Severe Thunderstorm Warning 470, NWS Jackson, MS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
253 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 251 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

Overall, the forecast continues to look warm and relatively dry
for the most part with above normal temperatures and below normal
rainfall.

Through tonight: Isolated thunderstorms will continue to develop
in association with the upper low centered over the southeast
CONUS. Cyclonic flow and lift associated with the low will
continue to interact with and abundance of moisture and
instability to support a few strong to severe storms. The storms
should peak prior to sunset, but a few storms will likely linger
into the evening. /EC/

Wednesday through Monday night: The remainder of the forecast
will see a pattern breakdown as centers of upper-level low
pressure over the Northern Rockies and the eastern CONUS weaken.
Flow across the CONUS should become zonal by the weekend, but
there will still be some opportunity for shortwave trough
amplification that could yield more areal coverage of showers and
thunderstorms possible, especially as the western system pivots
through the central part of the country. Average temps will still
be a little warmer than normal - about 3 to 5 degrees warmer than
normal on most days. /NF/EC/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

VFR conditions prevail with scattered mid to high level clouds
and light and variable winds. A brief, isolated storm cannot be
ruled out at any given site, especially along and south of I-20;
but confidence is too low to include in the TAF. /SAS/OAJ/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       69  91  68  93 /  10  10   0   0
Meridian      67  92  66  93 /   0  10   0   0
Vicksburg     69  92  68  92 /  20  10   0  10
Hattiesburg   67  94  66  94 /   0  10   0   0
Natchez       69  91  67  92 /  10  10   0   0
Greenville    69  94  68  93 /  10  10   0  10
Greenwood     68  94  67  94 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

EC/NF/SAS/OAJ/

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
308 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

MSZ019-162045-
Sunflower MS-
308 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN SUNFLOWER COUNTY
THROUGH 345 PM CDT...

At 308 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Indianola, moving south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Indianola around 315 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3348 9065 3334 9061 3332 9076 3344 9077
      3345 9076 3349 9076
TIME...MOT...LOC 2008Z 347DEG 10KT 3343 9070

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
310 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

MSZ035-162045-
Humphreys MS-
310 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN HUMPHREYS COUNTY
THROUGH 345 PM CDT...

At 310 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Silver City, or near Belzoni, moving south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Midnight around 315 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9042 3311 9040 3311 9042 3312 9042
      3311 9043 3310 9042 3310 9043 3306 9043
      3305 9041 3305 9039 3301 9038 3301 9044
      3299 9062 3313 9063
TIME...MOT...LOC 2010Z 347DEG 10KT 3308 9051

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CE