Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2024

Tornado Watch 28

February 28, 202464 counties in Kentucky; 6 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 28, 2024, 2:56 AM CST for 64 counties in Kentucky; 6 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Feb 28, 2024, 2:56 AM CST (08:56 UTC)
Expired: Feb 28, 2024, 8:00 AM CST
In force: 5 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 1.5 in
Strongest gust expected: 60 kt

All 70 counties

Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Carter County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Macon County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 10%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 20%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 60%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 28, 3:29 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bullitt, Hardin, Nelson, Spencer, Washington	31 min
Feb 28, 4:01 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge, Hancock, Ohio	29 min
Feb 28, 4:27 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge, Bullitt, Hardin, Meade	33 min
Feb 28, 4:30 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	LMK	Bourbon, Clark, Fayette, Nicholas	30 min
Feb 28, 4:38 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Rowan	37 min
Feb 28, 4:41 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Anderson, Fayette, Franklin, Jessamine, Scott, Shelby and 2 more	34 min
Feb 28, 5:07 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Clark, Fayette, Nicholas, Scott, Woodford	23 min
Feb 28, 5:08 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	JKL	Bath, Elliott, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan and 1 more	37 min
Feb 28, 5:13 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Carter, Lawrence	47 min
Feb 28, 5:15 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Anderson, Franklin, Larue, Nelson, Shelby, Spencer and 2 more	30 min
Feb 28, 5:17 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Edmonson, Grayson, Green, Hardin, Hart, Larue and 3 more	28 min
Feb 28, 5:38 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Elliott, Fleming, Montgomery, Rowan	37 min
Feb 28, 5:38 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	LMK	Anderson, Bourbon, Boyle, Fayette, Garrard, Jessamine and 4 more	52 min
Feb 28, 5:45 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Boyle, Edmonson, Green, Hart, Larue, Marion and 3 more	30 min
Feb 28, 6:05 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Boyd, Carter, Greenup	25 min
Feb 28, 6:09 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Boyle, Clark, Fayette, Garrard, Jessamine and 4 more	36 min
Feb 28, 6:13 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell, Rowan	47 min
Feb 28, 6:24 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Boyd	36 min
Feb 28, 6:35 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Estill, Montgomery, Powell	25 min
Feb 28, 6:42 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Boyle, Clark, Garrard, Lincoln, Madison	33 min
Feb 28, 7:00 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Casey, Lincoln	30 min
Feb 28, 7:01 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Carter	3 hr
Feb 28, 7:11 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Boyd, Carter, Lawrence	34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 274 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 19 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -196 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 762 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 89 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 27, 7:46 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Anderson, Ballard, Boone, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Caldwell and 35 more	119 min
Feb 27, 9:29 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	Anderson, Ballard, Boone, Bourbon, Bracken, Breckinridge and 32 more	10 hr
Feb 28, 2:01 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Anderson, Boone, Bourbon, Bracken, Breckinridge, Bullitt and 28 more	119 min
Feb 28, 3:25 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Greenup	65 min
Feb 28, 3:40 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	Lewis	5 hr
Feb 28, 5:08 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bath, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clark, Elliott and 21 more	2 hr
Feb 28, 7:15 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Adair, Bell, Breathitt, Casey, Clay, Clinton and 32 more	2 hr
Feb 28, 8:56 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bledsoe, Bradley, Coffee, Franklin, Grundy, Hamilton and 9 more	2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2024 Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2024 Every tornado watch in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.