Tornado Warning 31, NWS Lake Charles, LA

329 
WWUS54 KLCH 130914
SVSLCH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
414 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

LAC045-113-130923-
/O.CAN.KLCH.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-250613T0930Z/
Iberia LA-Vermilion LA-
414 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN IBERIA AND EAST CENTRAL
VERMILION PARISHES IS CANCELLED...

The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been 
cancelled. However, small hail and damaging winds remain likely and 
a Severe Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for the area.

&&

LAT...LON 2991 9203 3001 9204 3005 9200 3003 9197
      3007 9195 3007 9191 3006 9190 3007 9187
      3006 9186 2990 9175
TIME...MOT...LOC 0911Z 236DEG 10KT 2998 9193 

$$

Calhoun

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
342 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Flash Flood watch has been posted for lower Southeast Tx and
  South Central LA into Saturday evening where periods of training
  precipitation over saturated soils are likely to occur

- A Marginal to Slight risk of excessive rainfall has been
  outlined across across the forecast area

- High rain chances will persist into this weekend; slightly lower
  chances early to mid next week

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday night)
Issued at 325 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

A shallow shortwave trough is forecast to slowly lift north
through the afternoon into the Missouri Valley tonight. Locally
along the Gulf Coast, an enhanced Jet region has developed leading
to moisture convergence across the area. A low level - near
surface trough axis extending along south central LA will meander
across the forecast through this evening while lifting north with
the parent upper level trough. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
likely to increase in coverage across SETX and south central LA
during from daybreak through the early afternoon.

With warm surface temperatures and dewpoints, there will be an axis
of higher instability to lift through the area prompting a flash
flooding threat where cells with greater depth training over already
saturated soil may occur. Additionally,lowered Upshear Corfidi
vectors further substantiate a flash flood threat for lower SETX /
SWLA region through into this evening. Naturally with mostly cloudy
to overcast skies, many locations will see temperatures trend in the
low to mid 80's. However a few pockets of sunshine can easily bump
highs closer toward 90°F.

By Saturday the axis of stronger moisture convergence shifts further
east across the Mississippi Valley. This evolution in the pattern
still allows for a healthy onshore flow with a weak boundary to
waver between the coastal and marine zones throughout the afternoon.
That said, speed divergence aloft shifts north of us leaving the
environment more conditional upon colliding outflow boundary and
land / Seabreeze interactions. With a little more sunshine in the
mix, temperatures likely to hedge further toward 90°F.

Hereafter, broad high pressure across the western Atlantic into the
central Gulf persists moist onshore flow through the remainder of
the weekend which will keep scattered PoPs through the remainder of
the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 325 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

The pattern in the long range keeps appreciable rainfall throughout
the new work week ahead as a portion of the downstream trough
becomes cutoff from the northern stream and develops a closed upper
level low hanging over the NW Gulf. As this feature appears to stall
over the region, this creates an unsettled nature to timing and
amounts of precipitation through the week. While rainfall will lean
on the above normal side of climatology temperatures will keep
closer to par to the low 90's.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1143 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

Light winds and high clouds continue through the next few hours.
Only exception will be AEX where patchy ground fog will continue
to be possible through sunrise. For the I-10 terminals, convection
is expected to develop early, likely prior to sunrise, near the
coast and spread north. This first round of storms may be
followed by a brief lull but convection is expected to blossom
further by mid-morning particularly between I-10 and the coast.
Showers and storms will likely persist well into the afternoon,
bringing reductions in VIS, elevated winds, lower CIGs, and
frequent lightning. By the late afternoon convection should begin
to wane, tapering off completely near sunset.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 325 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

Light to occasionally modest onshore flow and low seas will
persist through this week. Small craft should exercise caution
remains through 7AM. Elevated thunderstorm chances will linger
through the week and the upcoming weekend which may cause locally
higher winds and seas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  88  71  91  73 /  80  20  70  20
LCH  87  76  90  76 /  80  20  60  10
LFT  88  75  90  75 /  80  20  70  10
BPT  86  76  90  76 /  80  20  50  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Flood Watch through Saturday evening for LAZ033-044-045-055-073-
     074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.

TX...Flood Watch through Saturday evening for TXZ201-261-262-515-516-
     615-616.

GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...17

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
129 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

LAZ044-045-152-153-130645-
Upper Vermilion LA-Upper Iberia LA-Lafayette LA-Upper St. Martin LA-
129 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN IBERIA...SOUTHERN
LAFAYETTE AND NORTHEASTERN VERMILION PARISHES THROUGH 145 AM CDT...

At 129 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Erath, or near Abbeville, moving north at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to vegetation and outdoor
         objects is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lafayette, Abbeville, Scott, Broussard, Youngsville, Erath, Maurice,
Jefferson Island, Ridge, and Milton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2996 9206 2997 9209 2997 9210 3018 9224
      3025 9192 2998 9193 2996 9202
TIME...MOT...LOC 0629Z 169DEG 11KT 3000 9203

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Calhoun

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
306 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

LAZ044-045-130845-
Lafayette LA-Upper St. Martin LA-
306 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE AND
NORTHWESTERN ST. MARTIN PARISHES THROUGH 345 AM CDT...

At 306 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
St. Martinville, moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to vegetation and outdoor
         objects is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lafayette, Catahoula, Breaux Bridge, St. Martinville, Broussard,
Youngsville, Henderson, Cade, Cecilia, and Parks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3016 9163 3007 9191 3007 9195 3006 9196
      3005 9198 3020 9207 3042 9187 3039 9180
TIME...MOT...LOC 0806Z 224DEG 7KT 3020 9188

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Calhoun