Alert archive / New Jersey / Gale Watches in 2025

Gale Watch 5, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

February 14, 2025

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this gale watch at Feb 14, 2025, 3:43 AM EST. It took effect at Feb 16, 2025, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 14, 2025, 3:43 AM EST (08:43 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 16, 2025, 6:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 14, 2025, 3:16 PM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

The text

As transmitted.

278 
WHUS71 KPHI 140843
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
343 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

ANZ450>452-142200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-250214T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0005.250216T2300Z-250218T0900Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
343 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 25 kt
  with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 3 to 6 ft. For the Gale Watch, 
  west winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 7 to 10 
  ft possible.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to 
  Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 4 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday evening through 
  late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-142200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-250214T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0005.250216T2300Z-250218T0900Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
343 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 20 to 25 
  kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 3 to 6 ft. For the Gale 
  Watch, west winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 
  7 to 10 ft possible.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 
  20 nm, Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 
  20 nm and Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island 
  DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 1 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday evening through 
  late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-142200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-250214T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0005.250216T2300Z-250218T0900Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
343 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 20 
  kt with gusts up to 30 kt and choppy waters. For the Gale 
  Watch, west winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and 
  extremely rough waters possible.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE and Delaware Bay waters south of East Point 
  NJ to Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 1 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday evening through 
  late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

Staarmann
3 follow-up statements
510 
WHUS71 KPHI 141130
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
630 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

ANZ450>452-142300-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-250214T2100Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0005.250216T2300Z-250218T0900Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
630 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 20 
  kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 3 to 5 ft. For the Gale 
  Watch, west winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 
  7 to 10 ft possible.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Great Egg Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 4 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday evening through 
  late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-142300-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-250214T1800Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0005.250216T2300Z-250218T0900Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
630 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 20 
  kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 3 to 5 ft. For the Gale 
  Watch, west winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 
  7 to 10 ft possible.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet NJ to Fenwick 
  Island DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 1 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday evening through 
  late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-142300-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-250214T1800Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0005.250216T2300Z-250218T0900Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
630 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 20 
  kt with gusts up to 30 kt and choppy waters. For the Gale 
  Watch, west winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and 
  extremely rough waters possible.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 1 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday evening through 
  late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$
300 
WHUS71 KPHI 141718
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1218 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

ANZ450>452-142345-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-250214T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0005.250216T2300Z-250218T0900Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
1218 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 20 
  kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 3 to 5 ft. For the Gale 
  Watch, west winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 
  7 to 10 ft possible.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Great Egg Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 PM EST this 
  evening. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday evening through late 
  Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-142345-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-250214T2100Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0005.250216T2300Z-250218T0900Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1218 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 20 
  kt with gusts up to 25 kt and seas 3 to 5 ft. For the Gale 
  Watch, west winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 
  7 to 10 ft possible.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Fenwick Island 
  DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 4 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday evening through 
  late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-142345-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-250214T2100Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0005.250216T2300Z-250218T0900Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1218 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds around 15 
  kt with gusts up to 25 kt and choppy waters. For the Gale 
  Watch, west winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and 
  extremely rough waters possible.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 4 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday evening through 
  late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$
307 
WHUS71 KPHI 142016
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
316 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

ANZ453>455-150930-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-250214T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.250216T0000Z-250216T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0005.250216T2300Z-250218T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0008.250216T2300Z-250218T0000Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
316 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 6 PM EST
SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 20 to 30 kt 
  and seas 6 to 11 ft expected. For the Gale Warning, west winds 
  25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 7 to 10 ft 
  expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 
  20 nm, Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 
  20 nm and Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island 
  DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 7 PM Saturday to 6 
  PM EST Sunday. For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM Sunday to 7 PM 
  EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-150930-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-250214T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.250216T1200Z-250216T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0005.250216T2300Z-250218T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0008.250216T2300Z-250218T0000Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
316 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds 15 to 25 
  kt with gusts up to 30 kt and very rough waters expected. For 
  the Gale Warning, west winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 
  kt and extremely rough waters expected.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE and Delaware Bay waters south of East Point 
  NJ to Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 7 AM to 6 PM EST 
  Sunday. For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM Sunday to 7 PM EST 
  Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450>452-150930-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-250214T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.250216T0000Z-250216T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0005.250216T2300Z-250218T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0008.250216T2300Z-250218T0000Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
316 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 6 PM EST
SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 
  to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. For the second Small Craft 
  Advisory, south winds 20 to 30 kt and seas 6 to 11 ft 
  expected. For the Gale Warning, west winds 25 to 35 kt with 
  gusts up to 45 kt and seas 7 to 10 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to 
  Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the first Small Craft Advisory, until 6 PM EST this 
  evening. For the second Small Craft Advisory, from 7 PM 
  Saturday to 6 PM EST Sunday. For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM 
  Sunday to 7 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale watch went out at Feb 14, 3:34 AM EST, 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 3:34 AM EST, 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
334 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure briefly builds in later Friday, then a much
stronger low with its warm and cold fronts moves through over
the weekend. Arctic high pressure then builds toward our area
early next week. A coastal low may develop and effect the area
towards the middle to latter part of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A much colder day across the region with an added gusty wind which
will make it feel even colder.

The axis of an upper-level trough is forecast to cross our region
early this morning then lift more into the Canadian Maritimes
through the day. As this occurs, the flow aloft becomes more zonal
through tonight. A strong surface high pressure system initially
centered across the Ohio Valley will then move eastward through
today, and settle right over our area during the first half of
tonight before shifting to our north and east by daybreak Saturday.

The trough axis with some associated energy is resulting in a few
snow squalls within the colder northwest flow. These are making
their way east-southeastward across parts of eastern Pennsylvania.
Based on some DOT cameras, a burst of snow with significantly
reduced visibility is occurring along with a quick coating of snow.
This will make travel hazardous for a time. Outside of these, a few
snow showers or flurries are in northwestern New Jersey and into the
Pocono region. All of this activity should weaken and dissipate
through this morning with the passage of the trough aloft and also
due to the combination of dry air and a gradually lowering inversion.

The combination of deep surface low pressure in the vicinity of the
Canadian Maritimes and incoming strong high pressure will maintain a
tight pressure gradient across our region today. This along with
lingering cold air advection will result in efficient vertical
mixing and therefore a gusty west-northwest wind today. As the
surface high gets closer by later this afternoon, the flow within
the mixing layer weakens and therefore the surface winds are
expected to quickly diminish toward the late afternoon hours. Given
the dryness of the air mass, plenty of sunshine is expected although
some stratocumulus should occur at times especially near and
north/west of the I-95 corridor. Some of this is already in our far
western zones early this morning. High temperatures today will be in
the 30s (colder in the Poconos) and with the notable breeze wind
chills will be in the teens and 20s.

As the surface high continues to shift to our north and east
tonight, the zonal flow aloft should allow high to even some mid
level clouds to quickly increase from the west. These should
initially be thin enough to allow ideal radiational cooling for a
time this evening as the wind goes light and variable to calm. The
cloud cover should thicken up overnight as high to mid level
moisture increases. Low temperatures are forecast to be in low to
mid 20s, except teens in the Poconos into northwestern New
Jersey.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The big story for the weekend will be the low pressure system
that will impact the area Saturday into Sunday.

To start the day Saturday, a large area of low pressure will be
centered near Oklahoma with the system's warm front extending well
north and east into Indiana and Kentucky. As the warm front
approaches, expect clouds to quickly lower and thicken with
precipitation developing over the area west to east most likely
through the early to mid afternoon timeframe. This is a slightly
later onset than previous thinking as it will take some time for dry
air in the low levels to become saturated enough for precip. While
the inland track of the low will ultimately put the area on the
system's warm side, indications are there will be enough cold air at
the onset for a front end "thump" of snow that could affect areas
even as far south as the I-95 corridor. As such, expect that the
urban corridor will see precipitation start as snow Saturday
afternoon with the potential for an inch or two of accumulation
before a change to rain occurs here from south to north through the
late afternoon into the evening. Farther north, there will be
greater concerns for wintry precip lasting further into Saturday
night. Getting up towards the I-78 corridor, expect snow to mix with
and change to sleet and freezing rain into Saturday evening with the
potential for several hours of a wintry mix before an eventual
change to rain. It is this zone and areas northward where 2 to 4
inches of snow and sleet is expected with the potential for a tenth
to a quarter in of ice accretion to follow.

Heading into Sunday, all areas should become rain with rain becoming
more showery in nature as much of the area gets into the system's
warm sector. This will allow highs to get into the 50s to even some
low 60s across southern parts of the forecast area while our far
northern zones (southern Poconos and NW NJ) will only see highs in
the upper 30s to low 40s. As the low tracks nearby and then east and
northeast of the area by later Sunday this will drag a cold front
through during the afternoon. Guidance indicates some instability
ahead of this front and the forcing and wind field will also be
quite strong aloft. For this reason, some embedded thunderstorms
will be possible over Delmarva into SE PA and southern NJ and it's
not out of the question these could bring down some stronger winds.
Something we'll have to keep an eye on as we get closer in time to
this event. The other thing we'll have to keep an eye on is rivers.
Generally expect weekend QPF amounts to be 1 to 1.5+ inches which
normally isn't enough for flooding but given the snowmelt
contribution this could tip some points getting into action or even
minor flood stage. The best chances for this appear to be across the
Raritan basin.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
For Sunday night, a strong cold front will be sweeping offshore as
deep low pressure continues pulling away from the region north
and east into the Canadian Maritimes. This will bring drier but
much colder weather along with strong, gusty winds. Forecast
profiles indicate winds of 40-50 knots in the 850-925 mb layer
Sunday night into Monday so think we'll see max wind gusts of at
least 30 to 40 mph, if not stronger, during the Sunday night
and Monday timeframe. Lows Sunday night get down mainly into the
20s (teens north) with highs Monday only in the 20s to low 30s
for most areas. But with the wind, the wind chill will make it
feel much colder.

Cold but dry weather with NW flow will continue to dominate heading
into next Tuesday as the east remains under the influence of a broad
long wave trough with a strong and broad surface highs anchored near
the plains states into the midwest. Beyond this time, things could
get more interesting and active once again as a new storm system
begins to organize near the Gulf coast. This may then track up the
coast and bring the threat of snow to the area by later next
Wednesday into Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today...VFR, however a few heavier snow showers north and west of
KPHL will result in brief MVFR/IFR conditions very early this
morning. Northwest winds around 15 knots with gusts to around 25
knots, then quickly diminishing late in the afternoon. Moderate
confidence.

Tonight...VFR with an increase in clouds. West-northwest winds
quickly diminishing to around 5 knots early, then becoming light and
variable or calm. High confidence.

Outlook...

Saturday and Sunday...Sub-VFR conditions along with rain. Some
areas start as snow or a wintry mix Saturday before changing to
rain. A period of low-level wind shear probable, and west-
southwest to west- northwest winds Sunday gust to around 25
knots.

Monday...VFR. Northwest wind gusts to around 30 knots.

Tuesday...VFR with easing winds.

&&

.MARINE...
A Small Craft Advisory has replaced the Gale Warning as the
strongest winds looked to have already occurred. The northwesterly
flow will weaken through today, and therefore the southern Atlantic
coastal waters and Delaware Bay the advisory goes until 1 PM today
and then until 4 PM north of there. Seas will also subside through
the day given the offshore wind component. The conditions will then
be below Small Craft Advisory criteria through tonight.

Outlook...

Saturday...Small Craft Advisory conditions may develop late at
night.

Sunday...Small Craft Advisory conditions, with Gale conditions
probable at night.

Monday...Gale conditions probable.

Tuesday...Winds diminishing but likely still at Small Craft
Advisory levels.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Winter Weather Advisory from noon Saturday to 1 AM EST Sunday
     for PAZ061-062.
     Winter Weather Advisory from noon to 10 PM EST Saturday for
     PAZ060-103-105.
     Winter Weather Advisory from noon Saturday to 10 AM EST Sunday
     for PAZ054-055.
NJ...Winter Weather Advisory from noon Saturday to 4 AM EST Sunday
     for NJZ001-008.
     Winter Weather Advisory from noon Saturday to 1 AM EST Sunday
     for NJZ007.
     Winter Weather Advisory from noon to 10 PM EST Saturday for
     NJZ009-010.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ430-
     431-453>455.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for
     ANZ450>452.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Fitzsimmons/Gorse
NEAR TERM...Gorse
SHORT TERM...Fitzsimmons
LONG TERM...Fitzsimmons
AVIATION...Fitzsimmons/Gorse
MARINE...Fitzsimmons/Hoeflich/OHara

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 14, 3:03 AM EST, 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
303 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

PAZ060-101>104-140830-
Eastern Montgomery-Western Montgomery-Western Chester-Eastern
Chester-Berks-
303 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...A SNOW SQUALL WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN BERKS...NORTHWESTERN
MONTGOMERY AND NORTHEASTERN CHESTER COUNTIES...

At 300 AM EST, a snow squall was located over the Birdsboro area, or
7 miles southeast of Reading, moving southeast at 30 mph. This will
produce a quick burst of snow and a coating of snow, potentially
resulting in hazardous conditions for a time.

Locations impacted include...
Reading, West Chester, Norristown, Pottstown, Phoenixville, Lansdale,
West Norriton, East Norriton, Wyomissing, Downingtown, Birdsboro,
Collegeville, Royersford, Sinking Spring, Laureldale, Trappe,
Hatfield, Wernersville, Schwenksville, and Elverson.

This includes the following highways...
 Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 298 and 328.
 Northeast Extension between mile markers 23 and 34.
 Interstate 76 in Pennsylvania near mile marker 327.
 Interstate 176 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 1 and 11.

Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this snow
squall. Rapid changes in visibility and slick roads are likely.

LAT...LON 4033 7611 4046 7575 4023 7517 3993 7560
TIME...MOT...LOC 0800Z 306DEG 25KT 4028 7580

Gorse
Special weather statement, Feb 14, 3:22 AM EST, 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
322 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

PAZ061-140845-
Lehigh-
322 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...A SNOW SQUALL WILL AFFECT LEHIGH COUNTY...

At 320 AM EST, a snow squall was located over the New Tripoli area,
or 12 miles south of Lehighton, moving southeast at 25 mph. This
will produce a quick burst of snow and a coating of snow,
potentially resulting in hazardous conditions for a time.

Locations impacted include...
Allentown, Bethlehem, Emmaus, Neffs, Wanamakers, Coffeetown, New
Tripoli, Zionsville, Jordan Valley, Ancient Oaks, Schnecksville,
Claussville, Catasauqua, Fountain Hill, Coplay, Macungie, North
Catasauqua, Coopersburg, Alburtis, and Fullerton.

This includes the following highways...
 Northeast Extension between mile markers 46 and 67.
 Interstate 78 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 45 and 63.

Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this snow
squall. Rapid changes in visibility and slick roads are likely.

LAT...LON 4068 7589 4070 7583 4076 7572 4071 7558
      4061 7539 4059 7539 4058 7541 4054 7533
      4042 7549
TIME...MOT...LOC 0820Z 299DEG 23KT 4065 7573

Gorse
Special weather statement, Feb 14, 3:31 AM EST, 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
331 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

PAZ070-101>104-140900-
Eastern Montgomery-Western Montgomery-Delaware-Western
Chester-Eastern Chester-
331 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...A SNOW SQUALL WILL AFFECT CENTRAL MONTGOMERY...NORTHEASTERN
CHESTER AND NORTH CENTRAL DELAWARE COUNTIES...

At 330 AM EST, a snow squall was located over the Collegeville area,
or 15 miles northeast of West Chester, moving southeast at 35 mph.
This will produce a quick burst of snow and a coating of snow,
potentially resulting in hazardous conditions for a time.

Locations impacted include...
Norristown, Pottstown, Phoenixville, Lansdale, West Norriton, East
Norriton, Conshohocken, Hatboro, Ambler, Collegeville, Royersford,
Trappe, Schwenksville, Pughtown, Radnor Township, Spring Mount, King
Of Prussia, Gilbertsville, Willow Grove, and Valley Forge.

This includes the following highways...
 Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 318 and 344.
 Northeast Extension between mile markers 21 and 30.
 Interstate 76 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 327 and 334.
 Interstate 476 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 12 and 19.

Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this snow
squall. Rapid changes in visibility and slick roads are likely.

LAT...LON 4022 7575 4025 7569 4031 7565 4034 7561
      4017 7508 3998 7542 4020 7577
TIME...MOT...LOC 0830Z 304DEG 31KT 4017 7548

Gorse

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 14, 2:45 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryPHI15 hr
Feb 14, 3:30 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryPHIHunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Warren57 hr
Feb 14, 3:16 PM ESTGale WarningPHI27 hr
Feb 14, 3:16 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryPHI39 hr
Feb 14, 3:03 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMontgomery27 min
Feb 14, 3:22 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementPHILehigh23 min
Feb 14, 3:31 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMontgomery29 min
Feb 14, 3:46 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementPHILehigh29 min
Feb 14, 3:55 AM ESTSnow Squall WarningPHIBucks, Lehigh35 min
Feb 14, 4:28 AM ESTSnow Squall WarningPHIBerks, Bucks, Lehigh, Montgomery47 min

Nearby

Gale Watches in New Jersey, 2025Every gale watch in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.