Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2024
River Flood Warning 2, NWS Tulsa, OK
NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at Apr 27, 2024, 9:30 AM CDT for Ottawa County, Oklahoma. It took effect at Apr 28, 2024, 7:12 AM CDT. It was in force for 6 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 27, 2024, 9:30 AM CDT (14:30 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 28, 2024, 7:12 AM CDT
- Expired
- May 4, 2024, 8:43 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 days
- Issued by
- NWS Tulsa, OK
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Moderate
County Ottawa County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Neosho River near Commerce (COMO2). The gauge peaked at 20.19 ft at May 2, 2024, 11:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 14 ft
- Minor stage
- 15 ft
- Moderate stage
- 18 ft
- Major stage
- 24 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07185000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
535
WGUS44 KTSA 271430
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
930 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
...The National Weather Service in Tulsa OK has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-280230-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0002.240428T1212Z-240501T0932Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T1212Z.240429T1200Z.240501T0331Z.NO/
930 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...From Sunday morning to early Wednesday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Some roads within Riverview Park become flooded including State
Highway 125 near the fairgrounds.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 7.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
tomorrow morning to a crest of 21.0 feet Monday morning. It
will then fall below flood stage late Tuesday evening.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$31 follow-up statements
683
WGUS84 KTSA 272041
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
341 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-280845-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.240428T1212Z-240501T0931Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T1212Z.240429T1200Z.240501T0331Z.NO/
341 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...From Sunday morning to early Wednesday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Some roads within Riverview Park become flooded including State
Highway 125 near the fairgrounds.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 3:30 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 10.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
Sunday morning to a crest of 21.0 feet Monday morning. It
will then fall below flood stage late Tuesday evening.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
05045
WGUS84 KTSA 280056
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
756 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-281300-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0002.240428T1212Z-240501T0931Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T1212Z.240429T1200Z.240501T0331Z.NO/
756 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...From Sunday morning to early Wednesday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Some roads within Riverview Park become flooded including State
Highway 125 near the fairgrounds.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 11.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
Sunday morning to a crest of 21.0 feet Monday morning. It
will then fall below flood stage late Tuesday evening.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
OKC115-281300-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0003.240428T2347Z-240429T1923Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.240428T2347Z.240429T0600Z.240429T1323Z.NO/
756 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO EARLY
MONDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Spring River near Quapaw.
* WHEN...From Sunday evening to early Monday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 13.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.0
feet early Monday morning. It will then fall below flood
stage Monday morning.
- Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3695 9469 3682 9469 3682 9481 3695 9481
$$
05792
WGUS84 KTSA 280717
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
217 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-280830-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0003.240428T2347Z-240428T0717Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
217 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Spring River near Quapaw.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 11.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.3
feet tomorrow evening.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3695 9469 3682 9469 3682 9481 3695 9481
$$
OKC115-281930-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.240428T1724Z-240502T1946Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T1724Z.240430T0000Z.240502T1346Z.NO/
217 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO EARLY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...From this afternoon to early Thursday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 12.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
this afternoon to a crest of 19.9 feet tomorrow evening. It
will then fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
Lacy196
WGUS84 KTSA 280739
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
239 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County.
Caney River near Collinsville affecting Rogers and Tulsa Counties.
&&
OKC037-280845-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-240428T0739Z/
/SPCO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
239 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Polecat Creek near Sapulpa.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 6.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.0
feet this afternoon.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3606 9599 3599 9598 3592 9614 3600 9615
$$
OKC131-143-280845-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0006.240428T1751Z-240428T0739Z/
/CVLO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
239 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Caney River near Collinsville.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 7.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 11.6
feet early tomorrow afternoon.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3643 9580 3636 9564 3630 9570 3635 9588
$$
OKC115-281945-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0002.240428T1724Z-240502T1946Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T1724Z.240430T0000Z.240502T1346Z.NO/
239 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO EARLY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...From this afternoon to early Thursday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 12.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
this afternoon to a crest of 19.9 feet tomorrow evening. It
will then fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
Lacy249
WGUS84 KTSA 281359
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
859 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-290200-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.240429T0027Z-240502T1800Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240429T0027Z.240430T0000Z.240502T1200Z.NO/
859 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO EARLY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...From this evening to early Thursday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 12.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
this evening to a crest of 19.6 feet tomorrow evening. It
will then fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$861
WGUS84 KTSA 281932
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
232 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-290745-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.240428T2306Z-240503T0227Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2306Z.240430T0600Z.240502T2027Z.NO/
232 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE THURSDAY
EVENING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...From this evening to late Thursday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 13.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
this evening to a crest of 20.0 feet early Tuesday morning.
It will then fall below flood stage Thursday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$889
WGUS84 KTSA 282042
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
342 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-290845-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.240428T2246Z-240503T0713Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2246Z.240430T0600Z.240503T0113Z.NO/
342 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 3:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 14.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
late this afternoon to a crest of 20.2 feet early Tuesday
morning. It will then fall below flood stage Thursday
evening.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$837
WGUS84 KTSA 290119
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
819 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-291330-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T0022Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240430T0600Z.240503T1822Z.NO/
819 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until Friday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 15.9 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.2
feet early Tuesday morning. It will then fall below flood
stage early Friday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$887
WGUS84 KTSA 290707
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
207 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-291915-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240503T1634Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1200Z.240503T1034Z.NO/
207 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE FRIDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until late Friday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut
off from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate
flooding. State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be
threatened.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 17.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 19.1
feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
flood stage early Friday morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
Lacy126
WGUS84 KTSA 290713
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
213 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-291915-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240503T1634Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1200Z.240503T1034Z.NO/
213 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE FRIDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until late Friday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut
off from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate
flooding. State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be
threatened.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 17.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 19.1 feet just
after midnight tonight. The river will then fluctuate between
19.1 feet and an expected crest of 19.3 feet thru Thursday
night. It will then fall quickly below flood stage early
Friday morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
Lacy108
WGUS84 KTSA 291416
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
916 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-300230-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T0045Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1200Z.240503T1845Z.NO/
916 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until Friday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 18.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.0
feet Thursday morning. It will then fall below flood stage
early Friday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$585
WGUS84 KTSA 292027
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
327 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-300830-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T0045Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1200Z.240503T1845Z.NO/
327 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until Friday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 18.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.0
feet Thursday morning. It will then fall below flood stage
early Friday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$952
WGUS84 KTSA 300105
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
805 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-301315-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T0045Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1200Z.240503T1845Z.NO/
805 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until Friday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 18.7 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.0
feet Thursday morning. It will then fall below flood stage
early Friday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
67787
WGUS84 KTSA 300744
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
244 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-301945-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T0045Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1200Z.240503T1845Z.NO/
244 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until Friday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 18.9 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.0
feet Thursday morning. It will then fall below flood stage
early Friday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
05501
WGUS84 KTSA 301307
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
807 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-010115-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T1446Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1800Z.240504T0846Z.NO/
807 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until late Saturday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 19.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to continue slowly rising
today and Wednesday to a crest of 20.0 feet by early Thursday
afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Saturday
morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
Lacy222
WGUS84 KTSA 301855
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
155 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-010700-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T1446Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1800Z.240504T0846Z.NO/
155 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until late Saturday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 19.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to continue slowly rising
today and Wednesday to a crest of 20.0 feet by early Thursday
afternoon. It is then expected to fall below flood stage
early Saturday morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
Lacy902
WGUS84 KTSA 010101
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
801 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-011315-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T1957Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1800Z.240504T1357Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until early Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 19.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.2
feet early Thursday afternoon. It will then fall below flood
stage Saturday morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
43017
WGUS84 KTSA 010727
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
227 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-011930-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T1735Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1800Z.240504T1135Z.NO/
227 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until early Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 19.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.1
feet early Thursday afternoon. It will then fall below flood
stage Saturday morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
05590
WGUS84 KTSA 011320
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
820 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-020130-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T0105Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1200Z.240503T1905Z.NO/
820 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until Friday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 19.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to continue a slow rise to a
crest of 19.8 feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below
flood stage early Friday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$942
WGUS84 KTSA 011857
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
157 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-020700-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T2008Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1200Z.240504T1408Z.NO/
157 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 19.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to slowly rise to a crest of
19.8 feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood
stage late Saturday morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$219
WGUS84 KTSA 020131
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
831 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-021345-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T2133Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1200Z.240504T1533Z.NO/
831 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 19.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 19.8
feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
late Saturday morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
RBD737
WGUS84 KTSA 020636
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
136 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-021845-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240505T0207Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1200Z.240504T2007Z.NO/
136 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until late Saturday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 12:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 19.7 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 19.8
feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage
Saturday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
05216
WGUS84 KTSA 021354
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
854 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-030200-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T2255Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240502T1300Z.240504T1655Z.NO/
854 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 19.9 feet.
- Forecast...The river is cresting at 19.9 feet currently, and
will remain at 19.9 feet thru this evening before slowly
falling late tonight into Friday morning. It will then fall
below flood stage late Saturday morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
Lacy698
WGUS84 KTSA 021942
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
242 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-030745-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T2255Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240503T0600Z.240504T1655Z.NO/
242 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 20.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.2
feet just after midnight tonight. The river is expected to
remain near 20.2 feet thru Friday morning. It will then fall
below flood stage around midday Saturday.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
Lacy243
WGUS84 KTSA 030046
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
746 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-031300-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T2255Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240503T0600Z.240504T1655Z.NO/
746 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 20.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.2
feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
flood stage late Saturday morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
RJS820
WGUS84 KTSA 030806
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
306 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-032015-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T2255Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240503T1200Z.240504T1655Z.NO/
306 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 20.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.2
feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage late
tomorrow morning.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$750
WGUS84 KTSA 031320
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
820 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-040130-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T2230Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240503T0400Z.240504T1630Z.NO/
820 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 20.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
late tomorrow morning and continue falling. The river is then
forecast to remain below flood stage.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$559
WGUS84 KTSA 031900
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
200 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-040700-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T2255Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240503T0400Z.240504T1655Z.NO/
200 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125
near the fairgrounds will be closed.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:30 PM CDT Friday the stage was 19.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
late tomorrow morning and continue falling.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
MAB557
WGUS84 KTSA 040046
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
746 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-041300-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T1716Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240503T0400Z.240504T1116Z.NO/
746 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut
off from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate
flooding. State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be
threatened.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 PM CDT Friday the stage was 19.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
tomorrow morning and continue falling and remain below flood
stage.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$
RBD236
WGUS84 KTSA 040731
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
231 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
&&
OKC115-041715-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T1710Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240503T0400Z.240504T1110Z.NO/
231 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.
* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.
* WHEN...Until this afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
Riverview Park experiences minor flooding.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 17.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
this morning and continue falling and remain below flood
stage.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$136
WGUS84 KTSA 041343
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
843 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.
OKC115-041445-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240504T1343Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.240428T2230Z.240503T0400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
843 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024
...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Neosho River near Commerce.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 14.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall and remain below
flood stage.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 27, 5:42 AM CDT, 3 hours 48 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 27, 5:42 AM CDT, 3 hours 48 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
542 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 349 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Key Messages:
1.) Mostly quiet weather for the forecast area through noon today,
with just a few showers and storms for SE OK and NW AR.
2.) The severe weather threat will ramp up from west to east during
the afternoon, continuing into the overnight hours and transitioning
into more of a flood threat with time.
3.) All modes of severe weather will be possible, including
tornadoes, large hail, damaging winds, and excessive rainfall
leading to flooding.
Details:
For the first part of the day Saturday, a few showers and
isolated storms may occur at times for portions of southeast OK
and northwest AR, but overall conditions are expected to be breezy
but otherwise quiet.
By early afternoon CAMs show a full recovery from any convective
effects of yesterday or this morning, with plentiful moisture and
warm temperatures resulting in deep and strong instability. As
the upper level trough nudges into the area during the afternoon
and the low level jet begins ramping up, speed and directional
shear will increase, bowing out hodographs and greatly increasing
effective wind shear. On paper, all of the ingredients are in
place to support a significant severe weather outbreak, including
strong long track tornadoes, very large hail, and powerful
damaging wind gusts. The SPC and WPC both have moderate risk
outlooks over the area for severe weather and excessive rainfall,
respectively. As always, its the details that matter, and having
these conditions in place does not guarantee significant severe
weather will actually develop. But it does mean that it would be
prudent to be prepared for the potential.
One consideration for today will be a cluster of storms that is
expected to form over northwest Texas tonight. It should persist
and track into north-central OK during the early afternoon.
Depending on its timing, track, and intensity it could modify the
convective environment for the "main event" that will develop
later in the day. It's not impossible to imagine a case with more
widespread precipitation and clouds earlier on lessing the
potential of the storms later in the day. Either way, additional
thunderstorm activity will likely form along the dry line in the
mid afternoon to evening hours. These storms will occur as upper
level diffluence increases and an already strong low level jet
further intensifies. Severe weather is likely by this point,
including the potential for all severe hazards. Over time, this
convective activity will translate east, morphing into a linear
feature. As this occurs the threat will primarily shift to wind
and potentially QLCS tornadoes. Additionally, training rainfall
will likely occur, with CAM guidance depicting totals of several
inches for portions of the area, especially in northeast OK.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Friday)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Heavy rainfall will gradually shift eastwards overnight and finally
move out of the area later on Sunday. Storm totals should exceed 1"
in all locations, with many areas seeing 2 to locally 4+ inch
totals. Such heavy rainfall will result in localized flash flooding
and river flooding in spots. A Flood Watch is in effect on account
of this threat.
After Sunday, a few lingering storms could still pop up Monday or
Tuesday, but conditions will be mostly quiet with highs in the upper
70s to mid 80s. Another weather system will impact the area
Wednesday and Thursday resulting in some cooling and a return of
showers and thunderstorms. Some severe weather may also occur during
this period, though the potential is expected to be much lower than
what we will be dealing with today.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 542 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
The morning should be quiet at all sites with MVFR cigs and LLWS
conditions. By early afternoon, CAMs indicate potential for pop-up
showers and storms from KMLC over into the W AR TAFs. Meanwhile,
storm development gets going to the west btwn 18Z and 21Z, with at
least sct storms near the NE OK sites btwn 21Z and 00Z. A larger
complex organizes this evening and then sweeps east overnight.
Inserted gusty wind potential at most sites (except NE OK) with
the squall line with impacts into NW AR ongoing at the end of this
forecast. MVFR cigs initially this morning will become VFR by
midday, potentially dipping to MVFR with any storm activity. MVFR
cigs return to some eastern sites by 12Z Sunday morning.
Lacy
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 81 63 78 58 / 70 100 70 10
FSM 81 67 76 62 / 80 70 100 40
MLC 81 64 77 60 / 70 90 90 10
BVO 80 60 78 52 / 70 80 60 10
FYV 78 63 73 57 / 70 80 100 40
BYV 78 63 72 58 / 60 60 90 50
MKO 80 62 76 58 / 60 90 90 10
MIO 80 61 74 56 / 50 90 90 20
F10 79 62 77 58 / 70 100 70 10
HHW 80 64 75 61 / 80 80 100 30
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch from 4 PM CDT this afternoon through Sunday
afternoon for OKZ054>068-070-071-073.
AR...None.
&&
SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....06
AVIATION...30Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 27, 7:51 AM CDT, 1 hour 39 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 751 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-280945- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 751 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024 ...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE TODAY... ...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT TODAY AND TONIGHT... This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. TORNADO. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Mainly eastern Oklahoma. ONSET...This afternoon. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Mainly eastern Oklahoma. ONSET...This afternoon. FLASH FLOOD. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Mainly eastern Oklahoma. ONSET...This evening. HEAVY RAIN. RISK...Critical. AREA...Areawide. ONSET...This afternoon. AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Northeast Oklahoma and portions of Northwest Arkansas. SIGNIFICANT WINDS. RISK...Limited. AREA...Areawide. ONSET...This Morning. DISCUSSION... Widespread thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon over Oklahoma, working their way east to include northwest Arkansas during the evening hours and overnight. The threat of severe weather is present across the area, but the greater threat will be over eastern Oklahoma. All severe hazards will be possible, including tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds as storms move into the area from the west. Over time, merging storms will gradually shift the multi hazard severe threat towards wind and spin-up tornadoes. As repeated rounds of storms will move over the same areas, there is an elevated risk of heavy rain and flash flooding. The highest threat will be in northeast Oklahoma, but all areas have at least some potential. Total rainfall in the hardest hit areas may exceed several inches. Today will be a day to pay special attention to forecast updates considering the dual threat of severe weather and flooding rains. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential. WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Heavy rain will continue into Sunday across northwest AR before it finally moves east. Additional strong to severe storms are possible over southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Sunday afternoon. Winds will remain breezy with gusts of 30-40 mph. For the rest of the week we will see additional rounds of rain and thunderstorms, including the threat of severe weather and heavy rains for mid week. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 11:28 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Choctaw | 32 min |
| Apr 26, 11:48 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Pushmataha | 27 min |
| Apr 27, 12:10 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Pushmataha | 35 min |
| Apr 27, 12:21 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Pushmataha | 24 min |
| Apr 27, 12:48 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | LeFlore | 27 min |
| Apr 27, 1:12 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | LeFlore | 33 min |
| Apr 27, 9:31 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Ottawa | 53 hr |
| Apr 27, 9:36 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Okmulgee | 17 hr |
| Apr 27, 10:05 AM CDT | River Flood Advisory | TSA | Cherokee, Delaware | 39 hr |
| Apr 27, 10:05 AM CDT | River Flood Advisory | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware | 69 hr |
| Apr 27, 10:05 AM CDT | River Flood Advisory | TSA | Cherokee | 3 days |
| Apr 27, 10:07 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Creek | 40 hr |
| Apr 27, 10:17 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Rogers, Tulsa | 59 hr |
| Apr 27, 10:19 AM CDT | River Flood Advisory | TSA | Muskogee | 51 hr |
| Apr 27, 3:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage, Pawnee | 43 min |
| Apr 27, 3:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage | 28 min |
| Apr 27, 3:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Osage, Pawnee | 33 min |
| Apr 27, 3:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage | 31 min |
| Apr 27, 3:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage | 25 min |
| Apr 27, 4:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage | 52 min |
| Apr 27, 5:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Osage | 47 min |
| Apr 27, 5:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage | 23 min |
| Apr 27, 5:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Osage | 37 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2024Every river flood warning in 2024
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.