Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Warnings in 2024

Tornado Warning 48, NWS Raleigh, NC

September 27, 2024Sampson County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this tornado warning at Sep 27, 2024, 11:13 AM EDT for Sampson County, North Carolina. It was in force for 47 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Sep 27, 2024, 11:13 AM EDT (15:13 UTC)
Expired
Sep 27, 2024, 12:00 PM EDT
In force
47 min
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
0.0 in

County Sampson County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Sep 27, 11:25 AM EDTTORNADO2 W Garland, NCTrees and power lines down on Helltown Rd., at the bridge that separates the Bladen and Sampson Co. line.
Sep 27, 11:28 AM EDTTORNADO2 Nw Garland, NCTrees down at 650 Elwell Rd.
Sep 27, 11:28 AM EDTTORNADO2 Nw Garland, NCTrees and a power pole down at 894 Elwell Rd.
Sep 27, 11:28 AM EDTTORNADO3 Nnw Garland, NCTrees down at 650 Elwell Rd.
Sep 27, 11:30 AM EDTTORNADO3 Nnw Garland, NCTrees down at 10139 Old Mintz Hwy.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 5 storm reports to this tornado warning; the first came 12 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 27, 8:02 AM EDTTornado WatchSPC12 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2024-09-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 289 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2024-09-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 241 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
289 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-23 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
730 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
275 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
8.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

809 
WFUS52 KRAH 271513
TORRAH
NCC163-271600-
/O.NEW.KRAH.TO.W.0048.240927T1513Z-240927T1600Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1113 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Central Sampson County in central North Carolina...

* Until noon EDT.

* At 1112 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
  tornado was located 7 miles northeast of Elizabethtown, moving
  north at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Clinton around 1135 AM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Hobbton, Garland, Roseboro, and Salemburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3473 7839 3475 7839 3478 7843 3483 7846
      3484 7849 3486 7849 3489 7853 3515 7846
      3519 7832 3512 7817 3509 7817
TIME...MOT...LOC 1512Z 196DEG 39KT 3468 7850 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

26
4 follow-up statements
918 
WWUS52 KRAH 271527
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1127 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

NCC163-271600-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0048.000000T0000Z-240927T1600Z/
Sampson NC-
1127 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FOR CENTRAL
SAMPSON COUNTY...

At 1125 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado 
was located 2 miles northwest of Garland, or 14 miles southwest of 
Clinton, moving north at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Clinton around 1135 AM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Hobbton, Garland, Roseboro, and Salemburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3473 7839 3475 7839 3478 7843 3483 7846
      3484 7849 3486 7849 3489 7853 3515 7846
      3519 7832 3512 7817 3509 7817
TIME...MOT...LOC 1525Z 192DEG 37KT 3480 7844 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

26
460 
WWUS52 KRAH 271538
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1138 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

NCC163-271600-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0048.000000T0000Z-240927T1600Z/
Sampson NC-
1138 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FOR CENTRAL
SAMPSON COUNTY...

At 1137 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado 
was located 2 miles southwest of the Clinton-Sampson County 
Airport, moving north at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Clinton around 1140 AM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Hobbton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3484 7832 3482 7837 3487 7846 3497 7848
      3515 7846 3519 7832 3512 7817 3509 7817
TIME...MOT...LOC 1537Z 196DEG 39KT 3493 7840 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

26
857 
WWUS52 KRAH 271549
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1149 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

NCC163-271600-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0048.000000T0000Z-240927T1600Z/
Sampson NC-
1149 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN SAMPSON COUNTY...

At 1149 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 1 mile east of Clinton, moving north at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northeastern Sampson County, including the following locations...
Hobbton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3494 7826 3492 7829 3496 7837 3502 7843
      3516 7844 3519 7832 3512 7817 3509 7817
TIME...MOT...LOC 1549Z 201DEG 37KT 3501 7829 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

26
972 
WWUS52 KRAH 271558
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1158 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

NCC163-271607-
/O.EXP.KRAH.TO.W.0048.000000T0000Z-240927T1600Z/
Sampson NC-
1158 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SAMPSON COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
NOON EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Raleigh.

&&

LAT...LON 3494 7826 3492 7829 3496 7837 3502 7843
      3516 7844 3519 7832 3512 7817 3509 7817
TIME...MOT...LOC 1557Z 196DEG 39KT 3510 7826 

$$

26

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Sep 27, 9:40 AM EDT, 1 hour 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 27, 9:40 AM EDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
940 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Tropical Storm Helene, centered over east-central Georgia, will
weaken gradually as it races northward toward the Tennessee Valley
today.  The storm will then become absorbed into an upper level low,
which will hold stationary over western Kentucky and western
Tennessee through the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 940 AM Friday...

Minimal updates were made to the forecast with the morning update.
Made minor tweaks to all hourly grids. The primary band of heavy
rain arcs from Davidson County over to Chatham down to Cumberland
continuing into South Carolina. This band is moving more northerly
than northeasterly, but will eventually move across the entire area.
This band will not only provide the heaviest rainfall, but will also
bring the greatest tornado threat, although isolated storms outside
of the band cannot be ruled out. Previous discussion follows.

As of 400 AM Friday...

Tropical Cyclone Helene made landfall at 1110 PM last night as a
category 4 hurricane with max sustained winds of 140 mph near the
Florida Big Bend. The rapid northerly movement of this strong storm
of 25 to 30 mph continues as it plows into through the
Southeast. HREF ensemble mean MSLP moves Helene into northern
GA by 12z this morning where the official forecast shows Helene
still as a warm-core tropical storm. Helene will undergo extra-
tropical transition as it becomes absorbed into an occluded low
over the lower Ohio Valley through the evening hours. Hi-Res
guidance has come into good agreement that a feeder band of
convection within a low-level convergence axis will begin to
lift north into our area between 600 and 800 AM and progress
east-northeast across central NC through the early afternoon.
This feeder band will bring multiple hazards to central NC today
and each are discussed below with conditions rapidly improving
in its wake by mid/late afternoon.

Wind: The strength TC Helene was able to reach, rapid inland
movement, and expanding wind field as it begins to transition
into an extra-tropical cyclone will combine to bring strong to
locally damaging winds to portions of central NC. Wind gusts
over northern GA and SC early this morning, well in advance of
the core of of Helene, range from roughly 25-40 kts (30 to 45
mph). These winds will spread north as Helene approaches and
into most of central NC, strongest in the western Piedmont. A
blend of latest hi-res guidance suggest that sporadic gusts of
55 mph will be possible over the western Piedmont shortly after
sunrise into the mid morning hours before gradually weakening
into the afternoon.

Tornado: An incredibly strong kinematic environment will continue to
spread into central NC through the early morning into the afternoon
hours. Large looping hodographs, especially in the low-levels,
will result in 250 to over 400 m2/s2 of 0-1 km SRH in advance of
and within the convective band as it moves through central NC.
Tornado potential will be maximized from early this morning over
the southern Piedmont, Sandhills, and into the southern/central
Coastal Plain and spreading north into the early afternoon
hours. The greatest uncertainty will be the degree of
instability can be achieved. MLCAPE of 500 J/kg of instability
will overspread most of the area and will likely support
rotating updrafts that will be capable of producing short-lived
tornadoes anywhere in central NC. Greater instability closer to
1000 J/kg of MLCAPE is expected over the Sandhills into the
southern/central Coastal Plain in advance of the convective line
and may result in a greater/stronger tornado threat as updrafts
are able to further deepen and may result in a more classic
supercellular structures.

Flooding: PWAT values will continue to climb into the 2 to 2.5 inch
range as Helene approaches which will likely break daily records at
GSO/MHX with the 12z RAOBs. This anomalous moisture will fuel heavy
rain and torrential downpours within the axis of convection as
it pivots across the area. Quick storm motions will thankfully
keep totals more manageable for most locations (0.5 to 1.5),
but swaths of 2-3 inches will be possible anywhere across
central NC and may lead to flash flooding especially in urban
and poor drainage locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 400 AM Friday...

A vertically stacked low pressure system will be gradually filling
over the lower Ohio Valley by 12z Saturday. The axis of rich dew
points in the low/mid 70s will be shifting out over the Atlantic
with a streamer of dry mid-level air overhead. After some early
morning fog and low overcast, generally clearing skies and fair
weather diurnal cumulus clouds bubbling during the afternoon. A
disturbance rotating around the base of the closed low to our west,
may bring a passing shower to the western Piedmont during the
evening into the overnight hours, but overall, expect a dry forecast
for a majority of the day. Temperatures will peak in the low/mid
80s during the afternoon with overnight low settling in the 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 325 AM Friday...

A chance of showers and a few storms will persist Sun into Tue,
mainly each afternoon/evening and primarily across the N. Dry
weather will follow for mid week.

The upper low which will have absorbed Helene is expected to drift
slowly ENE over the Ohio Valley Sun/Mon, moving from NW KY to N WV.
This will keep our area within SW flow aloft and in the warm sector
at the surface, between the surface low well to our WNW and high
pressure centered off the Southeast coast. A diffuse frontal zone
extending E of the KY low across VA combined with upslope-directed
low level flow suggest the better chances for sufficient focus and
lift will be across the N including the Triad/Triangle regions Sun
and Mon. A surface low will develop in W NC early Mon and move into
central NC Mon night, bringing a surface cold front with it. As this
low is expected to deepen a bit as it pushes east off the SE VA/NE
NC coast by late Tue, we should see a shift of better rain chances
into NE sections Tue. The upper low over N WV will finally start to
shear out and weaken into an open wave before shifting E and
offshore Tue night, propelled by a strong northern stream wave
pushing through S Canada and the N CONUS, reaching Quebec and the
Northeast states Wed and pushing off the Northeast coast Thu. This
will put our area into a drier NW flow Wed, prompting a trend to a
dry forecast, then a secondary cold front associated with the strong
northern stream wave will move through Wed night, drawing a cooler
air mass into NC by Thu. Models are in fairly good agreement on this
scenario, although the Canadian has a deeper low over N Ontario mid
week and as such is cooler in our area by Thu. Will have temps 3-8
degrees above normal Sun/Mon, 1-6 degrees above normal Tue/Wed,
then within a degree or two of normal Thu, although if the
Canadian is correct, it could be even cooler Wed and esp Thu.
-GIH

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 725 AM Friday...

Only minor timing adjustments were changed with the 12z TAF package
with the previous discussion still valid and found below.

Adverse aviation conditions are expected over much of central NC,
primarily all but the far NE, from early this morning through
this afternoon. The worst conditions, which will be in the S and
W Piedmont, will include low cigs, periodic strong wind gusts, and a
few hours of low level wind shear. The center of what is now
Tropical Storm Helene is located over northeast GA and will track
quickly northwest into TN through daybreak. While the current
rainfall over central NC is mostly light, cigs are largely IFR (with
some MVFR far NE), and these conditions should hold through this
morning, with gradual improvement to MVFR then VFR S to N through
the day. This lull in rain will last until around 10z, when a strong
tropical rainband will begin to lift NE through central NC, lasting
through about 20z. As this rainband passes through central NC
terminals SW to NE, at any given location, a few hours of torrential
rains producing MVFR-IFR vsbys are likely, along with enhanced wind
gusts and a potential for isolated tornadoes. In addition, a period
of low level wind shear is expected, primarily during 10z-16z this
morning, however strong surface gusts and very strong and shifting
winds with height will dominate through this entire TAF valid period
at all sites, dangerous aviation conditions for smaller aircraft in
particular. Once the intense tropical rainband lifts N and NE of the
area, after about 21z, VFR conditions are expected through the end
of the TAF valid period. Surface winds will be mainly from E and
ESE, shifting to be from the SE and SSE this morning, and finally
from the S this afternoon, gradually diminishing starting mid to
late afternoon.

Looking beyond 12z Sat, sub-VFR cigs may return esp across the NE
(RDU/RWI) after 08z early Sat morning, lasting until improving to
VFR by mid morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions will dominate through
Tue, with possible exceptions late Sun (rain chances mainly
INT/GSO), Mon afternoon (rain chances areawide), and early Tue
morning (chance of sub-VFR fog). -GIH

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 305 PM Thursday...

Will issue a Flood Watch for the Piedmont and Sandhills region of
central NC for tonight through 6pm Friday.

Multiple rounds and bands of rain and thunderstorms will spread
north across central NC through Friday. Given recent wet
conditions, streamflows across Central North Carolina are
significantly above normal per 7–14 day USGS stream flows. NASA
SPoRT soil moisture percentiles are above the 90th percentile in the
0–10 cm and 0–40 cm layer across the southern coastal plain. In
addition, 1-3 hr hour Flash Flood Guidance is essentially below 2
inches across most of the Piedmont.

While the heaviest rain associated with Helene will be focused
across the foothills and mountains, a general 1-3 inches with
embedded heavier rain rate will cause a risk of flash flooding
through late Friday afternoon. This will be especially true where
creeks and streams are already swollen, and there are even some
areas with ongoing road closures owing to rainfall over the past 2
to 3 days. Lower rainfall totals and a reduced threat of locally
heavy rain across the northern and central Coastal Plain results in
a reduced flood threat and have omitted those locations from the
watch.

Main stem river flooding is not expected to be as significant of an
issue based on the 1-3 inch rain forecast, although heavy rates in
the vicinity of the Rocky River near Norwood, which drain from west
to east and may see heavier rain upstream, and also the routing of
significantly heavier rainfall in the upper reaches of the Yadkin
River may cause some flooding in the Yadkin basin. The Neuse and Tar
are also abnormally high with the Neuse at Smithfield currently in
minor flood.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record High Minimum Temperatures:

September 27:
KGSO: 69/2011
KRDU: 73/2011
KFAY: 73/2017

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through this afternoon for NCZ007-021>025-038>042-
073>077-083>086-088-089.
Wind Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for NCZ007-021>025-
038>042-073>077-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hartfield
NEAR TERM...Green/Swiggett
SHORT TERM...Swiggett
LONG TERM...Hartfield
AVIATION...Hartfield/Swiggett
HYDROLOGY...Blaes
CLIMATE...RAH
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 27, 6:42 AM EDT, 4 hours 31 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
642 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

NCZ083>086-088-089-281045-
Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
642 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 687 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tornado Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ007-021>025-038>042-073>077-281045-
Person-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-Davidson-Randolph-
Chatham-Wake-Johnston-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-
642 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

In addition, embedded thunderstorms in advance of Tropical Cyclone
Helene will pose a risk of isolated tornadoes through mid afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ008>011-026>028-043-078-281045-
Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wilson-Wayne-
642 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Bands of heavy rain and embedded thunderstorms will pose a risk of
flooding and isolated tornadoes on Friday. Strong wind gusts between
30 and 40 mph will also be possible Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 27, 9:20 AM EDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
920 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

NCZ086-088-271345-
Hoke NC-Cumberland NC-
920 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND AND HOKE
COUNTIES THROUGH 945 AM EDT...

At 920 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Buie, or near Red Springs, moving north at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fayetteville, Raeford, Fort Liberty, Antioch, Pope AFB, Hope Mills,
Spring Lake, Silver City, Rockfish, and Bowmore.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this storm. If the
storm intensifies and rotation strengthens, a warning may need to be
issued.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3484 7933 3511 7939 3515 7935 3519 7929
      3519 7917 3518 7916 3517 7914 3518 7913
      3517 7912 3517 7910 3519 7909 3520 7906
      3521 7889 3493 7898 3495 7904 3483 7919
TIME...MOT...LOC 1320Z 190DEG 48KT 3471 7918

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

NTL
Special weather statement, Sep 27, 9:48 AM EDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
948 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

NCZ077-086-088-271430-
Hoke NC-Harnett NC-Cumberland NC-
948 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN HARNETT...
CUMBERLAND AND EASTERN HOKE COUNTIES THROUGH 1030 AM EDT...

At 948 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Rex, or 7 miles east of Red Springs, moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fayetteville, Fort Liberty, Pope AFB, Hope Mills, Spring Lake,
Eastover, Stedman, Wade, Falcon, and Vander.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this storm. If the
storm intensifies and rotation strengthens, a warning may need to be
issued.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3490 7894 3495 7904 3484 7918 3519 7920
      3517 7912 3517 7910 3519 7910 3521 7915
      3525 7919 3524 7878 3520 7864 3517 7863
      3512 7865 3512 7864 3509 7867 3506 7866
      3485 7881 3483 7890
TIME...MOT...LOC 1348Z 191DEG 31KT 3481 7906

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

NTL
Special weather statement, Sep 27, 10:33 AM EDT, 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1033 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

NCZ076-077-086-088-089-271530-
Lee NC-Sampson NC-Hoke NC-Harnett NC-Cumberland NC-
1033 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL SAMPSON...
HARNETT...CUMBERLAND...CENTRAL LEE AND NORTHEASTERN HOKE COUNTIES
THROUGH 1130 AM EDT...

At 1033 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Fayetteville, moving north at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fayetteville, Sanford, Lillington, Fort Liberty, Angier, Godwin, Pope
AFB, Hope Mills, Spring Lake, and Erwin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this storm. If the
storm intensifies and rotation strengthens, a warning may need to be
issued.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3492 7896 3495 7903 3493 7907 3518 7916
      3517 7912 3517 7910 3519 7910 3521 7915
      3525 7918 3529 7920 3531 7919 3532 7921
      3549 7927 3553 7873 3552 7870 3485 7854
      3485 7883 3483 7890
TIME...MOT...LOC 1433Z 169DEG 35KT 3504 7892

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

NTL
Local storm report, Sep 27, 10:48 AM EDT, 25 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1048 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 NE Clemmons           36.03N 80.38W
09/27/2024                   Forsyth            NC   Broadcast Media

            Tree Down.

&&
Local storm report, Sep 27, 11:03 AM EDT, 10 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1103 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Greensboro              36.08N 79.83W
09/27/2024                   Guilford           NC   Law Enforcement

            Numerous trees down across the city of
            Greensboro.

&&
Special weather statement, Sep 27, 11:11 AM EDT, 2 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1111 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

NCZ042-078-089-271545-
Johnston NC-Sampson NC-Wayne NC-
1111 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN WAYNE...
NORTHEASTERN SAMPSON AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTIES THROUGH 1145
AM EDT...

At 1111 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles west of Mount Olive, moving north at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Smithfield, Princeton, Newton Grove, Hobbton, Grantham, and Mar-Mac.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this storm. If the
storm intensifies and rotation strengthens, a warning may need to be
issued.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3512 7836 3550 7836 3547 7803 3518 7812
      3519 7816 3513 7816 3512 7817 3510 7817
TIME...MOT...LOC 1511Z 185DEG 25KT 3518 7824

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

BLAES

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 27, 7:42 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHRichmond33 min
Sep 27, 8:25 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHAnson, Stanly3 hr
Sep 27, 8:56 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHDavidson34 min
Sep 27, 9:17 AM EDTTornado WarningRAHMoore28 min
Sep 27, 9:20 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHHoke25 min
Sep 27, 9:43 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHDavidson, Davie55 hr
Sep 27, 9:44 AM EDTTornado WarningRAHChatham, Moore, Randolph31 min
Sep 27, 9:48 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHCumberland42 min
Sep 27, 9:50 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHAlamance, Chatham, Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee and 3 more3 hr
Sep 27, 10:31 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett3 hr
Sep 27, 10:33 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHCumberland, Harnett, Lee57 min
Sep 27, 10:34 AM EDTTornado WarningRAHChatham, Orange26 min
Sep 27, 10:41 AM EDTTornado WarningRAHChatham, Harnett, Lee, Wake24 min
Sep 27, 10:48 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHAnson, Stanly24 hr
Sep 27, 11:04 AM EDTTornado WarningRAHDurham, Orange26 min
Sep 27, 11:07 AM EDTTornado WarningRAHChatham, Harnett, Johnston, Wake23 min
Sep 27, 11:09 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatRAHChatham, Durham, Orange, Wake4 hr
Sep 27, 11:11 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHWayne34 min
Sep 27, 11:41 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHJohnston, Sampson, Wayne4 hr
Sep 27, 11:57 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHWake33 min
Sep 27, 12:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHWayne38 min
Sep 27, 12:15 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHFranklin, Granville, Vance, Warren3 hr
Sep 27, 12:27 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHJohnston, Wayne33 min
Sep 27, 12:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHGranville, Vance56 min
Sep 27, 12:43 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHFranklin, Granville, Vance, Warren12 min
Sep 27, 1:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHEdgecombe, Wayne, Wilson60 min
Sep 27, 1:02 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatRAHEdgecombe, Nash, Wilson2 hr
Sep 27, 1:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Halifax, Nash, Wayne, Wilson68 min
Sep 27, 1:16 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHEdgecombe, Nash, Wilson29 min
Sep 27, 1:44 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHEdgecombe, Halifax46 min
Sep 27, 2:26 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRAHForsyth30 hr
Sep 27, 2:58 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRAHChatham, Durham, Orange, Wake5 hr
Sep 27, 3:23 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRAHEdgecombe, Nash, Wilson11 hr
Sep 27, 3:27 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRAHJohnston, Sampson, Wayne3 hr
Sep 27, 4:30 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHChatham14 hr
Sep 27, 6:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHGranville60 min
Sep 27, 6:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHPerson44 min
Sep 27, 6:35 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHGranville, Person21 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in North Carolina, 2024Every tornado warning in 2024Tornadoes in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.