Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2024
Tornado Watch 541
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 15, 2024, 6:53 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 15, 2024, 6:53 PM CDT (23:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 16, 2024, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 80 kt
All 78 counties
Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Henry County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McHenry County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Scott County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Benton County, IN, Cass County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Lake County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Newton County, IN, Noble County, IN, Porter County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Wabash County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Cass County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Green County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, Racine County, WI, Rock County, WI, Walworth County, WI
The radar
The Chicago radar (KLOT), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 90%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 80%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
73 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 6:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Rock Island, Whiteside | 47 min |
| Jul 15, 7:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Lee, Ogle, Winnebago | 75 min |
| Jul 15, 7:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MKX | Green, Lafayette | 28 min |
| Jul 15, 7:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MKX | Green | 3 hr |
| Jul 15, 7:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Henry, Mercer, Rock Island, Whiteside | 48 min |
| Jul 15, 7:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Stephenson | 48 min |
| Jul 15, 7:16 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Ogle | 15 min |
| Jul 15, 7:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Lafayette, Rock | 58 min |
| Jul 15, 7:20 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MKX | Green, Rock | 25 min |
| Jul 15, 7:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henderson, Henry, Mercer, Rock Island, Warren | 52 min |
| Jul 15, 7:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Fulton, Knox, Stark | 38 min |
| Jul 15, 7:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Lake | 35 min |
| Jul 15, 7:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Bureau, Henry, Whiteside | 48 min |
| Jul 15, 7:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MKX | Rock | 21 min |
| Jul 15, 7:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Bureau, Henry, Rock Island, Whiteside | 55 min |
| Jul 15, 7:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Boone, Ogle, Winnebago | 36 min |
| Jul 15, 7:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ILX | Fulton, Knox, Marshall, Peoria, Stark | 35 min |
| Jul 15, 8:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Boone, DeKalb, Kane, Lee, McHenry, Ogle and 1 more | 74 min |
| Jul 15, 8:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Bureau, Putnam | 53 min |
| Jul 15, 8:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Fulton, Knox | 38 min |
| Jul 15, 8:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | DeKalb, Ogle | 37 min |
| Jul 15, 8:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Rock, Walworth | 65 min |
| Jul 15, 8:11 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LOT | Winnebago | 3 hr |
| Jul 15, 8:17 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Bureau, Putnam | 43 min |
| Jul 15, 8:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | DeKalb, Kane, Kendall, LaSalle, Lee | 54 min |
| Jul 15, 8:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | DeWitt, Fulton, Knox, Logan, McLean, Marshall and 5 more | 63 min |
| Jul 15, 8:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Boone, Kane, McHenry | 24 min |
| Jul 15, 8:35 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LOT | Lake | 4 hr |
| Jul 15, 8:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Cass, Fulton, Logan, Mason, Menard, Schuyler and 1 more | 38 min |
| Jul 15, 8:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Kane | 35 min |
| Jul 15, 8:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Ford, Grundy, Kendall, LaSalle, Livingston | 62 min |
| Jul 15, 8:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ILX | McLean, Tazewell, Woodford | 29 min |
| Jul 15, 8:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Berrien | 54 min |
| Jul 15, 8:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Cook, DuPage, Lake | 83 min |
| Jul 15, 8:52 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | DuPage, Kane | 38 min |
| Jul 15, 9:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Cook, Kankakee, Will | 74 min |
| Jul 15, 9:03 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MKX | Kenosha | 3 hr |
| Jul 15, 9:04 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Kendall, Will | 25 min |
| Jul 15, 9:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | DuPage | 24 min |
| Jul 15, 9:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Champaign, Coles, DeWitt, Douglas, Logan, McLean and 4 more | 79 min |
| Jul 15, 9:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Cook, Grundy, Kendall, Will | 47 min |
| Jul 15, 9:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Ford, Iroquois | 74 min |
| Jul 15, 9:16 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Cook, DuPage, Lake | 44 min |
| Jul 15, 9:22 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ILX | McLean | 23 min |
| Jul 15, 9:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Cook, DuPage | 33 min |
| Jul 15, 9:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LOT | Cook, DuPage, Will | 3 hr |
| Jul 15, 9:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Benton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Porter | 70 min |
| Jul 15, 9:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Kankakee | 38 min |
| Jul 15, 9:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Lake | 38 min |
| Jul 15, 9:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ILX | Champaign, Piatt | 9 min |
| Jul 15, 9:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Iroquois | 59 min |
| Jul 15, 9:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Porter | 31 min |
| Jul 15, 9:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Berrien, Cass | 46 min |
| Jul 15, 10:03 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | IWX | Berrien | 3 hr |
| Jul 15, 10:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Champaign, Coles, Douglas, Edgar, Vermilion | 69 min |
| Jul 15, 10:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | LaPorte, Marshall, Saint Joseph, Starke | 50 min |
| Jul 15, 10:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Cass, Fulton, Pulaski, White | 61 min |
| Jul 15, 10:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Van Buren | 42 min |
| Jul 15, 10:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Branch, Saint Joseph | 39 min |
| Jul 15, 10:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | Pulaski, White | 37 min |
| Jul 15, 10:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Kalamazoo | 83 min |
| Jul 15, 10:33 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILX | Fulton, Knox, Mason, Peoria, Tazewell | 3 hr |
| Jul 15, 10:35 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | Elkhart, Kosciusko, Marshall, Saint Joseph | 55 min |
| Jul 15, 10:45 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | Cass, Fulton, Kosciusko, Miami, Pulaski, White | 48 min |
| Jul 15, 10:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Cass, Saint Joseph | 38 min |
| Jul 15, 11:08 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILX | Logan, Mason, Peoria, Tazewell | 5 hr |
| Jul 15, 11:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Cass, Grant, Miami, Wabash | 50 min |
| Jul 15, 11:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Noble, Whitley | 47 min |
| Jul 15, 11:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Huntington, Wabash, Whitley | 46 min |
| Jul 15, 11:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Barry, Calhoun, Kalamazoo | 39 min |
| Jul 15, 11:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Cass, Saint Joseph | 14 min |
| Jul 15, 11:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Allen, DeKalb, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben | 40 min |
| Jul 15, 11:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Adams, Grant, Huntington, Wabash, Wells | 40 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
- Mesoscale Discussion 1638 Severe thunderstorm watch 539
- Mesoscale Discussion 1639 Severe potential...watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 1641 Severe thunderstorm watch 539
- Mesoscale Discussion 1642 Tornado watch 541
- Mesoscale Discussion 1643 Severe potential...watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 1644 Tornado watch 541
- Mesoscale Discussion 1645 Severe potential...watch possible
The nearest sounding before it
Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1937 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -109 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 794 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 279 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 381 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 12.0
The text
As transmitted.
408
WWUS20 KWNS 152351
SEL1
SPC WW 152351
IAZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-MIZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-160600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 541
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
650 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme east central Iowa
Northern Illinois
Northwest Indiana
Southwest Lower Michigan
Extreme southern Wisconsin
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 650 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Widespread damaging winds and scattered significant gusts to 90
mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to evolve into one or more bow
echoes from Iowa into northern Illinois this evening, with the
potential to produce swaths of significant severe gusts up to 75-90
mph and several tornadoes with embedded circulations. The storms
will spread into northwest Indiana and southwest Lower Michigan
later tonight.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles
east and west of a line from 65 miles northwest of Benton Harbor MI
to 55 miles south southeast of Marseilles IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 539...WW 540...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 80 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 29040.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 7:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy and 15 more | 84 min |
| Jul 14, 9:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cook, DuPage, Kankakee, Kendall, Lake, Will | 54 min |
| Jul 14, 10:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bureau, Ford, Grundy, Henry, Iroquois, Knox and 9 more | 83 min |
| Jul 14, 11:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Champaign, Coles, DeWitt, Douglas, Edgar, Logan and 4 more | 4 hr |
| Jul 15, 12:54 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Champaign, DeWitt, Ford, Fulton, Grundy, Iroquois and 14 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 15, 1:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 32 more | 3 hr |
| Jul 15, 3:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bureau, Carroll, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, Henry and 18 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 15, 5:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Fulton, Hancock and 19 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 15, 6:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Champaign, Cook, DeKalb, DeWitt and 26 more | 114 min |
| Jul 15, 6:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bureau, Carroll, Henry, Knox, Lee, Mercer and 6 more | 95 min |
| Jul 14, 10:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cass, Elkhart, Fulton, Huntington, Kosciusko, LaGrange and 10 more | 4 hr |
| Jul 15, 2:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bartholomew, Brown, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette, Franklin and 10 more | 117 min |
| Jul 15, 3:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gogebic, Houghton, Iron, Ontonagon | 114 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2024Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2024Tornado Watches in Michigan, 2024Every tornado watch in 2024
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.