Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2024

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Raleigh, NC

January 9, 2024Alamance County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Jan 9, 2024, 6:18 PM EST for Alamance County, North Carolina. It took effect at Jan 9, 2024, 9:54 PM EST. It was in force for 31 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jan 9, 2024, 6:18 PM EST (23:18 UTC)
In effect from: Jan 9, 2024, 9:54 PM EST
Expired: Jan 11, 2024, 5:01 AM EST
In force: 31 hr
Issued by: NWS Raleigh, NC
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Alamance County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Haw River at Haw River (HAWN7). The gauge peaked at 24.18 ft at Jan 10, 2024, 4:00 AM EST.

Action stage: 16 ft
Minor stage: 18 ft
Moderate stage: 23 ft
Major stage: 27 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02096500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

369 
WGUS42 KRAH 092318
FLWRAH

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
618 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...The National Weather Service in Raleigh NC has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles. Be especially cautious at night when it is 
harder to recognize the dangers of flooding.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.


Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued by Wednesday morning at 630 AM EST.

&&

NCC001-101130-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0002.240110T0254Z-240111T0611Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.240110T0254Z.240110T1200Z.240110T1810Z.NO/
618 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO EARLY THURSDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Haw River at Haw River.

* WHEN...From this evening to early Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Overflow begins on 
  both banks at the water treatment plant. At 20.0 feet, There is 
  significant overflow on the right bank opposite the water 
  treatment plant.  Water also reaches the Red Slide Park upstream 
  of the Main St. Bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:45 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 11.7 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 20.4 feet tomorrow morning.
    It will then fall below flood stage early tomorrow afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.


&&

         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat    

Haw River
Haw Rive 18.0  11.7  Tue 5 pm EST 14.6  8.7   6.0   4.6    


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
      3604 7944 3613 7954


$$

10

6 follow-up statements

758 
WGUS82 KRAH 100304
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1004 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County.

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued Wednesday morning at 1015 AM EST.

&&

NCC037-101515-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.240110T0304Z-240111T1717Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.240110T0203Z.240110T1200Z.240111T0517Z.NO/
1004 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO EARLY THURSDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Haw River near Bynum.

* WHEN...From this evening to early Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Minor flooding begins.  The river widens 
  up to 400 feet across. It floods pastureland on the right bank and 
  woodlands on the left.
  At 15.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins. The river widens up to 800 
  feet across, but flooding remains confined to extensive stretches 
  of woods and pastureland along the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:46 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 11.7 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:46 PM EST Tuesday was 11.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.5
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Thursday morning.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.


&&

         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun    

Haw River
Bynum    11.0  11.7  Tue 9 pm EST 10.8  6.6   5.6   5.2    


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
      3585 7930


$$

NCC001-101515-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240111T0846Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.240110T0015Z.240110T1200Z.240110T2046Z.NO/
1004 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Haw River at Haw River.

* WHEN...Until early Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Overflow begins on 
  both banks at the water treatment plant.
  At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right bank 
  opposite the water treatment plant.  Water also reaches the Red 
  Slide Park upstream of the Main St. Bridge.
  At 23.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins. Flooding reaches the base 
  of the water treatment plant building.  There is also significant 
  flooding of the Red Slide Park upstream of the Main St. Bridge, 
  and Lang St will be impassable

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 20.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 PM EST Tuesday was 20.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.9
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    tomorrow afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.


&&

         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun    

Haw River
Haw Rive 18.0  20.3  Tue 8 pm EST 13.7  7.7   5.5   4.4    


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
      3604 7944 3613 7954


$$

AS

348 
WGUS42 KRAH 100546
FLWRAH

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1246 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in North Carolina...

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 100 PM EST.

&&

NCC001-101800-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAWN7.2.ER.240110T0015Z.240110T1200Z.240111T0018Z.NO/
1246 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Haw River at Haw River.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Overflow begins on 
  both banks at the water treatment plant.
  At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right bank 
  opposite the water treatment plant.  Water also reaches the Red 
  Slide Park upstream of the Main St. Bridge.
  At 23.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins. Flooding reaches the base 
  of the water treatment plant building.  There is also significant 
  flooding of the Red Slide Park upstream of the Main St. Bridge, 
  and Lang St will be impassable
  At 25.5 feet, The water treatment plant building floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:45 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 22.8 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 11:45 PM EST Tuesday was 22.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.2
    feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage this
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    24.6 feet on 02/07/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun    

Haw River
Haw Rive 18.0  22.8  Tue 11 pm ES 14.4  7.7   5.5   4.4    


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
      3604 7944 3613 7954


$$

NTL

995 
WGUS82 KRAH 100856 RRA
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
356 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 400 PM EST.

&&

NCC001-102100-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAWN7.2.ER.240110T0015Z.240110T1200Z.240111T0018Z.NO/
356 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Haw River at Haw River.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Overflow begins on 
  both banks at the water treatment plant.
  At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right bank 
  opposite the water treatment plant.  Water also reaches the Red 
  Slide Park upstream of the Main St. Bridge.
  At 23.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins. Flooding reaches the base 
  of the water treatment plant building.  There is also significant 
  flooding of the Red Slide Park upstream of the Main St. Bridge, 
  and Lang St will be impassable
  At 25.5 feet, The water treatment plant building floods.
  At 26.0 feet, Trailer homes adjacent to the river and the water 
  treatment plant flood. Evacuations may be necessary.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:45 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 24.1 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 2:45 AM EST Wednesday was 24.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.2
    feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage this
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    24.6 feet on 02/07/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun    

Haw River
Haw Rive 18.0  24.1  Wed 2 am EST 14.4  7.7   5.5   4.4    


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
      3604 7944 3613 7954


$$

NTL

867 
WGUS82 KRAH 101521
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1021 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1030 PM EST.

&&

NCC001-110330-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240111T1058Z/
/HAWN7.2.ER.240110T0015Z.240110T0900Z.240110T2258Z.NO/
1021 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Haw River at Haw River.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Overflow begins on 
  both banks at the water treatment plant.
  At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right bank 
  opposite the water treatment plant.  Water also reaches the Red 
  Slide Park upstream of the Main St. Bridge.
  At 23.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins. Flooding reaches the base 
  of the water treatment plant building.  There is also significant 
  flooding of the Red Slide Park upstream of the Main St. Bridge, 
  and Lang St will be impassable

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 21.8 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:45 AM EST Wednesday was 24.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this afternoon and continue falling to 3.6 feet Monday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    23.3 feet on 10/13/2018.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun    

Haw River
Haw Rive 18.0  21.8  Wed 9 am EST 10.1  6.6   5.0   4.1    


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
      3604 7944 3613 7954


$$

TC

953 
WGUS82 KRAH 102352
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
652 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County.

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued Thursday morning at 700 AM EST.

&&

NCC037-111200-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240111T2210Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.240110T0203Z.240110T1746Z.240111T1010Z.NO/
652 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Haw River near Bynum.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Minor flooding begins.  The river widens 
  up to 400 feet across. It floods pastureland on the right bank and 
  woodlands on the left.
  At 15.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins. The river widens up to 800 
  feet across, but flooding remains confined to extensive stretches 
  of woods and pastureland along the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:31 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 14.2 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:31 PM EST Wednesday was 14.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight and continue falling to 4.6 feet early Monday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.


&&

         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun    

Haw River
Bynum    11.0  14.2  Wed 6 pm EST 8.0   6.1   5.4   4.9    


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
      3585 7930


$$

NCC001-111200-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240111T2026Z/
/HAWN7.2.ER.240110T0015Z.240110T0900Z.240111T0826Z.NO/
652 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Haw River at Haw River.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Overflow begins on 
  both banks at the water treatment plant.
  At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right bank 
  opposite the water treatment plant.  Water also reaches the Red 
  Slide Park upstream of the Main St. Bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:45 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 19.9 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 5:45 PM EST Wednesday was 24.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight and continue falling to 3.6 feet early Monday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.


&&

         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun    

Haw River
Haw Rive 18.0  19.9  Wed 5 pm EST 9.6   6.4   4.9   4.0    


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
      3604 7944 3613 7954


$$

AS

096 
WGUS82 KRAH 111001
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
501 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County.



NCC001-111115-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240111T1001Z/
/HAWN7.2.ER.240110T0015Z.240110T0900Z.240111T0845Z.NO/
501 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Haw River At Haw River.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:45 AM EST Thursday the stage was 17.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 4.4 feet Monday
    evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon    

Haw River
Haw Rive 18.0  17.3  Thu 4 am EST 7.8   7.8   6.4   4.9    


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
      3604 7944 3613 7954


$$

NTL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 9, 3:42 PM EST, 2 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 3:42 PM EST, 2 hours 36 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
342 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A powerful storm system will sweep across the region through
tonight. High pressure will build over the Southeast states
Wednesday through Thursday, then lift to our north early Friday as
another storm system approaches Friday and Friday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
As of 340 PM Tuesday...

...The threat of multiple weather hazards continues from a powerful
storm system that will bring a threat of severe weather including
tornadoes, heavy rainfall capable of flash flooding, and strong
winds...

The much advertised storm system is sweeping across central NC this
afternoon with multiple banks of north-south oriented convection
pushing east and northeast across the area. The singular line of
convection earlier this afternoon has devolved into multiple lines
with some discrete super cells lifting into NC from SC and the
coast.

Tornado Watches are in effect into the evening for all of
central NC as an extremely strong wind field interacts with
marginal instability. There is a potential for strong and
damaging tornadoes, mainly to the south of Asheboro, Raleigh and
Rocky Mount where Sig tor values will exceed 1 and nudge up as
high as 3 or 4 for a short time.

Have expanded the Flood Watch east to include all of central NC
through midnight as multiple rounds of convection have been
effective in producing flooding. The broad area of moderate rain
with locally heavy rain will result in the potential for flooding.

Have extended the Wind Advisory through all of tonight to
account for gusty winds of 30 to 40 mph in the post frontal well
mixed environment tonight.

The severe weather and heavy rain threat will end from west to east
and should exit to the east by 8-10 PM as the surface cold front
moves east. Lows tonight will range in the mid 30s to lower
40s. -Blaes

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 120 PM Tuesday...

Although today's cold front will be well to the east, a strong
pressure gradient will result in wind gusts remaining quite strong
during the morning hours, between 25 and 35 mph, with wind then
dropping below 30 mph in the afternoon. Cloud cover should briefly
increase during the late afternoon and evening as a trough moves
through, then skies should clear out overnight and into Thursday.
Highs will be in the upper 40s and lower 50s on Wednesday, with
highs about 5 degrees warmer on Thursday. Lows Wednesday night will
be from the mid 20s to the mid 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 130 PM Tuesday...

Early Friday morning a deep trough moving across the Central Plains
will shift east over the TN and OH valley by late Friday. At the
surface a low pressure system centered over Arkansas will lift
quickly to the NE with a warm front first lifting across the area
from the south, then a cold front moving across the region from west
to east early Saturday morning. There will be an ample amount of
moisture and lift across the area with PW values of around 1 inch by
the late morning. With average PWs for this time of year around 0.40
inch, expect another possibility of heavy rain and excessive
rainfall that could lead to localized flash flooding. For the timing
of the rainfall expect the NW Piedmont to see rain fall early Friday
before widespread rain fall will occur across the entire CWA and
last well into the evening. Latest model data is showing a few hours
of instability in the late afternoon and early evening hours for
areas along and east of US1. All of central NC is highlighted in
SPC's day 4, with the threat of damaging wind gusts and isolated
tornadoes. This event is expected to be similar to today event but
not as extravagant, as in we will have non-convective wind gusts of
20 to 25mph Friday and Saturday with gusts  of 30 to 40 mph.
Temperatures will fluctuate with Fridays highs in the low to upper
60s and lows in the upper 30s to low 40s.

As the cold front clears the area early Saturday, highs will be in
the upper 40s to low 50s then expecting to drop into the mid/upper
20s NW to low 30s SE. Winds over night will continue resulting in
apparent temperatures (feels like) in the teens and low 20s. Sunday
will also have breezy conditions with westerly winds of 10 to 15 mph
and gust of 20 to 25 as high pressure moves rapidly across the
Southeast. Temperatures Sunday will be in the 40s during the day and
similar to Saturday night low in the  mid/upper 20s NW to low 30s
SE.

Monday another deepening upper level trough east of the Rockies
begins to swing across the lower 48 and into the region Monday
afternoon and Tuesday. NW flow and down slope winds will typically
not produce significant snowfall, so for now this will be just
another rain maker. However when the rain moves out Tuesday morning,
cold air is expected to rush in behind and if the rain is slower
than the cold air a few flurries could be possible in the far
northern counties along the NC/VA border.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 1230 PM Tuesday...

TAF period: A line of thunderstorms extending across the western
Carolinas will move across central and eastern North Carolina in the
next several hours. There are already gusty winds up to 40 kt
outside of thunderstorms, but think that the greatest wind threat
will come from the line of thunderstorms. In addition, low level
wind shear is present at all terminals. IFR conditions are also
expected at all terminals, with improvement to VFR expected to occur
during the evening hours. Have broadly gone with 30-35 kt wind gusts
continuing through the night, although models are showing that these
gusts may not be consistent - if a low level inversion develops,
there could intermittently be low level wind shear instead of
surface gusts. Skies should clear by sunrise, although gusts will
continue in the 25-30 kt range.

Outlook: Dry VFR conditions are expected through the rest of
Wednesday into Thursday night. Another storm is likely to bring
restrictions and rain Friday and Friday night. Dry VFR conditions
are expected again Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record Precipitation:

January 9:
KGSO: 1.22/1933
KRDU: 2.18/1895
KFAY: 1.47/1912

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until midnight EST tonight for NCZ007>011-021>028-
038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.
Wind Advisory until 6 AM EST Wednesday for NCZ007>011-021>028-
038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Blaes
NEAR TERM...Blaes
SHORT TERM...Green
LONG TERM...CA
AVIATION...Green
CLIMATE...RAH

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 9, 5:55 PM EST, 23 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
555 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

NCZ007-021>024-038-039-073>075-083-084-102300-
Person-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Davidson-Randolph-Stanly-
Montgomery-Moore-Anson-Richmond-
555 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Another storm system may bring heavy rain, strong gusty winds, and
possibly strong to severe thunderstorms Friday night into Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ008>011-025>028-040>043-076>078-085-086-088-089-102300-
Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-
Chatham-Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Scotland-Hoke-
Cumberland-Sampson-
555 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...TORNADO WATCH 7 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tornado Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Another storm system may bring heavy rain, strong gusty winds, and
possibly strong to severe thunderstorms Friday night into Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 9, 5:20 PM EST, 58 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
520 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0511 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 NW Camp Mackall       35.04N 79.50W
01/09/2024  M56 MPH          Richmond           NC   Mesonet

            KHFF METAR.

&&

Local storm report, Jan 9, 5:23 PM EST, 55 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
523 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0419 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 E Apex                35.72N 78.79W
01/09/2024                   Wake               NC   Trained Spotter

            Large tree down on a power line, resulting
            in power outages, at Kildaire Farm Road and
            Penny Road.

&&

JD

Local storm report, Jan 9, 5:25 PM EST, 53 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
525 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0422 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 NNW Apex              35.77N 78.86W
01/09/2024                   Wake               NC   Trained Spotter

            Tree down near Holt Road and Jenks Carpenter
            Road.

&&

JD

Local storm report, Jan 9, 5:48 PM EST, 30 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
548 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 NNW Stantonsburg      35.64N 77.84W
01/09/2024                   Wilson             NC   911 Call Center

            Tree down at 5352 NC Highway 58 S.

&&

JD

Local storm report, Jan 9, 5:50 PM EST, 28 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
550 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0301 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSW Altamahaw         36.17N 79.51W
01/09/2024                   Alamance           NC   Utility Company

            Fallen trees on power lines.

&&

JRC

Local storm report, Jan 9, 5:59 PM EST, 19 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
559 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0549 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 NNW Rdu International 35.88N 78.79W
01/09/2024  M69 MPH          Wake               NC   ASOS

&&

JD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 9, 1:22 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Davidson, Forsyth	38 min
Jan 9, 1:39 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Davidson, Montgomery, Stanly	51 min
Jan 9, 1:58 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford	62 min
Jan 9, 1:59 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph	3 hr
Jan 9, 2:03 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Anson, Davidson, Montgomery, Randolph, Stanly	57 min
Jan 9, 2:14 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Davidson, Guilford, Randolph	46 min
Jan 9, 2:28 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning Considerable damage threat	RAH	Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph	5 hr
Jan 9, 2:31 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Alamance, Guilford	44 min
Jan 9, 2:45 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Alamance, Chatham, Guilford, Randolph	30 min
Jan 9, 2:54 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Harnett, Hoke	51 min
Jan 9, 2:57 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Anson, Montgomery, Moore, Richmond, Stanly	10 min
Jan 9, 3:01 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Chatham, Lee, Moore	59 min
Jan 9, 3:07 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning Considerable damage threat	RAH	Anson, Montgomery, Moore, Richmond, Stanly	4 hr
Jan 9, 3:09 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Alamance, Guilford, Orange, Person	66 min
Jan 9, 3:13 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Sampson	62 min
Jan 9, 3:16 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Alamance, Chatham, Durham, Orange	3 hr
Jan 9, 3:22 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Anson, Davidson, Montgomery, Moore, Randolph, Richmond and 1 more	68 min
Jan 9, 3:30 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Moore	45 min
Jan 9, 3:32 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Moore	28 min
Jan 9, 3:34 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Montgomery, Stanly	26 min
Jan 9, 3:50 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Alamance, Guilford, Randolph	40 min
Jan 9, 3:52 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Chatham, Durham, Franklin, Granville, Orange, Person and 2 more	3 hr
Jan 9, 3:57 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Anson, Moore, Richmond, Scotland	48 min
Jan 9, 4:05 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Harnett, Wake	55 min
Jan 9, 4:06 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Sampson	39 min
Jan 9, 4:08 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Wayne	52 min
Jan 9, 4:10 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning Considerable damage threat	RAH	Alamance, Chatham, Durham, Orange, Person	5 hr
Jan 9, 4:12 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Durham, Granville, Vance	63 min
Jan 9, 4:19 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Alamance, Chatham, Durham, Lee, Montgomery, Moore and 2 more	41 min
Jan 9, 4:23 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Alamance, Durham, Guilford, Orange, Person, Randolph	67 min
Jan 9, 4:37 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Edgecombe, Nash, Wilson	53 min
Jan 9, 4:38 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Hoke, Moore, Richmond, Scotland	67 min
Jan 9, 4:46 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Johnston	44 min
Jan 9, 4:47 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Wake	43 min
Jan 9, 4:51 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Alamance, Chatham, Durham, Granville, Lee, Moore and 2 more	39 min
Jan 9, 4:52 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Davidson, Forsyth	3 hr
Jan 9, 4:55 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Chatham, Harnett, Lee, Moore	50 min
Jan 9, 5:06 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Durham, Granville, Orange, Person, Vance	54 min
Jan 9, 5:09 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Durham, Granville, Person	24 min
Jan 9, 5:18 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Chatham, Durham, Granville, Lee, Orange, Wake	57 min
Jan 9, 5:29 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Chatham, Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Moore and 2 more	61 min
Jan 9, 5:53 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Franklin, Granville, Vance, Wake, Warren	67 min
Jan 9, 5:59 PM EST	River Flood Warning	RAH	Anson, Stanly	40 hr
Jan 9, 6:04 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning Considerable damage threat	RAH	Durham, Franklin, Granville, Vance, Wake, Warren	4 hr
Jan 9, 6:06 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Johnston, Sampson, Wake	54 min
Jan 9, 6:34 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Johnston	26 min
Jan 9, 6:40 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	RAH	Johnston, Nash, Sampson, Wake, Wayne, Wilson	65 min
Jan 9, 6:51 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Edgecombe, Franklin, Halifax, Nash, Warren	54 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2024 Every river flood warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.