Severe Thunderstorm Warning 136, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

666 
WWUS51 KPHI 032021
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
421 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

PAC025-089-032045-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0136.000000T0000Z-250703T2045Z/
Carbon PA-Monroe PA-
421 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR CARBON AND CENTRAL MONROE COUNTIES...

At 420 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from McMichael to Penn Forest Reservoir to near Weatherly
to Sheppton, moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is 
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lehighton, East Stroudsburg, Palmerton, Jim Thorpe, Nesquehoning,
Wind Gap, Weatherly, Stormville, Brodheadsville, New Mahoning,
Kunkletown, Pocono Pines, Gilbert, Pocono Raceway, Lake Harmony,
Delaware Water Gap, Tannersville, Rossland, Long Pond, and
Albrightsville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 7511 4098 7514 4097 7513 4093 7522
      4090 7523 4086 7529 4078 7567 4073 7576
      4081 7588 4091 7599 4101 7573 4113 7552
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 295DEG 22KT 4100 7542 4093 7559 4091 7586 4088
7611

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Gorse

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
153 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A reinforcing cold front will drop through the region late today
and into tonight. Dry high pressure will build into the region
on Friday and remain in control through the weekend, providing
seasonable temperatures and tranquil weather conditions. Warmer,
more humid, and unsettled conditions will return early next
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for parts of
northern New Jersey and eastern Pennsylvania until 10pm.

Showers and thunderstorms are developing this afternoon and will
continue into this evening as a cold front sinks southward. Overall,
the best forcing will reside north and east of our immediate
forecast area up into the Hudson Valley and New England, however a
corridor of MLCAPE up to 2000 J/kg and 0-6 km shear around 40 kt
will be available. This setup will support the potential for severe
thunderstorms. There is a Slight risk (Level 2/5) for severe
weather for areas north and east of Philadelphia with areas
south and west in a Marginal (1/5) risk. The primary threat is
damaging wind gusts with large hail also possible. General
timing looks to continue to be from 2pm-10pm. Highs today will
be in the low 80s to low 90s.

For tonight, any remaining storms will weaken quickly after
sunset with the loss of diurnal heating. The front will make its
way off the coast, giving way to a mostly clear sky. Lows
should fall into the 50s and 60s.

For Independence Day, a rather pleasant and dry day is
expected. A high pressure system builds into the region and will
keep the day dry and sunny. The post frontal regime after
today's cold front will translate to temperatures mainly in the
low to mid 80s and comfortable humidity values with dew points
in the 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Dry and seasonable weather conditions expected for the rest of
the holiday weekend.

High pressure overhead Friday night will result in clear skies
and calm winds, a great setup for strong radiational cooling
night. As a result, we will likely see the coolest and most
comfortable summer night in quite some time, with lows in the
mid 50s to mid 60s and a dry airmass in place.

The broad ridging will dominate the region over the weekend,
which will keep convection suppressed and temperatures near
normal, though temperatures will start trending upward a couple
degrees each day. Saturday will be another very pleasant day,
similar to Friday as the surface high slides overhead. High
temperatures remaining in the mid to upper 80s under sunny skies
and dewpoints mixing out nicely once again to provide us with
some low humidity. By Sunday, high pressure will be located
offshore, resulting in some return flow and thus a more sensible
increase in temperatures and humidity levels compared to the
previous days. Highs Sunday in the upper 80s to low 90s. Lows in
the 60s to near 70 degrees both nights.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Return flow will continue into the first half of next week as
upper ridging shifts out to sea and some troughing develops near
the Great Lakes. This will result in more unsettled conditions
developing again, with mostly diurnally driven chances for
showers and thunderstorms. Any severe threats remain to be seen.
The greatest chances for showers and storms currently looks to
be Tuesday and Wednesday. Expect temperatures to start trending
slightly above normal early next week as well, though they
should moderate some toward the middle of the week. Highs in the
mid 80s to low 90s and lows in the mid 60s to mid 70s, along
with increasing humidity.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today...VFR. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon; primarily around or after 19Z for KABE/KRDG, and
after 20Z for KTTN/KPNE/KPHL so have included VCTS at these
terminals. Remainder of terminals, confidence is quite low so
left out of TAFs for now. West-northwest winds around 10 kts
with a few gusts in excess of 15 kts possible. Moderate
confidence.

Tonight...VFR. Residual showers and thunderstorms wane by 01-03Z.
Northwest winds around 5 kt or less. High confidence.

Friday..VFR with a northwest wind around 5 knots. High
confidence.

Outlook...

Friday night through Sunday...VFR. No significant weather.

Monday and Tuesday...Prevailing VFR. Isolated thunderstorms
possible.

&&

.MARINE...
No marine headlines are in effect through tonight. West winds
around 5-10 kt this morning will become south-southwest around
10-15 kt this afternoon. For tonight, winds will veer from
southwest to north around 10-15 kt with the passing of a cold
front. Seas of 2-3 feet. Outside of an isolated thunderstorm
this afternoon, fair weather is expected.

Friday night...Sub-SCA conditions expected.

Outlook...

Friday night through Monday...No marine hazards expected.

Rip Currents...

For today, south-southwest winds around 10 mph with breaking
wave heights of 1-3 feet. A SSE swell of 2 feet and a 6-8 second
period persists. As a result, have maintained a LOW risk for
dangerous rip currents for all beaches.

For Independence Day, north winds around 10 mph in the morning
will become east-southeast around 5-10 mph in the afternoon.
Breaking wave heights of 1-2 feet with a SSE swell of 2 feet and
a 6-8 second period. As a result, have opted to go with a LOW
risk for dangerous rip currents for all beaches.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MJL/Staarmann
NEAR TERM...DeSilva/Guzzo
SHORT TERM...MJL/Staarmann
LONG TERM...MJL/Staarmann
AVIATION...Guzzo/MJL
MARINE...Guzzo/MJL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1210 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

MDZ012-015-019-020-041615-
Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-
1210 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a Marginal risk for isolated severe thunderstorms this
afternoon and evening with the primary risk being damaging wind
gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NG

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
329 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0323 PM     Hail             Kutztown                40.52N 75.78W
07/03/2025  M0.25 Inch       Berks              PA   Public

            Pea-sized hail in Kutztown, time given in
            report.

&&

Hoeflich