Alert archive / Illinois / Mesoscale Discussions in 2024

Mesoscale Discussion 554

April 27, 202421 counties in Illinois; 19 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 27, 2024, 9:15 PM CDT for 21 counties in Illinois; 19 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 60 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2024, 9:15 PM CDT (02:15 UTC)
Expired
Apr 27, 2024, 10:15 PM CDT
In force
60 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...tornado watch likely
Chance of a watch
80%
All 40 counties

Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Knox County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Pike County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Cole County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Osage County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 253 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2024-04-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 738 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2024-04-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 138 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
738 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-35 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
786 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
190 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 7:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, DeKalb, DuPage, Fulton, Grundy and 20 more62 min
Apr 27, 9:41 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian, DeWitt and 23 more6 hr
Apr 28, 1:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison66 min
Apr 27, 7:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Clark, Grundy, Knox, Putnam, Schuyler and 2 more64 min
Apr 27, 8:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Carroll, Cass, Cedar and 15 more95 min
Apr 27, 11:42 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Benton, Cedar, Christian, Dade and 18 more5 hr
Apr 28, 3:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence, McDonald and 1 more2 hr
Apr 28, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Douglas, McDonald, Newton, Ozark, Stone and 3 more6 hr
Apr 28, 6:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, McDonald55 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2024Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2024Every mesoscale discussion in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.