Flash Flood Warning 34, NWS Blacksburg, VA

266 
WGUS51 KRNK 090207
FFWRNK
VAC009-011-019-029-031-680-090430-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-240809T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1007 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Amherst County in central Virginia...
  Appomattox County in central Virginia...
  Buckingham County in central Virginia...
  Campbell County in central Virginia...
  The City of Lynchburg in central Virginia...
  Bedford County in south central Virginia...

* Until 1230 AM EDT.

* At 1007 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated bands of heavy rain over 
  the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have fallen this 
  evening. Additional rainfall amounts up to 1.5 inches are possible 
  in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring, with 
  reports of roads that are flooded and impassible.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Lynchburg...                       Buckingham...
  Bedford...                         Altavista...
  Amherst...                         Appomattox...
  Brookneal...

This includes the following locations...
Liberty University, The National D-Day Memorial and Lynchburg 
Airport.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Bear Garden Creek, Allens Creek, Bear Creek, Appomattox River, 
  Abbott Branch, Alabama Creek, Bear Branch and Back Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding, 
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather 
Service by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports 
and pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service 
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3701 7948 3722 7985 3740 7981 3748 7968
      3745 7958 3781 7923 3778 7908 3754 7884
      3763 7882 3780 7849 3769 7824 3734 7846
      3740 7859 3725 7868 3721 7882 3702 7890
      3706 7919 3713 7925 3706 7949

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1 INCH IN 1 HOUR

$$

16

056 
WGUS51 KRNK 090412
FFWRNK
VAC009-011-019-029-031-680-090630-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-240809T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1212 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2024

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Amherst County in central Virginia...
  Appomattox County in central Virginia...
  Buckingham County in central Virginia...
  Campbell County in central Virginia...
  The City of Lynchburg in central Virginia...
  Bedford County in south central Virginia...

* Until 230 AM EDT.

* At 1212 AM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
  heavy rain falling across the warned area. Between 2 and 6 inches 
  of rain have fallen since Thursday afternoon. The expected 
  rainfall rate is 0.5 to 3 inches in 1 hour. Flash flooding is 
  imminent or already occurring.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain.

  SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Lynchburg...                       Buckingham...
  Bedford...                         Altavista...
  Amherst...                         Appomattox...
  Brookneal...

This includes the following locations...
Liberty University, The National D-Day Memorial and Lynchburg 
Airport.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Alabama Creek, Bear Creek, Back Creek, Bear Garden Creek, Allens 
  Creek, Abbott Branch, Bear Branch and Appomattox River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding, 
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather 
Service by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports 
and pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service 
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3701 7948 3722 7985 3740 7981 3748 7968
      3745 7958 3781 7923 3778 7908 3754 7884
      3763 7882 3780 7849 3769 7824 3734 7846
      3740 7859 3725 7868 3721 7882 3702 7890
      3706 7919 3713 7925 3706 7949

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.5-3 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

WP

002 
WGUS71 KRNK 090613
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
213 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2024

VAC009-011-019-029-031-680-090623-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-240809T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Amherst VA-Appomattox VA-Bedford VA-Buckingham VA-Campbell VA-
City of Lynchburg VA-
213 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2024

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR AMHERST, APPOMATTOX, BUCKINGHAM, CAMPBELL 
AND BEDFORD COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF LYNCHBURG HAS BEEN REPLACED 
WITH A FLOOD WARNING...

&&

LAT...LON 3701 7948 3722 7985 3740 7981 3748 7968
      3745 7958 3781 7923 3778 7908 3754 7884
      3763 7882 3780 7849 3769 7824 3734 7846
      3740 7859 3725 7868 3721 7882 3702 7890
      3706 7919 3713 7925 3706 7949

$$

WP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
159 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Moderate to heavy rainfall from current Tropical Storm Debby will
increase in coverage over the area Thursday into Friday, and will
increase the risk of flooding, especially along and east of the Blue
Ridge. Debby pushes to the northeast by Friday night, cooler
and drier air arrives by Saturday, and will bring more tranquil
weather for the start of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 1145 AM EDT Thursday...

Key Messages:

   - High Risk of flooding today and tonight. Heavy rainfall
     will likely result in considerable to catastrophic flash
     flooding.

   -Rotating storms could produce tornadoes across the Virginia
    and North Carolina Piedmont.

At 11AM TS Debby was 80 miles southeast of Charlotte North
Carolina. Northwest edge of rainfall shield extended from
Amherst, VA to Boone, NC. The TS is moving slowly leading to
prolonged 1-2inch/hour rainfall amounts for the next 3 to 12
hours as the TS moves north.

Will be increasing wind gusts in the forecast based on current
observations across southern Virginia and Northern North
Carolina. However, the TS will gradually weaken, so the wind
threat will be mainly today and will diminish tonight. Due to
the combination of wind and saturated ground there have been
numerous trees reported down and the numbers of power outages
is increasing. A majority of these reports have been south of
Route 460.

No changes to temperatures at this time

Previous Discussion:
As of 300 AM EDT...

Tropical Storm Debby is currently located along on the South
Carolina coast, recently making landfall. Rain continues to develop
and increase in coverage and intensity across the Carolinas this
morning. Strong easterly flow ahead of Debby has resulted in areas
of upslope rain along and east of the Blue Ridge. These will
continue through the morning and increase in coverage as 850mb
moisture transport continues to strengthen. Main swath of rain
directly associated with Debby is beginning to push into Southside
Virginia and north central North Carolina. This will continue
through the morning and reach the 81 corridor by noon.

The threat for very efficient rainfall rates continues to increase
across our area. Fueled by high Precipitable Water and terrain
enhancement, high rainfall rates will likely result in flash
flooding over the Blue Ridge, Foothills, and Piedmont areas of
Virginia and North Carolina. Some convectively enhanced bands will
also occur across central Virginia, leading to the increased threat
of flash flooding. The aforementioned areas are where the confidence
of the heaviest rainfall remains. Heaviest rain timing appears to be
from 2pm this afternoon through 2am Friday.

The threat for very efficient rainfall rates continues to increase
across our area. Fueled by high Precipitable Water and terrain
enhancement, high rainfall rates will likely result in flash
flooding over the Blue Ridge, Foothills, and Piedmont areas of
Virginia and North Carolina. Some convectively enhanced bands will
also occur across central Virginia, leading to the increased threat
of flash flooding. The aforementioned areas are where the confidence
of the heaviest rainfall remains. Heaviest rain timing appears to be
from 2pm this afternoon through 2am Friday.

Secondary concern is the threat for rotating storms this afternoon
and tonight. Low pressure center will track somewhere along the 81
corridor through Virginia and the area of concern for tornadoes will
be in Central Virginia, particularly along and east of US29. Modeled
0-3km helicity values nearing 300 m2/s2 coinciding with CAPE nearing
1000 J/kg should support convective rainbands with embedded
supercells capable of producing tornadoes. To support this, several
radar confirmed tornadoes have already occurred this morning
across eastern North Carolina.

Be weather aware over the next 24 to 36 hours as conditions could
rapidly deteriorate. Have a way to receive warnings if a flash flood
warning or tornado warning is issued.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...

Key Messages:

1. Lingering light showers possible through Friday night.
2. Mostly dry weather expected for the remainder of the weekend.

The remnants of what is currently Tropical Storm Debby will be into
the upper Mid Atlantic and New England by Friday night, as the
system gets lifted northward by an upper trough. Some lingering
showers in the area are possible overnight and into early Saturday
morning, as a surface front pushes into the region from the west.
Behind the front and tropical system, a cooler and drier airmass
will build into the area, and high pressure will become situated
overhead through Sunday. For the remainder of the weekend, weather
will be much drier, and only very limited chances of precipitation,
mainly in NC and southward, as the front stalls across the
southeastern states.

Temperatures will be cooler, near to a couple degrees below seasonal
normals, in the mid to upper 70s in the west, and mid 80s in the
east. Plentiful sunshine and lower dewpoints are expected through
Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...

Key Messages:

1. Quieter weather pattern for beginning of the week, with limited
precipitation probabilities.
2. Temperatures near normal through the period.

A much quieter weather pattern is expected for the beginning of the
work week, with surface high pressure settled over the Ohio Valley
and Mid Atlantic region, keeping precipitation chances limited. Some
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible
Tuesday afternoon, mainly along and south of the VA/NC border, as a
front drifts northward into the Carolinas, but probabilities are low
at this time.

Temperatures will be near normal through the period, in mostly the
70s west of the Blue Ridge, and low to mid 80s east.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 140 PM EDT Thursday...

Widespread IFR to MVFR ceilings across southern Virginia and
northern North Carolina with TS Debby. The TS is moving north
slowly so no changes to ceilings are expected through 00Z/8PM.
Visibility will be mainly VFR but the heavier rain will result
in MVFR ceilings. Winds will be gusting 25 to 40kts.

The center of Debby will track close to KROA and KLYH. By 12Z
Debby is expected to be far enough north to shift the winds to
the northwest. The rain will gradually move north out of the
local area between 06Z/2am and 12Z/8AM.

Winds will be lighter on Friday. Expecting IFR to LIFR ceilings
to be slow to lift Friday morning.

Average confidence on visibility and wind.
Below average confidence on ceiling.

AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Remnants of Debby continue moving N through the region through
Friday. Improving flight categories expected as Debby moves
away from the region Friday night.

High pressure moves into the region this weekend and VFR is
expected outside of areas of morning fog through early next
week.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 315 AM EDT Thursday...

A rare High Risk for excessive rainfall has been issued for a
large portion on the area extending from the Blue Ridge of
Virginia and east into the Virginia and North Carolina Piedmont.
The last issued high risk for our area occurred in May of 2020
where significant flooding occurred with that event.

Expecting heavy rainfall to increase across the area today from
east to west as Debby continues to push inland across the
Carolinas, and then eventually north along the Blue Ridge
tonight. Very high ambient moisture associated with the tropical
remnants will allow very high efficient rainfall rates. Overall
much of the area remains in a drought, so should be able to
handle lower rainfall rates to an extent. However, the concern
is with convectively enhanced rainfall bands training
repeatedly across the mountains and Piedmont, coupled with PWAT
values exceeding 2.25 inches. This will produce large amounts of
rain within a short period of time, thus resulting in the high
risk of excessive rainfall.

Main stem river flooding is also expected in the Dan and
Roanoke River basins. Areawide 4 to 8 inches is expected and
likely to see several locations along the Roanoke and lower Dan
to go into flood stage by Friday.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ010>020-022>024-
     032>035-043>047-058-059.
NC...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ001>006-018>020.
WV...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for WVZ042>044-507-508.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AS
NEAR TERM...AMS
SHORT TERM...AS
LONG TERM...AS
AVIATION...AMS/BMG
HYDROLOGY...BMG

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
402 AM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

VAZ007-009-090815-
Tazewell-Smyth-
402 AM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall today and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ001-002-018-019-VAZ010>020-022>024-WVZ042>044-507-508-090815-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Wilkes-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-
Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Western Greenbrier-
402 AM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina,
southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ003-004-020-VAZ032-033-043-090815-
Surry-Stokes-Yadkin-Patrick-Franklin-Henry-
402 AM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, south central Virginia, southwest
Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

NCZ005-006-VAZ044-058-090815-
Rockingham-Caswell-Pittsylvania-Halifax-
402 AM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina
and south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

VAZ034-035-045>047-059-090815-
Bedford-Amherst-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Charlotte-
402 AM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia and south
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
156 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0152 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 4 NNW Burch             36.34N 80.79W
08/08/2024                   Surry              NC   911 Call Center

            The Surry County 911 Center reported that a
            tree was down in the 400 block of Bessies
            Chapel Road in Elkin.

&&

RAB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
202 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 WSW Mountain Valley   36.77N 79.74W
08/08/2024                   Henry              VA   911 Call Center

            The Henry County 911 Center reported that a
            tree was down at the intersection of North
            Fork Road and Sours Mill Road in
            Martinsville.

&&

RAB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
206 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0152 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 NW Pilot Mountain     36.41N 80.50W
08/08/2024                   Surry              NC   911 Call Center

            The Surry County 911 Center reported that a
            tree was down at the Dollar General Store in
            the 3300 block of Cook School Road.

&&

RAB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
226 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     Rain             1 N Ellisboro           36.35N 79.98W
08/08/2024  M1.74 Inch       Rockingham         NC   Mesonet

            1.74 inch rainfall between 8am and 2 pm,
            2.90 inch total since midnight.

&&

16

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
228 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0224 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg Pilot Mountain          36.39N 80.47W
08/08/2024                   Surry              NC   911 Call Center

            The Surry County 911 Center reported that a
            tree was down in the 200 block of Friends
            Street in the Pilolt Mountain area.

&&

RAB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
233 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0222 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 ENE Villa Heights     36.70N 79.88W
08/08/2024                   City of MartinsvillVA   911 Call Center

            The Henry County 911 Center reported that a
            tree was down in the 600 block of Quincy
            Street in Martinsville.

&&

RAB