Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2025
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 82, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 30, 2025, 10:11 PM CDT for Tunica County, Mississippi; Crittenden County, Lee County, St. Francis County, Arkansas. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 30, 2025, 10:11 PM CDT (03:11 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 30, 2025, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 49 min
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Tornado
- Possible
- Hail
- 1.5 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Crittenden County, AR, Lee County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Tunica County, MS
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2:35 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2351 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -7 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1325 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 238 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 291 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.5
- Supercell composite
- 16.2
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 30, 8:49 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 845 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 -Severe thunderstorms will move through the Mid-South this evening through the early morning hours on Monday. Damaging winds, tornadoes, large hail and flash flooding will be possible. -Dry and cool conditions are forecast Monday and Tuesday. -An active weather pattern will reemerge Wednesday and persist through next weekend. Multiple rounds of strong thunderstorms will produce potential for significant flooding, especially along and north of Interstate 40. In addition, thunderstorms may bring damaging winds and tornadoes. By the end of next weekend, 7 to 12 inches of rainfall is expected north of Interstate 40, with 3 to 7 inches to the south.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 30, 8:49 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 849 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 ...New UPDATE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 845 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 -Severe thunderstorms will move through the Mid-South this evening through the early morning hours on Monday. Damaging winds, tornadoes, large hail and flash flooding will be possible. -Dry and cool conditions are forecast Monday and Tuesday. -An active weather pattern will reemerge Wednesday and persist through next weekend. Multiple rounds of strong thunderstorms will produce potential for significant flooding, especially along and north of Interstate 40. In addition, thunderstorms may bring damaging winds and tornadoes. By the end of next weekend, 7 to 12 inches of rainfall is expected north of Interstate 40, with 3 to 7 inches to the south. && .UPDATE... Issued at 845 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Severe thunderstorms continue to track east across portions of east Arkansas and west Tennessee. Have cleared portions of northeast Arkansas and the Missouri bootheel from Tornado Watch 72. Added counties in west Tennessee to Tornado Watch 78 which expires at 3:00 AM CDT Monday morning. Remainder of forecast looks good. ARS && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Saturday) Issued at 345 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Primary concern remains short term severe weather threat. Several hours of clearing over AR have allowed surface-based CAPE to build in excess of 3000 J/kg, as measured by the 18Z LZK sounding. This sounding also showed an elevated mixed layer (EML), yielding very steep midlevel lapse rates of 9.3 C/km. Deep moist convection has been capped thus far by the EML, but this capping should weaken as the EML translates east in tandem with an approaching midlevel trough. The LZK sounding measured 0-3km SRH of 180 m2/s2, but this should increase with the development of a 45KT low level jet over the delta after 22Z. This low level jet will largely be responsible for Energy Helicity Index (EHI) and Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) ramping up over delta by sunset. 18Z HRRR depicts the STP increasing to 5-8 over the Memphis metro between 8-10PM CDT / 01-03Z. STP values this high indicate a potential for strong, long-track tornadoes. By midnight, convection mode will transition to quasi-linear, as a midlevel shortwave lifts eastward into the Ohio River Valley. Orientation of the QLCS will roughly orient parallel to I-40, as it sinks south into north MS after midnight. Wind threat will likely increase over north MS during the overnight, with the approach of an upstream shortwave trough from TX. Post- midnight HRRR hodographs over northeast MS indicate a likelihood of embedded supercells and tornadoes through 3-4 AM. Relatively quiet zonal flow aloft will prevail Monday and Tuesday. By Tuesday night, low level return flow will develop and intensify under increasingly diffluent flow aloft. By Wednesday afternoon, a longwave trough will occupy the western two-thirds of the CONUS. The Midsouth will remain under southwest flow aloft, situated between the longwave trough and a 589 DM 500mb Bermuda high. This setup will prevail through late week, slowly becoming more amplified. A belt of midlevel Pacific tropical moisture will combine with surface dewpoints in the 60s to produce PWAT values around 2 inches over the Midsouth, at the maximum value of climatology. A quasi-stationary surface front will extend across AR into the lower OH River Valley, oscillating as a series of shortwaves eject from the western trough. Multiple rain events will combine to produce weekly rainfall totals of 7 to 12 inches north of I-40, and 3 to 7 inches to the south. In addition to a river and areal flooding threat, damaging winds will be possible. In particular, Wednesday stands out, with LREF mean surface based CAPE of 2000 J/kg and mean 0-3 km SRH of 270 m2/s2 along and south of I-40. By late next weekend into early the following week, a deepening northern branch longwave trough over the eastern CONUS will displace the tropical moisture fetch and allow a relatively strong surface cold front to pass. The cooler and drier conditions will prevail for several days as we wrap up the first week of April. PWB && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 607 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 A line of showers and thunderstorms will sweep across the Midsouth this evening, lasting through the overnight hours. 01-03Z at JBR, 04z at MKL and MEM, and 07-08z at TUP looks to the the greatest impact although storms could develop ahead of the main line. Showers will likely continue behind the line. IFR to MVFR cigs are likely through the night. South to southwest winds around 15 kts tonight will shift from the northwest before sunrise at around 10kts. VFR conditions will prevail at all sites after 15z tomorrow. && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && PUBLIC FORECAST...PWB AVIATION...JDS
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 30, 9:28 PM CDT, 43 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
928 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0825 PM Hail Marked Tree 35.53N 90.42W
03/30/2025 E2.50 Inch Poinsett AR Public
photo of very large hail from Marked Tree.
time is radar estimated.
&&Local storm report, Mar 30, 9:49 PM CDT, 22 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
949 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0936 PM Hail Gadsden 35.78N 88.98W
03/30/2025 E1.50 Inch Crockett TN Emergency Mngr
EMS Director reported just below golf ball
size hail east of Gadsden TN within Crockett
County.
&&Local storm report, Mar 30, 9:53 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
953 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0952 PM Hail Lucy 35.32N 89.79W
03/30/2025 E0.88 Inch Shelby TN Amateur Radio
&&Local storm report, Mar 30, 9:55 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
955 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0954 PM Hail 3 NNE Jackson 35.67N 88.81W
03/30/2025 E1.25 Inch Madison TN Trained Spotter
&&Local storm report, Mar 30, 10:03 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1003 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0955 PM Hail 2 ENE Dixonville 35.44N 89.71W
03/30/2025 E1.00 Inch Tipton TN Public
&&Local storm report, Mar 30, 10:11 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1011 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1010 PM Hail Ellendale 35.23N 89.83W
03/30/2025 E1.50 Inch Shelby TN Public
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 7:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lake | 38 min |
| Mar 30, 7:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dyer, Gibson, Lake, Obion, Weakley | 45 min |
| Mar 30, 7:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dyer, Lauderdale, Tipton | 46 min |
| Mar 30, 8:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Tipton | 52 min |
| Mar 30, 8:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crockett, Dyer, Haywood, Lauderdale, Tipton | 44 min |
| Mar 30, 8:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Shelby, Tipton | 39 min |
| Mar 30, 9:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Gibson, Henry, Weakley | 44 min |
| Mar 30, 9:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Gibson, Haywood, Henderson and 1 more | 46 min |
| Mar 30, 9:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Henry | 53 min |
| Mar 30, 9:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Shelby, Tipton | 47 min |
| Mar 30, 9:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Haywood, Henderson, Madison | 48 min |
| Mar 30, 10:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Hardeman, Shelby | 42 min |
| Mar 30, 10:08 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MEG | Shelby | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 10:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Decatur, Henderson, Madison | 50 min |
| Mar 30, 10:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, McNairy, Madison | 40 min |
| Mar 30, 10:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Fayette, Hardeman, McNairy, Madison | 46 min |
| Mar 30, 11:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Fayette, Hardeman, Hardin, McNairy | 60 min |
| Mar 31, 12:31 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Hardeman, Hardin, McNairy | 44 min |
| Mar 31, 1:15 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Hardin | 45 min |
| Mar 31, 2:30 PM CDT | Flood Watch | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer and 15 more | 6 days |
| Mar 30, 10:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Tate, Tunica | 47 min |
| Mar 30, 11:39 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Benton, Tippah | 38 min |
| Mar 30, 11:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Tate | 48 min |
| Mar 31, 1:15 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Prentiss, Tippah, Union | 45 min |
| Mar 31, 1:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 62 min |
| Mar 31, 2:02 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MEG | Alcorn | 118 min |
| Mar 31, 3:23 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Panola, Quitman | 26 min |
| Mar 31, 3:55 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha | 50 min |
| Mar 31, 4:38 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw | 52 min |
| Mar 31, 5:04 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba | 26 min |
| Mar 31, 5:10 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc | 65 min |
| Mar 31, 5:48 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Monroe | 19 min |
| Mar 30, 7:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Craighead, Greene | 38 min |
| Mar 30, 7:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Poinsett | 43 min |
| Mar 30, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett | 45 min |
| Mar 30, 7:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Mississippi, Poinsett | 29 min |
| Mar 30, 9:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | St. Francis | 42 min |
| Mar 30, 9:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Lee, St. Francis | 37 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2025Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2025Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2025
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.