Severe Thunderstorm Warning 89, NWS Mobile, AL

824 
WWUS54 KMOB 272244
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
Issued by National Weather Service New Orleans LA
544 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

MSC153-272253-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-250527T2300Z/
Wayne MS-
544 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN WAYNE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled. However, small hail and 
gusty winds are still possible with thunderstorms in portions of 
Wayne County.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southeastern Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3168 8894 3183 8894 3183 8878 3179 8867
      3163 8885 3163 8895 3168 8895
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 218DEG 7KT 3174 8889 

$$

Zeringue

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
Issued by National Weather Service New Orleans LA
218 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

...New Discussion, Marine, Fire Weather...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 154 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

The decaying MCS that entered the area this morning has continued to
track east and is beginning to feel the increasing shear from the
weak shortwave trough axis to the west currently lifting out of the
lower Mississippi River Basin. As such, new updrafts have gradually
grown more organized over portions of Conecuh, Butler, Covington,
and Crenshaw counties. These storms are capable of hail up to
quarter size and damaging winds. Given the lack of low-level wind
shear in the lowest km and best shear divorced from the main
boundary axis, it is unlikely that a tornado would develop in this
environment from a single cell storm. However, a couple of brief
spin ups cannot be ruled out over the aforementioned counties in the
next few hours though this would likely need to be derived from an
organized bowing segment from congealing storms as we're currently
seeing near Crenshaw county.

By around 4PM we will be saying goodbye to this MCS and pivoting
our attention back to the west where some CAM guidance has hinted
at the potential for redevelopment of showers and storms across
southern MS which will largely be a damaging wind and hail threat
with isolated severe storms. These storms would enter the area
around 7PM through 11PM this evening. As this secondary line
pushes through the southern flank may "lay down" more west to east
as it gets left behind allowing showers and storms to linger
along the AL and western FL Panhandle coastal areas into the
overnight hours.

Each successive day in the forecast becomes increasingly uncertain
as the MCS parade and the subsequent multiple interpretations by CAM
guidance in how to initialize it affects the latest forecasts. As of
right now, the forecast leans towards the latest guidance highlight
largely coastal, sea-breeze induced convection during the day
Wednesday. However, the global model guidance are in agreement that
yet another MCS will push from west to east along the northern Gulf
Coast on Wednesday afternoon driven by a another weak shortwave
within the WSW mid-upper flow. This MCS would arrive into the area
in the evening hours, but the longevity and severity of this line is
uncertain at this time, but generally straight hodographs and
spatially limited surface-based instability would keep the severe
weather threat closer to the coast with this wave.

Thursday through Monday... Yet another leading shortwave trough
within the WSW flow will help to kick off more showers and storms
during the day on Thursday which will provide another threat for
isolated severe thunderstorms capable of large hail and damaging
winds primarily. But wait! There's more. The broad cut-off trough
over the central CONUS that will have been meandering for days
will finally dig across the southeastern CONUS delivering a
welcomed late- spring shot of cold air with a cold front. This
boundary will likely deliver widespread showers and storms across
the area though the severe threat is a bit murky by this range.

Through the weekend, northerly winds will knock dew point
temperatures back into the low 60s for much of the area and
temperatures on Friday and Saturday will be near 5 to 10 degrees
below average.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

A line of showers and storms continues to track across the area
from west to east. While some of these pop up thunderstorms along
the coast could produce brief downpours, lightning, and gusty
winds, the severe storm threat will remain north of I-10 and east
of I-65 this afternoon. Largely VFR to MVFR CIGs through the
remainder of the day with prevailing southerly winds. Another
round of showers and storms could develop this afternoon and
provide a brief impacts to terminals around 00-04 UTC, but storm
coverage is uncertain so PROB30s are added just to acknowledge
this potential.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 154 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

A light to occasionally moderate onshore flow of 5 to
15 knots will prevail through Thursday, becoming westerly and
then northerly Friday into the weekend as a frontal system pushes
through the area. Wave heights will remain below 3 feet through
the Thursday, near 3 feet offshore on Friday, and then returning
to 1-2 feet through the weekend. Winds and seas will be locally
higher at times due to thunderstorms each night through Friday.
High pressure sets in and onshore flow gradually returns this
weekend and into next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 154 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

A soggy forecast with high RH values ahead with rounds of showers
and storms each day through Friday. Winds will be as high as
10-15 mph with gusts up to 20-25 mph during the daytime out of the
south, then westerly on Friday, then northerly this weekend.
Ground fog predominantly over rain-saturated, low-lying areas
would be the primary concern, but this radiation type fog will be
quick to lift out. High pressure sets in behind the cold front on
Saturday and drier conditions prevail this weekend and into next
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      70  88  70  84  69  85  62  84 /  30  70  40  90  40  70  10  10
Pensacola   74  87  74  84  74  85  66  83 /  30  50  30  80  60  70  30  10
Destin      76  88  76  85  76  85  68  85 /  20  40  30  80  60  70  30  10
Evergreen   68  89  68  86  67  83  59  85 /  30  60  40  90  50  70  10  10
Waynesboro  66  86  67  82  67  81  59  82 /  40  60  50  90  40  60  10  10
Camden      66  85  68  82  66  80  59  81 /  50  50  50  90  50  70  10  10
Crestview   69  90  70  87  69  85  60  86 /  30  70  30  90  50  80  20  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
Issued by National Weather Service New Orleans LA
101 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

ALZ056>058-060-271900-
Conecuh AL-Butler AL-Covington AL-Crenshaw AL-
101 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BUTLER...CRENSHAW...EASTERN
CONECUH AND NORTHERN COVINGTON COUNTIES THROUGH 200 PM CDT...

At 100 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Lowndes County Airport to 7 miles
southeast of Evergreen. Movement was east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
I65 And US 84, Gantt, Greenville, Andalusia, River Falls, Glenwood,
Highland Home, Petrey, Opp, Rutledge, Brantley, McKenzie, Dozier,
Georgiana, Luverne, Red Level, Heath, and Evergreen.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
south central Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3153 8619 3120 8620 3133 8711 3196 8671
      3197 8641 3205 8640 3205 8630 3196 8630
      3196 8619 3188 8618 3179 8620 3179 8615
      3166 8615 3162 8618 3162 8615 3160 8614
      3154 8614
TIME...MOT...LOC 1800Z 271DEG 27KT 3195 8656 3135 8688

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Zeringue

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
Issued by National Weather Service New Orleans LA
119 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

ALZ059-060-271900-
Covington AL-Escambia AL-
119 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ESCAMBIA AND
SOUTHWESTERN COVINGTON COUNTIES THROUGH 200 PM CDT...

At 119 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles northwest of Laurel Hill, or 21 miles southwest of Andalusia,
moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern
Escambia and southwestern Covington Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
south central Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3123 8642 3099 8664 3099 8670 3102 8679
      3119 8675 3120 8674 3118 8672 3119 8672
      3119 8670 3127 8670
TIME...MOT...LOC 1819Z 203DEG 23KT 3106 8671

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Zeringue

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
Issued by National Weather Service New Orleans LA
205 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

ALZ058-271945-
Crenshaw AL-
205 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CRENSHAW COUNTY
THROUGH 245 PM CDT...

At 205 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles south of Brantley, or 13 miles south of Luverne, moving east at
25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Brantley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
south central Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3154 8615 3153 8619 3146 8620 3147 8628
      3153 8628 3153 8630 3149 8635 3157 8635
      3163 8618 3162 8618 3162 8615
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 257DEG 22KT 3152 8627

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Zeringue

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
Issued by National Weather Service New Orleans LA
207 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

ALZ058-060-271945-
Covington AL-Crenshaw AL-
207 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL CRENSHAW AND
NORTHEASTERN COVINGTON COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM CDT...

At 207 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 4 miles east of Dozier to 7 miles southwest of
Opp. Movement was east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Opp.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
south central Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8643 3149 8636 3149 8634 3153 8630
      3153 8628 3151 8619 3119 8619
TIME...MOT...LOC 1907Z 254DEG 27KT 3150 8629 3122 8637

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Zeringue

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mobile AL
247 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0221 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     6 WSW Andalusia         31.27N 86.58W
05/27/2025                   Covington          AL   Emergency Mngr

            Trees down on Mill Creek, Grider Mock, and
            Salem Church Roads. Some of the trees fell
            on power lines.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
Issued by National Weather Service New Orleans LA
513 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

MSZ067-272300-
Wayne MS-
513 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN WAYNE COUNTY
THROUGH 600 PM CDT...

At 513 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mill Creek, or 13 miles east of Laurel, moving north at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Wayne
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southeastern Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3182 8894 3183 8880 3181 8872 3162 8884
      3163 8894
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 198DEG 7KT 3170 8893

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Zeringue