Tornado Warning 59, NWS Springfield, MO

542 
WWUS53 KSGF 162009
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
309 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

MOC161-162019-
/O.CAN.KSGF.TO.W.0059.000000T0000Z-250516T2030Z/
Phelps MO-
309 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL PHELPS COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for south central
and east central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3771 9152 3779 9155 3779 9131 3773 9131
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 246DEG 45KT 3782 9147 

$$

MOC065-162030-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0059.000000T0000Z-250516T2030Z/
Dent MO-
309 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL DENT COUNTY...

At 309 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 10 miles west of Cherryville, or 11 miles southwest of
Steelville, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Bangert and Sligo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3771 9152 3779 9155 3779 9131 3773 9131
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 246DEG 45KT 3782 9147 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

Nelson

897 
WWUS53 KSGF 162020
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
320 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

MOC065-162030-
/O.EXP.KSGF.TO.W.0059.000000T0000Z-250516T2030Z/
Dent MO-
320 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL DENT COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
330 PM CDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for south central
and east central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3771 9152 3779 9155 3779 9131 3773 9131
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 246DEG 45KT 3787 9132 

$$

Nelson

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
210 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Moderate (4 of 5) Risk for severe weather this afternoon,
  mainly along and east of Highway 65 and before sunset. Very
  large hail to the size of softballs, damaging winds up to 80
  mph, and tornadoes will be possible.

- 50-70% chance for showers and thunderstorms Saturday night
  into Sunday morning. A Slight(2 of 5) Risk exists for a few
  thunderstorms may become capable of producing wind gusts up to
  60 mph and hail up to the size of quarters.

- The unsettled weather pattern will continue across the area early
  next week. This includes the potential for strong to severe
  thunderstorms in addition to localized heavy rainfall and
  flooding. Uncertainty remains in the exact details.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 210 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

This afternoon into early evening: A significant air mass
change occurred this morning across this Missouri Ozarks as a
warm front lifted back into the area that brought dew points
back into to the upper 60s to low 70s and temperatures have
risen into the low to mid 80s. This has caused significant
instability to develop ahead of a cold front that was pushing
west to east into the area. Severe storms quickly developed
around midday ahead of the cold front and continue to quickly
lift east- northeast into eastern sections of the CWA. The
atmosphere is prime for very large hail with the instability and
shear combination over the area. Hodographs have supported
splitting supercells which is what we've seen so far across the
area. While we are not seeing much in the way of backed surface
winds, we can't rule out a tornadoes with the strong low level
shear. The storms should quickly push east of the area between
21z and 00z and the severe weather risk with this round of
storms should come to an end for our CWA.

Rest of tonight: We should clear out behind the frontal boundary
tonight as drier air moves moves in with dew points in the 40s
for most of the area. Overnight lows should dip into the mid
50s.

Saturday into Saturday night: Upper level flow remains out of
the west-southwest and will bring in another wave of energy by
late in the day into Saturday night. Moisture and instability
will begin to creep back into the area from the southwest and
we'll see the chance for thunderstorms increase (50-70%). Some
strong to severe storms will be possible, mainly over the
southwest quadrant of the CWA.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 210 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

Sunday-Monday: Convection from Saturday night will linger into
Sunday morning. Upper level flow will remain out of the
southwest ahead of the main trough still to the west of the
area. A frontal boundary will be west to east across the area
and we should see low level winds increase during the evening
with the approach of the upper level wave. Thunderstorm chances
will increase again during the evening (70-80%), especially in
the northern CWA north of the boundary. Strong to severe storms
will be possible along with very heavy rain and possibly
flooding with any training of storms. This activity should push
east of the area on Monday morning. ADditional development could
occur on Monday afternoon if sufficient atmospheric recovery
takes place during the day.

Monday night - Tuesday: As the main upper wave begins to push
into the area, additional thunderstorms are expected to develop
Monday night into Tuesday. Severe weather chances will be
conditional on how much instability can develop. Heavy rain will
again be likely and with several rounds of heavy rain and
several inches of rain possible, flooding will be possible.

Wednesday - Thursday: We should finally end the thunderstorm and
severe weather chances as the upper wave shifts off to the east
of the area. High pressure builds into the area along with a
drier air mass. Highs behind this main wave should drop back
into the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

For the 18z TAFS, convection has started developing ahead of a
frontal boundary pushing into the area from the west. The
conveciton stretched from near Springfield to Branson, but was
quickly moving off to the east-northeast. Have thrown a prob30
group in for BBG until 20z, but most likely convection will be
east of the area by the onset of the 18z TAFS. Should see
conditions become VFR by about 20-21z through the remainder of
the period. The gusty winds out of the southwest will diminish
by this evening and then become light and variable during the
evening and overnight period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
237 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171945-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
237 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Enhanced tornado risk.
  Moderate hail risk.
  Enhanced thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited excessive rainfall risk
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
  Elevated fire weather risk.

DISCUSSION...

Strong to severe thunderstorms continue over south central and
central Missouri through the late afternoon. All modes of severe
weather will remain possible with the storms that remain over the
area. Large hail up to 3 inches in diameter, damaging wind gusts
up to 80 mph and tornadoes remain possible through the late
afternoon.

Clearing should take place behind a cold front and will end the
severe weather risk over the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Additional rounds of thunderstorms are possible Saturday night
through Tuesday. Some of these storms may be strong to severe.
Additionally, there is the potential for localized heavy rainfall
and flooding with this activity.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed throughout the remainder of the
afternoon for the eastern Ozarks, generally southeast of a Fort
Leonard Wood to Branson line.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Lindenberg

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
149 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     Hail             2 SW Waynesville        37.82N 92.22W
05/16/2025  E3.00 Inch       Pulaski            MO   Emergency Mngr

            picture of 3 inch hail.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
156 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     Hail             3 E Vichy               38.13N 91.71W
05/16/2025  E1.00 Inch       Maries             MO   Public

            Report from mPING, Quarter 1.00 in.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
214 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     Hail             Waynesville             37.83N 92.20W
05/16/2025  M2.00 Inch       Pulaski            MO   Public

            via social media picture.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
220 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0212 PM     Hail             South Fork              36.63N 91.96W
05/16/2025  M1.00 Inch       Howell             MO   Fire Dept/Rescue

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
225 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0223 PM     Hail             3 SE West Plains        36.70N 91.82W
05/16/2025  E1.00 Inch       Howell             MO   Public

            Report from mPING, Quarter 1.00 in.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
250 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     West Plains             36.73N 91.86W
05/16/2025                   Howell             MO   Public

            Tree top down, two trees uprooted.

&&

TEO