Tornado Warning 3, NWS San Angelo, TX

703 
WWUS54 KSJT 030100
SVSSJT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
700 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

TXC207-030110-
/O.CAN.KSJT.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240203T0130Z/
Haskell TX-
700 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN HASKELL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CST for
west central Texas.

LAT...LON 3323 9947 3340 9947 3340 9913 3327 9909
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 256DEG 20KT 3329 9941 

$$

TXC447-030130-
/O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240203T0130Z/
Throckmorton TX-
700 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN THROCKMORTON COUNTY...
    
At 700 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Millers Creek Reservoir, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Millers Creek Reservoir around 705 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Us-
183 Near The Throckmorton-Baylor County Line.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3323 9947 3340 9947 3340 9913 3327 9909
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 256DEG 20KT 3329 9941 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN

$$

Daniels

343 
WWUS54 KSJT 030115
SVSSJT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
715 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

TXC447-030125-
/O.CAN.KSJT.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240203T0130Z/
Throckmorton TX-
715 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN THROCKMORTON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CST for
west central Texas.

LAT...LON 3323 9947 3340 9947 3340 9913 3327 9909
TIME...MOT...LOC 0112Z 256DEG 20KT 3331 9931 

$$

Daniels

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
428 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE FOR SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK...
Issued at 428 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

Current radar imagery shows some high based thunderstorms along a
dry line stretching from Bakersfield northeast through Aspermont.
Surface observations show a generally N to S oriented cold front
across the western TX Panhandle and down into the Big Bend region
(with temperatures down in the upper 50s to low 60s west of it
with strong west winds of 25-35 mph and gusts to 50 mph), while
the aforementioned NE to SW oriented dry line was just east of
that region, with dew points in the upper 40s to mid 50s east of
the dryline and low 30s west of it. Models indicate that the cold
front will catch up to the dry line in the next few hours as an
upper trough pushes across TX. Strong, widespread lift in advance
of the trough will combine with some moisture and instability (ML
CAPEs of 1000-1500 J/KG) to produce widespread thunderstorms along
the front/dryline as it moves through the region. For the most
part (except in Runnels county where there is an isolated
shower/storm), there seems to be enough capping in the warm sector
to inhibit storm development, and so most storms are expected to
accompany the dry line/cold front this evening as it passes
through. Effective shear east of the dry-line is currently
marginal, at around 25-30 kt, which could be enough for
supercellular structures should any storms develop, with large
hail being the main hazard, although damaging downdrafts are also
possible with downdraft CAPEs near 1000 J/KG. Expect shear to
increase this evening as the trough axis moves across the region.
The strong lift with the trough and front will likely cause storms
to quickly congeal into a line early or mid this evening, which
will cause damaging winds to be an increasing concern. Look for
storms to push from west to east across the region between now and
around 11pm or 12 am. Due to some low-level shear, an isolated
tornado cannot be ruled out.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 204 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

...Strong to severe thunderstorms possible late this afternoon
and evening...

The main concern in the short term period will be the chance for
thunderstorms, some of which may be strong to severe during the
late afternoon and evening hours. Early this afternoon, an upper
level trough was advancing east across the Desert Southwest. This
system will eventually close off into an upper low across
northeastern New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle later this evening
and overnight. Associated Pacific front will advance east across
eastern New Mexico and West Texas this afternoon and will move
across our area during the evening/overnight hours.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop
across western portions of the Big Country, Concho Valley and
northern Edwards Plateau by late afternoon, with storms increasing
in coverage through the evening hours as they move east. Although
instability will be rather modest, steep lapse rates and
increasing deep layer shear will allow for a few rotating storms
initially, with activity forming into a line or broken line of
storms by mid to late evening. The greatest risk for strong/severe
storms will be east of a Haskell, Robert Lee to Ozona line, where
large hail up to 2 inches is possible, along with a threat for
damaging winds in excess of 60 mph. An isolated tornado is also
possible. Most of this activity will push east of the forecast
area by midnight, although storms may linger a bit longer over
far southeast sections.

Skies will clear from west to east overnight, with sunny and
cooler temperatures expected for Saturday. Gusty west winds will
develop on the back side of the upper level system Saturday
morning and persist into Saturday night and early Sunday. We have
issued a Wind Advisory for the Concho Valley, northern Edwards
Plateau and western portions of the northwest Hill Country from
9 AM Saturday through 9 AM Sunday. Sustained west to northwest
winds of 25 to 35 mph, with gusts to 50 mph is expected across
this area, with lighter winds farther north across the Big
Country. Lows tonight will be in the 40s, with highs on Saturday
in the low to mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Friday)
Issued at 216 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

...Strong west/northwest winds expected through Sunday with
benign pattern and seasonal temperatures through midweek...

The start of the long term will largely be characterized by the
strong winds expected behind the frontal passage/convection
overnight tonight. As the upper low begins to drop southeast into
the Red River region, a strong jet will form in the low to mid
levels of the entrance region of the trough. With skies clearing
post-convection, these strong winds will be able to mix down to
the surface. Coupled with a tightened pressure gradient from the
corresponding surface low, winds out of the west will pick up
Saturday afternoon and peak during the overnight hours Saturday
into Sunday. With sustained winds in the 25-35 mph range with
gusts of 50+ mph possible, we have gone ahead and issued a Wind
Advisory for the Concho Valley, Northern Edwards Plateau, and
portions of the Northwest Hill Country. Confidence decreases
significantly with northward extent as the gradient for the
strongest winds will be fairly tight. The advisory runs through
9AM Sunday as winds will gradually come down through the day with
the upper low pushing into east Texas. We will also have to watch
for the potential of blowing dust during this time period as
west/northwest winds tend favor this possibility. Visibilities may
be reduced, especially during the overnight hours. Though winds
will remain marginally strong during the day on Sunday, cold air
advection will be weak overall as winds shift from the northwest
to a more northerly direction. As such, highs Sunday will only
take a minor hit in the low to mid 60s.

The first half of next week will be rather benign weather-wise as a
strong upper ridge sets in ahead of the next system moving onto
the west coast. Winds will veer to the south by Tuesday, allowing
for a slow and steady warm-up through mid next week with daytime
highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s through Wednesday. The next
upper level trough begins to move into the region by late next
week, bringing us our next possible chances for rain on Friday. We
will keep a close eye on this next system as most mid range
models are in decent agreement concerning the potential strong
amplitude of the trough. Current outputs look marginal at best but
it will be worth keeping an eye on the dynamics going forward.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1148 AM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

Currently seeing MVFR ceilings across the terminals but a
transition to VFR will occur through early afternoon as stratus
lifts/scatters out. South to southwest winds will gust 20 to 25
knots this afternoon, decreasing to 15 knots or less this evening.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop from
west to east, mainly after 03/00Z. Will include TEMPO groups for
TSRA at all terminals this forecast cycle. Some of the storms
could be strong to severe, with damaging winds and large hail
possible. Convection will end by midnight, with VFR expected into
Saturday morning. Gusty west winds will develop across the
terminals Saturday morning, as a Pacific front moves through.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     47  65  45  63 /  70   0   0   0
San Angelo  45  65  46  65 /  90   0   0   0
Junction    44  65  45  65 /  90   0   0   0
Brownwood   45  65  43  63 /  90   0   0   0
Sweetwater  45  63  45  61 /  40   0   0   0
Ozona       42  63  43  65 /  70   0   0   0
Brady       46  63  47  63 /  90   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 9 AM Saturday to 9 AM CST Sunday for Coke-
Concho-Crockett-Irion-Kimble-Menard-Runnels-Schleicher-Sterling-
Sutton-Tom Green.

&&

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....50
AVIATION...24

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
240 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-032045-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
240 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected to develop across western portions of
the forecast area late this afternoon, and spread east across the
remainder of the forecast area this evening. Some of the storms
may be strong to severe, with large hail and damaging winds the
main threats. An Isolated tornado is also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Gusty west to northwest winds will develop across the area
Saturday morning through Sunday morning. A Wind Advisory is
in effect for the Concho Valley, northern Edwards Plateau and
western portions of the northwest Hill Country from 9 AM Saturday
through 9 AM Sunday, where sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph, with
gusts to 50 mph is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon and evening.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
537 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

TXZ071-072-030015-
Irion TX-Tom Green TX-
537 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL TOM GREEN AND SOUTHERN
IRION COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM CST...

At 537 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles northeast of Barnhart, moving east-northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Mertzon, Twin Buttes Reservoir, Knickerbocker, Tankersley, Sherwood,
and Us-67 Near The Irion-Tom Green County Line.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CST for
west central Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3108 10109 3125 10116 3149 10060 3124 10049
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 248DEG 44KT 3120 10105

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SJH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
601 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

TXZ049-054-065-066-113-114-127-128-139-030045-
Runnels TX-Fisher TX-Shackelford TX-Callahan TX-Nolan TX-Coke TX-
Coleman TX-Jones TX-Taylor TX-
601 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN COKE...WESTERN
CALLAHAN...SOUTHERN JONES...NORTHWESTERN COLEMAN...EASTERN NOLAN...
SOUTHWESTERN SHACKELFORD...SOUTHEASTERN FISHER...TAYLOR AND NORTHERN
RUNNELS COUNTIES THROUGH 645 PM CST...

At 601 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Noodle to near Wingate. Movement was east
at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Abilene, Clyde, Baird, Blackwell, Wylie, Nolan, Merkel, Tye, Tuscola,
Hawley, Buffalo Gap, Trent, Lawn, Novice, Noodle, Bradshaw, Caps,
Hylton, Wingate, and Nugent.

This includes Interstate 20 between Mile Markers 257 and 308.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CST for
west central Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3278 9930 3196 9942 3197 10039 3260 10018
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 261DEG 40KT 3254 10008 3202 10015

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Daniels

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
616 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

TXZ098-099-113-114-030100-
Haskell TX-Throckmorton TX-Shackelford TX-Jones TX-
616 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN HASKELL...
NORTHEASTERN JONES...NORTHWESTERN SHACKELFORD AND SOUTHWESTERN
THROCKMORTON COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM CST...

At 616 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Tuxedo, or 7 miles west of Avoca, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Stamford, Anson, Lueders, Avoca, Lake Stamford Marina, Funston, Big
Country Baptist Assembly, and The Intersection Of Us-
180 And Farm Road 600.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CST for
west central Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3271 9990 3296 9994 3315 9932 3279 9930
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 256DEG 34KT 3290 9984

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Daniels

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
626 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0608 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 NW Haskell            33.17N 99.74W
02/02/2024  M61 MPH          Haskell            TX   Mesonet

&&

19

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
634 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

TXZ072-077-030100-
Schleicher TX-Tom Green TX-
634 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN SCHLEICHER AND
SOUTHEASTERN TOM GREEN COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM CST...

At 634 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
The Intersection Of Ranch Road 1828 And Ranch Road 915, or 10 miles
north of Eldorado, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
The Intersection Of Ranch Road 1828 And Ranch Road 915.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CST for
west central Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3107 10075 3128 10019 3108 10011 3101 10012
      3090 10068
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 251DEG 42KT 3102 10063

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

SJH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
639 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0634 PM     Hail             Wingate                 32.04N 100.11W
02/02/2024  M0.75 inch       Runnels            TX   Trained Spotter

            dime size hail.

&&