Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2025

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Memphis, TN

March 30, 2025Dyer County, Lauderdale County, Tipton County, Tennessee; Craighead County, Mississippi County, Poinsett County, Arkansas

NWS Memphis, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 30, 2025, 7:59 PM CDT for Dyer County, Lauderdale County, Tipton County, Tennessee; Craighead County, Mississippi County, Poinsett County, Arkansas. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 30, 2025, 7:59 PM CDT (00:59 UTC)
Expired
Mar 30, 2025, 8:45 PM CDT
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Possible
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Craighead County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Dyer County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Tipton County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 30, 2:35 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2025-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2351 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2025-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 238 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2351 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1325 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
238 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
291 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.5
Supercell composite
16.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 30, 6:18 PM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Updated at 607 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 -Severe thunderstorms will move through the Mid-South this evening through the early morning hours on Monday. Damaging winds, tornadoes, large hail and flash flooding will be possible. -Dry and cool conditions are forecast Monday and Tuesday. -An active weather pattern will reemerge Wednesday and persist through next weekend. Multiple rounds of strong thunderstorms will produce potential for significant flooding, especially along and north of Interstate 40. In addition, thunderstorms may bring damaging winds and tornadoes. By the end of next weekend, 7 to 12 inches of rainfall is expected north of Interstate 40, with 3 to 7 inches to the south.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 30, 6:18 PM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
618 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 607 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

-Severe thunderstorms will move through the Mid-South this evening
 through the early morning hours on Monday. Damaging winds,
 tornadoes, large hail and flash flooding will be possible.

-Dry and cool conditions are forecast Monday and Tuesday.

-An active weather pattern will reemerge Wednesday and persist
 through next weekend. Multiple rounds of strong thunderstorms
 will produce potential for significant flooding, especially along
 and north of Interstate 40. In addition, thunderstorms may bring
 damaging winds and tornadoes. By the end of next weekend, 7 to
 12 inches of rainfall is expected north of Interstate 40, with 3
 to 7 inches to the south.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Saturday)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

Primary concern remains short term severe weather threat.
Several hours of clearing over AR have allowed surface-based CAPE
to build in excess of 3000 J/kg, as measured by the 18Z LZK
sounding. This sounding also showed an elevated mixed layer (EML),
yielding very steep midlevel lapse rates of 9.3 C/km. Deep moist
convection has been capped thus far by the EML, but this capping
should weaken as the EML translates east in tandem with an
approaching midlevel trough. The LZK sounding measured 0-3km SRH
of 180 m2/s2, but this should increase with the development of a
45KT low level jet over the delta after 22Z. This low level jet
will largely be responsible for Energy Helicity Index (EHI) and
Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) ramping up over delta by
sunset. 18Z HRRR depicts the STP increasing to 5-8 over the
Memphis metro between 8-10PM CDT / 01-03Z. STP values this high
indicate a potential for strong, long-track tornadoes.

By midnight, convection mode will transition to quasi-linear,
as a midlevel shortwave lifts eastward into the Ohio River
Valley. Orientation of the QLCS will roughly orient parallel to
I-40, as it sinks south into north MS after midnight. Wind threat
will likely increase over north MS during the overnight, with
the approach of an upstream shortwave trough from TX. Post-
midnight HRRR hodographs over northeast MS indicate a likelihood
of embedded supercells and tornadoes through 3-4 AM.

Relatively quiet zonal flow aloft will prevail Monday and Tuesday.
By Tuesday night, low level return flow will develop and intensify
under increasingly diffluent flow aloft. By Wednesday afternoon,
a longwave trough will occupy the western two-thirds of the CONUS.
The Midsouth will remain under southwest flow aloft, situated
between the longwave trough and a 589 DM 500mb Bermuda high.
This setup will prevail through late week, slowly becoming more
amplified. A belt of midlevel Pacific tropical moisture will
combine with surface dewpoints in the 60s to produce PWAT values
around 2 inches over the Midsouth, at the maximum value of
climatology. A quasi-stationary surface front will extend across
AR into the lower OH River Valley, oscillating as a series of
shortwaves eject from the western trough. Multiple rain events
will combine to produce weekly rainfall totals of 7 to 12 inches
north of I-40, and 3 to 7 inches to the south. In addition to a
river and areal flooding threat, damaging winds will be possible.
In particular, Wednesday stands out, with LREF mean surface based
CAPE of 2000 J/kg and mean 0-3 km SRH of 270 m2/s2 along and south
of I-40.

By late next weekend into early the following week, a deepening
northern branch longwave trough over the eastern CONUS will
displace the tropical moisture fetch and allow a relatively strong
surface cold front to pass. The cooler and drier conditions will
prevail for several days as we wrap up the first week of April.

PWB

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

A line of showers and thunderstorms will sweep across the Midsouth
this evening, lasting through the overnight hours. 01-03Z at JBR,
04z at MKL and MEM, and 07-08z at TUP looks to the the greatest
impact although storms could develop ahead of the main line.
Showers will likely continue behind the line. IFR to MVFR cigs are
likely through the night. South to southwest winds around 15 kts
tonight will shift from the northwest before sunrise at around
10kts. VFR conditions will prevail at all sites after 15z
tomorrow.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

PUBLIC FORECAST...PWB
AVIATION...JDS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 30, 6:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
623 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     Hail             4 ESE Peach Orchard     36.25N 90.60W
03/30/2025  E1.75 Inch       Greene             AR   Public

            Report of golf ball size hail south of
            highway 90 along highway 141 east of Knobel.

&&

CMA
Local storm report, Mar 30, 6:32 PM CDT, 1 hour 27 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
632 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0632 PM     Hail             Piggott                 36.38N 90.20W
03/30/2025  E1.75 Inch       Clay               AR   Public

            Golf ball size hail in Piggott, AR.

&&

CMA
Local storm report, Mar 30, 6:41 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
641 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0619 PM     Hail             2 S Malden              36.56N 89.97W
03/30/2025  E1.00 Inch       Dunklin            MO   Public

            Report of hail the size of quarters near
            Malden.

&&

CMA
Local storm report, Mar 30, 6:58 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
658 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0658 PM     Hail             2 E Egypt               35.87N 90.89W
03/30/2025  E1.00 Inch       Craighead          AR   Public

            Report of quarter size hail 2 miles east of
            Egypt.

&&

CMA
Local storm report, Mar 30, 7:02 PM CDT, 57 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
702 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0643 PM     Hail             Corning                 36.41N 90.59W
03/30/2025  E2.00 Inch       Clay               AR   Public

            Report of golf ball to egg size hail.

&&

CMA
Local storm report, Mar 30, 7:16 PM CDT, 43 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
716 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     Hail             Bono                    35.91N 90.80W
03/30/2025  E1.00 Inch       Craighead          AR   Public

            Nickel to quarter size hail in Bono.

&&

CMA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 7:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatMEGLake38 min
Mar 30, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDyer, Gibson, Lake, Obion, Weakley45 min
Mar 30, 8:08 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGTipton52 min
Mar 30, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Dyer, Haywood, Lauderdale, Tipton44 min
Mar 30, 8:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatMEGShelby, Tipton39 min
Mar 30, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Gibson, Henry, Weakley44 min
Mar 30, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Chester, Crockett, Gibson, Haywood, Henderson and 1 more46 min
Mar 30, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Henry53 min
Mar 30, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Shelby, Tipton47 min
Mar 30, 9:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Chester, Crockett, Haywood, Henderson, Madison48 min
Mar 30, 10:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Hardeman, Shelby42 min
Mar 30, 10:08 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMEGShelby4 hr
Mar 30, 10:10 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGDecatur, Henderson, Madison50 min
Mar 30, 10:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, McNairy, Madison40 min
Mar 30, 10:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Fayette, Hardeman, McNairy, Madison46 min
Mar 30, 11:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Fayette, Hardeman, Hardin, McNairy60 min
Mar 31, 12:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGHardeman, Hardin, McNairy44 min
Mar 31, 1:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGHardin45 min
Mar 31, 2:30 PM CDTFlood WatchMEGBenton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer and 15 more6 days
Mar 30, 10:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGTunica49 min
Mar 30, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDeSoto, Tate, Tunica47 min
Mar 30, 11:39 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGAlcorn, Benton, Tippah38 min
Mar 30, 11:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDeSoto, Tate48 min
Mar 31, 1:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Prentiss, Tippah, Union45 min
Mar 31, 1:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Prentiss, Tishomingo62 min
Mar 31, 2:02 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMEGAlcorn118 min
Mar 31, 3:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPanola, Quitman26 min
Mar 31, 3:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha50 min
Mar 31, 4:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw52 min
Mar 31, 5:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba26 min
Mar 31, 5:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc65 min
Mar 31, 5:48 AM CDTTornado WarningMEGItawamba, Monroe19 min
Mar 30, 7:07 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCraighead, Greene38 min
Mar 30, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Poinsett43 min
Mar 30, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett45 min
Mar 30, 7:41 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGMississippi, Poinsett29 min
Mar 30, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGSt. Francis42 min
Mar 30, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatMEGCrittenden, Lee, St. Francis37 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2025Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2025Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.