Severe Thunderstorm Warning 113, NWS Birmingham, AL

576 
WWUS54 KBMX 022147
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
447 PM CDT Fri May 2 2025

ALC119-022200-
/O.CON.KBMX.SV.W.0113.000000T0000Z-250502T2200Z/
Sumter AL-
447 PM CDT Fri May 2 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL SUMTER COUNTY...

At 447 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Epes, or 7
miles north of Livingston, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Epes, The University Of West Alabama, and Livingston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3272 8808 3269 8812 3268 8808 3270 8805
      3269 8804 3267 8806 3266 8805 3254 8825
      3260 8831 3274 8810
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 231DEG 13KT 3270 8815 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

12/Robinson

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
229 PM CDT Fri May 2 2025

...New LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 221 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2025

 - There is a level 3 out of 5 risk for severe storms for the northwest
   half of Central Alabama through late this evening. A level 1
   to 2 our of 5 risk exists for the remainder of the area.
   Threats include damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail up to
   quarter size.

 - There is a level 1 out of 5 risk for severe storms on Saturday
   for much of Central Alabama.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 1202 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2025

A frontal boundary will approach the area today, with scattered
convection already firing up to the north and west of the area.
This activity will increase in coverage through the afternoon and
evening, with severe thunderstorms possible. Instabilities are
over 3000 J/kg in the west, with LI around -8. Steep lapse rates
and a weak cap on the soundings should allow for any storms to
have high cores, strong winds, large hail, near constant
lightning, and heavy rain. The storms are moving southwest to
northeast, with the stronger mid level winds north of the area
through the afternoon. A few slower moving or training storms
could produce high rain rates in a few areas. Otherwise, damaging
winds and large hail will be the main threats through the
afternoon and early evening. 0-1 shear is weak, and the rest of
the wind profile doesn't support enough deeper shear for tornadoes,
so will leave off the threat list for now. Later this evening,
the mid level winds will increase as the front approaches, and
storm motion should increase, though training is still likely as
the wind profile stays parallel to the front.

Tonight, the instabilities will decrease after sunset, with the
threat of severe slowly decreasing through the evening and early
night. There is still enough forcing from a departing shortwave,
combined with weak instabilities for showers and thunderstorms to
continue through the night and early morning. Though these should
be sub severe, there could be strong storms with strong winds,
frequent lightning, heavy rain, and small hail.

Saturday, the front should slowly move to the southeast and drape
over the state by the afternoon. Models have been atrocious at
timing and coverage of the storms with this system, so confidence
is low. Will advertise scattered to widespread thunderstorms
through the late morning and afternoon on Saturday, with a few
possibly becoming severe. Instabilities won't be quite as high
as Friday afternoon, with values around 1500 J/kg, though with a
stronger mid level jet, the wind profile will be slightly
stronger. There is a low chance for storms to produce damaging
winds up to 60 mph and large hail. There could very likely be
breaks between storms, but models are not handling any boundaries
with enough consistency to allow a higher confidence on when
those breaks would be. If there is enough of a break in the late
morning and early afternoon, the instabilities may be slightly
higher for the activity in the afternoon, though we will assess as
the system continues to evolve.

24

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 221 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2025

After the activity works out of the area Saturday night, an upper
low will swing to our north. Right now clouds look to be the main
weather feature on Sunday, but a few light showers may develop
across far northern counties. Right now chances remain low of
getting at least a hundredth of an inch so will go with a cloudy
but dry forecast for now. As some of the CAMs come in tonight and
Saturday, we could see the trend increase for the light rain on
Sunday and Monday.

Forecast models continue to suggest batches of showers and storms
may affect our area mid to late next week, with shortwaves coming
off an upstream trough and westerly flow aloft.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1202 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2025

Thunderstorms will move through the area this afternoon, with
uncertainty in timing and coverage. Have left in PROB30 and VCSH
until a better timing can be determined. Any activity will likely
produce IFR visibilities (or lower) with high PW values allowing
for high rain rates. Lightning will be frequent. Activity should
weaken closer to midnight, though showers and thunderstorms are
expected off and on through the end of the TAF period.

24

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Moderate to high chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue
through late Saturday evening as a cold front approaches the region.
Increasing moisture ahead of the boundary will keep min RHs around
40-60% today and 60-70% on Saturday. Drier conditions will move into
the area on Sunday with RHs falling into the 35-45% range at times.
However, light winds will help negate fire weather concerns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     60  71  50  72 /  80  90  30  10
Anniston    61  72  52  73 /  70  90  40   0
Birmingham  63  71  52  71 /  80  90  20   0
Tuscaloosa  63  72  52  74 /  80  90  10   0
Calera      63  71  54  73 /  80  90  30   0
Auburn      63  72  57  75 /  20  90  70   0
Montgomery  64  75  56  75 /  40  90  40   0
Troy        63  74  57  76 /  20  90  60   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...24

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
241 AM CDT Fri May 2 2025

ALZ011>015-017>050-031045-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
241 AM CDT Fri May 2 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

There is a level 3 out of 5 risk for severe storms for locations near
and north of Interstate 20 with a level 1 to 2 out of 5 risk for
locations south of Interstate 20. Threats include damaging wind gusts
up to 60 mph and hail up to quarter size during the afternoon and
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is a level 1 out of 5 risk for severe storms across central
Alabama Saturday morning and afternoon. Threats include damaging wind
gusts up to 60 mph and hail up to quarter size.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management will be needed
for today and Saturday.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1127 AM CDT Fri May 2 2025

ALZ011-021715-
Marion AL-
1127 AM CDT Fri May 2 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN MARION COUNTY
THROUGH 1215 PM CDT...

At 1127 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Weston, or near Hamilton, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Pigeye, Shottsville, Weston, Hamilton, Bexar, and Rankin Fite
Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3431 8783 3405 8806 3405 8807 3412 8817
      3432 8813
TIME...MOT...LOC 1627Z 213DEG 17KT 3420 8803

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

87/Grantham

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
336 PM CDT Fri May 2 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Vernon                  33.76N 88.11W
05/02/2025                   Lamar              AL   Emergency Mngr

            Several reports of trees and power lines
            down in Vernon.

&&

GGOGGINS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
344 PM CDT Fri May 2 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 NNE Bevill State Coll 33.76N 87.80W
05/02/2025                   Fayette            AL   Emergency Mngr

            Trees down at the intersection of Highway
            171 and Highway 102.

&&

GGOGGINS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
344 PM CDT Fri May 2 2025

ALZ022-023-030-031-022130-
Greene AL-Pickens AL-Sumter AL-Tuscaloosa AL-
344 PM CDT Fri May 2 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN TUSCALOOSA...
SOUTHERN PICKENS...GREENE AND NORTHWESTERN SUMTER COUNTIES THROUGH
430 PM CDT...

At 344 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Gainesville, or 16 miles west of Eutaw, moving
northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Aliceville, Old Mallard Airport, Snoddy, Ralph, Emelle, York, New
Mount Hebron, Panola, Sumterville, George Downer Airport, West
Greene, Union, The University Of West Alabama, Pleasant Ridge,
Lewiston, Benevola, Epes, Eutaw, Memphis, and Gainesville Lake
Campground.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
west central Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3314 8832 3316 8769 3251 8808 3249 8840
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 217DEG 31KT 3286 8817

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

12/Robinson