Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2024

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 13

February 2, 202469 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Feb 2, 2024, 5:32 PM CST for 69 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Feb 2, 2024, 5:32 PM CST (23:32 UTC)
Expired: Feb 3, 2024, 12:00 AM CST
In force: 6 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 2.5 in
Strongest gust expected: 55 kt

All 69 counties

Archer County, TX, Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brown County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Clay County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Comal County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Crockett County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Erath County, TX, Foard County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Hays County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jack County, TX, Jones County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Medina County, TX, Menard County, TX, Mills County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Real County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Young County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 5%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 10%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 90%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 2, 5:41 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Baylor, Knox	49 min
Feb 2, 5:51 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Edwards, Kinney, Val Verde	54 min
Feb 2, 5:54 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Irion, Tom Green	51 min
Feb 2, 5:55 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Haskell	65 min
Feb 2, 6:09 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	OUN	Foard, Hardeman, Knox	51 min
Feb 2, 6:30 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	OUN	Hardeman	45 min
Feb 2, 6:43 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SJT	Haskell, Throckmorton	32 min
Feb 2, 7:01 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Dimmit, Maverick	59 min
Feb 2, 7:11 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Baylor	49 min
Feb 2, 7:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Throckmorton	31 min
Feb 2, 7:29 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Dimmit, Zavala	38 min
Feb 2, 7:31 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Young	59 min
Feb 2, 7:32 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Archer, Baylor, Wichita, Wilbarger	43 min
Feb 2, 7:48 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Bandera, Comal, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr	42 min
Feb 2, 7:50 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Palo Pinto, Stephens, Young	55 min
Feb 2, 8:12 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Archer, Clay, Wichita	48 min
Feb 2, 8:16 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Blanco, Comal, Gillespie, Guadalupe, Hays, Kendall	59 min
Feb 2, 9:48 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Gonzales, Guadalupe, Wilson	42 min
Feb 2, 10:52 PM CST	Tornado Warning	EWX	Bastrop, Fayette	10 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 261 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 14 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -324 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1812 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 103 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 111 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 2, 3:03 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Atascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Brown, Burnet and 43 more	2 hr
Feb 2, 3:42 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Archer, Baylor, Foard, Hardeman, Haskell, King and 4 more	3 hr
Feb 2, 5:47 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Hardeman, Wheeler	118 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2024 Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.