Tornado Warning 14, NWS Amarillo, TX

060 
WWUS54 KAMA 260526
SVSAMA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1226 AM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025

TXC117-381-260536-
/O.CAN.KAMA.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-250426T0545Z/
Randall TX-Deaf Smith TX-
1226 AM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL RANDALL AND EAST CENTRAL DEAF
SMITH COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for
the Panhandle of Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3487 10231 3496 10227 3496 10209 3484 10214
TIME...MOT...LOC 0525Z 282DEG 12KT 3491 10220 

$$

LG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
636 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 117 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

- Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across the
  central and southern Texas Panhandle this afternoon and evening.
  Large hail, damaging winds, a low tornado threat, and heavy
  rainfall will be possible.

- Strong to severe storm threat is lower but will still be
  possible on Saturday and Sunday.

- Daily chances for thunderstorms continues each day through the
  middle of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM ...
(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 117 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

All eyes are on the location of a weak cold front stalling
over the area this afternoon, which will heavily dictate the
northward extent of today's severe weather risk. As of 18z,
satellite and sfc observations have the front analyzed as
bisecting the Texas Panhandle roughly from Boys Ranch to Pampa to
Canadian. Model trends have the front eventually stalling
southward progression just north of the I-40 corridor, which has
left a sufficient warm/moist sector for thunderstorm development
this afternoon. This scenario would present the opportunity for
supercells with all hazards possible across the southern Texas
Panhandle.

Environmentally, our 12z observed sounding depicts an environment
ready to produce severe thunderstorms once we reach convective
temperatures. MUCAPE values >2000 J/kg with steep mid-level lapse
rates, dew pts in the low 60s, and sufficient bulk shear ~30kts,
with a capping inversion at 800mb. Once this warm nose is eroded,
which is already ongoing where clouds are clearing in conjunction
with a sfc circulation over the south central-southwest TX
Panhandle, scattered supercells should develop around 2-4 PM. Even
if the front continues to push further south than currently
anticipated, elevated storms capable of large hail up to tennis
ball size and damaging winds can be expected across the southern
panhandle. Despite lack of stronger mid-level flow to enhance
shear values and upper level synoptic support, backed winds out of
the east are forecast along & ahead of the front, which is where
a low-end tornado threat will exist through the evening hours. As
previously mentioned, abundant moisture with dew pts in the 60s
is in place, helping to lower LCLs for sfc based convection.
Similar to yesterday, forecast soundings and current observations
show low-level shear values to be quite meager initially (<10kt
0-1km shear, <100 0-1km SRH). But also like yesterday, shear
profiles should become slightly more favorable with time
(especially with any right-moving supercells) thanks to backed sfc
winds and an increasing 20-30kt low-level jet through the event.

Showers and storms will fill in across much of the west TX High
Plains later in the evening to overnight hours as a subtle upper
level perturbation arrives within southwest flow aloft. Our focus
will transition to more of a hail and heavy rain concern as a
result through tomorrow, especially with PWATs around 1"
producing heavy rainfall rates and training storms. CAMs have been
fairly consistent highlighting a corridor of 1-2" rainfall
amounts along and south of I-40 by Saturday afternoon, which is
supported by 40-70% probabilities to exceed 1". Flash flooding
will be yet another hazard to keep in mind as the event unfolds
through tomorrow.

Models disagree somewhat on when showers & storms will dissipate
tomorrow afternoon-evening, but the general consensus is for
activity to wane by Saturday night. There is a low chance for
stronger storms to approach our western Panhandles from NM
tomorrow, but confidence in this activity reaching our forecast
area is low given potential ongoing precipitation.

Harrel

&&

.LONG TERM ...
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 117 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

One more chance for showers and thunderstorms on Sunday for at
least the southeastern half of the combined Panhandles. Although
this is based on the NBM mean that gives widespread 30 PoPs. There
is a bit of skepticism with this though, as the area is progged to
be under the right exit region of an upper level jet. Subsidence
should limit the precipitation chance which the NBM50 supports
with the Panhandles not having any PoPs. The NBM75 only gives
some slight chances for small areas in the east/northeastern
combined Panhandles.

Monday looks dry outside of the far southeastern TX Panhandle
which will have 20 to 30 PoPs at this time. Dry air is looking to
fill in at the surface mixing a dry line well to the east. The
dryline positioning will determine the overall chances for the
southeastern TX Panhandle on Monday. Then on Tuesday precip
chances retreat a bit further west with slight chance PoPs along
the HWY 60 corridor, with higher chances to the southeast. This
will be thanks to a cold front passage.

Under southwest flow aloft Sun and Mon, under the influence of a
upper level ridge, daytime highs are progged to be in the 80s
across the region. Monday night an upper level trough over the
Desert Southwest will propagate towards the combined Panhandles
and should help send a weak cold front from the north on Tue.
North to northeasterly winds Tue will help hold back temps in the
low to mid 70s. Continued influence of the upper level trough may
bring even more widespread 20 to 50 PoPs to the combined
Panhandles for Wed and Thu. Mid to late week may bring the FA
back to more potential moisture but also potential severe storms.
Details are still a bit too fuzzy, this far out, on the severe
threat at this time to know exactly how much of a threat will
exist.

36

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 629 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

Showers and thunderstorms are now arriving at KAMA, and should
become more widespread later this evening into the overnight
hours. KDHT and KGUY will have chances for showers over the
terminals and perhaps some thunder, but higher confidence resides
in the low ceilings and reduced visibility. Even once showers and
storms clear out tomorrow morning-afternoon, low ceilings will
linger until towards the end of the period. Winds will stay out of
the east southeast at 10-20 kts throughout the period.

Harrel

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                55  70  56  85 /  90  80  50  30
Beaver OK                  49  66  53  84 /  60  80  50  30
Boise City OK              45  67  51  84 /  70  60  30  10
Borger TX                  55  73  57  88 /  80  80  50  30
Boys Ranch TX              53  73  56  87 /  80  80  50  20
Canyon TX                  55  71  56  85 /  80  80  50  20
Clarendon TX               55  69  56  81 /  90  90  50  30
Dalhart TX                 47  69  51  84 /  80  70  40  10
Guymon OK                  47  67  52  86 /  70  80  40  20
Hereford TX                54  72  56  86 /  80  80  50  20
Lipscomb TX                53  68  56  82 /  70  80  40  30
Pampa TX                   54  69  57  82 /  80  80  50  30
Shamrock TX                56  70  57  80 /  90  90  50  30
Wellington TX              57  71  57  81 /  80  90  50  30

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch until 4 AM CDT Saturday for TXZ011>013-016>020-317.

OK...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...38
LONG TERM....36
AVIATION...38

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
222 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-260730-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
222 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

A Tornado Watch is in effect until 10 PM tonight for the southern
Texas Panhandle. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple
tornadoes will be possible.

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the southern Texas Panhandle
from 5 PM to 3 AM tonight for the risk of excessive rainfall from
tonight's thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms may be possible across some parts
of the Panhandles on Saturday and Sunday. The primary hazards
with any severe storms will be large hail and damaging winds.

There are continued chances for thunderstorms each day from Monday
through Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
656 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0559 PM     Hail             10 N Amarillo           35.35N 101.83W
04/25/2025  E1.00 Inch       Potter             TX   Broadcast Media

            Picture submitted via social media; a few
            inches of accumulating hail ranging from
            nickels to quarters.

&&

PAV

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
724 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

TXZ007-012-260100-
Potter TX-Moore TX-
724 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL POTTER AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MOORE COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 723 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles southeast of Valley De Oro, or 17 miles northwest of Amarillo,
moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Valley De Oro.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for the Panhandle
of Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 10217 3544 10216 3567 10186 3546 10166
      3527 10207
TIME...MOT...LOC 0023Z 233DEG 23KT 3540 10205

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

LFM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
725 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

TXZ013-260100-
Carson TX-
725 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CARSON COUNTY
THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 725 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles west of Panhandle, moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Carson
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for the Panhandle
of Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3541 10163 3549 10162 3560 10147 3537 10130
      3533 10156 3533 10162
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 238DEG 10KT 3540 10157

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

LFM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
923 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0921 PM     Hail             7 N Bootleg             34.93N 102.82W
04/25/2025  E1.00 Inch       Deaf Smith         TX   Trained Spotter

&&

PAV

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1037 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0947 PM     Funnel Cloud     5 E Bootleg             34.84N 102.72W
04/25/2025                   Deaf Smith         TX   Storm Chaser

            Funnel persisted for 30 seconds. Less than 1
            mile north of F.M. road 1058.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1047 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1032 PM     Tornado          8 ENE Bootleg           34.85N 102.67W
04/25/2025                   Deaf Smith         TX   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Fire fighter dispatch reports a tornado
            viewing from the intersection of FM 1058 and
            FM 1057.

&&

CR