Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2024

Tornado Watch 541

July 15, 20244 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 15, 2024, 6:53 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2024, 6:53 PM CDT (23:53 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2024, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
80 kt
All 78 counties

Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Henry County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McHenry County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Scott County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Benton County, IN, Cass County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Lake County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Newton County, IN, Noble County, IN, Porter County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Wabash County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Cass County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Green County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, Racine County, WI, Rock County, WI, Walworth County, WI

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
80%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

73 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 6:58 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNRock Island, Whiteside47 min
Jul 15, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTLee, Ogle, Winnebago75 min
Jul 15, 7:02 PM CDTTornado WarningMKXGreen, Lafayette28 min
Jul 15, 7:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMKXGreen3 hr
Jul 15, 7:12 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNHenry, Mercer, Rock Island, Whiteside48 min
Jul 15, 7:12 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNStephenson48 min
Jul 15, 7:16 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTOgle15 min
Jul 15, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatMKXLafayette, Rock58 min
Jul 15, 7:20 PM CDTTornado WarningMKXGreen, Rock25 min
Jul 15, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDVNHenderson, Henry, Mercer, Rock Island, Warren52 min
Jul 15, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatILXFulton, Knox, Stark38 min
Jul 15, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLake35 min
Jul 15, 7:42 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBureau, Henry, Whiteside48 min
Jul 15, 7:42 PM CDTTornado WarningMKXRock21 min
Jul 15, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatDVNBureau, Henry, Rock Island, Whiteside55 min
Jul 15, 7:54 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTBoone, Ogle, Winnebago36 min
Jul 15, 7:55 PM CDTTornado WarningILXFulton, Knox, Marshall, Peoria, Stark35 min
Jul 15, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTBoone, DeKalb, Kane, Lee, McHenry, Ogle and 1 more74 min
Jul 15, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatDVNBureau, Putnam53 min
Jul 15, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXFulton, Knox38 min
Jul 15, 8:08 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTDeKalb, Ogle37 min
Jul 15, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRock, Walworth65 min
Jul 15, 8:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTWinnebago3 hr
Jul 15, 8:17 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBureau, Putnam43 min
Jul 15, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTDeKalb, Kane, Kendall, LaSalle, Lee54 min
Jul 15, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatILXDeWitt, Fulton, Knox, Logan, McLean, Marshall and 5 more63 min
Jul 15, 8:31 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTBoone, Kane, McHenry24 min
Jul 15, 8:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTLake4 hr
Jul 15, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXCass, Fulton, Logan, Mason, Menard, Schuyler and 1 more38 min
Jul 15, 8:40 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTKane35 min
Jul 15, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTFord, Grundy, Kendall, LaSalle, Livingston62 min
Jul 15, 8:46 PM CDTTornado WarningILXMcLean, Tazewell, Woodford29 min
Jul 15, 8:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBerrien54 min
Jul 15, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Lake83 min
Jul 15, 8:52 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTDuPage, Kane38 min
Jul 15, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, Kankakee, Will74 min
Jul 15, 9:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMKXKenosha3 hr
Jul 15, 9:04 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLOTKendall, Will25 min
Jul 15, 9:10 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLOTDuPage24 min
Jul 15, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatILXChampaign, Coles, DeWitt, Douglas, Logan, McLean and 4 more79 min
Jul 15, 9:13 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTCook, Grundy, Kendall, Will47 min
Jul 15, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTFord, Iroquois74 min
Jul 15, 9:16 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Lake44 min
Jul 15, 9:22 PM CDTTornado WarningILXMcLean23 min
Jul 15, 9:27 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTCook, DuPage33 min
Jul 15, 9:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Will3 hr
Jul 15, 9:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTBenton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Porter70 min
Jul 15, 9:37 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTKankakee38 min
Jul 15, 9:37 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLOTLake38 min
Jul 15, 9:44 PM CDTTornado WarningILXChampaign, Piatt9 min
Jul 15, 9:46 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTIroquois59 min
Jul 15, 9:59 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLOTPorter31 min
Jul 15, 9:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatIWXBerrien, Cass46 min
Jul 15, 10:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningIWXBerrien3 hr
Jul 15, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatILXChampaign, Coles, Douglas, Edgar, Vermilion69 min
Jul 15, 10:10 PM CDTTornado WarningIWXLaPorte, Marshall, Saint Joseph, Starke50 min
Jul 15, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatIWXCass, Fulton, Pulaski, White61 min
Jul 15, 10:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRVan Buren42 min
Jul 15, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBranch, Saint Joseph39 min
Jul 15, 10:23 PM CDTTornado WarningIWXPulaski, White37 min
Jul 15, 10:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRKalamazoo83 min
Jul 15, 10:33 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXFulton, Knox, Mason, Peoria, Tazewell3 hr
Jul 15, 10:35 PM CDTTornado WarningIWXElkhart, Kosciusko, Marshall, Saint Joseph55 min
Jul 15, 10:45 PM CDTTornado WarningIWXCass, Fulton, Kosciusko, Miami, Pulaski, White48 min
Jul 15, 10:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXCass, Saint Joseph38 min
Jul 15, 11:08 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXLogan, Mason, Peoria, Tazewell5 hr
Jul 15, 11:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatIWXCass, Grant, Miami, Wabash50 min
Jul 15, 11:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatIWXElkhart, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Noble, Whitley47 min
Jul 15, 11:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatIWXHuntington, Wabash, Whitley46 min
Jul 15, 11:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRBarry, Calhoun, Kalamazoo39 min
Jul 15, 11:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXCass, Saint Joseph14 min
Jul 15, 11:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, DeKalb, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben40 min
Jul 15, 11:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams, Grant, Huntington, Wabash, Wells40 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2024-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1937 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2024-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 279 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1937 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-109 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
794 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
279 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
381 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
12.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

408 
WWUS20 KWNS 152351
SEL1  
SPC WW 152351
IAZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-MIZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-160600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 541
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
650 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Extreme east central Iowa
  Northern Illinois
  Northwest Indiana
  Southwest Lower Michigan
  Extreme southern Wisconsin
  Lake Michigan

* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 650 PM
  until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely
  Widespread damaging winds and scattered significant gusts to 90
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to evolve into one or more bow
echoes from Iowa into northern Illinois this evening, with the
potential to produce swaths of significant severe gusts up to 75-90
mph and several tornadoes with embedded circulations.  The storms
will spread into northwest Indiana and southwest Lower Michigan
later tonight.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles
east and west of a line from 65 miles northwest of Benton Harbor MI
to 55 miles south southeast of Marseilles IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 539...WW 540...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 80 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 29040.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 7:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy and 15 more84 min
Jul 14, 9:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCook, DuPage, Kankakee, Kendall, Lake, Will54 min
Jul 14, 10:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Ford, Grundy, Henry, Iroquois, Knox and 9 more83 min
Jul 14, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChampaign, Coles, DeWitt, Douglas, Edgar, Logan and 4 more4 hr
Jul 15, 12:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, DeWitt, Ford, Fulton, Grundy, Iroquois and 14 more2 hr
Jul 15, 1:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 32 more3 hr
Jul 15, 3:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBureau, Carroll, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, Henry and 18 more8 hr
Jul 15, 5:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Fulton, Hancock and 19 more2 hr
Jul 15, 6:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Champaign, Cook, DeKalb, DeWitt and 26 more114 min
Jul 15, 6:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Carroll, Henry, Knox, Lee, Mercer and 6 more95 min
Jul 14, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCass, Elkhart, Fulton, Huntington, Kosciusko, LaGrange and 10 more4 hr
Jul 15, 2:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette, Franklin and 10 more117 min
Jul 15, 3:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGogebic, Houghton, Iron, Ontonagon114 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2024Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2024Tornado Watches in Michigan, 2024Every tornado watch in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.