Small Craft Advisory 29, NWS Buffalo, NY

152 
WHUS71 KBUF 150751
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
351 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

LEZ041-151600-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
351 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots today through early afternoon
  Sunday, then southwest 15 to 25 knots late Sunday and Sunday
  night.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Dunkirk to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-151600-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.250315T1500Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
351 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM
EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots today through Sunday.
  Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected 
  Sunday night.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-151600-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.250316T0600Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
351 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 20 knots tonight through early
  afternoon Sunday. Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to
  5 feet expected late Sunday through Sunday night.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 2 AM Sunday to 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-151600-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.250315T1500Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
351 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM
EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots expected today through Sunday,
  becoming southwest Sunday night.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-151600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
351 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots today through midday Sunday,
  becoming southwest late Sunday and Sunday night.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Dunkirk.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

580 
WHUS71 KBUF 151045
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
645 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

LEZ040-041-152000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
645 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots today through midday Sunday, 
  becoming southwest late Sunday and Sunday night.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-152000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.250315T1500Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
645 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots today through Sunday. 
  Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected 
  Sunday night.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-152000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.250316T0600Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
645 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM SUNDAY TO
5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 20 knots tonight through early 
  afternoon Sunday. Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 
  to 5 feet expected late Sunday through Sunday night.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 2 AM Sunday to 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-152000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.250315T1500Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
645 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots expected today through 
  Sunday, becoming southwest Sunday night.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

004 
WHUS71 KBUF 151816
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
216 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

LEZ020-LOZ030-160500-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.250316T0900Z-250317T0300Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
216 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From 5 AM to 11 PM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-160500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
216 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-160500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
216 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-160500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.250316T0600Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
216 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM SUNDAY TO
5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 2 AM Sunday to 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-160500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
216 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

501 
WHUS71 KBUF 160509
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
109 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

LEZ040-041-161315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
109 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-161315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.250316T0600Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
109 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-161315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
109 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-161315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
109 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-161315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.250316T0900Z-250317T0300Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
109 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS
MORNING TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From 5 AM early this morning to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

010 
WHUS71 KBUF 160739
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
339 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

LEZ040-041-162000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
339 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest late today
  through this evening.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-162000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
339 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest late today
  through tonight.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-162000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
339 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet,
  becoming southwest tonight.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-162000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
339 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest tonight.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-162000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.250316T0900Z-250317T0300Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
339 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest late today
  and this evening.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

201 
WHUS71 KBUF 161353
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
953 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

LEZ040-041-162200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
953 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-162200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
953 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-162200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
953 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-162200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
953 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-162200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0300Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
953 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 10 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

309 
WHUS71 KBUF 161937
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
337 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

LEZ040-041-170300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
337 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-170500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
337 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-170500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
337 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-170500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
337 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-170300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0300Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
337 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

592 
WHUS71 KBUF 170236
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1036 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

LOZ045-170345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1036 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-170345-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0300Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
1036 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

$$

LEZ040-041-170600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1036 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-170900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1036 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves up to 4 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-170900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
1036 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves up to 4 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

775 
WHUS71 KBUF 170522
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
122 AM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

LEZ040-041-170630-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
122 AM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds will continue to diminish.

$$

LOZ042-170900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
122 AM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT early this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-170900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
122 AM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT early this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

608 
WHUS71 KBUF 170748
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
348 AM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

LOZ042-171600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T2100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
348 AM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-171600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T2100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
348 AM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

207 
WHUS71 KBUF 171021
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
621 AM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

LOZ042-172100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T2100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
621 AM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-172100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T2100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
621 AM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

878 
WHUS71 KBUF 172036
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
436 PM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

LOZ042-172145-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T2100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
436 PM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

$$

LOZ043-044-172145-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-250317T2100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
436 PM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
744 PM EDT Fri Mar 14 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure centered across New England and eastern Canada will
continue to slide east tonight, making way for complex storm system
over the Central Plains, supporting the notably milder weather
through the start of the weekend. The dry weather will persist
through tonight before conditions deteriorate over the weekend, with
an increasing potential for showers. This will include a slight
chance for a few rumbles of thunder Saturday, and a soaking rain
Sunday, especially for areas east of the Genesee Valley (supporting
a risk for flooding across the Eastern Lake Ontario Region). Cool
and drier weather will then return for the start of the new work
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As the ridge of high pressure continues to slide east tonight, a
potent area of low pressure centered over the Central Plains this
evening will track northeast into the upper Midwest, as such its
associated mid level shortwave and prefrontal trough will slide
across WNY late Saturday morning/early Saturday afternoon ahead of
the longwave trough and cold frontal passage Saturday night.

With the pattern outlined above, expect mainly dry weather to
continue tonight, however conditions will become breezy due to an
increasing pressure gradient. Wind gusts off of the Chautauqua Ridge
will gust between 30-35 mph.

Saturday, subsidence and dry air associated with the exiting surface
ridge will support a decrease in rain chances and rainfall amounts
for the eastern half of the forecast area. The best chances for
measurable rain will be across WNY from late Saturday morning
through mid Saturday afternoon. There may be just enough instability
to support an isolated thunderstorm. Outside of the rain chances,
expect increasing cloud cover from west to east Saturday. Despite
the cloud cover, strong warm advection and southerly downslope flow
will support temperatures to soar well into the 60s across much of
the area, with low 70s possible across the lake plains of WNY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
A warm, southerly flow will be across the forecast area Saturday
night. A long wave trough will be just to our west with a strong
cold front moving across the Central Great Lakes into the Ohio
Valley. A plume of anomalously high PWATS will be just to the west.
A 50-60kt low level jet and subtle ripples in the southerly flow may
produce a few showers across the region, however most of the evening
will be relatively dry, but warm. Strong deep layer ascent and
moisture will increase ahead of a passing surface wave and cold
front late Saturday night and Sunday. A slug of moisture with mean
PWATS between 1-1.25 inches combined with strong, southerly moisture
transport will begin to bring more numerous showers into western NY
by Sunday morning. As the front and trough move east, strong forcing
and a northerly storm motion will bring widespread moderate showers
to most of the forecast area Sunday. Downsloping will keep amounts
less across the Finger Lakes region, however all locations should
get measurable precipitation. High shear and low CAPE will provide a
low chance for thunderstorms embedded in the rain Sunday. The
northerly storm motion and time of day may result in the Tug Hill
region experience multiple rounds of moderate rainfall. Forecast
rain amounts range from 0.50-0.75 inches across the western Southern
Tier, while 0.25-0.50 inches across the Niagara Frontier, Finger
Lakes and Lower Genesee Valley. Amounts of 0.75-1.25 inches are
still likely east of Lake Ontario. The higher amounts pose a risk of
flooding when combined with snow melt. Please see the Hydrology
section. The strong southerly flow across the region will keep
temperatures elevated Saturday night with lows in the upper 50s to
low 60s, possibly reaching record minimums. Since the cold front
will be mainly west of the forecast area by mid-day Sunday, highs
will reach the 60s to low 70s.

The cold front will enter western NY Sunday afternoon and move east
of north-central NY Sunday evening. Temperatures will fall and west-
southwest winds will increase behind the front. While the strongest
low level winds will be ahead of the front Sunday, if the low level
jet lags, there could be 40 mph+ with the cold front. There is low
confidence at this time. Moisture quickly diminishes from west to
east Sunday night but upslope flow will keep lingering showers
across the higher terrain. A few rain showers may switch to snow
showers before ending. No accumulation is expected. Low temperatures
will reach the low to mid 30s.

Post-frontal conditions will continue Monday into Monday night. A
dry airmass will wipe out overcast skies and precipitation. Cooler
Monday with highs in the low to mid 40s, with lows in the low to mid
30s across western NY, upper 20s across north-central NY.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Well above normal temperatures will be the main theme ahead of a
deepening trough cutting across Utah-Colorado Tuesday, and then into
the nations midsection on Wednesday. Temperatures will climb into
the 50s and 60s Tuesday, and then peak on Wednesday with highs well
in the 60s to low/mid 70s across the Genesee Valley. A strong sfc
low with the approaching trough will be in the process of passing to
our west Wednesday evening across central Michigan. Warm and breezy
conditions will 'likely' engulf much of the Lower Lakes ahead of the
sfc low and cold front. As we head into Wednesday night and
Thursday, chances for showers will increase just ahead of this cold
front. As the cold front enters the Lower Lakes and then crosses the
area Thursday, colder air will quickly filter in from west to east.
Showers will briefly taper off behind the cold front as a dry slot
works through the Lower lakes Thursday. After that...a cold W-WNW
Cyclonic flow and moisture wrapping back in may induce some measure
of a lake response off Lake Ontario by Thursday evening as H850 T's
fall to -9C to -12C. Chilly and breezy conditions expected Friday,
with scattered to numerous snow showers. We could even see some
accumulating lake effect snows east and southeast of Lake Ontario.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR conditions will prevail tonight. A storm system passing across
the upper Midwest tonight will create a tight pressure gradient
across the forecast area tonight, strengthening southeasterly flow.
A strong southwesterly LLJ moving in from the west could bring LLWS
to the terminals between 06-16z, particularly to the four TAF
sites south of Lake Ontario.

Outlook...

Saturday...VFR/MVFR with rain showers likely and a small chance of
thunderstorms, mainly from KROC westward. Mainly VFR further east.
Sunday...MVFR/IFR with rain showers.
Monday through Wednesday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Exiting surface high pressure across New England this evening will
continue to push east as low pressure slides northeast into the
upper Great Lakes, strengthening southerly flow tonight into
Saturday. South-southeasterly breezes will remain elevated into
Sunday before turning southwesterly behind a strong passing cold
front. Despite the general offshore wind and wave action, winds may
be strong enough to warrant SCAs on the waters over the weekend, and
then possibly into early next week as brisk winds become onshore.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
...FLOODING POSSIBLE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO STARTING SUNDAY...

A strong and moisture rich system will move through the Great Lakes
and Northeast this weekend. Latest model and ensemble guidance
continues to support a general 0.35" to 0.75" across most of the
area, and 1.0" to 1.5" east of Lake Ontario. For western NY, these
rainfall amounts are not a concern with minimal snowpack left.

East of Lake Ontario, significant snowpack remains, especially
across the higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau and western
Adirondacks. 6" to 12" of SWE remains in the snowpack across the
higher terrain, and this snow is now fully ripened after several
warm spells. Runoff will ramp up significantly east of Lake Ontario
this weekend from a combination of snowmelt and rainfall.

The most likely larger river to reach flood stage will be the middle
and lower reaches of the Black River, with tributaries flowing from
many of the areas that still have significant snowpack. Latest
ensemble river guidance suggests Minor flood stage is the most
likely scenario, with a lower potential to approach moderate flood
stage. The upper reaches of the Black River and Moose River will
also see significant rises, with Action stage the most likely
scenario, and a low chance of Minor flood stage. Other rivers and
creeks that drain the Tug Hill Plateau and western Adirondacks will
also see significant rises, including but not limited to the Salmon
River system, the Beaver River, and the Independence River. A
Flood Watch is in effect for Oswego, Jefferson, and Lewis
counties Sunday through Monday.

Simulated data shows ice on the Black River and other streams and
creeks east of Lake Ontario. Ice jam flooding is possible as rivers
and creeks begin to rise and ice breaks up Sunday through early next
week. There is high uncertainty in the exact timing and location of
any ice jams.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Flood Watch from Sunday morning through Monday evening for
     NYZ006>008.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EAJ/PP
NEAR TERM...EAJ
SHORT TERM...HSK
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...EAJ/PP
MARINE...EAJ/PP
HYDROLOGY...Hitchcock/HSK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
343 AM EDT Fri Mar 14 2025

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-150930-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Southern Erie-
343 AM EDT Fri Mar 14 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006>008-150930-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
343 AM EDT Fri Mar 14 2025

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-150930-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
343 AM EDT Fri Mar 14 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042>045-062>065-150930-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
343 AM EDT Fri Mar 14 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Hitchcock