Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
322 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 256 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

 - A limited potential for a brief tornado continues for east
   central Georgia this evening.

 - Though rain continues, the flood risk is gradually coming to
   and end in the region.

 - A Freeze Watch has been issued for areas along and north of
   Interstate 85 from 2 AM Tuesday night to 10 AM Wednesday
   morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 256 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Severe Weather & Rainfall Today:

A deep fetch of moisture from the Gulf will continue to stream
northwards, resulting in widespread rainfall this afternoon and
evening. Severe weather remains possible for parts of east central
Georgia where a Tornado Watch is in place through 6 PM today.
Within the area covered by the watch SPC Mesoscale Analysis
suggest MUCAPE between 250 and 1000 J/kg, effective shear near 50
kt and 0-1 km helicity between 100 and 200 m2/s2. These factors
suggest a continued low risk for brief tornadoes with any more
vigorous convective cells. Forecaster confidence in the potential
for additional tornado warnings in the area through this evening
is moderate (40%). A Flood Watch is also out for a portion of
Georgia through 8 PM this evening. Storm total rainfall so far has
ranged from 4 to 6 inches near Columbus, to a broad swath of 2 to
3 inches along and north of Interstate 20. Amounts have be
lighter in east central Georgia (0.75 to 1.5 inches). Additional
rainfall will be possible in north and central Georgia through 11
PM this evening. The highest additional rain totals are expected
with thunderstorm activity in east central Georgia. This would be
over the areas that have seen the least rainfall so far, and it is
where additional rainfall can be handled with minimal risk for
additional flooding. For areas from Columbus to Atlanta (where
the heaviest rain has occurred thus far), additional rainfall
totals should be 0.40 inches or less. This should limit the flood
threat. Due to these factors our confidence in additional
flooding is low. That said, rain is still falling on saturated
ground, and we will be continuing the Flood Watch through 8 PM out
of an abundance of caution.

Frost Concerns Tonight & Tuesday Morning:

Northwest winds will bring CAA to the region tonight and this will
combine with clearing skies to produce colder overnight low
temperatures. In the mountains of far northeast Georgia sheltered
areas may briefly fall into the 32 to 36 degree range between 5
AM and 9 AM. This could lead to patchy frost formation. Due to
the limited coverage of these conditions we elected not to issue a
Frost Advisory (10% chance of issuance on later shifts). The
counties potentially impacted by these conditions include Fannin,
Union and Towns.

Widespread Frost & Freeze Conditions Tuesday Night:

A surface high will build into the Tennessee Valley Tuesday and
Tuesday night. Ahead of this feature, northwest winds will usher
a colder and drier airmass into Georgia. This could set the stage
for freezing or near freezing temperatures in the northern part of
the state Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. A Freeze Watch has
been issued to highlight where sub freezing temperatures are most
likely (30 to 70% chance) along and north of Interstate 85. South
of the watch area (including in the Atlanta Metro) conditions may
favor frost formation Tuesday night. The caveat in the forecast
right now is the winds, which may remain in the 2 to 7 mph range
Tuesday night. This could limit the radiational cooling potential
and hinder temperature declines. Anyone with outdoor vegetation
that is sensitive to cold temperatures should monitor the forecast
closely.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Sunday)
Issued at 256 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

The outlook for hazardous weather looks fairly limited during
this period. Weak southerly flow should return to the region
Wednesday night, limiting the potential for sub-freezing
temperatures Thursday morning. Then the next upper level trough
and associated cold front will move through the region between
Thursday afternoon and Friday. The passage of this system will
bring with it a chance for rainfall and isolated thunderstorms. An
isolated strong storm can't be ruled out Thursday night or Friday.
However projections from the EPS and GEFS suggest limited
moisture return and instability for storm to work with, and this
should hinder the severe weather potential. Flooding is also
unlikely with both the GEFS and EPS means favoring less than 0.5
inches of rain.

The other noteworthy weather between Thursday and Sunday will be
the cooler temperatures. After unseasonable warmth last week,
persistent troughing over the Eastern U.S. will favor below
average temperatures through the weekend. This should lead to a
mix of high temperatures in the 60s and 70s, with the coolest
conditions occurring on Saturday (6 to 10 degrees below seasonal
averages).

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 144 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

A mix of IFR, MVFR and VFR conditions will continue in north and
central Georgia through 00Z Tuesday, then clearing will occur from
the northwest to southeast. Rain showers will accompany the lower
ceilings, with isolated thunderstorms in east central Georgia. VFR
conditions will prevail from 06Z to 18Z Tuesday. Winds will
continue to be from the west, with occasional gusts in the 18 to
24 kt range through 02Z Tuesday.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Moderate confidence in the clearing by 03Z Tuesday.
Moderate confidence in additional rainfall through 22Z Monday.
High confidence in the wind direction and moderate confidence in
wind speeds.

Albright

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          43  65  39  66 /  10   0   0   0
Atlanta         44  61  40  67 /  10   0   0   0
Blairsville     36  56  31  62 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    40  59  34  68 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        44  67  39  71 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     44  62  40  64 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           45  67  41  71 /  10   0   0   0
Rome            40  60  33  68 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  42  63  36  68 /  10   0   0   0
Vidalia         50  71  47  73 /  70   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Watch from late Tuesday night through Wednesday morning
for GAZ001>009-011-012-019-020-030-031-041-042-052.

Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ022>025-027-
032>038-042>050-052>061-066>073-078>084-089>095-102>104.

&&

SHORT TERM...Albright
LONG TERM....Albright
AVIATION...Albright

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1017 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

GAZ038-039-049>051-060>062-071500-
Taliaferro GA-Wilkes GA-Morgan GA-Putnam GA-Hancock GA-Warren GA-
Oglethorpe GA-Greene GA-
1017 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Warren, southeastern
Morgan, Putnam, northern Hancock, Greene, Taliaferro, Wilkes and
south central Oglethorpe Counties through 1100 AM EDT...

At 1017 AM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Maxeys to near Reynolds at Lake Oconee to near
Hillsboro, and moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Veazey, Greensboro, Holliday Park, Maxeys, Powelton, Penfield,
Mesena, Lyneville, Reynolds at Lake Oconee, Lundberg, Sparta, Jewell,
Harmony, Woodville, White Plains, Warfield, Floral Hill, Rockville,
Aonia, and Barnett.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3365 8250 3366 8251 3364 8256 3365 8258
      3363 8258 3363 8262 3360 8265 3341 8255
      3335 8255 3334 8251 3329 8267 3317 8355
      3322 8354 3350 8332 3375 8321 3392 8263
      3386 8261 3387 8257 3383 8260 3364 8248
TIME...MOT...LOC 1417Z 246DEG 31KT 3373 8317 3348 8323 3318 8360

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1018 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

GAZ107>109-071445-
Wilcox GA-Dodge GA-Pulaski GA-
1018 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Dodge,
southeastern Pulaski and north central Wilcox Counties through 1045
AM EDT...

At 1017 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Cedar Creek, or near
Abbeville, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Abbeville, Chauncey, Eastman, Five Points, Cedar Creek, Godwinsville,
Union, and Ocmulgee Banks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3196 8341 3207 8349 3228 8321 3219 8306
      3204 8305
TIME...MOT...LOC 1417Z 240DEG 18KT 3204 8339

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1100 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

GAZ039-051-061-062-071530-
Taliaferro GA-Wilkes GA-Hancock GA-Warren GA-
1100 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Warren,
northeastern Hancock, central Taliaferro and southeastern Wilkes
Counties through 1130 AM EDT...

At 1100 AM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Sandy Cross to Barnett to Shoulderbone, and moving
east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Ficklin, Cadley, Lundberg, Camak, Warrenton, Sharon, Metasville,
Washington, Floral Hill, Holliday Park, Aonia, Powelton, Norwood,
Barnett, Rocky Creek Fire Dept., Mesena, Raytown, and Sandy Cross.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3366 8251 3365 8252 3364 8256 3365 8258
      3363 8258 3364 8259 3363 8261 3363 8262
      3362 8262 3360 8265 3339 8255 3336 8293
      3372 8283 3387 8261 3386 8260 3387 8258
      3386 8257 3383 8260 3364 8248
TIME...MOT...LOC 1500Z 247DEG 34KT 3362 8284 3351 8282 3333 8311

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1158 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

GAZ110-111-071645-
Wheeler GA-Telfair GA-
1158 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Telfair and
southwestern Wheeler Counties through 1245 PM EDT...

At 1158 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Red Bluff, or 13 miles
northeast of Fitzgerald, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Towns, China Hill, Horse Creek Wma, Spring Hill, Helena, Scotland,
Little Ocmulgee State Park, McRae, Jacksonville, Lumber City, and
Workmore.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM EDT for central
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3180 8308 3181 8309 3181 8314 3185 8318
      3210 8290 3202 8270 3192 8264 3192 8268
      3190 8269 3186 8276 3186 8278 3185 8279
      3184 8278 3182 8284 3178 8286 3179 8290
      3178 8292 3179 8298 3178 8301
TIME...MOT...LOC 1558Z 242DEG 33KT 3181 8306

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1246 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

GAZ111>113-071730-
Toombs GA-Wheeler GA-Montgomery GA-
1246 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Toombs,
southeastern Wheeler and southeastern Montgomery Counties through 130
PM EDT...

At 1246 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near McNatt Falls, or near
Hazlehurst, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
English Eddy, Uvalda, Toombs Central, New Branch, Rock Springs, Cedar
Crossing, Johnson Corner, Charlotteville, McNatt Falls, and Grays
Landing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM EDT for central and
southeastern Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3194 8228 3193 8230 3195 8231 3193 8231
      3194 8238 3196 8238 3195 8239 3196 8240
      3195 8240 3197 8243 3197 8250 3196 8248
      3195 8249 3196 8253 3193 8261 3202 8262
      3214 8219 3191 8223
TIME...MOT...LOC 1646Z 255DEG 26KT 3193 8253

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
416 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

GAZ096-097-109-072045-
Bleckley GA-Laurens GA-Dodge GA-
416 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Laurens, northwestern Dodge and central Bleckley Counties through 445
PM EDT...

At 416 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Empire, or near
Cochran, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Dubois, Cochran, Gresston, Dudley, Plainfield, Empire, Yonkers, Cedar
Grove, Roddy, Baileys Park, Rowland, Chester, Rentz, Harlow, Cadwell,
Goldsboro, Rebie, Dexter, and Dublin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM EDT for central
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3221 8332 3227 8335 3228 8336 3238 8341
      3259 8304 3246 8290 3225 8285
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 245DEG 20KT 3233 8329

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH