Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2025

River Flood Warning 64, NWS St. Louis, MO

July 27, 2025Calhoun County, Illinois; Lincoln County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Jul 27, 2025, 11:11 AM CDT for Calhoun County, Illinois; Lincoln County, Missouri. It took effect at Jul 27, 2025, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 63 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2025, 11:11 AM CDT (16:11 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 27, 2025, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired
Jul 30, 2025, 9:41 AM CDT
In force
63 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Calhoun County, IL, Lincoln County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Mississippi River at Winfield Lock and Dam 25 (CAGM7).

Action stage
24 ft
Minor stage
26 ft
Moderate stage
30 ft
Major stage
34 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05513675, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

017 
WGUS43 KLSX 271611
FLWLSX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1111 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

...The National Weather Service in St Louis has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Illinois...Missouri...

  Mississippi River at Hannibal.

  Mississippi River at Winfield.

  Mississippi River at Saverton.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

ILC149-MOC127-290415-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0063.250727T1701Z-250731T2100Z/
/HNNM7.1.ER.250727T1701Z.250728T1800Z.250730T1500Z.NO/
1111 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Hannibal.

* WHEN...Until Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, The northern end of Southside Recreation 
  #2 Park along Bear Creek begins flooding at this height. Gate 
  wells are shut down to prevent the sewers from backing up.  Also 
  at this level pumps are set to standby.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 16.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this afternoon to a crest of 18.3 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late Wednesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Mississippi River
  Hannibal         17.0    16.8    18.2  18.2  17.2  16.1  15.6



&&

LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9132
      3969 9134 3968 9139 3971 9136


$$

ILC013-MOC113-290415-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0064.250728T0000Z-250802T1200Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.250728T0000Z.250730T0000Z.250801T0600Z.NO/
1111 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Winfield.

* WHEN...From this evening to Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 28.3 feet, Near this height, Lakeview Drive becomes 
  impassable and Kampville Road begins flooding in northern St. 
  Charles County.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 25.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this evening to a crest of 28.2 feet Tuesday evening. It will
    then fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Mississippi River
  Winfield         26.0    25.2    26.5  27.9  28.2  27.2  25.6



&&

LAT...LON 3925 9083 3925 9071 3912 9065 3896 9065
      3888 9057 3880 9057 3885 9073 3910 9076


$$

ILC149-MOC173-290415-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0065.250728T0200Z-250731T1800Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.250728T0200Z.250729T0000Z.250730T1200Z.NO/
1111 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Saverton.

* WHEN...From this evening to Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 15.5 feet, An access road to riverside raised homes 
  on the riverward side of the Sny levee begins to flood near this 
  level.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 14.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 17.1 feet tomorrow evening.
    It will then fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Mississippi River
  Saverton         16.0    14.9    16.8  17.1  16.0  14.4  13.7



&&

LAT...LON 3967 9132 3974 9121 3970 9114 3953 9099
      3946 9110 3960 9122


$$

Fuchs
7 follow-up statements
728 
WGUS83 KLSX 280251
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
951 PM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...Missouri...

  Mississippi River at Saverton.

  Mississippi River at Winfield.

  Mississippi River at Clarksville.

  Mississippi River at Louisiana.

  Mississippi River at Hannibal.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

ILC149-MOC173-291500-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-250731T0600Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.250728T1000Z.250729T0000Z.250730T0000Z.NO/
951 PM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Saverton.

* WHEN...Until late Wednesday night.

* IMPACTS...At 15.5 feet, An access road to riverside raised homes 
  on the riverward side of the Sny levee begins to flood near this 
  level.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 15.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tonight to a crest of 16.4 feet tomorrow evening. It
    will then fall below flood stage Tuesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Mississippi River
  Saverton         16.0    15.6    16.4  15.5  14.2  13.5  13.1



&&

LAT...LON 3967 9132 3974 9121 3970 9114 3953 9099
      3946 9110 3960 9122


$$

ILC013-MOC113-291500-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-250802T1000Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.250728T0600Z.250729T1800Z.250801T0400Z.NO/
951 PM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Winfield.

* WHEN...Until late Friday night.

* IMPACTS...At 27.5 feet, At this stage, Lock and Dam 25 will 
  stockpile 200 tons of sand, 12,000 sandbags, and 10,000 square 
  feet of polyethylene plastic as a precaution.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 25.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    just after midnight tonight to a crest of 27.6 feet early
    Tuesday afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late
    Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Mississippi River
  Winfield         26.0    25.9    27.5  27.4  26.6  25.5  24.3



&&

LAT...LON 3925 9083 3925 9071 3912 9065 3896 9065
      3888 9057 3880 9057 3885 9073 3910 9076


$$

ILC013-MOC163-291500-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-250802T0600Z/
/CLKM7.1.ER.250727T1418Z.250729T0000Z.250801T0000Z.NO/
951 PM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Clarksville.

* WHEN...Until late Friday night.

* IMPACTS...At 27.2 feet, Silo Park just northwest of Clarksville 
  off Highway 79 begins flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 25.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:30 PM CDT Sunday was 25.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.9
    feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 25.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Mississippi River
  Clarksville      25.0    25.8    26.8  26.4  25.5  24.5  23.9



&&

LAT...LON 3939 9097 3946 9088 3940 9081 3932 9075
      3925 9071 3925 9083 3930 9090 3932 9088
      3936 9092 3935 9095


$$

ILC149-MOC163-291500-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-250801T1800Z/
/LUSM7.1.ER.250727T1445Z.250728T1800Z.250731T1200Z.NO/
951 PM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Louisiana.

* WHEN...Until Friday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, The parking area at the boat house floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 15.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:30 PM CDT Sunday was 15.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.5
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage Thursday morning.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Mississippi River
  Louisiana        15.0    15.8    16.3  15.9  15.0  14.1  13.7



&&

LAT...LON 3946 9110 3953 9099 3946 9088 3939 9097
      3941 9100 3939 9103


$$

ILC149-MOC127-291500-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-250731T2100Z/
/HNNM7.1.ER.250727T1741Z.250728T1800Z.250730T1500Z.NO/
951 PM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Hannibal.

* WHEN...Until Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, The northern end of Southside Recreation 
  #2 Park along Bear Creek begins flooding at this height. Gate 
  wells are shut down to prevent the sewers from backing up.  Also 
  at this level pumps are set to standby.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 17.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:15 PM CDT Sunday was 17.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.9
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage late Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Mississippi River
  Hannibal         17.0    17.5    17.9  17.2  16.1  15.6  15.4



&&

LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9132
      3969 9134 3968 9139 3971 9136


$$

Walsh
133 
WGUS83 KLSX 281714
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1214 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...Missouri...

  Mississippi River at Saverton.

  Mississippi River at Winfield.

  Mississippi River at Hannibal.

  Mississippi River at Clarksville.

  Mississippi River at Louisiana.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

ILC149-MOC173-300300-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-250730T0300Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.250728T1000Z.250728T1800Z.250728T2100Z.NO/
1214 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Saverton.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 15.5 feet, An access road to riverside raised homes 
  on the riverward side of the Sny levee begins to flood near this 
  level.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 16.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:00 AM CDT Monday was 16.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.1
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late
    this afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Mississippi River
  Saverton         16.0    16.1    15.6  14.6  13.8  13.5  13.1



&&

LAT...LON 3967 9132 3974 9121 3970 9114 3953 9099
      3946 9110 3960 9122


$$

ILC013-MOC113-300515-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-250801T2000Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.250728T0645Z.250729T1800Z.250731T1400Z.NO/
1214 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Winfield.

* WHEN...Until Friday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 27.5 feet, At this stage, Lock and Dam 25 will 
  stockpile 200 tons of sand, 12,000 sandbags, and 10,000 square 
  feet of polyethylene plastic as a precaution.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 26.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 12:00 PM CDT Monday was 26.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.5
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage late Thursday morning.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Mississippi River
  Winfield         26.0    26.3    27.4  27.1  26.1  25.0  24.4



&&

LAT...LON 3925 9083 3925 9071 3912 9065 3896 9065
      3888 9057 3880 9057 3885 9073 3910 9076


$$

ILC149-MOC127-300515-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-250730T2100Z/
/HNNM7.1.ER.250727T1741Z.250728T1615Z.250729T1500Z.NO/
1214 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Hannibal.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 17.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 11:15 AM CDT Monday was 17.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tomorrow morning and continue falling to 15.0 feet
    Monday, August 04.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Mississippi River
  Hannibal         17.0    17.7    17.1  16.3  15.8  15.6  15.3



&&

LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9132
      3969 9134 3968 9139 3971 9136


$$

ILC013-MOC163-300515-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-250801T0000Z/
/CLKM7.1.ER.250727T1418Z.250728T1800Z.250730T1800Z.NO/
1214 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Clarksville.

* WHEN...Until Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 27.2 feet, Silo Park just northwest of Clarksville 
  off Highway 79 begins flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 26.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 12:00 PM CDT Monday was 26.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.4
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Wednesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 25.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Mississippi River
  Clarksville      25.0    26.3    26.2  25.3  24.3  23.7  23.4



&&

LAT...LON 3939 9097 3946 9088 3940 9081 3932 9075
      3925 9071 3925 9083 3930 9090 3932 9088
      3936 9092 3935 9095


$$

ILC149-MOC163-300515-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-250731T2100Z/
/LUSM7.1.ER.250727T1445Z.250728T1800Z.250730T1500Z.NO/
1214 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Louisiana.

* WHEN...Until Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, The parking area at the boat house floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 16.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 12:00 PM CDT Monday was 16.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.3
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late
    Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Mississippi River
  Louisiana        15.0    16.2    16.0  15.1  14.3  14.0  13.6



&&

LAT...LON 3946 9110 3953 9099 3946 9088 3939 9097
      3941 9100 3939 9103


$$

Fuchs
328 
WGUS83 KLSX 290215
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
915 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Illinois...Missouri...

  Mississippi River at Saverton.

  Mississippi River at Hannibal.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...Missouri...

  Mississippi River at Winfield.

  Mississippi River at Clarksville.

  Mississippi River at Louisiana.

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  North Fabius River near Ewing.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC111-290315-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-250729T0215Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.250727T0644Z.250728T0715Z.250728T1825Z.NO/
915 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 8.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 3.1 feet Monday,
    August 04.



&&


                    Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location            Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

North Fabius River
  Ewing             11.0    8.9     4.1   3.4   3.3   3.2   3.2



&&

LAT...LON 4025 9190 4025 9185 4015 9171 3998 9156
      3996 9159 4002 9165 4004 9169 4013 9176


$$

ILC149-MOC173-300900-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-250730T0852Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.250728T1000Z.250728T1900Z.250729T0252Z.NO/
915 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Saverton.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday night.

* IMPACTS...At 15.5 feet, An access road to riverside raised homes 
  on the riverward side of the Sny levee begins to flood near this 
  level.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 16.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 PM CDT Monday was 16.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this evening and continue falling to 12.6 feet Monday,
    August 04.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Mississippi River
  Saverton         16.0    16.1    14.3  13.3  12.9  12.7  12.6



&&

LAT...LON 3967 9132 3974 9121 3970 9114 3953 9099
      3946 9110 3960 9122


$$

ILC013-MOC113-301415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-250801T0000Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.250728T0645Z.250729T0600Z.250730T1800Z.NO/
915 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Winfield.

* WHEN...Until Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 27.5 feet, At this stage, Lock and Dam 25 will 
  stockpile 200 tons of sand, 12,000 sandbags, and 10,000 square 
  feet of polyethylene plastic as a precaution.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 26.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 PM CDT Monday was 26.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.4
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage early Wednesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Mississippi River
  Winfield         26.0    26.4    26.2  24.8  23.3  23.0  22.8



&&

LAT...LON 3925 9083 3925 9071 3912 9065 3896 9065
      3888 9057 3880 9057 3885 9073 3910 9076


$$

ILC149-MOC127-301415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-250730T2200Z/
/HNNM7.1.ER.250727T1741Z.250728T1615Z.250729T1600Z.NO/
915 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Hannibal.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, The northern end of Southside Recreation 
  #2 Park along Bear Creek begins flooding at this height. Gate 
  wells are shut down to prevent the sewers from backing up.  Also 
  at this level pumps are set to standby.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 17.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:15 PM CDT Monday was 17.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tomorrow morning and continue falling to 15.0 feet
    Monday, August 04.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Mississippi River
  Hannibal         17.0    17.6    16.1  15.6  15.3  15.1  15.1



&&

LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9132
      3969 9134 3968 9139 3971 9136


$$

ILC013-MOC163-301415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-250731T1800Z/
/CLKM7.1.ER.250727T1418Z.250729T0200Z.250730T1200Z.NO/
915 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Clarksville.

* WHEN...Until Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 27.2 feet, Silo Park just northwest of Clarksville 
  off Highway 79 begins flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 26.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 PM CDT Monday was 26.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Wednesday morning and continue falling to 22.7 feet Monday,
    August 04.
  - Flood stage is 25.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Mississippi River
  Clarksville      25.0    26.4    25.0  23.7  23.1  22.8  22.7



&&

LAT...LON 3939 9097 3946 9088 3940 9081 3932 9075
      3925 9071 3925 9083 3930 9090 3932 9088
      3936 9092 3935 9095


$$

ILC149-MOC163-301415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-250731T1400Z/
/LUSM7.1.ER.250727T1445Z.250729T0045Z.250730T0800Z.NO/
915 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Louisiana.

* WHEN...Until Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, The parking area at the boat house floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 16.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 PM CDT Monday was 16.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Wednesday morning and continue falling to 13.2 feet
    Monday, August 04.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Mississippi River
  Louisiana        15.0    16.3    14.8  13.8  13.4  13.2  13.2



&&

LAT...LON 3946 9110 3953 9099 3946 9088 3939 9097
      3941 9100 3939 9103


$$

MOC111-301415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-250730T2030Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.250729T0600Z.250729T1430Z.NO/
915 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Middle Fabius River near Ewing.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 12.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 PM CDT Monday was 12.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.8
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage late tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.



&&


                     Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location             Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing              12.0    12.8    5.4   3.1   2.9   2.9   2.8



&&

LAT...LON 4018 9195 4021 9194 4019 9186 4012 9176
      4002 9167 4001 9164 3996 9158 3995 9162
      4005 9176 4008 9177


$$

Elmore
032 
WGUS83 KLSX 291546
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1046 AM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois 
and Missouri...

  Mississippi River at Winfield.

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in Illinois 
and Missouri...

  Mississippi River at Hannibal.

  Mississippi River at Clarksville.

  Mississippi River at Louisiana.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

ILC013-MOC113-310400-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-250731T1600Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.250728T0645Z.250729T1800Z.250730T1000Z.NO/
1046 AM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Winfield.

* WHEN...Until Thursday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 26.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.4
    feet this afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Mississippi River
  Winfield         26.0    26.4    25.9  24.4  23.6  23.5  23.5



&&

LAT...LON 3925 9083 3925 9071 3912 9065 3896 9065
      3888 9057 3880 9057 3885 9073 3910 9076


$$

ILC149-MOC127-302230-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-250730T2216Z/
/HNNM7.1.ER.250727T1741Z.250728T1615Z.250729T1616Z.NO/
1046 AM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Hannibal.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 17.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    over the next few hours.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Mississippi River
  Hannibal         17.0    17.1    16.3  16.0  15.9  15.8  15.8



&&

LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9132
      3969 9134 3968 9139 3971 9136


$$

ILC013-MOC163-310400-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-250731T2200Z/
/CLKM7.1.ER.250727T1418Z.250729T0430Z.250730T1600Z.NO/
1046 AM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Clarksville.

* WHEN...Until Thursday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 26.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 25.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Mississippi River
  Clarksville      25.0    26.3    25.2  24.3  24.0  23.9  23.9



&&

LAT...LON 3939 9097 3946 9088 3940 9081 3932 9075
      3925 9071 3925 9083 3930 9090 3932 9088
      3936 9092 3935 9095


$$

ILC149-MOC163-310400-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-250731T2100Z/
/LUSM7.1.ER.250727T1445Z.250729T0045Z.250730T1500Z.NO/
1046 AM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Louisiana.

* WHEN...Until Thursday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 16.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Mississippi River
  Louisiana        15.0    16.1    15.1  14.5  14.3  14.2  14.3



&&

LAT...LON 3946 9110 3953 9099 3946 9088 3939 9097
      3941 9100 3939 9103


$$

Gosselin
681 
WGUS83 KLSX 300310
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1010 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Illinois...

  Mississippi River at Winfield.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

ILC013-MOC113-301600-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-250730T1600Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.250728T0645Z.250729T1500Z.250730T0900Z.NO/
1010 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Winfield.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 27.5 feet, At this stage, Lock and Dam 25 will 
  stockpile 200 tons of sand, 12,000 sandbags, and 10,000 square 
  feet of polyethylene plastic as a precaution.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 26.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:00 PM CDT Tuesday was 26.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight and continue falling to 25.9 feet Tuesday,
    August 05.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Mississippi River
  Winfield         26.0    26.2    24.0  23.6  24.3  25.1  25.5



&&

LAT...LON 3925 9083 3925 9071 3912 9065 3896 9065
      3888 9057 3880 9057 3885 9073 3910 9076


$$

Pfahler
854 
WGUS83 KLSX 300311
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1011 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Illinois...

  Mississippi River at Clarksville.

  Mississippi River at Louisiana.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Illinois...

  Mississippi River at Winfield.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

ILC013-MOC163-311515-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLKM7.1.ER.250727T1418Z.250729T0430Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Clarksville.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 27.2 feet, Silo Park just northwest of Clarksville 
  off Highway 79 begins flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 26.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:00 PM CDT Tuesday was 26.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    Friday evening and continue rising to 26.4 feet Tuesday,
    August 05.
  - Flood stage is 25.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Mississippi River
  Clarksville      25.0    26.0    24.1  24.4  25.6  26.0  26.2



&&

LAT...LON 3939 9097 3946 9088 3940 9081 3932 9075
      3925 9071 3925 9083 3930 9090 3932 9088
      3936 9092 3935 9095


$$

ILC149-MOC163-311515-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LUSM7.1.ER.250727T1445Z.250805T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Louisiana.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, The parking area at the boat house floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 15.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:00 PM CDT Tuesday was 16.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late Friday morning and continue rising to 16.4 feet Tuesday,
    August 05.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Mississippi River
  Louisiana        15.0    15.8    14.4  14.8  15.8  16.1  16.3



&&

LAT...LON 3946 9110 3953 9099 3946 9088 3939 9097
      3941 9100 3939 9103


$$

ILC013-MOC113-301600-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-250730T1600Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.250728T0645Z.250729T1500Z.250730T0900Z.NO/
1011 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Winfield.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 27.5 feet, At this stage, Lock and Dam 25 will 
  stockpile 200 tons of sand, 12,000 sandbags, and 10,000 square 
  feet of polyethylene plastic as a precaution.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 26.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:00 PM CDT Tuesday was 26.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight and continue falling to 25.9 feet Tuesday,
    August 05.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Mississippi River
  Winfield         26.0    26.2    24.0  23.6  24.3  25.1  25.5



&&

LAT...LON 3925 9083 3925 9071 3912 9065 3896 9065
      3888 9057 3880 9057 3885 9073 3910 9076


$$

Pfahler
262 
WGUS83 KLSX 301441
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
941 AM CDT Wed Jul 30 2025

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Illinois...

  Mississippi River at Winfield.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

ILC013-MOC113-301545-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-250730T1441Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.250728T0645Z.250729T1500Z.250730T1230Z.NO/
941 AM CDT Wed Jul 30 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Mississippi River at Winfield.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 25.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 25.9 feet
    Wednesday, August 06.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Mississippi River
  Winfield         26.0    25.9    24.0  23.6  24.3  25.1  25.5



&&

LAT...LON 3925 9083 3925 9071 3912 9065 3896 9065
      3888 9057 3880 9057 3885 9073 3910 9076


$$

Walsh

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 27, 5:57 AM CDT, 5 hours 14 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Dangerous heat expands areawide today, intensifying Monday and Tuesday. The worst impacts will be felt in the greater St. Louis metropolitan area where urban heat island influence is strongest.
  • Thunderstorm chances (20-50%) migrate along and south of I-70 today, but with weaker forcing and shear there is very little concern for severe weather or flash flooding.
  • The heat breaks for those north of I-70 on Wednesday, with relief felt areawide by Thursday.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 5:57 AM CDT, 5 hours 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service St Louis MO
557 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dangerous heat expands areawide today, intensifying Monday and
  Tuesday. The worst impacts will be felt in the greater St. Louis
  metropolitan area where urban heat island influence is
  strongest.

- Thunderstorm chances (20-50%) migrate along and south of I-70
  today, but with weaker forcing and shear there is very little
  concern for severe weather or flash flooding.

- The heat breaks for those north of I-70 on Wednesday, with
  relief felt areawide by Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 547 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

(Through Late Monday Afternoon)
Issued at 214 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

Subtle mid-level ascent coincident with low-level frontogenesis and
a weak but sufficient low-level jet are stimulating training
thunderstorms across parts of east-central Missouri and west-central
Illinois. As much as 6.00 inches of rain is estimated to have fallen
across parts of Lincoln County, MO where efficient thunderstorms
trained for several hours and resulted in considerable flash
flooding. These thunderstorms are becoming somewhat outflow dominant
and are weakening. This weakening trend will continue as the low-
level jet continues to wane after sunrise. While I don't expect a
clean break between thunderstorm chances this morning and this
afternoon, the lack of stronger shear and forcing that will be in
place today according to nearly all available guidance will result
in more scattered coverage of the diurnally-driven thunderstorms.
The best chances look to be along the remnant outflow from ongoing
convection, mainly along and around the I-44 corridor during the
afternoon. With precipitable water values still quite high, even for
late July, any convection will threaten heavy rain and localized
flooding. Because there isn't a really tangible focus for these
storms in the afternoon, any flash flooding will be fairly isolated
in nature. Outside of these thunderstorms, heat index values will
climb into the triple digits areawide, and be highest in the St.
Louis metro area. Rain chances abate after sunset with the upper-
level ridge building quickly overnight. As a result, Monday will be
notably hotter with similar humidity values to today. Dangerous heat
index values will exist areawide, with particular focus again on the
urbanized areas. Parts of far southeast Missouri and southwest
Illinois will see a fairly low (15%) chance for thunderstorms in the
afternoon, but with the very warm air aloft from the ridge in place,
I doubt we will see much convective initiation.

MRB

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 547 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

(Monday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 214 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

Tuesday looks fairly similar from a heat perspective, with virtually
no rain chances as the upper-level ridge is squarely overhead.
Meanwhile, a longwave trough will amplify over eastern Canada and
push a front south into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. The ridge
will begin to collapse like a house of cards from north to south
on Wednesday, aided by several shortwave impulses amidst the
periphery of the longerwave feature. Showers and thunderstorms are
likely (60- 70%) on Wednesday in the vicinity of the front, and
amidst the favorable antecedent thermodynamic environment for
heavy rain, I can't rule out a localized flood threat on
Wednesday. There will likely be a stark temperature gradient from
south to north, with cooler air further north and warm/humid
conditions lingering in the south. Depending on how things unfold,
we may need to extend the heat headlines in parts of the area on
Wednesday.

The front advances south, aided partly by synoptic forcing and
partly by convection, clearing the region and finally ending this
oppressive stretch of hot and humid weather. Lower (20-40%) rain
chances linger in parts of the area through the weekend with some
potential for the front to waver back north a bit. That said,
confidence remains high that we will enjoy a few days of below-
normal temperatures before a gradual warmup next week.

MRB

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 547 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

The main impacts to the TAF sites with this issuance will be
ongoing thunderstorm activity for the TAF sites near the St.
Louis metro with brief reductions in visibilities likely over
the next couple hours. A lull in the activity is anticipated
through mid morning before afternoon convection starts to bubble
up once again. The afternoon thunderstorms could impact any of
the TAF sites, but most likely from COU over to STL and points
south. Kept or added PROB30s for each of those sites from
roughly 19Z-23Z during peak heating. Some patchy ground fog may
develop overnight, but confidence was low enough to leave out of
this issuance. Overall winds will be light outside of
thunderstorm activity.

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Tuesday for MOZ034>036-041-042-
     047>052-059-060-072>074-084-085-099.
     Extreme Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT Tuesday for MOZ061>065-075.
     Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for
     MOZ018-019-026-027.
IL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Tuesday for ILZ058>060-065-
     097>099.
     Extreme Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT Tuesday for ILZ064-069-070-
     074-079-100>102.
     Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for
     ILZ095-096.

&&

WFO LSX
AVIATION...WFO PAH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 27, 2:17 AM CDT, 8 hours 54 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
217 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-280730-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
217 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Dangerous heat will continue today.

Mainly scattered thunderstorms are forecast through tonight. Locally
heavy rainfall is possible along with some gusty winds in the
stronger thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Dangerous heat will continue over much of the area through at least
Tuesday.

There is a chance of thunderstorms Sunday and again Wednesday
through Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

MRB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 27, 7:58 AM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service St Louis MO
758 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 AM     Rain             2 N Mcclusky            39.08N 90.33W
07/27/2025  M5.60 Inch       Jersey             IL   Emergency Mngr

&&

JPG
Local storm report, Jul 27, 8:09 AM CDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service St Louis MO
809 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     Rain             1 S Santa Fe            39.36N 91.83W
07/27/2025  M2.18 Inch       Monroe             MO   Mesonet

            Mesonet station STFM7 0.8 S Santa Fe.

0730 AM     Rain             6 NNE Foley             39.12N 90.69W
07/27/2025  M2.76 Inch       Lincoln            MO   Mesonet

            Mesonet station STGM7 4.6 SW Hardin.

0620 AM     Rain             1 NE Hardin             39.16N 90.62W
07/27/2025  M3.05 Inch       Calhoun            IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-CH-2 , IL.

0700 AM     Rain             1 NE Benld              39.11N 89.78W
07/27/2025  M3.68 Inch       Macoupin           IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-MP-22 1 NE Benld.

0730 AM     Rain             1 NNE Hardin            39.17N 90.62W
07/27/2025  M4.13 Inch       Calhoun            IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station HARI2 0.7 NE Hardin.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 27, 8:11 AM CDT, 3 hours before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service St Louis MO
811 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     Rain             1 SSE Monroe City       39.64N 91.73W
07/27/2025  M2.02 Inch       Monroe             MO   Mesonet

            Mesonet station MOA19 1 SSE Monroe City.

0800 AM     Rain             1 WNW Camp Point        40.05N 91.09W
07/27/2025  M2.07 Inch       Adams              IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-AD-24 Camp Point 1.3
            WNW.

0800 AM     Rain             Pacific                 38.48N 90.76W
07/27/2025  M2.29 Inch       Franklin           MO   Mesonet

            Mesonet station FW0130 Pacific.

0800 AM     Rain             2 W Alton               38.90N 90.19W
07/27/2025  M2.71 Inch       Madison            IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station AT669 Alton.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 27, 9:20 AM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service St Louis MO
920 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0919 AM     Rain             Pacific                 38.48N 90.75W
07/27/2025  M3.50 Inch       Franklin           MO   Emergency Mngr

            Rain has stopped.

&&

JPG
Local storm report, Jul 27, 9:22 AM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service St Louis MO
922 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     Rain             6 ENE Granville         39.58N 91.99W
07/27/2025  M2.95 Inch       Monroe             MO   Mesonet

            Mesonet station PCZM7 5.8 E Granville.

0905 AM     Rain             2 W Alton               38.90N 90.19W
07/27/2025  M2.92 Inch       Madison            IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station AT669 Alton.

0815 AM     Rain             Pacific                 38.48N 90.76W
07/27/2025  M2.31 Inch       Franklin           MO   Mesonet

            Mesonet station FW0130 Pacific.

0900 AM     Rain             3 S Santa Fe            39.33N 91.83W
07/27/2025  M2.29 Inch       Audrain            MO   Mesonet

            Mesonet station SFZM7 2.8 S Santa Fe.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 27, 9:32 AM CDT, 1 hour 39 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service St Louis MO
932 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 AM     Flash Flood      Hamburg                 39.23N 90.71W
07/27/2025                   Calhoun            IL   Law Enforcement

            Calhoun County Sheriff reported at least 5
            trees across roads around Hamburg. The
            closed roads included Route 100, Michael
            Hamburg Rd, Treshman Hollow Rd, Irish Hollow
            Rd, Gresham Hollow Rd, East Panther Ck Rd,
            and Indian Ck Hallow Rd. Several of these
            roads are still closed due to pavement or
            culverts being washed out. Time is when the
            first report of tree down arrived at the SO.

&&

MCF

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 26, 10:04 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXPike12 days
Jul 26, 10:04 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXCalhoun12 days
Jul 26, 10:56 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXCalhoun22 min
Jul 26, 11:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXCalhoun7 hr
Jul 26, 11:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin7 hr
Jul 27, 5:58 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXCalhoun7 hr
Jul 27, 6:33 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Jersey117 min
Jul 27, 11:11 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXPike52 hr
Jul 27, 11:11 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXPike38 hr
Jul 27, 2:27 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXClinton31 hr
Jul 26, 8:41 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis66 hr
Jul 27, 2:36 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXAudrain, Pike4 hr
Jul 27, 3:39 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXAudrain, Monroe, Ralls3 hr
Jul 27, 9:12 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXCrawford, Washington3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2025River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2025Every river flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.