Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Atlanta, GA

552 
WWUS52 KFFC 071405
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1005 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

GAC023-081-091-093-235-315-071412-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-250407T1415Z/
Dodge GA-Pulaski GA-Wilcox GA-Dooly GA-Bleckley GA-Crisp GA-
1005 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN DODGE...
PULASKI...WILCOX...SOUTHEASTERN DOOLY...SOUTHWESTERN BLECKLEY AND
CRISP COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However, gusty winds are
still possible with this thunderstorm.

Remember, a Tornado Warning still remains in effect for Wilcox, 
southeast Pulaski, and central Dodge Counties until 1030 EDT. 

&&

LAT...LON 3181 8383 3183 8384 3182 8385 3184 8386
      3185 8394 3186 8393 3190 8393 3238 8354
      3236 8322 3211 8321 3185 8353 3185 8361
      3180 8361 3180 8380
TIME...MOT...LOC 1402Z 227DEG 53KT 3245 8313 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
657 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 330 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Current radar loop shows a line of showers and thunderstorms
extending from the LA/AL Gulf coast, across GA, up into the Mid
Atlantic, and over the New England states. This frontal boundary
has currently stalled between the ATL and MCN areas with showers
and isolated thunderstorms training northward across the state.
We have see 2 to 3 inches across the CWA from this system and we
are looking for another 1 to 2 inches today. We have seen a few
creeks and rivers respond to this amount of precipitation but we
have not have much in the way of flash flooding. Will still keep a
close eye on things today with the anticipated precipitation
still to come. Will also continue the current Flood Watch with it
expiring around 8pm this evening. The models are in very good
agreement showing this boundary staying fairly stationary this
morning then beginning to push south and east this afternoon,
finally exiting the area late tonight. We could still see some
isolated severe storms across east central portions of the state
today before this front exits the area but instability indices
are lacking. The best location for severe storms today will be
along and south of a Cordele to Augusta line. This meshes well
with the current slight risk area SPC has drawn over the region.
Once this front exits the area, a much drier and cooler airmass
will begin to move in across the area. High temps today will be
mainly in the 60s and 70s with some 50s across North GA and some
80s across SE portions of the CWA. The cooler airmass begins to
push into North GA this evening with lows expected in the upper
30s to near 50. High temps Tuesday will only get up into the 50s
and 60s but the cold temps really move in Tues night. We will see
near freezing temps across north and portions of west GA Wed
morning.

01

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 330 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Cold air advection will continue Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning within northwesterly low level flow and an Arctic surface
high pressure moving through the Midwest. Clear skies and light
winds will furthermore aid in radiational cooling. Temperatures on
Wednesday morning will be the coolest we've seen in a few weeks,
with lows forecast to drop into the low to mid 30s in areas north of
I-85. Areas to the south of I-85 are forecast to see low
temperatures mainly in the upper 30s to low 40s. The coldest
locations in north and west Georgia will likely see development of
at least patchy front, warranting the issuance of a Frost Advisory
in a coming forecast package. A Freeze Warning may furthermore in
locations in the far northwest and higher elevations where
temperatures could approach or drop below 32 degrees. Consultation
will be had with the state climatologist as to whether or not the
mountain areas have begun the growing season, which will dictate
the need for products in those counties, as well.

On Wednesday, the center of the surface high will become positioned
to the northeast of the forecast area, at which point the low level
winds will shift to the southeast. This will bring an end to the CAA
regime, and the airmass will begin to moderate with plenty of
sunshine. Highs on Wednesday will be about 3-5 degrees below
climatological normals, in the 60s in north Georgia and low 70s in
central Georgia. On Thursday, a mid-level trough and associated
surface low will move from the upper Great Plains into the lower
Midwest. A cold front extending from the low will bring a return of
showers and thunderstorms to far north Georgia by Thursday
afternoon. By this time, dewpoints will have struggled to get back
above 50, even with increasing southwesterly low level flow. Because
of this, instability appears that it will be quite limited ahead of
the frontal boundary. With SBCAPE values generously between 200-400
J/kg in the peak heating hours, isolated thunderstorms will be
possible but the severe threat is expected to be limited.

As the trough continues to deepen Thursday night into Friday, it
will advance the front and associated precipitation southeastward
through the area. With marginal instability once again, scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms will linger on Friday, coming to
an end by Friday night. By early Saturday, the aforementioned trough
will become cut off from the jet well to the north, positioning
Georgia underneath northwesterly flow on the back side as it
meanders to the east. In the event this occurs, it will promote
pleasant weather this weekend, with cool temperatures and mostly
clear skies on Saturday and Sunday.

King

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

The frontal boundary laying across the state continues to
bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. The main line has
stalled over the ATL to MCN corridor and will stay there through
the morning hours. Ceilings expected in the MVFR and IFR range
with precipitation expected through 18z-20z. Will see ceilings
lift later this afternoon into the evening hours and becoming
clear after 04z Tue. Winds are mainly out of the SW but will turn
to the West around daybreak then to the NW this afternoon. Will
see wind speeds stay in the 7-14kt range with slightly higher gust.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Confidence medium to high on all elements

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          69  43  65  39 /  90  10   0   0
Atlanta         67  44  61  40 /  80  10   0   0
Blairsville     64  36  56  31 /  60   0   0   0
Cartersville    64  40  59  34 /  50  10   0   0
Columbus        69  44  67  39 /  90  10   0   0
Gainesville     67  44  62  40 /  70   0   0   0
Macon           72  45  67  41 / 100  30   0   0
Rome            63  40  60  33 /  40   0   0   0
Peachtree City  67  42  63  36 /  90  10   0   0
Vidalia         83  50  71  47 /  90  70   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through this evening for GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-
027-030>038-041>050-052>061-066>073-078>084-089>095-102>104.

&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....King
AVIATION...01

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
604 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-081015-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
604 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Thunderstorms are expected across central and east Georgia through
this afternoon. Some storms could become strong to severe,
capable of producing damaging winds, locally heavy rainfall, and
frequent lightning. A brief tornado also cannot be ruled out.

A Flood Watch is in effect through 8 PM this evening across north
and portions of central Georgia due to periods of heavy rainfall
and the potential for flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Frost and freeze concerns may develop across portions of north
Georgia Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible across north
and central Georgia on Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta. Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
818 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

GAZ025-027-035-036-071245-
Madison GA-Jackson GA-Barrow GA-Clarke GA-
818 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Barrow,
northwestern Clarke, southeastern Jackson and southwestern Madison
Counties through 845 AM EDT...

At 818 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Statham, or near
Winder, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Westgate Park, James Holland Youth Sports Cmpx, Bear Creek Reservoir,
Statham, Sandy Creek Recreation Area, Oconee Heights, Athens,
Barretts Mill, Arcade, Nicholson, Athens-Clarke County, Bogart, and
Jefferson.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3408 8332 3396 8334 3395 8352 3397 8354
      3395 8357 3394 8366 3405 8370 3415 8340
TIME...MOT...LOC 1218Z 247DEG 30KT 3401 8364

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
857 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

GAZ027-038-039-050-051-061-062-071345-
Taliaferro GA-Wilkes GA-Madison GA-Hancock GA-Warren GA-
Oglethorpe GA-Greene GA-
857 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Warren,
northeastern Hancock, northeastern Greene, Taliaferro, Wilkes,
Oglethorpe and central Madison Counties through 945 AM EDT...

At 856 AM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Smithonia to near Philomath to near Phoenix, and
moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Hutchings, Holliday Park, Lexington, Powelton, Mesena, Lyneville,
Vesta, Point Peter, Jacksons Crossroads, Lundberg, Woodville, White
Plains, Comer, Floral Hill, Aonia, Barnett, Rayle, Rocky Creek Fire
Dept., Raytown, and Watson Mill Bridge State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3366 8251 3364 8256 3365 8258 3361 8265
      3346 8259 3334 8302 3364 8311 3378 8318
      3425 8327 3424 8317 3427 8311 3423 8308
      3417 8310 3401 8294 3397 8278 3398 8265
      3386 8261 3387 8257 3380 8258 3364 8248
TIME...MOT...LOC 1256Z 257DEG 51KT 3399 8318 3372 8305 3338 8324

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH