Severe Thunderstorm Warning 424, NWS Jackson, MS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1220 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Rest of the Afternoon into Tonight...A trough passing to our north
will continue pushing a frontal boundary south and into the forecast
area through Wednesday morning. This will continue to aid in
sparking showers and storms across the forecast area through the
remainder of this afternoon into the overnight hours. With the
unstable airmass over the CWA, coupled with some extra forcing along
the front and deep-layer shear around 30 knots, the potential for
isolated severe storms will continue into this evening. Damaging
wind gusts will be the primary concern with such storms, with
frequent lightning and heavy downpours likely. With the loss of
daytime heating, convection is forecast to wane in both coverage and
intensity as we approach midnight, but some isolated showers and
storms can't be ruled out overnight as the front continues its
southward trek.  Otherwise, look for another mild night, despite
some slightly drier air beginning to advect into the region in the
wake of the front, as lows fall into the low and middle 70s. /19/

Wednesday through next Tuesday... The passage of a frontal
boundary tonight will usher in a period of persistent dry weather
through the end of the week. A drier airmass will settle over the
region as northwesterly flow aloft prevails, allowing temperatures
to reach the mid 90s by Friday. Rain chances will remain
extremely low, with only isolated precip possible, primarily
across the southern portions of the CWA, where probabilities
remain less than 10%. By Saturday, moisture looks to begin to
increase again, increasing the possibility for heat stress
conditions. Additionally, chances for diurnal convection will
gradually increase heading into early next workweek./KP/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1216 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Away from convection, VFR flight categories will prevail at area
TAF sites through much of this forecast period. At sites where
convection is observed, flight categories will fall to MVFR/IFR
status due to degraded ceilings and visibilities for a brief 1-2
hour period of time. Towards day break Wednesday, some low stratus
and/or patchy ground fog could again reduce categories to MVFR
status briefly. West winds today will gradually become more
northwesterly and northerly overnight into Wednesday in the wake
of a frontal boundary sinking through the region. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       72  91  70  92 /  20  10   0  10
Meridian      71  91  68  92 /  30  10   0  10
Vicksburg     73  92  71  92 /  20  10   0  10
Hattiesburg   73  94  72  95 /  20  30   0  10
Natchez       73  90  71  92 /  20  20   0  10
Greenville    72  91  70  91 /  10  10   0  10
Greenwood     71  92  69  92 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

19/KP/

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
222 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

MSZ066-011945-
Jones MS-
222 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN JONES COUNTY
THROUGH 245 PM CDT...

At 222 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ovett, or 13 miles southeast of Laurel, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern Jones
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3156 8913 3170 8901 3167 8894 3143 8894
      3143 8897
TIME...MOT...LOC 1922Z 305DEG 17KT 3156 8897

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

19

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
320 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

LAZ009-MSZ040-012115-
East Carroll LA-Issaquena MS-
320 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL EAST CARROLL PARISH IN
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND WEST CENTRAL ISSAQUENA COUNTIES THROUGH
415 PM CDT...

At 320 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lake Providence, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Lake Providence around 325 PM CDT.
  Fitler around 340 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3292 9123 3285 9096 3283 9097 3280 9096
      3267 9105 3279 9131
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 296DEG 14KT 3284 9121

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
326 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

MSZ035-036-041>043-012130-
Sharkey MS-Humphreys MS-Yazoo MS-Madison MS-Holmes MS-
326 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL HOLMES...YAZOO...
SOUTH CENTRAL HUMPHREYS...EAST CENTRAL SHARKEY AND MADISON COUNTIES
THROUGH 430 PM CDT...

At 326 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles east of Holly Bluff to 6 miles north of
Benton. Movement was southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Yazoo City and Benton around 330 PM CDT.
  Tinsley around 335 PM CDT.
  Little Yazoo around 340 PM CDT.
  Vaughan and Myrleville around 345 PM CDT.
  Bentonia and Way around 350 PM CDT.
  Canton and Sharon around 410 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3291 8993 3288 8996 3288 8990 3267 8973
      3264 8973 3259 8978 3259 8984 3257 8987
      3249 9025 3249 9045 3256 9045 3254 9047
      3253 9049 3290 9082 3303 9003
TIME...MOT...LOC 2026Z 302DEG 26KT 3281 9058 3291 9025

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
327 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

MSZ056-065-066-012100-
Smith MS-Jones MS-Covington MS-
327 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN SMITH...NORTHEASTERN
COVINGTON AND NORTHWESTERN JONES COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM CDT...

At 327 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Mize, or 11 miles north of Collins, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Taylorsville and Hebron around 335 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3174 8965 3193 8965 3184 8931 3180 8932
      3180 8929 3160 8936
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 293DEG 26KT 3180 8952

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

19

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
332 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

MSZ039-045-046-051-052-012130-
Kemper MS-Lauderdale MS-Newton MS-Neshoba MS-Noxubee MS-
332 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN NOXUBEE...
NORTHEASTERN NEWTON...KEMPER...NESHOBA AND LAUDERDALE COUNTIES
THROUGH 430 PM CDT...

At 332 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Scooba to near Little Rock. Movement was
southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Collinsville, Electric Mills, Duffee, Martin, Blackwater, Liberty,
  Little Rock, and Prismatic around 340 PM CDT.
  Porterville and Daleville around 345 PM CDT.
  Suqualena around 350 PM CDT.
  Meridian, Meridian Station, and Tamola around 355 PM CDT.
  Marion, Nellieburg, Lauderdale, Chunky, and Meehan around 405 PM
  CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3243 8841 3222 8903 3262 8932 3270 8932
      3293 8886 3293 8882 3295 8881 3310 8854
      3292 8835
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 323DEG 23KT 3287 8845 3256 8905

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CR

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