Tornado Warning 36, NWS Lake Charles, LA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
618 AM CDT Sat Oct 25 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-There is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Excessive Rainfall and
 a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for Severe Thunderstorms today.

- From now until Sunday evening, rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches
  with locally higher amounts are expected.

- A much cooler airmass will arrive during the middle of the
  coming week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday night)
Issued at 613 AM CDT Sat Oct 25 2025

Quite the line of showers and stronger line segments is moving into
east Texas at this hour. This will be the first of two rounds of
convection expected to move through today. The line is progged to
arrive to Deep Southeast Texas by roughly 4 to 6 AM; 7 to 9 AM to
the Louisiana state line. Considering the line will be moving
towards the HWY 165 corridor after sunrise, expect a destabilization
of the leading airmass to reinvigorate storms as they move towards
cenLA. Cold-pooled air behind the line should keep it moving rather
progressively and a departure to east of the Atchafalaya should be
roughly 1 to 4 PM.

After a lull (develops west to east behind the line) another round
of storms with the actual front should sweep through in similar
fashion from 8 to 10 PM through sunrise Sunday.

With each line, strong damaging wind gusts and heavy downpours are
most likely. Within these strong wind segments, isolated instances
of spinup tornadoes will be possible. Heavy rainfall is also
expected, however, due to the progressive nature of both rounds,
flooding is not expected. Not enough to warrant the necessity of a
flood watch at this time. However, if dry ground conditions improve
and warrant the need of issuance before the second round comes
through, one may be issued.

11/Calhoun

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 613 AM CDT Sat Oct 25 2025

Strong high pressure and very cold airmass do not arrive until
the midweek. Under weakness aloft, there could be some very
isolated showers into Tuesday. Wednesday, the high arrives and
washes out any remaining showery or humid mess to bring about much
cooler and drier conditions to end the work week. Daytime high
temps in the low to mid 60s are expected Wednesday and Thursday,
mid to upper 60s by Friday.

Overnight lows in the 40s can be expected Thursday and Friday
mornings.

11/Calhoun

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 AM CDT Sat Oct 25 2025

A line of strong to severe thunderstorms is moving from east to
west across the region. The line is expected to weaken as it moves
farther east but near the line conditions will be IFR/LIFR with
frequent lightning, heavy downpours, and chaotic gusty winds.
After the line passes terminals persistent MVFR conditons are
expected as lingering low clouds will impact CIGs. A period of
calmer weather is expected this afternoon but overnight a second
line of storms will move across the region. The timing for this
second line looks to be from midnight to 4 AM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  78  62  79  58 /  90  90  70  10
LCH  80  68  81  62 /  90  90  70  10
LFT  80  69  81  62 /  80  90  90  10
BPT  80  67  82  62 / 100  90  50   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ073-
     074.

TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ615.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM CDT Sunday for GMZ450-452-455-
     470-472-475.

&&

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...14

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
623 AM CDT Sat Oct 25 2025

LAZ030-141-TXZ260-262-251200-
Beauregard LA-Northern Calcasieu LA-Southern Newton TX-
Northern Newton TX-
623 AM CDT Sat Oct 25 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN BEAUREGARD...NORTHWESTERN
CALCASIEU PARISHES IN SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN NEWTON
COUNTIES THROUGH 700 AM CDT...

At 623 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Bon Weir to near Bancroft to Starks.
Movement was east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
De Ridder, Newton, Merryville, Singer, Call, Deweyville, Starks,
Fields, Bon Weir, De Quincy, Trout Creek, Lunita, Bivens, Buhler,
Hartburg, Old Salem, Wrights Settlement, Devils Pocket, Bancroft, and
Junction.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 AM CDT for
southwestern Louisiana...and southeastern Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3087 9356 3088 9355 3086 9348 3087 9345
      3087 9332 3026 9333 3024 9390 3085 9387
      3088 9357
TIME...MOT...LOC 1123Z 252DEG 27KT 3071 9371 3057 9365 3031 9367

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

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