Gale Warning 784, NWS Anchorage, AK

050 
FZAK61 PAFC 291303
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
403 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-300200-
403 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A front lifts to the north Gulf coast through Sun afternoon and
lingers into Mon morning. A 989 mb low develops at 56N 152W Sun
morning along the front and tracks to 60N 147W at 997 mb for Sun 
morning.

$$

PKZ351-300200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
403 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind up to 20 kt becoming SE 15 to 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 20 to 35 kt becoming 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 to 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 10 to 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.

$$

PKZ352-300200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
403 AM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

.TODAY...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 16 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.

$$

459 
FZAK61 PAFC 300019
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-301400-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 990 mb low arrives 120 nm SE of Kodiak by Sun morning and moves to
50 nm NE of Kodiak at 990 mb by Sun afternoon before pushing inland.
Its front moves into the N. Gulf and pushes inland by Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ351-301400-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 9 to 14
ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 to 40 kt becoming S 20 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 12 to 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ352-301400-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
319 PM AKST Sat Nov 29 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 15 to 30 kt becoming 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 to 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 14 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

555 
FZAK61 PAFC 301220
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
320 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-010130-
320 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 990 mb low develops at 57N 149W this morning and moves over the
Prince William Sound and dissipates through Mon morning. A
separate front moves into the southwestern Gulf Mon afternoon. 

$$

PKZ351-010130-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
320 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 to 40 kt becoming S 20 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 12 to 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.THU...E wind up to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.

$$

PKZ352-010130-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
320 AM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TODAY...S wind 15 to 30 kt becoming 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 to 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 18 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind up to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.

$$

900 
FZAK61 PAFC 010040
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-011415-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 990 mb low at 59N 151W moves inland by Mon afternoon. Its front
in the northern Gulf moves inland this afternoon. A front arrives
in the Gulf from the west by Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ351-011415-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 9 to
12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

PKZ352-011415-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
340 PM AKST Sun Nov 30 2025

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind up to 15 kt. Seas 11 to 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
515 AM AKST Fri Nov 28 2025

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Sunday)...

For today, a negatively-tilted shortwave trough will lift up from
the western Gulf into Southcentral as the front at the surface
weakens and hangs up along the coast near Cordova and Prince William
Sound. The approaching shortwave could pull enough moisture
northwest to help develop a new band of precipitation across parts
of Anchorage and up into western portions of the Mat-Su, with steady
rain and snow expected to continue across the northern Prince
William Sound. By the afternoon, winds will relax across the Kenai
Peninsula as the air mass around the Cook Inlet region cools
slightly, so the profile should be favorable for mostly snow across
interior valleys with this next round. Snow amounts across the Mat-
Su Valleys and Anchorage will generally stay well under 1 inch. Snow
will shift into the Copper Basin this afternoon and evening, where
storm totals of up to a few inches will be possible through early
Saturday, especially close to Paxson.

By Saturday morning, a transient upper ridge will move in behind the
shortwave trough, ushering in a brief lull in the active pattern. If
skies clear out enough, areas of fog could develop across parts of
the Mat Valley down into Anchorage and the western Kenai Peninsula
sometime between Friday evening and Saturday morning. The break in
the pattern will not last long, with another strong low and front
expected to move north into the Gulf between Saturday and Sunday. A
secondary surge of warm, moist air will move up with this frontal
system, setting the stage for another round of coastal rain and
unseasonably high snow levels. There will also be some threat for
freezing rain to return to the western Kenai Peninsula up into
Anchorage and the Mat-Su regions.
However, this will depend on a still quite uncertain track for the
Gulf low. A more west track across the Gulf would likely be more
favorable for warmer temperatures and issues with light wintry mix,
while a more east track would drive less warm air inland, and keep
precipitation more confined to the eastern parts of the outlook
area. Stay tuned as we monitor the progress of this next stronger
system going into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3)...

Areas of fog and low stratus affecting Southwest Alaska from the
Kuskokwim Delta to the Western Capes and parts of Bristol Bay are
expected to clear through the morning, however areas of low
stratus may persist later into the afternoon. Sky conditions will
generally improve across Southwest before a broad, North Pacific
front lifts across the Aleutians this afternoon.

Easterly winds up to gale force are anticipated along with
widespread rain showers for the Aleutian Chain, with near storm
force gusts possible between Unalaska and Atka. The axis of small
craft winds and gales shifts northward into the rest of the
Bering on Saturday, encompassing the Pribilof Islands. For
mariners, seas of greater than 20 feet are forecast on the
Pacific side of the Aleutians, with a smaller area of 20 foot seas
to lifting into the central and western Bering by late Saturday.

As the front approaches the Southwest mainland on Sunday, above
freezing mid- level temperatures and rain move in over freezing
surface temperatures of the Y-K Delta. While some model
divergence still exists concerning precipitation type, the ECMWF
and NAM both indicate increasing chances for periods of mixed
snow and freezing rain Sunday afternoon into Monday for The
Kuskokwim Delta.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7/Monday through
Thursday)...

The long term forecast is characterized by uncertainty,
especially closer to the end of next week. Monday starts with a
large North Pacific low south of the Aleutian Islands. This low
will bring a long swath of light to moderate precipitation to the
Aleutians and Bristol Bay. Southcentral Alaska will have lingering
precipitation as a low dissipates in the northern Gulf of Alaska.
By Tuesday, the North Pacific low will track into the Bering,
leading to heavier precipitation and high end gale force to storm
force winds over the Central Aleutians and the Pribilof Islands.
Depending on the guidance being looked at, northwest gale force
winds could affect Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Delta coast. A
front pushes into the Gulf of Alaska, bringing a quick round of
gusty winds and precipitation to Kodiak Island and the
Southcentral coast. However, the true intensity of rainfall and
winds cannot be accurately determined right now. Due to a more
southerly wind direction in the Aleutians, Alaska Peninsula, and
the Gulf of Alaska, precipitation will likely be in the form of
rain. If precipitation makes it to the Kuskokwim Delta, snowfall
would be likely.

Wednesday has the low moving eastward, allowing for continued
gusty winds and precipitation in the east Bering. As the low moves
eastward, northerly winds will eventually reach the Southwest
mainland, allowing for cold air advection and thus, cooler
temperatures. The current thinking is that Thursday will be when
this occurs. Some guidance has temperatures dropping below zero
for the Kuskokwim Delta and Lower Kuskokwim Coast, but most keeps
it above zero. Meanwhile, the low may push into the Gulf of Alaska
by Thursday, bringing precipitation and increased wind speeds
there with high uncertainty on exactly where.

-JAR

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions with ceilings above 5000 ft and light
northerly winds will persist through the TAF period. However,
there is a chance for light snow between around 18Z through 0Z
today, which has the potential to drop ceilings below 5000 ft or
even to MVFR at times. Fog may also develop tonight as winds at
and near the surface slacken while low-level moisture lingers
underneath a transient ridge moving over the region. This
introduces potential for IFR visibility through Saturday morning.
Later on Saturday, any fog would be scoured out by increasing
northerly winds. Then, precipitation chances increase with the
arrival of another frontal system.

Quesada

&&