Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2025

Storm Warning 154, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 29, 2025

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 29, 2025, 4:02 AM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 29, 2025, 4:02 AM AKST (13:02 UTC)
Expired
Nov 30, 2025, 3:40 PM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

198 
FZAK51 PAFC 291302
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-300200-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front lifts to the north Gulf coast through Sun afternoon and
lingers into Mon morning. A 989 mb low develops 90 nm S of Kodiak
City Sun morning along the front and tracks to Prince William
Sound at 997 mb for Sun morning.

$$

PKZ710-300200-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ711-300200-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ712-300200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ715-300200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ716-300200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ714-300200-
Resurrection Bay-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain 
with snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ724-300200-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ725-300200-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ726-300200-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ720-300200-
Port of Valdez-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-300200-
Valdez Narrows-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ722-300200-
Valdez Arm-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-300200-
Passage Canal-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-300200-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ731-300200-
Barren Islands East-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ733-300200-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ732-300200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ734-300200-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ736-300200-
Chiniak Bay-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ737-300200-
Marmot Bay-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ738-300200-
Shelikof Strait-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ742-300200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ740-300200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ741-300200-
Kachemak Bay-
402 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. In
the outer bay, NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
3 follow-up statements
883 
FZAK51 PAFC 300019
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-301300-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 990 mb low arrives at 56N 151W by Sun morning and moves to 59N 
151W at 990 mb by Sun afternoon before pushing inland. Its front 
moves into the N. Gulf and pushes inland by Sun afternoon. 

$$

PKZ710-301300-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 45 kt in the morning increasing to 55 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ711-301300-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt in the morning increasing to 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ712-301300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ715-301300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 45 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ716-301300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 45 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ714-301300-
Resurrection Bay-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ724-301300-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft
building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas
6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ725-301300-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight.
Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ726-301300-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft 
after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ720-301300-
Port of Valdez-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-301300-
Valdez Narrows-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
3 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ722-301300-
Valdez Arm-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-301300-
Passage Canal-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-301300-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 40 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ731-301300-
Barren Islands East-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ733-301300-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ732-301300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ734-301300-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ736-301300-
Chiniak Bay-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ737-301300-
Marmot Bay-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ738-301300-
Shelikof Strait-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ742-301300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.SUN...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ740-301300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 1 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ741-301300-
Kachemak Bay-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. In the
outer bay, NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft except 8 ft in the outer bay. 
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
395 
FZAK51 PAFC 301219
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-010130-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 990 mb low develops 160 nm S of Seward this morning and moves over
the Prince William Sound and dissipates through Mon morning. A 
separate front moves into the southwestern Gulf Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ710-010130-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 55 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ711-010130-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ712-010130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ715-010130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ716-010130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ714-010130-
Resurrection Bay-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ724-010130-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ725-010130-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ726-010130-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ720-010130-
Port of Valdez-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-010130-
Valdez Narrows-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ722-010130-
Valdez Arm-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-010130-
Passage Canal-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-010130-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ731-010130-
Barren Islands East-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ733-010130-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ732-010130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ734-010130-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ736-010130-
Chiniak Bay-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ737-010130-
Marmot Bay-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ738-010130-
Shelikof Strait-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ742-010130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ740-010130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ741-010130-
Kachemak Bay-
319 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. In
the outer bay, NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
204 
FZAK51 PAFC 010040
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-011315-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 990 mb low 70 nm NE of Kodiak moves inland by Mon afternoon. 
Its front in the northern Gulf shortly moves inland this 
afternoon. A front arrives in the Gulf from the west by Tue 
afternoon.


$$

PKZ710-011315-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ711-011315-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ712-011315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ715-011315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 10 
ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ716-011315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ714-011315-
Resurrection Bay-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ724-011315-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft. Rain.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ725-011315-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ726-011315-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ720-011315-
Port of Valdez-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-011315-
Valdez Narrows-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ722-011315-
Valdez Arm-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.MON...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming NE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-011315-
Passage Canal-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. 
Rain.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-011315-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ731-011315-
Barren Islands East-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ733-011315-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ732-011315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ734-011315-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ736-011315-
Chiniak Bay-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ737-011315-
Marmot Bay-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas
4 ft building to 9 ft after midnight.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ738-011315-
Shelikof Strait-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ742-011315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft
subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ740-011315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than
10 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ741-011315-
Kachemak Bay-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 28, 4:27 PM AKST, 11 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 28, 4:27 PM AKST, 11 hours 35 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
427 PM AKST Fri Nov 28 2025

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Monday)...

An upper level shortwave trough stretching from the western
Alaska Range to the northern Gulf continues to make steady
northeast progress into Southcentral this afternoon. A swath of
moisture has moved up into the Copper Basin, where forcing and
lift ahead of the incoming trough are supporting widespread light
snowfall. Farther south, warmer temperatures are yielding mostly
cold rain near Valdez and Cordova near sea level. Behind the
trough passage, the western half of Southcentral is clearing out
as a transient upper ridge begins to build into place from
Southwest. Patchy areas of fog have developed where calm winds and
clear skies have helped the near surface air radiate and cool to
saturation. So far, this has been mostly concentrated across the
western Kenai Peninsula. However, areas farther north into
Anchorage could easily fog up later this evening as temperatures
cool off a few degrees under clear skies and light northeast
winds.

Saturday will mark the beginning of what could truly be described
as a prolonged stretch of weather chaos. A strong warm front
associated with a large low moving over the North Pacific is
expected to lift across the Gulf throughout the day, sending a
renewed surge of moisture and lift straight north into
Southcentral. Precipitation will overspread much of the outlook
area from south to north, first reaching Kodiak and the Kenai
Peninsula early in the morning, then spreading into the interior
later in the day. A nose of warm air will move in aloft as
temperatures above freezing stream northwest overtop of cooler
temperatures in place across the Mat-Su, Anchorage and western
Kenai Peninsula right around the same time precipitation moving in
ahead of the front arrives. This will create a favorable
temperatures profile for a wintry mix of sleet, snow and freezing
rain, roughly along an axis from Anchor Point up to Willow and
Palmer. Winter Weather Advisories are now set to go into effect
midday Saturday for this entire corridor.

Across the Winter Weather Advisory areas, icing amounts do not
look likely to be all that significant (no more than 0.10") due
to a couple limiting factors. First off, increasing easterly flow
will increase downslope drying with time, limiting precipitation
intensity. Secondly, east to northeast winds will pick up sharply
at the surface by Saturday evening as a northeast to southwest
pressure gradient tightens ahead of the approaching frontal wave.
This will tend to increase mixing with time, allowing temperatures
to warm a few degrees above freezing across most of the Mat
Valley, Anchorage and western Kenai Peninsula from Saturday night
into early Sunday. However, there could be a few cold pockets that
linger into Sunday where winds do not materialize, such as east
Anchorage and the southern end of the Susitna Valley. This could
allow isolated areas to still see occasional periods of freezing
rain lingering into much of Sunday.

Looking more into the start of next week, the active and warm
pattern shows no signs of abating. From Sunday into Monday, a
shortwave trough and attendant surface low will move north into
the eastern Gulf as the front moves into the Gulf coast and
weakens. Models have struggled mightily to hone in on the track of
this system, though there has been a fairly distinct west shift
for the expected trajectory of this system. The consensus is that
the low will stall just south of the the Kenai Peninsula, then
possibly shift more northeast towards Prince William Sound as the
upper trough continues to lift north somewhere over the eastern
half of Southcentral. This could actually favor a period of
accumulating wet snow across the western Kenai Peninsula up into
Anchorage and the Matanuska Valley, depending on exactly where the
upper trough tracks and how much temperatures can cool back down
in the lower levels as precipitation moves back in from the west.
It is worth emphasizing, however, that this is a complex pattern
with a lot of room for more changes to how things evolve. Be sure
to monitor the forecast for updates as we continue to follow this
very active pattern into early next week.

-AS

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3)...

**Key Message: A Winter Storm Watch has been issued for the
 Kuskokwim Delta and Kuskokwim Valley from late Saturday night
 through Tuesday afternoon for up to 2" of snowfall and up to
 0.25" of ice accumulation.**

Diving into the details, satellite imagery reveals a rather large
gale force low with its front driving northward from the North
Pacific towards the eastern half of the Aleutian Chain. Gale
force winds with up to storm force wind gusts overspread the Chain
tonight. A couple areas of interest will be Cold Bay and Dutch
Harbor. Cold Bay's favorable southeasterly wind direction
funneling through the terrain there will lead to strong, gusty
winds. Meanwhile, Dutch Harbor is especially vulnerable to a
southeasterly to easterly wind direction, and the peak duration of
winds will likely be Friday evening through Saturday morning.

Upper level features disagree on placement and timing, but the
bottom line is by Saturday afternoon, frontal precipitation drives
into the Bristol Bay region and coastal areas of Southwest
Alaska. The airmass currently across Southwest Alaska is not
terribly cold, but should be cold enough at the surface and aloft
to support a quick round of snow or rain/snow mix for these
locations before changing over to a period of freezing rain. The
GFS and EC seem to be the colder solutions model wise, while the
NAM is the warmest model. Forecaster confidence leans more NAM
than the GFS and EC for a couple of reasons. First, southeast
winds at the surface, 925 mb, and 850 mb will bring in a push of
relatively warmer air for coastal Southwest Alaska. Secondly,
freezing rain is a self limiting p-type, meaning latent heat of
freezing will actually cause the airmass at the surface to
moderate with no direct supply of reinforcing colder air to offset
the warming. So, the idea for Bristol Bay areas will be a fairly
fast snow to freezing rain to rain transition.

It will take a bit longer for precipitation to move farther
northward across the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, with most of the
guidance indicating snow could fall Sunday morning. For these
areas under the Winter Storm Watch, warm air intrusion will make
its appearance also, though with temperatures well below freezing
and surface winds shifting more northerly, a changeover to
freezing rain will likely be a long duration event. For these
locations, we will see a period of snow transitioning to freezing
rain as a band sets up shop for the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta region
and points farther inland across the Valley. Because cold air is
dense and wants to sink, this makes it tough to erode, so valley
locations have increased freezing rain potential and could see
more ice accumulation than nearby areas.

Sunday morning, the gale force low devolves into a strong complex
low pressure system, and the guidance suggests that an area of
low pressure could form on its eastern periphery across the
western Gulf. If this is the case, the low will retrograde
northwestward and move across Southwest Alaska and send a second
wave of moisture across the region, adding to what snow and ice
has already fallen. The most uncertain part of the forecast is if
this in fact materializes, and if it does, how much more warm
intrusion will take place as surface winds northwest of the low
shift to out of the northeast. Pattern recognition points to this
re-estabilishing the warm nose effect, which would lead to another
round of freezing rain and just plain rain for some areas that
are a bit warmer.

Precipitation will linger well into late Monday and Tuesday, as
this system will likely be a long duration freezing rain/snow
event for the Yukon-Kuksokwim Delta and Kuskokwim Valley.

-AM

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7 - Tuesday through
Friday)...

Uncertainty continues to be an issue in the long term. A North
Pacific low is projected to track into the Bering Sea with the
leading front bringing widespread precipitation and gale force to
storm force winds from the northeast direction across much of the
Bering Sea. Winds along the western periphery of the low will
become northerly as it crosses the western Aleutians.
Precipitation type is the main challenge for the mainland for the
early part of next week as cool temperatures remain at the surface
and warmer air filters across the region aloft. Although the low
weakens in the southern Bering, it is not entirely clear how long
this forecast challenge will persist through the rest of the week.
This system appears to bring a prolonged pattern, especially for
southwest Alaska with strong winds, precipitation, and warm
southerly air moving over cool northerly air. For the Gulf and
Southcentral, waves of surface lows and fronts will transit the
Gulf, but some uncertainty remains to its strength and trajectory
into the northern Gulf or eastern Gulf. At the least, expect
showers to continue for coastal areas with less clarity for the
long term weather conditions farther inland. Toward the last half
of the week though, a strong front moves into the western Bering
Sea from a Kamchatka low. Storm force gusts seem more likely along
the front but may be stunted progress as it bumps into a narrow
area of high pressure in the central Aleutians and Bering Sea. An
upper level blocking pattern seems possible with high pressure to
the north and areas of low pressure with embedded disturbances
transiting south and along the Aleutians. Breezy gap winds across
Southcentral will be possible for the latter half of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions with ceilings above 5000 ft and light
northerly winds will persist through this evening. Vicinity mixed
precipitation showers are also possible this afternoon/early
evening, although the bulk of any shower activity should remain
east of the terminal. Fog and/or low stratus may also develop
tonight as winds at and near the surface slacken while low-level
moisture lingers underneath a transient ridge moving over the
region. This introduces potential for IFR visibility through
Saturday morning. Later on Saturday, any fog would be scoured out
by increasing northerly winds. Precipitation chances then increase
by Saturday afternoon with the arrival of another frontal system.
Any steady precipitation would likely fall as freezing rain, with
a glaze of ice accumulation possible.

-TM/Quesada

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 28, 3:47 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 28, 3:48 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 28, 3:48 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Nov 29, 3:54 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC23 hr
Nov 29, 3:54 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC23 hr
Nov 29, 4:02 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Nov 29, 4:02 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC47 hr
Nov 29, 1:31 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFCBethel Census Area20 hr
Nov 29, 2:23 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC13 hr
Nov 29, 2:23 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2025Every storm warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.