Storm Warning 144, NWS Anchorage, AK

779 
FZAK52 PAFC 162353
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-171245-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 968 mb low 210 nm N of Shemya moves to 165 nm N or Adak at 988 mb 
Mon afternoon before dissipating Mon night. A 959 mb low 100 nm NE of
St. Paul moves to 40 nm W of Hooper Bay at 965 mb by Mon afternoon 
before moving over St. Lawrence Island. A 969 mb Sea of Okhotsk low 
sends a front to the western Bering and Western Aleutians by Tue 
morning. A 973 mb low develops along this front at 53N 169E Tue 
morning. 

$$

PKZ750-171245-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ751-171245-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 33 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft.

$$

PKZ752-171245-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ753-171245-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 31 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ754-171245-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ755-171245-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...S wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ756-171245-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ757-171245-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ758-171245-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ759-171245-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ770-171245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ772-171245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ771-171245-
Unalaska Bay-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ773-171245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ774-171245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ775-171245-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ776-171245-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ777-171245-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ778-171245-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ780-171245-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ781-171245-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ782-171245-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ783-171245-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ784-171245-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15
ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ785-171245-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ786-171245-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ787-171245-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 17 ft.
Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ766-171245-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ760-171245-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ761-171245-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ762-171245-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ763-171245-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.

$$

PKZ764-171245-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ765-171245-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. Rain
and snow.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ767-171245-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
253 PM AKST Sun Nov 16 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Snow. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Snow. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
425 PM AKST Sat Nov 15 2025

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Tuesday morning)...

It has been a beautiful day across much of Southcentral Alaska
today, with the exception of some low stratus and fog lingering in
the Copper River Valley. Gusty gap winds along the coast will
ease slightly through this evening as a Gulf low pulls south, but
revamp again for early tomorrow morning when a weak surface low
briefly forms just south of Prince William Sound. An potent upper
level trough driving in from the northwest will allow for
snowfall along and east of the Richardson, Edgerton, and Tok Cut-
Off highways tonight and tomorrow morning. The highest amounts
look to fall along the Edgerton with up to 6 inches between
Chitina and McCarthy.

Our attention then turns to a strong low pressure system moving
into the Bering Sea tomorrow, sending a trough over Southcentral
Alaska through Monday night. Light snowfall is possible as the
initial front moves over the Kenai Peninsula, Anchorage bowl, and
the Mat- Su Valley Sunday evening and night. Downsloping in
locations directly in the lee of mountains will likely limit
precipitation Monday morning before a more significant wave of
precipitation moves through during the day on Monday. Most of the
Cook Inlet region could see 1 to 3 inches of snow while favorable
flow and lingering moisture into Tuesday will allow higher snow
totals in the Susitna Valley. This system kicks off a very active
pattern for southern Alaska through much of the next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 & 2)...

An occluded low remains anchored over the western Bering this
afternoon with a strong front extending southward through the
Central/Eastern Aleutians into the North Pacific. Gusty southerly
winds will linger into tonight from the Pribilof Islands down to
Atka as the front makes slow eastward progress.

Even further east, a blanket of low stratus and fog has been
persisting across Southwest Alaska through much of the day today.
On the east side of the Kuskokwim Mountains from Sleetmute down to
King Salmon ceilings have been down to around 2000 ft. Coastal
locations near Dillingham have experienced areas of fog during the
morning hours. On the west side of the Kuskokwim Mountains
ceilings have been lower, ranging from 400 to 800 ft. Bethel's
visibility, in particular, has only recently gone up from a 1/2
mile to 2 miles. Through the rest of the evening hours into
tonight a front will clip the YK Delta with southeasterly winds
helping to break up any remaining fog. The approach of a strong
low into the eastern Bering on Sunday will see winds increase
further over the latter half of the day, which has been the focus
of the Southwest Alaska forecast for the past several days.

A winter weather advisory for snow and blowing snow is in effect
early Sunday morning through early Monday morning. As the
aforementioned low skirts west of Nunivak Island, scattered snow
showers are expected to develop along with increasing winds
gusting from 35 to 45 mph. This will promote periods of reduced
visibility of one half mile due to blowing snow. As the low
continues northward through Saturday night, southerly flow will
see temperatures warm to or above freezing by Sunday morning. The
threat for blowing snow will come to an end at that time. Total
snow amounts will range from 2 to 4 inches from Mekoryuk to
Toksook Bay to Kipnuk. Further inland, conditions will be windy
but to a lesser extent, also with less snowfall. Thus, interior
locations, including Bethel, have been excluded from any winter
weather products.

An extended period of south to southwesterly onshore winds
ranging from 20 to 30 mph will linger in the aftermath of the
departing low for much of the Kuskokwim Delta on Monday. Despite
the lower tide levels, there is still potential for water levels
of 1.5 to 3 feet above the normal highest tide line during the
high tide cycle on Monday morning and again Monday evening. This
will be something to keep a close eye on over the next 24 hours,
and a coastal flood advisory will be issued if confidence
increases in higher water levels impacting the Kuskokwim Delta
Coast.

-BL

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Wednesday through
Saturday)...

By early next week, a broad upper level trough establishes itself
over the Bering Sea with several shortwaves rotating around the
base of the trough, sustaining the active storm track in the
North Pacific and Gulf. The long term begins as a front tracks
across the eastern Bering into Southwest Alaska, bringing small
craft to gale strength winds along the Alaska Peninsula and
Bristol Bay coast. As the front reaches the Southwest coast and
moves inland Wednesday into Thursday, southerly flow likely allows
precipitation to fall as rain along the coast, with snow
transitioning to rain for interior locations in the Kuskokwim
Delta and Bristol Bay.

This will be quickly followed by a stronger low lifting out of
the North Pacific towards the AKPen by Thursday morning, at which
this point deterministic model guidance begins to diverge. The GFS
and Canadian models show a stronger, potentially storm force low
tracking across the AKPen towards the Kuskokwim Delta before
pivoting east into the Gulf, while the ECMWF tracks a weaker low
straight into the Gulf from the North Pacific. Although details in
the overall strength and exact storm track will become more clear
in the coming days, strong southerly flow and plentiful moisture
can be expected regardless of which solution ultimately plays out.
Moderate rainfall and snow at higher elevations is expected along
the AKPen and Kodiak Island for Thursday, with heavy rain at sea
level and heavy mountain snow directed at the northern Gulf coast
Thursday into Friday. As the low lingers in the Gulf, showery and
generally unsettled weather continues in the Gulf and along the
Gulf coast through the weekend, while the deep southerly flow
associated with this system will result in temperatures trending
warmer across southern Alaska.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light north to northeast winds will
persist. A passing upper trough could briefly increase cloud
cover this evening, but ceilings are expected to remain well
within VFR range and above 5000 ft.

&&