrees are likely along and south of I-70
this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Heat indicies around 105 degrees are likely this weekend into next
week.

.SPOTTER MESSAGE

Weather spotters are encouraged to relay reports of hail, damaging
wind, tornadoes and flooding.

&&

More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Topeka KS
212 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0208 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Alma                    39.01N 96.29W
07/17/2025  E50 MPH          Wabaunsee          KS   Public

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
224 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

KSZ037-054-055-058-170815-
Coffey-Lyon-Osage-Morris-
224 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN MORRIS...
SOUTHWESTERN OSAGE...NORTHWESTERN COFFEY AND LYON COUNTIES THROUGH
315 AM CDT...

At 224 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Bushong to 3 miles northwest of Americus to
near Strong City. Movement was southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Strong wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Emporia, Council Grove, Lebo, Americus, Olpe, Neosho Rapids, Reading,
Allen, Admire, Bushong, Dunlap, and Council Grove Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3817 9636 3852 9635 3852 9658 3873 9652
      3860 9580 3835 9591 3817 9617
TIME...MOT...LOC 0724Z 301DEG 28KT 3865 9624 3855 9630 3840 9650

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Flanagan

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
229 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

KSZ024-038-039-170815-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Jackson-
229 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SHAWNEE...EAST CENTRAL WABAUNSEE
AND SOUTHWESTERN JACKSON COUNTIES THROUGH 315 AM CDT...

At 229 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Delia to 3 miles southeast of Willard to 5
miles southeast of Keene. Movement was east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Strong wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Topeka, Rossville, Dover, Silver Lake, Auburn, Hoyt, Delia, Willard,
and Pauline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3887 9566 3887 9594 3886 9595 3886 9601
      3905 9601 3923 9604 3925 9603 3927 9565
      3906 9560
TIME...MOT...LOC 0729Z 267DEG 17KT 3922 9598 3906 9590 3888 9600

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Flanagan

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Topeka KS
236 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 NW Dover              38.99N 95.97W
07/17/2025  E60 MPH          Wabaunsee          KS   Trained Spotter

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
304 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

KSZ026-039-040-055-056-170845-
Shawnee-Jefferson-Douglas-Franklin-Osage-
304 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN FRANKLIN...SOUTHEASTERN
JEFFERSON...SOUTHEASTERN SHAWNEE...DOUGLAS AND NORTHEASTERN OSAGE
COUNTIES THROUGH 345 AM CDT...

At 304 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Grantville to Overbrook to near Pomona
Lake. Movement was east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Strong wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Lawrence, Baldwin City, Eudora, Wellsville, Centropolis, Perry,
Lecompton, Clinton, Lone Star, Pleasant Grove, Vinland, Williamstown,
Clinton Lake, and Globe.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3870 9506 3868 9507 3869 9553 3911 9551
      3910 9519 3897 9519 3896 9517 3898 9516
      3897 9513 3897 9511 3896 9510 3896 9508
      3898 9508 3899 9506
TIME...MOT...LOC 0804Z 262DEG 38KT 3910 9551 3878 9556 3867 9563

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Flanagan

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
313 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

KSZ054>056-058-059-170845-
Coffey-Lyon-Franklin-Osage-Anderson-
313 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN FRANKLIN...NORTHWESTERN
ANDERSON...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE...NORTHERN COFFEY AND EAST CENTRAL LYON
COUNTIES THROUGH 345 AM CDT...

At 313 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 3 miles southeast of Richland to Pomona Lake to
3 miles southeast of Lebo. Movement was east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Strong wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Ottawa, Overbrook, Lyndon, Lebo, Pomona, Waverly, Williamsburg,
Quenemo, Melvern, Neosho Rapids, Olivet, Beto Junction, Pomona Lake,
and Melvern Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3871 9520 3858 9526 3822 9554 3836 9606
      3870 9570 3883 9568 3881 9550 3871 9550
TIME...MOT...LOC 0813Z 289DEG 32KT 3884 9551 3866 9556 3838 9581

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Flanagan