Alert archive / West Virginia / Flash Flood Warnings in 2025

Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Charleston, WV

February 15, 2025Buchanan County, Virginia; 4 counties in West Virginia

NWS Charleston, WV issued this flash flood warning at Feb 15, 2025, 2:48 PM EST for Buchanan County, Virginia; 4 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 8 hr. 20 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2025, 2:48 PM EST (19:48 UTC)
Expired
Feb 15, 2025, 11:15 PM EST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Charleston, WV
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Buchanan County, VA, Logan County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Wyoming County, WV

The radar

The Charleston,WV radar (KRLX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 15, 3:32 PM ESTFLASH FLOODMallory, WVFlash Flooding along Huff Creek.
Feb 15, 4:00 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD1 Ssw Welch, WVMajor flash flooding occurring in Welch, specifically near Coney Island. There are homes surrounded by water, roads and underpasses impassable.
Feb 15, 4:02 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD2 N Delbarton, WVWater covering both lanes of Mate Hatfield Ln near Delbarton.
Feb 15, 4:22 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD1 Ene Matewan, WVMultiple areas of Rutherford Hollow are flooded. possible entrapment of residents.
Feb 15, 4:40 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD5 Se Hurley, VAHigh water with possible resident trapped on Dan Branch Rd in Hurley, VA.
Feb 15, 5:00 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD1 S Welch, WV*** 1 FATAL *** A vehicle with five occupants drove into floodwaters and was swept into the Tug Fork River. Two people were able to make it to safety while one perished. Two of the occupants remain missing. Time of incident is estimated.
Feb 15, 5:46 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD2 Ssw Switzer, WVWater a couple feet deep entering multiple residences yards.
Feb 15, 6:32 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD2 Sw Switzer, WVReceiving multiple reports of high water across the town of Omar, WV. Multiple homes are reported surrounded by water.
Feb 15, 6:50 PM ESTFLASH FLOODWelch, WVMultiple pictures from trained spotter in downtown Welch, WV. Water surrounding homes and businesses in the area, 7 feet of water underneath bridges, cars stranded.
Feb 15, 7:02 PM ESTFLASH FLOODKimball, WVLocal official in Kimball, WV reports water getting into multiple homes and businesses and cars underwater.
Feb 15, 7:30 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD1 Ese Logan, WVLogan County 911 center reports Stollings Bypass Road is underwater.
Feb 15, 7:40 PM ESTFLASH FLOODRed Jacket, WVResidences are flooded in the 2100 block of state route 65.
Feb 15, 7:50 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD1 S Welch, WVFlash flooding on Riverside Dr in Welch before the Havaco bridge. Reports of people trapped in vehicles.
Feb 15, 8:00 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD1 S Welch, WV*** 3 FATAL *** Corrects previous flash flood report from 1 S Welch. A vehicle with five occupants drove into floodwaters and was swept into the Tug Fork River. Two people were able to make it to safety while the other three occupants perished.
Feb 15, 8:10 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD5 Se Hurley, VAHigh water and people trapped 4500 block of Knox Creek Dr in Hurley.
Feb 15, 8:30 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD6 Nw Gilbert Creek, WVHigh water covering Left Fork Bens Creek Rd off of King Coal Highway.
Feb 15, 8:32 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD2 Sse Delbarton, WVWater across road and up to headlights on a lifted truck near Mullins Tire.
Feb 15, 8:55 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD6 N Chattaroy, WVHigh water halfway across the road at 37 Parsley Bottom near Lenore, WV.
Feb 15, 8:59 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD1 W Switzer, WVRoute 44 in Switzer is closed due to high water.
Feb 15, 10:35 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD2 S Delbarton, WVBulldog Blvd is completely blocked by water.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 25 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 12 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2025-02-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2025-02-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 521 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1409 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
69 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
521 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
471 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

378 
WGUS51 KRLX 151948
FFWRLX
VAC027-WVC045-047-059-109-160045-
/O.NEW.KRLX.FF.W.0008.250215T1948Z-250216T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Charleston WV
248 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

The National Weather Service in Charleston has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northeastern Buchanan County in southwestern Virginia...
  Logan County in southern West Virginia...
  McDowell County in southern West Virginia...
  Mingo County in southern West Virginia...
  Western Wyoming County in southern West Virginia...

* Until 745 PM EST.

* At 248 PM EST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the 
  warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen. The 
  expected rainfall rate is 0.25 to 0.75 inches in 1 hour. 
  Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the 
  warned area. Areal flooding is expected to transition to flash 
  flooding shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Welch, Logan, Chapmanville, Gary, War, Man, Delbarton, Northfork, 
  Gilbert Creek, R.d. Bailey Lake, Hanover, Hinch, Mallory, 
  Amherstdale-Robinette, Red Jacket, Holden, Mount Gay-Shamrock, 
  Chief Logan State, Chattaroy and Gilbert.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

The saturated ground has produced conditions ripe for landslides and 
debris flows on steep slopes around the area. Residents with homes 
on or at the base of hillsides should be aware of the potential for 
landslides and watch for trees leaning in unusual orientations, 
water and mud seepage where not expected and other signs of 
potential ground movement.

Report flooding to the National Weather Service by calling toll 
free, 800 401 9535, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3800 8198 3797 8199 3793 8179 3786 8179
      3756 8166 3741 8132 3727 8142 3721 8155
      3720 8166 3725 8180 3734 8193 3749 8203
      3754 8197 3755 8213 3765 8217 3765 8218
      3763 8219 3785 8242

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.25-0.75 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

JRM
4 follow-up statements
268 
WGUS51 KRLX 152203
FFWRLX
VAC027-WVC045-047-059-109-160245-
/O.EXT.KRLX.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-250216T0245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Charleston WV
503 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

The National Weather Service in Charleston has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northeastern Buchanan County in southwestern Virginia...
  Logan County in southern West Virginia...
  McDowell County in southern West Virginia...
  Mingo County in southern West Virginia...
  Western Wyoming County in southern West Virginia...

* Until 945 PM EST.

* At 503 PM EST, emergency management reported heavy rain across the 
  warned area. Between 1.5 and 2.5 inches of rain have fallen. 
  Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the 
  warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
           flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Welch, Logan, Chapmanville, Gary, War, Man, Delbarton, Northfork, 
  Gilbert Creek, R.d. Bailey Lake, Hanover, Hinch, Mallory, 
  Amherstdale-Robinette, Red Jacket, Holden, Mount Gay-Shamrock, 
  Chief Logan State, Chattaroy and Gilbert.

Significant flooding imminent along Route 52 from Elkhorn Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

The saturated ground has produced conditions ripe for landslides and 
debris flows on steep slopes around the area. Residents with homes 
on or at the base of hillsides should be aware of the potential for 
landslides and watch for trees leaning in unusual orientations, 
water and mud seepage where not expected and other signs of 
potential ground movement.

Report flooding to the National Weather Service by calling toll 
free, 800 401 9535, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3800 8198 3797 8199 3793 8179 3786 8179
      3756 8166 3741 8132 3727 8142 3721 8155
      3720 8166 3725 8180 3734 8193 3749 8203
      3754 8197 3755 8213 3765 8217 3765 8218
      3763 8219 3785 8242

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

JLB
468 
WGUS51 KRLX 160237
FFWRLX
VAC027-WVC045-047-059-109-160415-
/O.EXT.KRLX.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-250216T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Charleston WV
937 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

The National Weather Service in Charleston has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northeastern Buchanan County in southwestern Virginia...
  Logan County in southern West Virginia...
  McDowell County in southern West Virginia...
  Mingo County in southern West Virginia...
  Western Wyoming County in southern West Virginia...

* Until 1115 PM EST.

* At 937 PM EST, emergency management reported heavy rain across the 
  warned area. Between 1.5 and 2.5 inches of rain have fallen. 
  Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the 
  warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
           flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Welch, Logan, Chapmanville, Gary, War, Man, Delbarton, Northfork, 
  Gilbert Creek, R.d. Bailey Lake, Hanover, Hinch, Mallory, 
  Amherstdale-Robinette, Red Jacket, Holden, Mount Gay-Shamrock, 
  Chief Logan State, Chattaroy and Gilbert.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

The saturated ground has produced conditions ripe for landslides and 
debris flows on steep slopes around the area. Residents with homes 
on or at the base of hillsides should be aware of the potential for 
landslides and watch for trees leaning in unusual orientations, 
water and mud seepage where not expected and other signs of 
potential ground movement.

Report flooding to the National Weather Service by calling toll 
free, 800 401 9535, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3800 8198 3797 8199 3793 8179 3786 8179
      3756 8166 3741 8132 3727 8142 3721 8155
      3720 8166 3725 8180 3734 8193 3749 8203
      3754 8197 3755 8213 3765 8217 3765 8218
      3763 8219 3785 8242

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

JLB
135 
WGUS71 KRLX 160313
FFSRLX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1013 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

VAC027-WVC045-047-059-109-160415-
/O.CON.KRLX.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-250216T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Buchanan VA-Logan WV-McDowell WV-Mingo WV-Wyoming WV-
1013 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EST THIS 
EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN BUCHANAN, SOUTH CENTRAL LOGAN, WESTERN 
MCDOWELL, SOUTHEASTERN MINGO AND NORTHWESTERN WYOMING COUNTIES...

At 1013 PM EST, gauge reports indicated flooding across the warned 
area. Between 1.5 and 3 inches of rain have fallen. Flash flooding 
is ongoing.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Gauges reported.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  War, Man, Hanover, R.d. Bailey Lake, Gilbert Creek, Mallory, 
  Amherstdale-Robinette, Gilbert, Bradshaw, Iaeger, Panther, 
  Avondale, Jolo, Coal Mountain, Hampden, Bruno, Sarah Ann, 
  Amherstdale-Robine, Cucumber and Chauncey.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Report flooding to the National Weather Service by calling toll 
free, 800 401 9535, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3778 8192 3783 8179 3756 8166 3743 8181
      3729 8148 3722 8154 3721 8155 3720 8167
      3721 8170 3724 8172 3724 8174 3723 8174
      3725 8180 3734 8193 3749 8203 3754 8197
      3780 8204

FLASH FLOOD...GAUGE INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

JLB
618 
WGUS71 KRLX 160409
FFSRLX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1109 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

VAC027-WVC045-047-059-109-160419-
/O.EXP.KRLX.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-250216T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Buchanan VA-Logan WV-McDowell WV-Mingo WV-Wyoming WV-
1109 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1115 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR 
NORTHEASTERN BUCHANAN, SOUTH CENTRAL LOGAN, WESTERN MCDOWELL, 
SOUTHEASTERN MINGO AND NORTHWESTERN WYOMING COUNTIES...

An Areal Flood Warning remains in effect for ongoing flooding along 
large creeks and rivers. Stay aware of the flood risk in your area. 
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3778 8192 3783 8179 3756 8166 3743 8181
      3729 8148 3722 8154 3721 8155 3720 8167
      3721 8170 3724 8172 3724 8174 3723 8174
      3725 8180 3734 8193 3749 8203 3754 8197
      3780 8204

$$

JLB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 15, 2:48 PM EST, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 2:48 PM EST, 0 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
248 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure system brings high confidence in significant flooding
this weekend. Snow to end the event. Cold next week with snow around
mid-week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 233 PM Saturday...

Key Points:

  * Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for higher elevations
    of Pocahontas and Randolph counties until 7 PM this evening.

  * Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire area through Sunday night.

  * High Wind Watch was upgraded to a Wind Advisory for the higher elevations
    of our northeast mountains in effect from 10 AM Sunday to 1 PM Monday.

With temperatures around 32F, decided to keep winter weather advisory in
effect until 7 PM this evening. WAA should bring temperatures above freezing
by late afternoon or evening.

A prolonged period of moderate to heavy rain will continue across
southern WV and SW VA this afternoon and evening. Light to moderate
rain will be possible across portions of SE OH and northern half of
WV through this evening. Then, the warm front should lift north
later this evening spreading rain across the rest of the area
overnight. This will pose a threat for flooding of creeks, small
streams, river, and low lying and poor drainage areas further north
affecting the rest of the area with precipitation through Sunday.
Therefore, a Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire area
until Sunday night.

The pressure gradient tightens up as a surface low pressure
approaches from the west, crossing with a cold front Sunday morning.
This front will bring additional convective rain showers, with
higher rainfall rates across the area on Sunday. Blended NBM with
the GFS solution for Sunday, permitting rain to transition to
rain showers while decreasing in intensity and coverage. Much
colder air behind the cold front will transition rain into snow
starting across SE OH by early Sunday afternoon, and then
spreading east into the eastern mountains.

Winds will increase behind the front on Sunday, with gusts up to 35
mph across the lowlands, and up to 57 mph along the higher peaks
of our northeast mountains. Decided to upgrade the watch to a Wind
Advisory for higher elevations of Pocahontas and Randolph counties
from 10 AM Sunday to 1 PM Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 245 PM Saturday...

Key Points:

* Heavy snow continues in the mountains Sunday night, tapering off
  on Monday

* Blowing and drifting of mountain snow may enhance travel impacts
  Sunday night into Monday

* Windy conditions in the mountains and breezy conditions in the
  lowlands continue Monday with wet soils, some tree damage may occur

Surface low pressure continues to eject into the Canadian Maritimes
Sunday night. Cold advection on breezy to windy northwesterly flow
will continue to drive temperatures down from just over the freezing
mark to the upper teens/lower 20s over the lower elevations and
lower teens in the mountains by Monday morning. Moisture
contribution from the Upper Great Lakes looks decent, but somewhat
short lived during this period, with additional upslope enhanced
liquid equivalents of perhaps a third to half an inch. The bulk of
model guidance does show snow liquid ratios approaching 20:1 during
the period, but forecast moisture profiles could be a little tenuous
to support snow/liquid ratios this high. Overall, think confidence
high enough to upgrade existing Winter Weather Advisories to Winter
Storm Warnings for the highest elevations with 5 to 8 inches of
snowfall expected. Impacts will be enhanced by blowing and drifting
of high ratio snow with winds gusting 45 to 55 mph. While blizzard
conditions may exist for a period, especially along the highest
ridgetops, generally think this is best handled by a Winter Storm
Warning. May also see a brief period where wind chills touch
criteria along the highest ridgetops Monday morning, but given the
substantial number of products out, will hold off on issuing
anything for that this early. Will also expand Winter Weather
Advisories out to most of the neighboring zones where 3 to 5 inches
of snow can be expected. Across the remainder of the lowlands,
accumulating snow showers will be possible, likely concentrated in
lake enhanced streamers late Sunday night into Monday. At this time,
this doesn't look to approach advisory type levels, but could be
impactful for the Monday morning commute given recent rainfall
washing away snow abatement.

In addition to strong winds across the highest elevations, winds
will be breezy across the lower elevations Sunday night into Monday
with gusts generally 25 to 35 mph. Coupled with very wet soil
conditions, these winds may be sufficient to toppled shallow rooted
trees and may cause some power outages.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 240 PM Saturday...

Key Point:

* Still some uncertainty, but confidence is building for a potential
  all elevation snow event Wednesday into Thursday

Dry, but cold conditions are expected Tuesday with morning lows in
the mid teens to lower 20s and afternoon highs only rising to near
freezing.

The next weather maker is just coming onshore today across the
PacNW, so should see some higher quality sampling for subsequent
model runs. For now, guidance is converging toward a fairly quick
hitting system moving into the TN Valley early Wednesday
morning, crossing into our area during the day Wednesday and
departing by Wednesday night. Model consensus currently keeps
the rain/snow line just to our south yielding an all snow event,
but could certainly see this change with even a minor change in
the low's track. Probabilistic guidance givens 50% chance or
greater for 4 inches or more in 24 hours from US-50 and south
Wednesday morning through Thursday morning. Some additional
upslope enhanced snow may linger in the mountains well into the
day Thursday.

Quiet weather then briefly returns with another disturbance possible
for next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1230 PM Saturday...

Periods of moderate to heavy rain will continue to affect the
southern WV, SW VA, and central and northern WV mountains through
tonight as a warm front lifts north. Expect IFR/LIFR conditions at
BKW where the axis of precipitation has settled this afternoon.
Similar conditions are expected across the rest of sites as the warm
front lifts north later this afternoon and evening. Otherwise,
temporarily MVFR/VFR conditions will be possible outside
periods of rain.

The proximity of an approaching low pressure center will tighten up
the pressure gradient, providing a low level jet aloft developing
this afternoon and lasting through the night. This will produce an
extended period of LLWS across most terminals through at least
Sunday morning. Therefore, coded LLWS using NBM timing.

The low pressure, will push a cold front, entering SE OH by 12Z
Sunday. Much colder airmass behind the front will transition
rain into snow by Sunday afternoon (~18Z), spreading from west
to east while diminishing in intensity and coverage. LLWS may
continue during FROPA. Conditions finally improve to MVFR/VFR
from west to east Sunday afternoon or evening.

Light southerly winds, gusty around areas of moderate rain, will
continue across the area through Sunday morning, before shifting
from the west and becoming gusty behind the cold front Sunday
afternoon and evening.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and intensity of restrictions this
afternoon into Sunday could vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
EST 1HRLY       13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00
CRW CONSISTENCY  M    M    L    L    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    M    M    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    M    M    M    M    M    L    L    L    L    L    L
EKN CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    M    M    H    H    M    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    M    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    M    M    M    M    M    M    L    M    M    M    L

AFTER 18Z SUNDAY...
IFR conditions possible once again late this weekend and next
week in snow, especially across the mountains.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Flood Watch through late Sunday night for WVZ005>011-013>020-
     024>034-039-040-515>526.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM Sunday to 10 AM EST Monday
     for WVZ039-040-520-521-525.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for WVZ516-
     518-523-524-526.
     Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM Sunday to 10 AM EST Monday for
     WVZ522-523-526.
     Wind Advisory from 10 AM Sunday to 1 PM EST Monday for WVZ523-
     526.
OH...Flood Watch through late Sunday night for OHZ066-067-075-076-
     083>087.
KY...Flood Watch through late Sunday night for KYZ101>103-105.
VA...Flood Watch through late Sunday night for VAZ003-004.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ARJ/JP
NEAR TERM...ARJ
SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM...JP
AVIATION...ARJ
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 2:31 PM EST, 17 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
231 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

WVZ523-526-161945-
Northwest Pocahontas-Southeast Randolph-
231 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Storm Warning.

Accumulating snow is possible around the middle of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

WVZ522-161945-
Southeast Webster-
231 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Winter Storm Warning.

Accumulating snow is possible around the middle of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

WVZ516-518-524-161945-
Southeast Raleigh-Southeast Fayette-Southeast Pocahontas-
231 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast and
southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Accumulating snow is possible around the middle of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

WVZ039-040-520-521-525-161945-
Upshur-Barbour-Southeast Nicholas-Northwest Webster-
Northwest Randolph-
231 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast,
northern and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

Accumulating snow is possible around the middle of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

WVZ032-161945-
Taylor-
231 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Accumulating snow is possible around the middle of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>031-033-034-515-517-519-161945-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Perry-Morgan-Athens-Washington-
Jackson OH-Vinton-Meigs-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Dickenson-Buchanan-Wayne-
Cabell-Mason-Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-
Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Mingo-Logan-Boone-Clay-Braxton-
Gilmer-Lewis-Harrison-McDowell-Wyoming-Northwest Raleigh-
Northwest Fayette-Northwest Nicholas-
231 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Kentucky, southeast
Ohio, southwest Virginia, and portions of central, northern,
southeast, southern and western West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Accumulating snow is possible around the middle of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 15, 1:29 PM EST, 1 hour 19 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Charleston WV
129 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0113 PM     Flood            1 ESE Prosperity        37.83N 81.20W
02/15/2025                   Raleigh            WV   911 Call Center

            High water on Front street and White Oak
            Drive.

&&

JRM
Local storm report, Feb 15, 1:47 PM EST, 1 hour 1 minute before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Charleston WV
147 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0139 PM     Flash Flood      8 ENE Grundy            37.31N 81.97W
02/15/2025                   Buchanan           VA   911 Call Center

            Slate Creek is flooding.

&&

JRM
Local storm report, Feb 15, 1:48 PM EST, 1 hour before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Charleston WV
148 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0144 PM     Flash Flood      4 S Haysi               37.14N 82.31W
02/15/2025                   Dickenson          VA   911 Call Center

            Lick Creek Road is flooded and impassable.

&&

JRM
Local storm report, Feb 15, 1:50 PM EST, 58 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Charleston WV
150 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0146 PM     Flash Flood      Clintwood               37.15N 82.46W
02/15/2025                   Dickenson          VA   911 Call Center

            Dickenson Hwy and Clintwood Main St is
            flooded.

&&

JRM
Local storm report, Feb 15, 2:04 PM EST, 44 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Charleston WV
204 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0154 PM     Flash Flood      4 ESE Haysi             37.18N 82.23W
02/15/2025                   Dickenson          VA   911 Call Center

            Laurel Branch road is being flooded by
            Laurel Branch.

&&

JRM
Local storm report, Feb 15, 2:06 PM EST, 42 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Charleston WV
206 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0204 PM     Flood            1 NNE Daniels           37.74N 81.12W
02/15/2025                   Raleigh            WV   911 Call Center

            High water Knolls Drive and Ritter Drive.

&&

JRM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Charleston, WV issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 15, 10:35 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXBuchanan, Dickenson35 hr
Feb 15, 12:55 PM ESTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyRLXBuchanan, Dickenson9 hr
Feb 15, 2:29 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryRLXBuchanan, Dickenson47 hr
Feb 15, 3:32 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRLXDickenson12 hr
Feb 15, 2:47 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryRLXPocahontas, Randolph, Webster12 hr
Feb 15, 2:59 AM ESTHigh Wind WatchRLXPocahontas, Randolph11 hr
Feb 15, 2:05 PM ESTWind AdvisoryRLXPocahontas, Randolph47 hr
Feb 15, 2:29 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningRLXPocahontas, Randolph, Webster47 hr
Feb 15, 3:42 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXBoone, Fayette, Kanawha, Nicholas, Raleigh18 hr
Feb 15, 4:28 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXBoone, Lincoln, Logan, Mingo, Wayne29 hr
Feb 15, 5:17 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXBoone, Cabell, Kanawha, Lincoln, Putnam, Wayne42 hr
Feb 15, 5:53 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXBarbour, Braxton, Clay, Fayette, Kanawha, Lewis and 5 more16 hr
Feb 15, 6:41 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRLXMcDowell, Mingo12 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in West Virginia, 2025Flash Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2025Every flash flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.