Alert archive / Florida / Mesoscale Discussions in 2024

Mesoscale Discussion 792

May 15, 202427 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 15, 2024, 1:15 PM EDT for 27 counties in Florida. It was in force for 90 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2024, 1:15 PM EDT (17:15 UTC)
Expired
May 15, 2024, 2:45 PM EDT
In force
90 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 244
All 27 counties

Alachua County, FL, Brevard County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Clay County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lake County, FL, Levy County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2024-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2398 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2024-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 156 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2398 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-22 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
732 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
156 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
126 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.1
Supercell composite
12.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 1:45 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 19 more2 hr
May 15, 2:47 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBrevard, Citrus, Flagler, Hernando, Hillsborough, Lake and 13 more8 hr
May 15, 4:58 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCitrus, Flagler, Hernando, Hillsborough, Lake, Marion and 5 more92 min
May 15, 8:36 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Brevard, Citrus, DeSoto, Flagler, Hardee and 19 more84 min
May 15, 10:52 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlachua, Brevard, Citrus, DeSoto, Flagler, Gilchrist and 21 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2024Every mesoscale discussion in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.