Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2024

River Flood Warning 33, NWS Springfield, MO

May 26, 2024McDonald County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this river flood warning at May 26, 2024, 10:05 PM CDT for McDonald County, Missouri. It took effect at May 26, 2024, 10:48 PM CDT. It was in force for 27 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 26, 2024, 10:05 PM CDT (03:05 UTC)
In effect from: May 26, 2024, 10:48 PM CDT
Expired: May 28, 2024, 2:06 AM CDT
In force: 27 hr
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County McDonald County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Elk River (MO) near Tiff City (TIFM7). The gauge peaked at 15.18 ft at May 26, 2024, 11:00 PM CDT.

Action stage: 13 ft
Minor stage: 15 ft
Moderate stage: 20 ft
Major stage: 25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07189000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 26, 6:29 PM CDT, 3 hours 36 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Severe thunderstorms are likely this afternoon/evening with large hail up to tennis balls, damaging winds up to 80 mph, and a few tornadoes possible. Chance of strong tornadoes along and east of HWY 63.
Flood Watch in effect until 1 AM for most of the area.
Expect a bit calmer week with temperatures near seasonal norms.

Area forecast discussion, May 26, 6:29 PM CDT, 3 hours 36 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
629 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Severe thunderstorms are likely this afternoon/evening with
  large hail up to tennis balls, damaging winds up to 80 mph,
  and a few tornadoes possible. Chance of strong tornadoes along
  and east of HWY 63.

- Flood Watch in effect until 1 AM for most of the area.

- Expect a bit calmer week with temperatures near seasonal
  norms.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 326 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

SPC has upgraded areas east of HWY 65 to a Moderate Risk for
today. Latest surface analysis shows a warm front draped over SW MO
following a boundary from JLN to BBG. Probability of lightning over
a band of showers just north of the front from Butler to Jefferson
City has started to increase. Storm initialization is expected
to start over central MO and will continue to spread southward.
Rapid destabilization is occurring for areas east of HWY 65.
Dewpoints are in the mid 70s with agitated cumulus taking over
most of the area. Our 19z special balloon sounding is showing
40-55 knots of deep layer shear, mid-level lapse rates of 8
degrees/km with 3000 J/kg of MLCAPE and 4300 J/kg of MUCAPE with
a weak cap.

With a primed atmosphere in place this afternoon, supercells will be
favorable over the next few hours especially as the cold front over
central OK continues to push east. All modes of severe weather are
possible with golf ball to tennis ball sized hail and 60-70 mph wind
gusts with these storms. A few tornadoes are possible especially for
southeastern MO for areas east of HWY 63. Any supercells that
get going in that area could produce a strong tornado or two
(EF2+). Storms have already begun to pop up in NE OK and central
MO. Convection is expected to continue through the afternoon
into the evening hours. Storms should be out of the area by
10pm-12am.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 326 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

On Monday expect a break in active weather with highs in the 80s,
another strong upper level wave will drop southeast over the upper
Mississippi valley region and into the Great Lakes region Tuesday
into Tuesday night. This will keep us in a northwest flow pattern
into the middle of the week with surface high pressure being
reinforced over the region. Dry and slightly cooler temperatures are
expected during this period.

High pressure will shift eastward during the end of the week and
will allow moisture to start creeping back into the area over the
western CWA with precipitation chances increasing over the area from
late in the week into the upcoming weekend(20-50%).

Temperatures in the later part of the long term will be near
seasonal norms.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 626 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

Storms are pushing east through the area and should clear the
TAF sites within an hour or so. Then, VFR ceilings will persist
through the night and Monday with light northwesterly winds.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...Flood Watch until 1 AM CDT Monday for MOZ055>058-067>071-
     078>083-089>098-101>106.

&&

SHORT TERM...Soria
LONG TERM...Soria
AVIATION...Soria

Hazardous weather outlook, May 26, 8:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before

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In the hours before

Local storm report, May 26, 9:35 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 26, 9:38 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 26, 9:43 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 26, 9:54 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 26, 9:57 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 26, 10:00 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 26, 7:08 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Dent, Shannon, Texas	4 hr
May 26, 7:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	SGF	Christian, Douglas	51 min
May 26, 7:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	SGF	Christian, Stone, Taney	30 min
May 26, 7:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian, Douglas, Webster, Wright	40 min
May 26, 8:45 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	SGF	Pulaski	24 hr
May 26, 10:49 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	SGF	Barry, McDonald	10 hr
May 26, 11:00 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	SGF	Dent, Shannon, Texas	10 hr
May 27, 1:33 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Morgan	42 min
May 27, 1:39 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Morgan	51 min
May 27, 2:26 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Miller	15 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2024 Every river flood warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.