River Flood Warning 37, NWS Twin Cities, MN

934 
WGUS83 KMPX 080201
FLSMPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
901 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Minnesota 
and Wisconsin...

  Cottonwood River Above Springfield affecting Brown County.

  Cottonwood River at New Ulm affecting Brown County.

  Cannon River at Northfield affecting Rice and Dakota Counties.

  Minnesota River at Savage affecting Hennepin, Carver, Dakota and 
  Scott Counties.

  Minnesota River at Henderson MN19 affecting Sibley, Le Sueur and 
  Scott Counties.

  Minnesota River near Jordan affecting Sibley, Carver and Scott 
  Counties.

  Minnesota River at Morton affecting Redwood and Renville Counties.

  Mississippi River near Hastings L/D 2 (COE) affecting Pierce, 
  Washington and Dakota Counties.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Minnesota...

  Mississippi River at St. Paul affecting Washington, Dakota and 
  Ramsey Counties.

.Recent rainfall has led to brief rises across southern Minnesota. 
Any additional shower and thunderstorm chances through mid-week 
will further delay the eventual recession back into action stage 
later this week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

MNC037-123-163-080315-
/O.CAN.KMPX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-240708T0201Z/
/STPM5.3.ER.240623T2340Z.240629T1735Z.240707T2247Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Mississippi River at St. Paul.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 810 PM CDT Sunday, the stage was 13.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 10.9 feet Sunday,
    July 14.


&&

LAT...LON 4490 9319 4491 9316 4496 9309 4495 9303
      4492 9300 4482 9298 4479 9294 4479 9288
      4476 9291 4476 9293 4475 9294 4475 9299
      4477 9303 4482 9302 4489 9304 4493 9308
      4489 9314 4489 9318

$$

MNC015-081715-
/O.EXT.KMPX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-240710T0300Z/
/SPFM5.1.ER.000000T0000Z.240708T0130Z.240709T0900Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Cottonwood River above Springfield.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 830 PM CDT Sunday, the stage was 22.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 830 PM CDT Sunday was 22.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning and continue falling to 16.3 feet
    Sunday, July 14.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    22.5 feet on 03/22/1978.

&&

LAT...LON 4421 9510 4425 9497 4425 9490 4421 9490
      4417 9510

$$

MNC037-131-080815-
/O.EXT.KMPX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240708T0815Z/
/NRFM5.1.ER.240705T0415Z.240706T0545Z.240708T0215Z.UU/
901 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Cannon River at Northfield.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 897.0 feet, Water backs up into businesses along 
  river in downtown Northfield. Riverwalk on west side of town 
  begins to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 830 PM CDT Sunday, the stage was 897.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 830 PM CDT Sunday was 897.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this evening and continue falling to 894.6 feet Friday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 897.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    896.3 feet on 09/06/2018.

&&

LAT...LON 4443 9322 4450 9314 4453 9302 4450 9302
      4445 9312 4441 9318

$$

MNC015-081715-
/O.EXT.KMPX.FL.W.0038.240708T1030Z-240710T1800Z/
/NWUM5.1.ER.240708T1030Z.240709T0000Z.240710T0000Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO EARLY WEDNESDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Cottonwood River at New Ulm.

* WHEN...From late tonight to early Wednesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Flood waters begin to impact low lying 
  areas...and some roads along the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 800 PM CDT Sunday, the stage was 10.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tonight to a crest of 11.4 feet tomorrow evening. It
    will then fall below flood stage Tuesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    11.4 feet on 05/29/2012.

&&

LAT...LON 4431 9446 4427 9441 4428 9451 4426 9456
      4426 9461 4428 9463 4428 9465 4427 9468
      4425 9468 4423 9470 4425 9471 4425 9470
      4429 9469 4430 9465 4430 9462 4428 9459
      4428 9456 4430 9451 4430 9448

$$

MNC037-163-WIC093-081715-
/O.CON.KMPX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-240710T1200Z/
/HSTM5.3.ER.240624T0007Z.240629T1930Z.240709T0000Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River near Hastings L/D 2 (COE).

* WHEN...Until Wednesday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 830 PM CDT Sunday, the stage was 15.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 830 PM CDT Sunday was 15.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow evening and continue falling to 13.0 feet Sunday,
    July 14.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.5 feet on 05/11/1950.

&&

LAT...LON 4479 9288 4476 9285 4476 9281 4472 9273
      4465 9273 4468 9277 4470 9277 4472 9281
      4473 9284 4476 9291

$$

MNC019-037-053-139-081715-
/O.CON.KMPX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SAVM5.3.ER.000000T0000Z.240629T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Minnesota River at Savage.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 705.0 feet, Flood waters begin to impact the park 
  road at Fort Snelling State Park.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 800 PM CDT Sunday, the stage was 706.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 800 PM CDT Sunday was 707.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 703.3 feet
    Sunday, July 14.
  - Flood stage is 702.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    706.8 feet on 06/29/1984.

&&

LAT...LON 4481 9358 4482 9352 4482 9343 4480 9337
      4479 9334 4480 9330 4482 9326 4486 9321
      4490 9319 4489 9318 4489 9314 4488 9316
      4483 9319 4477 9330 4477 9338 4479 9353
      4478 9356

$$

MNC079-139-143-081715-
/O.CON.KMPX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-240711T1800Z/
/HENM5.3.ER.240619T0005Z.240627T1000Z.240711T0000Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Minnesota River at Henderson MN19.

* WHEN...Until early Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 732.5 feet, Water begins encroaching on highway 19 
  east of Henderson.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 830 PM CDT Sunday, the stage was 732.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 830 PM CDT Sunday was 732.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Wednesday evening and continue falling to 729.3 feet Sunday,
    July 14.
  - Flood stage is 732.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    732.7 feet on 06/19/2001.

&&

LAT...LON 4446 9394 4448 9393 4449 9392 4456 9392
      4459 9391 4461 9388 4463 9385 4464 9379
      4462 9379 4461 9383 4459 9387 4455 9388
      4451 9388 4446 9388 4447 9390 4445 9391

$$

MNC019-139-143-081715-
/O.CON.KMPX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JDNM5.3.ER.240619T0048Z.240628T1030Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Minnesota River near Jordan.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 26.7 feet, The bridge at Scott County Road 9 and 
  Carver County Road 11/Jonathan Carver Parkway will be closed.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 745 PM CDT Sunday, the stage was 27.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 745 PM CDT Sunday was 27.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 25.2 feet Sunday,
    July 14.
  - Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    27.2 feet on 05/13/1993.

&&

LAT...LON 4464 9379 4465 9375 4469 9368 4471 9368
      4470 9367 4470 9365 4471 9363 4472 9364
      4473 9364 4478 9362 4481 9358 4478 9356
      4476 9358 4470 9359 4467 9362 4464 9370
      4462 9379

$$

MNC127-129-081715-
/O.CON.KMPX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-240713T1800Z/
/MTNM5.2.ER.240524T2233Z.240624T1930Z.240713T0000Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Minnesota River at Morton.

* WHEN...Until early Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 23.0 feet, Riverside Rd and Front Street flooded in 
  North Redwood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 800 PM CDT Sunday, the stage was 21.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 800 PM CDT Sunday was 21.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.9
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage Friday evening.
  - Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    21.9 feet on 04/04/2007.

&&

LAT...LON 4460 9518 4463 9515 4458 9507 4458 9505
      4457 9504 4457 9502 4455 9496 4453 9492
      4452 9487 4448 9487 4450 9491 4452 9496
      4454 9505 4455 9509 4457 9513

$$

BPH

516 
WGUS83 KMPX 081617
FLSMPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1117 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Minnesota...

  Cottonwood River Above Springfield affecting Brown County.

.The river has reached crest and has fallen below flood stage as of 
this morning and is expected to continue falling this week.

MNC015-081730-
/O.CAN.KMPX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-240708T1617Z/
/SPFM5.1.ER.000000T0000Z.240708T0130Z.240708T0945Z.NO/
1117 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Cottonwood River Above Springfield.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1030 AM CDT Monday, the stage was 21.7 feet.
  - The river is falling.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 16.2 feet Monday,
    July 15.


&&

LAT...LON 4421 9510 4425 9497 4425 9490 4421 9490
      4417 9510

$$

Dunleavy

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
556 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Chances for diurnally-driven showers and storms continue for
  the next few days.

- Temperatures will gradually warm through the period with
  decent chances at the year's first 90 at MSP next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 334 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

Showers and thunderstorms have mostly dissipated early this
morning, with the exception across southeastern MN and parts of
western WI. This latest round is a result of an MCV near Lake
Mille Lacs which continues northeast toward DLH. Water vapor
imagery shows numerous such disturbances littering the northern
and central Plains, Upper Midwest, and into southern Canada,
within a broad long wave trough. These disturbances will be the
foci for mostly diurnally-driven scattered convection through
midweek, with nothing looking particularly widespread or heavy.

CAMs and global guidance highlight areas in western MN and
western WI as the locations with the most widespread activity
this afternoon. It is in these areas greater instability will
develop, with a minimum across eastern and south central MN. A
couple stronger storms are possible across southeast MN and
western WI where 25 kts of bulk shear could help organization.
Otherwise, activity should wane gradually following sunset this
evening.

Cyclonic flow continues Monday, Tuesday, and possibly into
Wednesday due to the remnants of TC Beryl tracking northeast
into the Great Lakes. Each afternoon will feature about 500 J/kg
CAPE and 20 kts of shear or less, leading to disorganized
convection likely forming near weak disturbances or outflow
boundaries. Isolated to scattered coverage of storms can be
expected.

Beyond Wednesday, ridging will finally build east from the West
Coast. A broad area of ridging will span the CONUS, with no real
discernible center. An active pattern will continue across
Canada, so it's possible there may be occasional intrusions of
cooler air from the north if weaknesses in the ridge develop.
That would also lead to thunderstorm chances, although extended
model guidance are trending drier on QPF. Highs well into the
80s, and possibly low 90s, will become common next weekend and
early the following week. Dew points may also increase into the
70s which would limit cooling at night and lead to increased
HeatRisk. After a cool, wet summer so far, the pattern finally
appears to be changing.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 553 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

Morning fog should burn off quickly after sunrise for
AXN/RWF/STC, with winds remaining fairly weak but efficient
mixing once again expected. Elected to forego a -TS mention with
this round once again as coverage is going to be spotty with
airmass type showers and weak storms this afternoon. The primary
time period will span roughly 20-00z, after which point anything
left should break up and weaken.

KMSP...Did not mention -TS in the TAF itself with confidence in
seeing VCTS roughly 15-20 percent at this time. The window is
also fairly narrow, roughly 20-00z.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
MON...VFR, chc PM -TSRA. Wind W 5kts.
TUE...VFR, chc PM -TSRA. Wind NW 5kts.
WED...VFR, chc PM -TSRA. Wind NE 5kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Borghoff
AVIATION...TDH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
316 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
080830-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
316 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Isolated showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will not be needed.