Alert archive / New York / Gale Warnings in 2025
Gale Warning 17, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale warning at Nov 25, 2025, 3:46 AM EST. It took effect at Nov 26, 2025, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 54 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 25, 2025, 3:46 AM EST (08:46 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 26, 2025, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Nov 28, 2025, 7:00 PM EST
- In force
- 54 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted.
654 WHUS71 KBUF 250846 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 346 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 LEZ040-041-252000- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0013.251126T1800Z-251128T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0017.251126T1800Z-251128T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 346 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 45 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...From 1 PM Wednesday to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-252000- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0013.251126T2100Z-251129T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0017.251126T2100Z-251129T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 346 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 45 knots and waves 15 to 20 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario. * WHEN...From 4 PM Wednesday to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$
12 follow-up statements
433 WHUS71 KBUF 251747 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1247 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 LEZ040-041-260200- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.251126T1800Z-251128T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 1247 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...From 1 PM Wednesday to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-260200- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.251126T2100Z-251129T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1247 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 16 to 21 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario. * WHEN...From 4 PM Wednesday to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-260200- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.251127T0000Z-251129T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 1247 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 10 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots expected. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From 7 PM Wednesday to 10 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ Hitchcock
896 WHUS71 KBUF 252043 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 343 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 LEZ040-041-260900- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.251126T1800Z-251128T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 343 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 45 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...From 1 PM Wednesday to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-260900- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.251126T2100Z-251129T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 343 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 15 to 20 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario. * WHEN...From 4 PM Wednesday to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ SLZ022-024-260900- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.251126T2300Z-251128T0300Z/ Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 343 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 10 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Saint Regis. * WHEN...From 6 PM Wednesday to 10 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-260900- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.251126T1700Z-251129T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 343 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 10 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots expected. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From noon Wednesday to 10 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
647 WHUS71 KBUF 260855 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 355 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 LEZ040-041-261700- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.251126T1800Z-251128T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 355 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 45 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-261700- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.251126T2100Z-251129T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 355 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 15 to 20 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-261700- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.251126T1700Z-251129T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 355 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots expected. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From noon today to 10 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ SLZ022-024-261700- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.251126T2300Z-251128T0300Z/ Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 355 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Saint Regis. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 10 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
252 WHUS71 KBUF 261444 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 944 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 LEZ040-041-262245- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.251126T1800Z-251128T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 944 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-262245- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.251126T2100Z-251129T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 944 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 15 to 20 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-262245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.251126T1700Z-251129T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 944 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots expected. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ SLZ022-024-262245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.251126T2300Z-251128T0300Z/ Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 944 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Saint Regis. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 10 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ Hitchcock
594 WHUS71 KBUF 262051 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 351 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 LEZ040-041-271000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251128T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 351 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-271000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.251126T2100Z-251129T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 351 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 15 to 20 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-271000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251129T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 351 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ SLZ022-024-271000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.251126T2300Z-251128T0300Z/ Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 351 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Saint Regis. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ EAJ
296 WHUS71 KBUF 270636 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 136 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 LEZ040-041-271445- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251128T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 136 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-271445- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251129T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 136 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-271445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251129T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 136 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ SLZ022-024-271445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251128T0300Z/ Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 136 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Saint Regis. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ Reynolds
483 WHUS71 KBUF 271435 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 935 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 LEZ040-041-280300- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251128T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 935 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-280300- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251129T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 935 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-280300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251129T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 935 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ SLZ022-024-280300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251128T0300Z/ Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 935 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Saint Regis. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
344 WHUS71 KBUF 280238 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 938 PM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 SLZ022-024-280345- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251128T0300Z/ Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 938 PM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... $$ LEZ040-041-281045- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251128T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 938 PM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-281045- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251129T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 938 PM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-281045- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251129T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 938 PM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
238 WHUS71 KBUF 280847 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 347 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 LEZ040-041-281500- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251128T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 347 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-282000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251129T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 347 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-282000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251129T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 347 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
402 WHUS71 KBUF 281451 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 951 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 LEZ040-041-282100- /O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251128T2100Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 951 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-282300- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251129T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 951 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-282300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251129T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 951 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
609 WHUS71 KBUF 282042 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 342 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 LEZ040-041-290445- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251128T2100Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251129T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 342 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-290000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251129T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 342 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-290300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251129T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 342 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
487 WHUS71 KBUF 290006 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 706 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 LOZ042-290815- /O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251129T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251129T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 706 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 7 to 10 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043>045-290815- /O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251129T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251129T2100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 706 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... * WHAT...Northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ062>065-290115- /O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-251129T0000Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 706 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-290300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251129T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 706 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-290815- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-251129T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 706 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 7 to 10 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 25, 2:33 AM EST, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 25, 2:33 AM EST, 1 hour 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
233 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
An area of low pressure will enter the region today, supporting a
period of rain. A strong cold front will plow through the region
Wednesday, ushering in gusty winds and localized heavy lake effect
snow east of the lakes Wednesday night through the end of the week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Low pressure will track through the Ohio Valley today, with a
period of steady rain overspreading the region from the
southwest ahead of the system warm front. The rain will spread
across western New York this morning, reaching the eastern Lake
Ontario region by mid to late afternoon. Rainfall amounts
generally ranging between a quarter and half inch. Despite the
rain, it will be a mild day with temperatures peaking in the mid
40s to lower 50s.
Dry slot works into the region behind the warm front with a
diminishing trend to the rain in the evening, before showers
pick up again overnight in continued moist southwest flow ahead
of an approaching cold front.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT...
Key points with this update...
-Initial placement of the Lake Effect band off Lake Erie remains a
concern Wednesday evening.
-Residence time of the lake effect off Lake Erie. How fast will
winds shift from SW to W to WNW Wednesday night into Thursday.
Synoptic pattern...
A nearly vertically stack low over the upper Great Lakes region
Wednesday will direct a potent cold front towards the eastern Great
Lakes. The cold front will quickly plow through western New York
Wednesday afternoon and then central New York by Wednesday evening,
with a colder airmass pouring into the region. A broad and deep
trough will then become established across the entire Great Lakes
region and also Northeast. A cold cyclonic SW flow will gradually
veer to W and then WNW as we head into Thanksgiving day. As the
colder air spills into the region, it will initiate a lake response
which may initially begins a a rain-snow mix then transition over to
all snow as the colder air deepens.
Winds...
As the cold front nears and then cross the area, it will become
quite windy with gusts of 40-50 mph likely by Wednesday afternoon
through Wednesday night, especially northeast of Lake Erie and
across the Niagara Frontier. The strong winds will spread east and
inland across the rest of the area Thursday as surface winds veer
more westerly, with gusts of 40-50 mph possible areawide. A Wind
Advisory may eventually be needed for most, if not all of the area.
The strong winds will result in blowing and drifting snow in lake
effect areas, although relatively mild temperatures and higher
density snow may help to mitigate this to some extent. Strong winds
will continue Thursday night through Friday, with gusts up to 45 mph
at times producing areas of blowing and drifting snow.
Off Lake Erie...
As the colder air spills into the Lower Lakes Wednesday evening we
will see lake effect rain or a mix of rain-snow develop northeast of
the lake. That said...there still continues to be some issues with
band placement and also residence time of the band once it develops
northeast of the lake. Latest guidance (12Z Canadian-NH/RGEM)
continues to show it initially near the Buffalo Metro area or just
north of the city Wednesday evening. However...almost all guidance
show the band pushing south fairly quickly and therefore may
potentially limit snowfall accumulations. Speaking of which...the
airmass is not all that cold at the start of the event. Infact...p-
type may initially be in the form of 'rain' then a transition to a
rain/wet snow mix will occur in the evening. Eventually it will
become cold enough or dynamically cool to the point to support all
snow by mid-evening. The question at this point...where will the
band be? This will be the issue going forward which will determine
snowfall amounts and impacts across the area. One things does appear
certain, the band will have shifted south of the city by Thursday
morning and 'likely' focused across the Boston Hills and Wyoming
county.
Just to drive it home... band 'placement' and 'residence' time will
be an issue Wednesday evening-night. Given that...will 'not' be
upgrading the Winter Storm Watch to a Warning with this update.
Thursday-Friday...a W-WNW flow will direct lake effect snows east
and then southeast of the lake. Cyclonic flow will wrap deeper
synoptic moisture back in across the lake Thursday with equilibrium
levels climbing north of 15K feet. This combined with upstream
connections will 'likely' support moderate to heavy lake effect snow
at times into Friday, mainly across Chautauqua and Cattaraugus Co.
Lake snows will ever so slowly diminish Friday as synoptic moisture
gets stripped away as the mid-level trough begins to exit off to the
northeast. Although, we still will still see some accumulating snows
E-ESE of the lake into Friday night.
Off Lake Ontario...
While there will be some lag time...lake effect will eventually
organize northeast of the lake. A relatively weak band of rain or
rain/snow mix will develop overnight Wednesday night across the St.
Lawrence Valley and northern Jefferson County, with some unrelated
upslope across the Tug Hill Plateau. This will continue into
Thanksgiving Day, the lake effect will then beginning to settling
south as a secondary front sends it across Watertown and then
towards the northern Tug Hill region. The lake effect may not be too
organized or strong through a portion of Thanksgiving Day, with more
shear and less favorable low level convergence compared to Lake
Erie.
Thursday night-Friday night...upstream connections and more
favorable conditions will materialize potentially allowing for a
well organized band to setup from Wayne to western Oswego Co. This
will need to be monitor closely as additional headlines may be
needed.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Surface high pressure will briefly pass through the Lower Lakes
Saturday morning with any remaining lake effect weakening or coming to
an end.
A weak low will move out of the mid-section of the nation Saturday
night, which looks like it will bring an area of light synoptic
precipitation to the region. However...model guidance diverges
significantly on the track and intensity of this system, but in
general expect a gradual warming trend Sunday with any snow
transitioning to mainly rain.
Behind this system, weak high pressure is advertised to build in for
Sunday night but uncertainty continues to remain fairly high as we
head into early next week.
&&
.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A southern stream shortwave will bring a period of steady rain
today, with this rain arriving between 15 and 21Z from west to
east. Ceiling heights will lower to MVFR within the rain and to
IFR eventually late in the day and this evening, as low level
moisture builds. Visibilities should stay VFR with a low chance
for MVFR visibilities late in the day and this evening.
Outlook...
Tonight...MVFR/IFR with rain showers.
Wednesday...VFR/MVFR with showers. Turning very windy mid-day. Lake
effect snow with IFR flight conditions starts Wednesday night.
Thursday through Friday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of snow showers.
Heavier lake effect snow with IFR/LIFR east of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario. Very windy.
Saturday...VFR/MVFR with a chance (Erie) and likely (Ontario) of
snow showers east/southeast of Lakes Erie and Ontario.
&&
.MARINE...
Quiet marine conditions expected through tonight with southerly
component winds under 15 knots.
Strong low pressure will move from the upper Great Lakes Wednesday
to Quebec by late Thursday, supporting a strong cold front to plow
across the lower Great Lakes late Wednesday afternoon and evening.
Westerly winds will quickly increase along and behind the cold
front, with an extended period of gales on Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario from late Wednesday through Thursday night.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through Saturday
morning for NYZ006>008.
Winter Storm Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday
afternoon for NYZ010-011.
Winter Storm Watch from Wednesday evening through Friday
evening for NYZ012-019-020-085.
MARINE...Gale Warning from 1 PM Wednesday to 10 AM EST Friday for
LEZ040-041.
Gale Warning from 4 PM Wednesday to 7 PM EST Friday
for LOZ042>045-062>065.
&&
SYNOPSIS...EAJ/TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...Thomas/TMA
MARINE...EAJ/Hitchcock/TMAHazardous weather outlook, Nov 25, 1:50 AM EST, 1 hour 56 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 150 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 NYZ006>008-260700- Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- 150 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. A strong cold front will cross the region late Wednesday. Winds will increase along and behind the cold front, with wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph possible late Wednesday through Thursday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ001>005-013-014-021-260700- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario- Allegany- 150 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. A strong cold front will cross the region late Wednesday. Winds will increase along and behind the cold front, with wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph possible late Wednesday through Thursday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ012-019-020-085-260700- Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- 150 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. A strong cold front will cross the region late Wednesday. Winds will increase along and behind the cold front, with wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph possible late Wednesday through Thursday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ010-011-260700- Northern Erie-Genesee- 150 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. A strong cold front will cross the region late Wednesday. Winds will increase along and behind the cold front, with wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph possible late Wednesday through Thursday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ042>045-062>065-260700- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 150 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ040-041-260700- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 150 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-260700- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 150 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario and Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 12:44 PM EST | Lake Effect Snow Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson and 4 more | 4 days |
| Nov 25, 12:44 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | BUF | Allegany, Cayuga, Wayne | 24 hr |
| Nov 25, 12:44 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BUF | Erie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans | 42 hr |
| Nov 25, 12:46 PM EST | Lakeshore Flood Watch | BUF | Chautauqua, Erie | 13 hr |
| Nov 25, 12:47 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 4 days | |
| Nov 25, 12:54 PM EST | Wind Advisory | BUF | Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Monroe and 5 more | 60 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.