Tornado Warning 28, NWS Wilmington, OH

094 
WWUS51 KILN 170026 RRA
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
826 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

INC041-177-170036-
/O.CAN.KILN.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-250517T0045Z/
Wayne IN-Fayette IN-
826 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN WAYNE AND CENTRAL FAYETTE
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been
cancelled. However, large hail and damaging winds remain likely and a
Severe Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for the area.  However,
small hail, gusty winds and heavy rain are still possible with this
thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM EDT for east central
Indiana.

Please report previous tornadoes, wind damage or hail to the National
Weather Service by going to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submitting your report via social media.

&&

LAT...LON 3986 8520 3987 8491 3954 8521 3959 8530
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 201DEG 33KT 3968 8519 

$$

Campbell

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
327 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure over the upper Midwest state and a trailing cold front
will bring thunderstorms this evening. High pressure will offer
breezy and mild conditions heading into the weekend. An upper level
low will bring cloudy and cooler weather early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
Vigorous upper level low over the upper Midwest will combine with
elevated wind field to bring a severe storm threat this evening. EML
apparent on GOES Channel 10 imagery is shifting east from the middle
Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley this afternoon. This is
providing mid-level lapse rates from 7-8 degC per km. This, combined
with warm, humid conditions at the surface will be leading to SBCAPE
around or possibly exceeding 3000J/kg. The enhanced southwesterly to
westerly flow aloft will bring effective bulk shear in the range of
50-60 knots.

Current radar mosaic shows supercells in a north-south line crossing
the Mississippi River around STL. Latest CAMs including the HRRR and
MPAS grow these storms upscale into a QLCS -- with the potential for
a few discreet supercells ahead of it -- nearing our western
counties around 7-8PM. Based on the predicted environment, all
hazards will be possible with these storms, with straight line winds
being the biggest concern.

Fast forward motion will likely result in the storms exiting our
eastern counties by around midnight or shortly after. The rest of the
night should be relatively quiet with low temperatures dropping to
around 60 in the rain-cooled air.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Trailing surface cold front will push through the region Saturday
morning. In its wake, westerly winds will gust to 25-35 mph at times.
Mostly sunny skies will allow high temperatures to rise to the upper
60s in the northwest to lower-middle 70s in the southeast.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Mid level ridge will translate into the area early in the period,
but there are a number of models that show a weak short wave moving
through the ridge which could result in some showers making into the
Tri-State on Monday.

The ridge will get pinched off as a low tracks east out of the
central Plains on Tuesday. This low will get absorbed into another
low retrograding across southeast Canada on Wednesday. The large
merged low will then pivot eastward Thursday night into Friday. This
evolution will lead to several days of wet weather, with some
improvement late in the week. In addition, temperatures will be
below normal with Thursday looking to be the coolest day with
readings 10 degrees or more below normal.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Main aviation weather impact for this period will be an advancing
line of storms moving through most of the terminals early this
evening. While a few of the recent CAMs have backed off storm coverage,
the latest HRRR as well as the MPAS still show the storms currently
developing across Missouri growing upscale into a semi-continuous
squall line as they reach DAY, CVG, and LUK by around 23Z-00Z.
Damaging winds will be the main threat, so have kept the tempo group
for this.

Winds will shift more westerly behind a cold front set to arrive to
the region Saturday morning. This should allow for decreasing clouds
but gusty winds for the rest of the period.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
728 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-171000-
Wayne-Fayette-Union-Franklin-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-
Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-
Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-
Greene-Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
728 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Indiana,
southeast Indiana, northeast Kentucky, northern Kentucky, central
Ohio, south central Ohio, southwest Ohio and west central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe storms can be expected this evening. All severe hazards are
possible, including damaging winds in excess of 70 mph, very large
hail, and tornadoes, some of which could be strong.

In addition, locally heavy rain could result in flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to relay severe reports to the National
Weather Service.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
801 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

OHZ026-034-035-042>044-051>053-060>062-170045-
Champaign OH-Montgomery OH-Logan OH-Auglaize OH-Darke OH-Shelby OH-
Hardin OH-Preble OH-Clark OH-Mercer OH-Miami OH-Greene OH-
801 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SHELBY...WESTERN
CHAMPAIGN...NORTHERN PREBLE...WESTERN LOGAN...DARKE...NORTHWESTERN
GREENE...WESTERN CLARK...NORTHERN MONTGOMERY...WESTERN HARDIN...
AUGLAIZE...MERCER AND MIAMI COUNTIES THROUGH 845 PM EDT...

At 800 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 7 miles east of Monroe to near New Paris, moving east
at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Hail may cause minor damage to
         vegetation.

Locations impacted include...
Fryburg, Englewood, Casstown, Union Corners, Newbern, Bradford,
Potsdam, Chickasaw, Lockington, Darke County Airport, West Milton,
New Madison, Covington, New Knoxville, Neptune, Fort Loramie, Kiser
Lake State Park, Interstate 70 at US Route 127, Wright-Patterson Afb,
and Yellow Springs.

This includes the following Interstates...
 I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 1 and 55.
 I-75 in Ohio between mile markers 56 and 118.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a sturdy building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM EDT for west central
Ohio.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3975 8380 3983 8481 4073 8480 4073 8446
      4068 8445 4069 8422 4066 8422 4066 8411
      4064 8411 4065 8388 4082 8388 4082 8377
TIME...MOT...LOC 0000Z 262DEG 62KT 4074 8480 3977 8480

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Clark