Severe Thunderstorm Warning 474, NWS Jackson, MS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
253 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 251 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

Overall, the forecast continues to look warm and relatively dry
for the most part with above normal temperatures and below normal
rainfall.

Through tonight: Isolated thunderstorms will continue to develop
in association with the upper low centered over the southeast
CONUS. Cyclonic flow and lift associated with the low will
continue to interact with and abundance of moisture and
instability to support a few strong to severe storms. The storms
should peak prior to sunset, but a few storms will likely linger
into the evening. /EC/

Wednesday through Monday night: The remainder of the forecast
will see a pattern breakdown as centers of upper-level low
pressure over the Northern Rockies and the eastern CONUS weaken.
Flow across the CONUS should become zonal by the weekend, but
there will still be some opportunity for shortwave trough
amplification that could yield more areal coverage of showers and
thunderstorms possible, especially as the western system pivots
through the central part of the country. Average temps will still
be a little warmer than normal - about 3 to 5 degrees warmer than
normal on most days. /NF/EC/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

VFR conditions prevail with scattered mid to high level clouds
and light and variable winds. A brief, isolated storm cannot be
ruled out at any given site, especially along and south of I-20;
but confidence is too low to include in the TAF. /SAS/OAJ/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       69  91  68  93 /  10  10   0   0
Meridian      67  92  66  93 /   0  10   0   0
Vicksburg     69  92  68  92 /  20  10   0  10
Hattiesburg   67  94  66  94 /   0  10   0   0
Natchez       69  91  67  92 /  10  10   0   0
Greenville    69  94  68  93 /  10  10   0  10
Greenwood     68  94  67  94 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

EC/NF/SAS/OAJ/

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
347 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

MSZ041-162115-
Sharkey MS-
347 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL SHARKEY COUNTY
THROUGH 415 PM CDT...

At 347 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Holly Bluff, or near Rolling Fork, moving south at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of south central
Sharkey County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3288 9084 3288 9073 3286 9073 3284 9076
      3282 9076 3282 9075 3281 9074 3276 9074
      3275 9088
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 010DEG 5KT 3286 9079

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
350 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

MSZ055-064-162115-
Jefferson Davis MS-Simpson MS-
350 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN SIMPSON AND
NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM CDT...

At 350 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Sanatorium, or near Magee, moving southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern
Simpson and northwestern Jefferson Davis Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3171 8997 3183 8997 3193 8987 3185 8974
      3177 8975 3177 8976 3167 8976
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 022DEG 10KT 3182 8982

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
358 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

MSZ018-019-162130-
Sunflower MS-Bolivar MS-
358 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN SUNFLOWER AND
SOUTHEASTERN BOLIVAR COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM CDT...

At 357 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Sunflower, or 7 miles north of Indianola, moving south at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Indianola around 405 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3363 9051 3339 9046 3335 9074 3345 9076
      3352 9076 3353 9078 3370 9081 3373 9069
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 356DEG 11KT 3355 9061

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CE

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