Special Weather Statement, NWS Twin Cities, MN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
622 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered thunderstorm activity this afternoon and early
  evening is expected to remain sub-severe.

- Chances for daytime heating driven showers and storms
  continue for the next few days. Temperatures gradually warm
  throughout the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 230 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

Current satellite imagery depicts a typical summer afternoon with
plenty of cumulus clouds scattered across the region. As we continue
to heat through the afternoon, the atmosphere will mix and isolated
to scattered showers and storms will result. Some scattered showers
are already present in southwestern Minnesota, but remain pulse-like
due to a lack of deep layer shear. CAMs are showing a similar story,
with scattered pop-up showers and storms through the early evening,
particularly for western Minnesota. As a result of the pulse-like
nature and lack of shear, severe storms are not expected with
today's activity. However, a few higher performing cells could
produce small hail and/or up to an inch of rain. In all
likelihood, most will get less than a quarter of an inch. After
sundown, storms will transition to more shower-y in nature as a
shortwave disturbance moves overhead. This could result in an
additional few tenths of liquid, but nothing too impactful.

Sunday will be similar to today, with isolated pop-up showers and
storms possible in the afternoon. The biggest difference between
today and tomorrow is location, with tomorrow's rain chances
favoring western Wisconsin. Temperatures will remain fairly steady
through the early week, with highs around 80. Winds will also be
steady from the west/northwest and light in magnitude. Diurnally
driven showers remain possible Tuesday and Wednesday in western
Wisconsin. Overall, a rather benign weather pattern will couple up
with the light winds and seasonable temperatures giving way to a
pleasant week weather-wise.

The thermometer will trend upwards by late week as winds go
southerly and the atmosphere heats up. Upper 80s and potentially low
90s are possible by the weekend. This aligns well with our
climatologically warmest period of the year, with the high end of
the normal temperature range reaching 84 degrees (for MSP) July 8th
through 23rd. While climatological normal high temperatures will
begin to go down on July 24th, the Climate Prediction Center
forecast is favoring above normal temperatures July 12th through
August 2nd. Ensembles support this trend for the end of the
month, with the GEFS, ECMWF, and CMC all having consecutive
days in the 90s beginning mid-July.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 622 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

A region of scattered thunderstorms will slowly track to the
east this evening. It is currently near the AXN area and will
track east to RWF, STC, MSP, and MKT. Should start falling apart
more by the time it gets to WI with rain more likely than TS at
RNH and EAU. Winds will remain light until thunderstorms
arrive. Should become quieter at night and in the following morning.
Another round of thunderstorms is expected on Sunday afternoon.
The exact location is uncertain and will have to wait for
future TAFs for more details on the exact timing an location of
these storms.

KMSP...Pushed back the start time of the thunderstorms slightly,
but upgraded to a TEMPO from PROB30 as it is looking more likely
that it will happen. Still not certain enough of the line
holding together for prevailing. Will assess the thunderstorm
chances more for the next AMD.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
MON...VFR. Chc aftn SHRA/TSRA. Wind W 5-10 kts.
TUE...VFR. Chc aftn SHRA/TSRA. Wind NW 5-10 kts.
WED...VFR. Chc aftn SHRA/TSRA. Wind NE 5-10 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...PV
AVIATION...NDC

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
205 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
071915-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
205 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected into this evening. A few
stronger storms are possible across western Minnesota, capable of
gusty winds and hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will not be needed.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
524 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

MNZ091-092-062300-
Martin MN-Faribault MN-
524 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN FARIBAULT AND EAST
CENTRAL MARTIN COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM CDT...

At 524 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Winnebago, or 15 miles east of Fairmont, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Blue Earth, Winnebago, Easton, Delavan, Huntley, and Guckeen.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 90 between mile markers 110 and 122.
 U.S. Highway 169 between mile markers 11 and 24.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4375 9437 4385 9411 4385 9391 4368 9382
      4362 9428
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 249DEG 26KT 4371 9419

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

BPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
526 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

MNZ092-062300-
Faribault MN-
526 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN FARIBAULT COUNTY
THROUGH 600 PM CDT...

At 525 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Bricelyn, or 21 miles west of Albert Lea, moving southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Bricelyn, Kiester, Brush Creek, and Walters.

This includes Interstate 90 between mile markers 129 and 141.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4364 9395 4373 9383 4365 9364 4355 9365
      4350 9374 4350 9379
TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 312DEG 11KT 4361 9379

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

BPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
529 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

MNZ041-042-062300-
Douglas MN-Todd MN-
529 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EASTERN DOUGLAS AND TODD COUNTIES
THROUGH 600 PM CDT...

At 528 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms capable of producing a landspout near Carlos, or 9
miles north of Alexandria, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Landspouts, wind gusts up to 40 mph, and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
         could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured
         objects.

Locations impacted include...
Alexandria, Staples, Browerville, Clarissa, Eagle Bend, Carlos,
Staples Airport, Bertha, Hewitt, Lake Osakis, Leaf Valley, and
Miltona.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 94 in Minnesota between mile markers 105 and 118.
 U.S. Highway 10 in Minnesota between mile markers 103 and 113, and
between mile markers 119 and 120.
 U.S. Highway 71 between mile markers 191 and 219.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4637 9474 4635 9470 4636 9467 4627 9464
      4577 9511 4578 9513 4576 9514 4576 9528
      4606 9561 4611 9555 4611 9515 4637 9515
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 212DEG 19KT 4603 9530

LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

BPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
542 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

MNZ047-048-054>056-062330-
Chippewa MN-Stevens MN-Pope MN-Lac Qui Parle MN-Swift MN-
542 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL LAC QUI PARLE...
SOUTHWESTERN POPE...NORTHWESTERN CHIPPEWA...SOUTHEASTERN STEVENS AND
SWIFT COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM CDT...

At 542 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms 6 miles northeast of Appleton, or 21 miles south of
Morris, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Benson, Appleton, Hancock, Milan, Lake Hassel, Lake Oliver, Artichoke
Lake, Clontarf, Hagen, De Graff, Danvers, and Holloway.

This includes the following highways...
 U.S. Highway 12 between mile markers 17 and 52.
 U.S. Highway 59 between mile markers 136 and 160.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4519 9612 4518 9610 4524 9610 4524 9612
      4541 9612 4565 9565 4520 9541 4509 9607
      4519 9615
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 245DEG 25KT 4527 9594

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

BPH

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>