Tornado Warning 27, NWS Wilmington, OH

096 
WWUS51 KILN 170015
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
815 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

INC029-047-137-170030-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-250517T0030Z/
Franklin IN-Ripley IN-Dearborn IN-
815 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN...NORTHEASTERN RIPLEY AND NORTHERN DEARBORN
COUNTIES...

At 814 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Brookville, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Mount Carmel, Cedar Grove, Sunman, Penntown, Interstate 74 at State
Route 101, Interstate 74 at US Route 52, Rockdale, Mixersville, St.
Leon, Brookville, Sharptown, New Trenton, Lawrenceville, and Saint
Peter.

This includes I-74 in Indiana between mile markers 155 and 170.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

To report severe weather, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3949 8482 3928 8482 3923 8511 3938 8515
TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 247DEG 36KT 3932 8502 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN

$$

KC

404 
WWUS51 KILN 170022
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
822 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

INC029-137-170032-
/O.CAN.KILN.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-250517T0030Z/
Ripley IN-Dearborn IN-
822 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN RIPLEY AND NORTHERN DEARBORN
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM EDT for southeastern
Indiana.

&&

LAT...LON 3932 8482 3931 8508 3941 8506 3949 8482
TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 244DEG 39KT 3937 8492 

$$

INC047-170030-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-250517T0030Z/
Franklin IN-
822 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY...

At 822 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Brookville, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Brookville, Sharptown, Saint Peter, Mount Carmel, Cedar Grove, and
Mixersville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

To report severe weather, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3932 8482 3931 8508 3941 8506 3949 8482
TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 244DEG 39KT 3937 8492 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN

$$

KC

586 
WWUS51 KILN 170026
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
826 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

INC047-170035-
/O.EXP.KILN.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-250517T0030Z/
Franklin IN-
826 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 830 PM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe limits
and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado. Therefore, the
warning will be allowed to expire.  However, small hail, gusty winds
and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM EDT for southeastern
Indiana.

Please report previous tornadoes, wind damage or hail to the National
Weather Service by going to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submitting your report via social media.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
a portion of Franklin County Indiana.

&&

LAT...LON 3932 8482 3931 8508 3941 8506 3949 8482
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 251DEG 37KT 3938 8490 

$$

KC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
327 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure over the upper Midwest state and a trailing cold front
will bring thunderstorms this evening. High pressure will offer
breezy and mild conditions heading into the weekend. An upper level
low will bring cloudy and cooler weather early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
Vigorous upper level low over the upper Midwest will combine with
elevated wind field to bring a severe storm threat this evening. EML
apparent on GOES Channel 10 imagery is shifting east from the middle
Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley this afternoon. This is
providing mid-level lapse rates from 7-8 degC per km. This, combined
with warm, humid conditions at the surface will be leading to SBCAPE
around or possibly exceeding 3000J/kg. The enhanced southwesterly to
westerly flow aloft will bring effective bulk shear in the range of
50-60 knots.

Current radar mosaic shows supercells in a north-south line crossing
the Mississippi River around STL. Latest CAMs including the HRRR and
MPAS grow these storms upscale into a QLCS -- with the potential for
a few discreet supercells ahead of it -- nearing our western
counties around 7-8PM. Based on the predicted environment, all
hazards will be possible with these storms, with straight line winds
being the biggest concern.

Fast forward motion will likely result in the storms exiting our
eastern counties by around midnight or shortly after. The rest of the
night should be relatively quiet with low temperatures dropping to
around 60 in the rain-cooled air.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Trailing surface cold front will push through the region Saturday
morning. In its wake, westerly winds will gust to 25-35 mph at times.
Mostly sunny skies will allow high temperatures to rise to the upper
60s in the northwest to lower-middle 70s in the southeast.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Mid level ridge will translate into the area early in the period,
but there are a number of models that show a weak short wave moving
through the ridge which could result in some showers making into the
Tri-State on Monday.

The ridge will get pinched off as a low tracks east out of the
central Plains on Tuesday. This low will get absorbed into another
low retrograding across southeast Canada on Wednesday. The large
merged low will then pivot eastward Thursday night into Friday. This
evolution will lead to several days of wet weather, with some
improvement late in the week. In addition, temperatures will be
below normal with Thursday looking to be the coolest day with
readings 10 degrees or more below normal.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Main aviation weather impact for this period will be an advancing
line of storms moving through most of the terminals early this
evening. While a few of the recent CAMs have backed off storm coverage,
the latest HRRR as well as the MPAS still show the storms currently
developing across Missouri growing upscale into a semi-continuous
squall line as they reach DAY, CVG, and LUK by around 23Z-00Z.
Damaging winds will be the main threat, so have kept the tempo group
for this.

Winds will shift more westerly behind a cold front set to arrive to
the region Saturday morning. This should allow for decreasing clouds
but gusty winds for the rest of the period.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
728 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-171000-
Wayne-Fayette-Union-Franklin-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-
Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-
Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-
Greene-Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
728 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Indiana,
southeast Indiana, northeast Kentucky, northern Kentucky, central
Ohio, south central Ohio, southwest Ohio and west central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe storms can be expected this evening. All severe hazards are
possible, including damaging winds in excess of 70 mph, very large
hail, and tornadoes, some of which could be strong.

In addition, locally heavy rain could result in flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to relay severe reports to the National
Weather Service.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
801 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

OHZ026-034-035-042>044-051>053-060>062-170045-
Champaign OH-Montgomery OH-Logan OH-Auglaize OH-Darke OH-Shelby OH-
Hardin OH-Preble OH-Clark OH-Mercer OH-Miami OH-Greene OH-
801 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SHELBY...WESTERN
CHAMPAIGN...NORTHERN PREBLE...WESTERN LOGAN...DARKE...NORTHWESTERN
GREENE...WESTERN CLARK...NORTHERN MONTGOMERY...WESTERN HARDIN...
AUGLAIZE...MERCER AND MIAMI COUNTIES THROUGH 845 PM EDT...

At 800 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 7 miles east of Monroe to near New Paris, moving east
at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Hail may cause minor damage to
         vegetation.

Locations impacted include...
Fryburg, Englewood, Casstown, Union Corners, Newbern, Bradford,
Potsdam, Chickasaw, Lockington, Darke County Airport, West Milton,
New Madison, Covington, New Knoxville, Neptune, Fort Loramie, Kiser
Lake State Park, Interstate 70 at US Route 127, Wright-Patterson Afb,
and Yellow Springs.

This includes the following Interstates...
 I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 1 and 55.
 I-75 in Ohio between mile markers 56 and 118.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a sturdy building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM EDT for west central
Ohio.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3975 8380 3983 8481 4073 8480 4073 8446
      4068 8445 4069 8422 4066 8422 4066 8411
      4064 8411 4065 8388 4082 8388 4082 8377
TIME...MOT...LOC 0000Z 262DEG 62KT 4074 8480 3977 8480

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Clark