Severe Thunderstorm Warning 143, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

985 
WWUS51 KPHI 032252
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
652 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

NJC019-035-041-PAC017-077-095-032330-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-250703T2330Z/
Hunterdon NJ-Warren NJ-Somerset NJ-Lehigh PA-Bucks PA-Northampton PA-
652 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT
FOR HUNTERDON...SOUTHWESTERN WARREN...WESTERN SOMERSET...EAST CENTRAL
LEHIGH...NORTHWESTERN BUCKS AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES...

At 652 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Milford, or 9
miles southeast of Easton, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is 
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Easton, Bethlehem, Forks, Byram, Wilson, Hellertown, Flemington,
Tinicum, High Bridge, Clinton, Harmony, Peapack And Gladstone, Alpha,
Glen Gardner, Ferndale, Hampton, Frenchtown, Lebanon, West Easton,
and Milford.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move
indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading killers.
Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck
by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7472 4042 7475 4042 7480 4039 7480
      4038 7486 4036 7486 4052 7545 4077 7521
      4070 7462
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 282DEG 37KT 4057 7511 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Gorse

710 
WWUS51 KPHI 032259
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
659 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

PAC077-095-032309-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-250703T2330Z/
Lehigh PA-Northampton PA-
659 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL LEHIGH AND
SOUTHEASTERN NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
central, northern and northwestern New Jersey...and southeastern
Pennsylvania.

LAT...LON 4038 7472 4042 7475 4042 7480 4039 7480
      4038 7486 4036 7486 4048 7529 4074 7510
      4070 7462
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 281DEG 38KT 4054 7503 

$$

NJC019-035-041-PAC017-032330-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-250703T2330Z/
Hunterdon NJ-Warren NJ-Somerset NJ-Bucks PA-
659 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT
FOR HUNTERDON...SOUTHWESTERN WARREN...WESTERN SOMERSET AND NORTH
CENTRAL BUCKS COUNTIES...

At 659 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Frenchtown, or
13 miles southeast of Easton, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is 
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Byram, Flemington, Tinicum, High Bridge, Clinton, Peapack And
Gladstone, Alpha, Glen Gardner, Ferndale, Hampton, Frenchtown,
Lebanon, Milford, Califon, Far Hills, Bloomsbury, Riegelsville,
Stockton, Skillman, and Flagtown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move
indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading killers.
Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck
by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7472 4042 7475 4042 7480 4039 7480
      4038 7486 4036 7486 4048 7529 4074 7510
      4070 7462
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 281DEG 38KT 4054 7503 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Gorse

353 
WWUS51 KPHI 032313
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
713 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

NJC019-035-041-PAC017-032323-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-250703T2330Z/
Hunterdon NJ-Warren NJ-Somerset NJ-Bucks PA-
713 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HUNTERDON...SOUTHWESTERN
WARREN...WESTERN SOMERSET AND NORTH CENTRAL BUCKS COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe 
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds and
heavy rain are still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
central, northern and northwestern New Jersey...and southeastern
Pennsylvania.

LAT...LON 4038 7472 4042 7475 4042 7480 4039 7480
      4038 7486 4036 7486 4048 7529 4074 7510
      4070 7462
TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 283DEG 38KT 4051 7484 

$$

Gorse

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
447 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A reinforcing cold front will drop through the region late today
and into tonight. Dry high pressure will build into the region
on Friday and remain in control through the weekend, providing
seasonable temperatures and tranquil weather conditions. Warmer,
more humid, and unsettled conditions will return early next
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for parts of
northern New Jersey and eastern Pennsylvania until 10pm.

Showers and thunderstorms are developing this afternoon and will
continue into this evening as a cold front sinks southward. Overall,
the best forcing will reside north and east of our immediate
forecast area up into the Hudson Valley and New England, however a
corridor of MLCAPE up to 2000 J/kg and 0-6 km shear around 40 kt
will be available. This setup will support the potential for severe
thunderstorms. There is a Slight risk (Level 2/5) for severe
weather for areas north and east of Philadelphia with areas
south and west in a Marginal (1/5) risk. The primary threat is
damaging wind gusts with large hail also possible. General
timing looks to continue to be from 2pm-10pm. Highs today will
be in the low 80s to low 90s.

For tonight, any remaining storms will weaken quickly after
sunset with the loss of diurnal heating. The front will make its
way off the coast, giving way to a mostly clear sky. Lows
should fall into the 50s and 60s.

For Independence Day, a rather pleasant and dry day is
expected. A high pressure system builds into the region and will
keep the day dry and sunny. The post frontal regime after
today's cold front will translate to temperatures mainly in the
low to mid 80s and comfortable humidity values with dew points
in the 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Dry and seasonable weather conditions expected for the rest of
the holiday weekend.

High pressure overhead Friday night will result in clear skies
and calm winds, a great setup for strong radiational cooling
night. As a result, we will likely see the coolest and most
comfortable summer night in quite some time, with lows in the
mid 50s to mid 60s and a dry airmass in place.

The broad ridging will dominate the region over the weekend,
which will keep convection suppressed and temperatures near
normal, though temperatures will start trending upward a couple
degrees each day. Saturday will be another very pleasant day,
similar to Friday as the surface high slides overhead. High
temperatures remaining in the mid to upper 80s under sunny skies
and dewpoints mixing out nicely once again to provide us with
some low humidity. By Sunday, high pressure will be located
offshore, resulting in some return flow and thus a more sensible
increase in temperatures and humidity levels compared to the
previous days. Highs Sunday in the upper 80s to low 90s. Lows in
the 60s to near 70 degrees both nights.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Return flow will continue into the first half of next week as
upper ridging shifts out to sea and some troughing develops near
the Great Lakes. This will result in more unsettled conditions
developing again, with mostly diurnally driven chances for
showers and thunderstorms. Any severe threats remain to be seen.
The greatest chances for showers and storms currently looks to
be Tuesday and Wednesday. Expect temperatures to start trending
slightly above normal early next week as well, though they
should moderate some toward the middle of the week. Highs in the
mid 80s to low 90s and lows in the mid 60s to mid 70s, along
with increasing humidity.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today...VFR. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon; primarily around or after 19Z for KABE/KRDG, and
after 20Z for KTTN/KPNE/KPHL so have included VCTS at these
terminals. Remainder of terminals, confidence is quite low so
left out of TAFs for now. West-northwest winds around 10 kts
with a few gusts in excess of 15 kts possible. Moderate
confidence.

Tonight...VFR. Residual showers and thunderstorms wane by 01-03Z.
Northwest winds around 5 kt or less. High confidence.

Friday..VFR with a northwest wind around 5 knots. High
confidence.

Outlook...

Friday night through Sunday...VFR. No significant weather.

Monday and Tuesday...Prevailing VFR. Isolated thunderstorms
possible.

&&

.MARINE...
No marine headlines are in effect through tonight. West winds
around 5-10 kt this morning will become south-southwest around
10-15 kt this afternoon. For tonight, winds will veer from
southwest to north around 10-15 kt with the passing of a cold
front. Seas of 2-3 feet. Outside of an isolated thunderstorm
this afternoon, fair weather is expected.

Friday night...Sub-SCA conditions expected.

Outlook...

Friday night through Monday...No marine hazards expected.

Rip Currents...

For Independence Day, north winds around 10 mph in the morning
will become southeast around 5-10 mph in the afternoon. Breaking
wave heights of 1-2 feet with a SSE swell of around 2 feet and
a 6-8 second period. As a result, have opted to go with a LOW
risk for dangerous rip currents for all beaches.

For Saturday, light northeast winds in the morning will become
south-southeast around 10 mph in the afternoon. Breaking wave
heights generally 1-2 feet with a SE swell of around 2 feet and
a 6-8 second period. As a result, will maintain a LOW risk for
dangerous rip currents for all beaches.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MJL/Staarmann
NEAR TERM...DeSilva/Guzzo
SHORT TERM...MJL/Staarmann
LONG TERM...MJL/Staarmann
AVIATION...Guzzo/MJL
MARINE...Guzzo/MJL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1210 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

MDZ012-015-019-020-041615-
Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-
1210 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a Marginal risk for isolated severe thunderstorms this
afternoon and evening with the primary risk being damaging wind
gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NG

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
626 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Avenel                  40.58N 74.28W
07/03/2025                   Middlesex          NJ   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Trees and wires down near Park Avenue in
            Avenel. Time estimated from radar.

&&

Hoeflich

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
630 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 ENE South Plainfield  40.60N 74.38W
07/03/2025                   Middlesex          NJ   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Large tree and some wires down on a vehicle
            with occupants trapped inside. Time
            estimated from radar.

&&

Hoeflich

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
631 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 ESE South Plainfield  40.57N 74.39W
07/03/2025                   Middlesex          NJ   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Trees and wires down along Park Avenue east
            of South Plainfield. Time estimated from
            radar.

&&

Hoeflich

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
634 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 E South Plainfield    40.59N 74.37W
07/03/2025                   Middlesex          NJ   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Trees and wires down along Tingley Lane.
            Time estimated from radar.

&&

Hoeflich

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
635 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 ENE South Plainfield  40.60N 74.38W
07/03/2025                   Middlesex          NJ   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Large tree down on wires on Annette Drive.
            Time estimated from radar.

&&

Hoeflich

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
636 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0618 PM     Hail             Easton                  40.69N 75.22W
07/03/2025  E0.70 Inch       Northampton        PA   Public

            Dime-size hail. Time included in report.

&&

ZC