Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2025

Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS New York, NY

July 31, 2025Orange County, New York

NWS New York, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 31, 2025, 9:09 AM EDT for Orange County, New York. It was in force for 78 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 31, 2025, 9:09 AM EDT (13:09 UTC)
Expired: Jul 31, 2025, 10:27 AM EDT
In force: 78 min
Issued by: NWS New York, NY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

County Orange County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1000 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -70 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 970 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 82 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 31, 8:23 AM EDT, 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 8:23 AM EDT, 46 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 31, 2:16 AM EDT, 6 hours 53 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
216 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

NJZ004-006-103>108-010630-
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-
Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-
216 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-010630-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-Orange-Putnam-
Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-
New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-
Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-
Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-
Southern Nassau-
216 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-010630-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
216 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time that would meet NWS
warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 31, 6:18 AM EDT, 2 hours 51 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
618 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

NYZ067-311100-
Orange NY-
618 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY THROUGH 700
AM EDT...

At 618 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Vernon Valley, or near Warwick, moving northeast
at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Newburgh, Middletown, Walden, Warwick, Goshen, New Windsor,
Gardnertown, Chester, Montgomery, Florida, Unionville, Kiryas Joel,
Scotchtown, Orange Lake, and Mechanicstown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4153 7399 4146 7400 4144 7399 4121 7438
      4131 7460 4161 7431
TIME...MOT...LOC 1018Z 216DEG 14KT 4130 7447

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

JE

Special weather statement, Jul 31, 7:39 AM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
739 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

NYZ067-311230-
Orange NY-
739 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY
THROUGH 830 AM EDT...

At 739 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Milford, or near Montague, moving northeast at 15
mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Port Jervis, Huguenot, and Deerpark.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4150 7472 4138 7453 4133 7463 4135 7469
      4136 7470 4137 7469 4138 7471 4139 7471
      4140 7474 4143 7474 4143 7476 4146 7476
      4146 7475 4149 7476
TIME...MOT...LOC 1139Z 220DEG 14KT 4137 7487

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

JE

Special weather statement, Jul 31, 8:02 AM EDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
802 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

NYZ067-311245-
Orange NY-
802 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN ORANGE COUNTY THROUGH
845 AM EDT...

At 801 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Middletown, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Newburgh, Middletown, Walden, Goshen, Howells, New Windsor,
Gardnertown, Montgomery, Cuddebackville, Otisville, Scotchtown,
Deerpark, Orange Lake, Mechanicstown, and Washingtonville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4150 7448 4157 7442 4163 7425 4160 7425
      4158 7413 4161 7413 4160 7409 4161 7407
      4158 7405 4158 7402 4154 7399 4153 7400
      4145 7400 4132 7449 4149 7472
TIME...MOT...LOC 1201Z 281DEG 28KT 4140 7448

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

DBR

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 31, 1:52 AM EDT	Small Craft Advisory	OKX		48 hr
Jul 31, 6:18 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	OKX	Orange	42 min
Jul 31, 7:39 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	OKX	Orange	51 min
Jul 31, 8:02 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	OKX	Orange	43 min
Jul 31, 8:05 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OKX	Orange	35 min
Jul 31, 8:40 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	OKX	Orange	2 hr
Jul 31, 1:08 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OKX	Orange	3 hr
Jul 31, 1:57 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OKX	Suffolk	93 min
Jul 31, 2:05 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	OKX	Suffolk	40 min
Jul 31, 2:19 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OKX	Bronx, Nassau, New York, Queens	86 min
Jul 31, 2:27 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	OKX	Bronx, Nassau, New York, Queens	3 hr
Jul 31, 2:34 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OKX	Kings, Queens, Richmond	41 min
Jul 31, 2:35 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	OKX		55 min
Jul 31, 2:39 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OKX	Suffolk	116 min
Jul 31, 3:00 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	OKX	Bronx	45 min
Jul 31, 3:07 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	OKX	Kings, New York, Richmond	3 hr
Jul 31, 3:46 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	OKX	Nassau	2 hr
Jul 31, 4:01 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OKX	Suffolk	35 min
Jul 31, 4:33 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	OKX	Suffolk	5 hr
Jul 31, 5:53 PM EDT	Rip Current Statement	OKX	Kings, Nassau, Queens, Suffolk	27 hr
Jul 31, 1:41 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OKX	Essex, Hudson, Union	2 hr
Jul 31, 1:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OKX	Essex, Union	49 min
Jul 31, 1:52 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	OKX	Essex, Union	2 hr
Jul 31, 2:12 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	OKX	Essex	48 min
Jul 31, 2:17 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OKX	Bergen, Essex, Passaic	108 min
Jul 31, 2:29 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	OKX	Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic	108 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2025 Every flash flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.