Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 1921

August 10, 202518 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 10, 2025, 4:59 AM CDT for 18 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 91 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2025, 4:59 AM CDT (09:59 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2025, 6:30 AM CDT
In force
91 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 584

Counties Adair County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cass County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Madison County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Polk County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Warren County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 244 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2025-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2514 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2025-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 40 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2514 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-86 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1171 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
236 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

719 
ACUS11 KWNS 101000
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100959 
IAZ000-101130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1921
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0459 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

Areas affected...portions of central IA

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 584...

Valid 100959Z - 101130Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 584
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe wind gusts remain possible
across central Iowa.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms will continue to track northeast
across central Iowa this morning. Overall radar presentation has
become somewhat disorganized, but a corridor of 60-70 kt velocity
signatures aloft are still noted to the west of the Des Moines
vicinity. Instability decreases gradually with northeast extent, and
stronger effective shear magnitudes remain displaced to the north.
While severe gusts are possible over the next couple of hours, the
expectation is that a gradual weakening trend will continue as
convection develops northeast.

..Leitman.. 08/10/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...DMX...OAX...

LAT...LON   42049209 41559278 41279360 41059453 41129495 41339497
            41979471 42619336 42839257 42659203 42049209 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page, Pottawattamie8 hr
Aug 10, 1:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Boone, Cass, Clarke and 23 more2 hr
Aug 10, 2:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Butler and 29 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.